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【环球财经】美国国会预算办公室上调美国预算赤字预测
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 01:04
根据预测,2036财年美国财政预算赤字将升至3.11万亿美元,预计占当年美国国内生产总值(GDP)的 6.7%,显著高于2025财年的5.8%。 公众持有美国债务占GDP的比重预计将从2026财年的101%升至2036 财年的120%,远高于1946年曾达到的106%。 美国政府利息支出预计将从2026财年的1.04万亿美元增加 到2036财年的2.14万亿美元,占当年财政收入的比例则预计从18.6%升至25.8%。 报告称,除非国会采取行动,到2032财年,美国社会保障体系中关键的老年和遗属保险(Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Program)信托基金将耗尽资金,比此前的预测提前一年。 美国国会预算办公室主任菲利普·斯瓦格尔(Phillip Swagel)当日表示:"我们的预算预测继续显示,美 国财政路径不可持续。" (文章来源:新华财经) 新华财经纽约2月12日电(记者刘亚南)美国国会预算办公室11日发布2026财年至2036财年预算和经济 展望报告,进一步上调对美国财政预算赤字的预测。 与2025年1月发布的这一年度报告相比,2026财年(到今年9月30日)美国预算赤字预 ...
四大证券报精华摘要:2月12日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 01:00
Group 1 - The acquisition of Tianmai Technology by Suzhou Industrial Park Qichen Hengyuan Equity Investment Partnership marks a significant shift in the exit strategy of PE/VC institutions, moving away from reliance on IPOs towards more diversified exit routes [1] - The Chinese M&A market is expected to recover by 2025, with total disclosed transaction value projected to exceed $400 billion, a 47% increase year-on-year [1] - The trend of private equity institutions increasingly favoring M&A exits reflects a broader change in the investment landscape, as they seek to adapt to the current market environment [1] Group 2 - The inquiry transfer market has seen rapid growth, with 12 A-share listed companies implementing share transfers since 2026, and many institutions reporting gains exceeding 30% [2] - Inquiry transfers are becoming a key mechanism connecting primary and secondary markets, potentially evolving into a foundational and normalized share transfer mechanism in China's capital market [2] Group 3 - Listed companies have distributed over 348.8 billion yuan in dividends before the Spring Festival, surpassing the previous year's total of 344.6 billion yuan [3] - The financial and consumer sectors continue to dominate dividend distributions, with banks alone contributing 243.4 billion yuan, accounting for nearly 70% of the total [3] Group 4 - The banking sector is engaged in a competitive marketing push for wealth management products ahead of the Spring Festival, targeting year-end bonuses and family funds [4] - This marketing surge reflects the pressures faced by banks in a low-interest-rate environment and the scarcity of quality assets [4] Group 5 - Several companies in the photovoltaic industry have announced project terminations or asset divestitures, indicating a shift in the industry's dynamics as it moves towards a phase of accelerated capacity clearing [5] - The anticipated demand decline is contributing to a more competitive environment, prompting a natural market selection process [5] Group 6 - A survey indicates that 62.16% of private equity firms prefer to hold significant positions during the holiday period, reflecting confidence in structural market opportunities despite potential volatility [6] - The technology sector remains a focal point for investment, with 41.18% of private equity firms favoring a balanced approach between undervalued blue chips and technology growth [6] Group 7 - The capital market is experiencing intensified regulatory scrutiny, with a significant number of penalties issued for various violations, signaling a commitment to protecting investor rights [7] - The regulatory environment emphasizes accountability across all market participants, including companies, intermediaries, and private equity firms [7] Group 8 - The Hong Kong IPO market has seen 22 new listings this year without any initial price drops, contrasting with the previous year's performance [8] - Factors contributing to this trend include improved market sentiment, cautious pricing strategies by issuers, and the stabilizing effect of cornerstone investors [8] Group 9 - The Hang Seng Technology Index has experienced a significant downturn, with a maximum drawdown exceeding 20%, prompting calls for leading companies to shift towards quality-driven growth [9] - Analysts suggest that companies should move away from aggressive spending strategies