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英国央行货币政策前瞻:料维持利率不变 内部分歧加剧
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 08:06
市场预计,英国央行将继续强调"逐次会议"决策原则,并重申利率正向"中性区间"靠拢。所谓中性利 率,指既不刺激也不抑制经济增长的长期均衡水平。 另一关键变量在于即将于11月26日发布的秋季预算。财政大臣雷切尔·里夫斯(Rachel Reeves)预计将 宣布大幅加税措施。里夫斯4日表示,秋季预算案将把抑制通胀作为核心目标,并旨在为英国央行下调 关键利率创造条件。并指出,该预算案将在控制政府债务的同时,保障公共服务支出。她强调:"我所 做的决策将专注于推动通胀回落,创造降息条件以支持经济增长并改善民众生活成本。" 由于英国央行仅能基于已公布的政府政策进行预测,其本次经济展望暂未包含预算潜在影响。市场认 为,新一轮加税虽可能抑制通胀,但亦可能拖累经济增长,形成通缩效应。尽管经济数据疲软为降息打 开可能性之门,但多数经济学家认为,政策制定者将选择观望,等待更多通胀降温的持续证据以及秋季 预算案细节。 瑞银欧元区及英国首席经济学家迪恩·特纳(Dean Turner)评价称,本次会议是"近期最难预测的议息会 议之一",核心争议并非是否降息,而在于降息的具体时机。 巴克莱、野村、瑞穗及裕信银行等机构则认为,存在英国央行意外 ...
【新华财经调查】氢能产业规模化发展,河北如何破局?
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 07:58
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of hydrogen energy as a new economic growth point in China's energy system, highlighting the challenges and opportunities in the hydrogen industry, particularly in Hebei province, which is a pilot area for hydrogen energy development [1][2]. Industry Challenges - The hydrogen industry faces significant challenges related to supply-demand misalignment and high costs, which hinder its scalability [2][3]. - The distribution of hydrogen resources is not aligned with demand areas, leading to high transportation costs and supply-demand imbalance, creating a "vicious cycle" [3]. - Key issues that need to be addressed include customer willingness to adopt hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, economic viability, and the need for supporting infrastructure [3]. Hebei's Hydrogen Industry Development - Hebei has established a relatively complete hydrogen industry chain, with a total industry output value exceeding 70 billion yuan [3][4]. - The province is leveraging its full industry chain advantages to promote technological and model innovations for large-scale application [4]. Cost Reduction Strategies - Low-cost green hydrogen production is essential for the sustainable development of the hydrogen industry, with off-grid hydrogen production models being a primary focus [4]. - A project in Zhangjiakou aims to reduce green hydrogen production costs to below 18 yuan/kg by utilizing wind energy for electrolysis [4]. Transportation and Infrastructure - Hydrogen storage and transportation account for approximately 40% of the total hydrogen cost, with efficient and low-cost transportation methods being crucial for industry development [4]. - A major hydrogen pipeline project in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is expected to enhance the coordination of hydrogen production and consumption, addressing geographical mismatches [4][5]. Fuel Cell Vehicle Adoption - Hebei has promoted 4,518 hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, including 2,800 hydrogen heavy trucks, leading the nation in adoption [5]. - The cost of hydrogen fuel cell engines has decreased to below 2,500 yuan/kW, with expectations to drop to 200 yuan/kW by 2030, making them more competitive with traditional internal combustion engines [5]. Future Directions - The hydrogen industry is transitioning from reliance on gray hydrogen to green hydrogen, with industrial applications expanding beyond transportation [6][7]. - The industrial sector is projected to dominate hydrogen demand, with significant growth anticipated as hydrogen prices become more favorable for large-scale applications [7].
11月6日全国碳市场收盘价54.86元/吨 较前一日上涨3.78%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 07:54
2025年1月1日至11月6日,全国碳市场碳排放配额成交量145,569,252吨,成交额9,076,269,010.81元。 新华财经北京11月6日电据微信公众号"全国碳交易",11月6日全国碳市场综合价格行情为开盘价52.97元/吨,最高价55.80元/吨,最低价52.97元/吨, 收盘价54.86元/吨,收盘价较前一日上涨3.78%。 今日挂牌协议交易成交量844,102吨,成交额44,910,195.57元;大宗协议交易成交量555,261吨,成交额28,537,096.46元;今日无单向竞价。 今日全国碳排放配额总成交量1,399,363吨,总成交额73,447,292.03元。 | 各年度 | 开盘价 | | ,各年度。 | 收益价 | 日