and focus on enhancing operational efficiency through technological investments [9] Group 10 - The average car insurance premium among 60 companies has reached approximately 2,215.77 yuan, indicating a trend towards high-quality development in the car insurance sector [10] - Future pricing strategies are expected to become more refined and rational, particularly for new energy vehicles, as data accumulation and technological advancements progress [10] Group 11 - Recent insurance company equity auctions reflect a shift in market focus from license scarcity to sustainable profitability and professional capabilities [11][12] - This change is driving a more rational valuation of insurance company equities in the capital market [12] Group 12 - The land market is anticipated to enter a more active phase as major cities announce new land supply lists, with a focus on rational transactions and precise investments [13] - The initial land auctions in key cities have shown steady performance, indicating a transition towards a more dynamic market environment [13]
截至1月的12个月巴西累计通胀率升至4.44%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 00:54
Core Viewpoint - Brazil's inflation rate for the past 12 months reached 4.44% as of the end of January, an increase from the previous period's 4.26% [1] Inflation Data - The nationwide broad consumer price index (IPCA) in January rose by 0.33%, primarily driven by increases in fuel and transportation prices [1] - Food and beverage price increases have slowed down, while prices for housing and clothing have decreased [1] Fuel Price Impact - The head of IBGE's inflation indicators, Fernando Gonalves, noted that fuel prices dropped by approximately 5.20% at the end of January, but the full impact of this decrease was not reflected in January's data, with expectations for a more significant effect in February [1] Future Projections - The inflation rate for Brazil in 2025 is projected to be 4.26%, marking the lowest level since 2018 [1]
【环球财经】道达尔能源2025年净利润明显下滑
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 00:45
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that TotalEnergies reported a significant decline in net profit for the year 2025, primarily due to falling oil and gas prices [2] - The company achieved a net profit of $13.13 billion in 2025, a decrease of 17% year-on-year; adjusted EBITDA was $40.56 billion, down 6% year-on-year [2] - In Q4 2025, the net profit was $2.91 billion, compared to $3.96 billion in the same quarter of 2024 [2] Group 2 - Despite the decline in several financial metrics, TotalEnergies expressed satisfaction with its financial stability and announced an increase in dividends while maintaining its stock buyback program [2] - The company will distribute a final dividend of €0.85 per share for the last fiscal year, following three interim dividends of €0.85 each, bringing the total ordinary dividend to €3.40 per share, a 5.6% increase from 2024 [2] - The expected stock buyback amount for 2026 is projected to be between $3 billion and $6 billion, assuming oil prices remain between $60 and $70 per barrel and the exchange rate is approximately €1 to $1.20 [2] - Due to uncertainties in current oil price trends, the company plans to execute only the lower range of buybacks in Q1, with an initial buyback amount of $750 million [2] Group 3 - On the day of the earnings report, TotalEnergies' stock performed positively, closing up 2.74% from the previous day [3]
2月11日SPDR黄金持仓量较前一交易日增加2吨
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 00:18
截至2月11日,全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量为1,081.32吨,较前一交易日增加 2吨。 | Total Net Asset Value in the Trust Ounces | Tonnes | | --- | --- | | US$176,513,832,895.48 | 34,765,612.07oz 1,081.323 | | 11 Feb 2026 | 11 Feb 2026 11 Feb 2026 | 资讯编辑:王芳琴 021-66896877 资讯监督:乐卫扬 021-26093827 资讯投诉:陈跃进 021-26093100 免责声明:Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容,仅供客户参考,不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有,转载需取得Mysteel书面授 权,且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络,目的在于传递更多信息,方 便学习与交流,并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。 ...
伊朗最高领袖顾问:美国趋向理性,以方欲挑事端
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 00:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that negotiations between Iran and the United States are ongoing, with Iran expressing a positive attitude towards the talks, despite not having received specific proposals from the U.S. [1] - Iran's Supreme National Security Council Secretary, Larijani, indicated that Israel is attempting to undermine the negotiation process and is seeking excuses to provoke conflict, affecting the stability of the entire Middle East [1] - Regional countries are working to ensure the success of the negotiations between Iran and the U.S., highlighting a collective effort to stabilize the situation [1] Group 2 - Larijani reaffirmed Iran's stance on nuclear issues and warned that if the U.S. attacks Iran, it would retaliate against U.S. military bases in the Middle East [1] - Meetings took place in Qatar between Larijani and the Emir of Qatar, where they discussed regional developments, efforts to ease tensions, and ways to enhance regional security [1] - The Qatari Foreign Ministry stated that the Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Qatar also met with Larijani to discuss the indirect negotiations on nuclear issues that took place in Muscat, Oman, reiterating Qatar's support for peaceful resolutions [1]
截至2月11日 全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量为1,081.32吨 较前一交易日增加2吨
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 23:06
截至2月11日,全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量为1,081.32吨,较前一交易日增加 2吨。 | Ounces | Tonnes | | --- | --- | | 34,765,612.07oz 1,081.323 | | | 11 Feb 2026 | 11 Feb 2026 | (文章来源:新华财经) ...
美国1月非农数据超预期 美元短线急升
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 14:21
Group 1 - The latest U.S. non-farm payroll data for January shows an increase of 130,000 jobs, significantly exceeding market expectations, which reduces the Federal Reserve's inclination towards easing monetary policy [1] - The unemployment rate in January dropped to 4.3%, while average hourly wages increased by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.7% year-on-year [1] - The labor force participation rate rose from 62.4% to 62.5%, indicating a positive trend in the labor market [1] Group 2 - Despite the strong job growth in January, there are signs that the labor market may be weakening, with reports indicating a slowdown in hiring activities expected in 2025 due to increased layoffs and reduced job vacancies [2] - The ratio of unemployed individuals to job vacancies decreased to 0.87 in December, down from 0.89 in November, suggesting a tightening labor market [2] - Analysts note that while the January non-farm data shows job increases, the labor market is still struggling, and there are concerns about a potential rise in unemployment as hiring slows down [2]
高盛资产管理公司分析师Kay Haigh:仍然认为美联储今年还有两次降息空间
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 14:18
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs Asset Management analyst Kay Haigh believes there is still room for two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year [1] - However, if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) unexpectedly rises, it may lead the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance [1]
连续取得多项创新技术突破 振芯科技加快构建“云、网、群、端、智”全体系发展格局
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 13:57
未来通信需要的极致信息体验依赖高频谱效率和大容量无线接入,传统的时/频/码分多址技术在频谱 效率以及接入容量方面面临着严峻挑战,如何在有限的频带资源下合理高效的分配系统资源成为现如今 亟需解决的关键问题之一。具有波束空间隔离、频率复用两大特点优势的多波束天线技术成为解决这些 矛盾的关键途径。 针对SpaceX、OneWeb等商业航天公司的大型LEO卫星星座及配套相控阵需要具有多波束能力的通信载 荷的能力要求,振芯科技设计推出了全数字多波束合成芯片GM5900A,一款32收32发的DBF(Digital Beam Form)芯片。据了解,该芯片具备三大优势: 一是小型化、集成度高。GM5900A内部集成包SerDes接收器、SerDes发送器、DBF处理电路、SPI接 口、DDC、DUC、时钟产生电路、DFT电路、TDC及健康管理等模块。相比实现同样功能的FPGA,芯 片面积仅有其1/4,大大提升数字收发链路的布板空间。 二是灵活配置、操作简易。GM5900A通过SPI接口与外部处理器进行通信,上报芯片内部的状态信息, 实现芯片基础参数配置。不需要任何编程、综合等时耗,能够更加快速便捷实现芯片不同带宽、不同有 ...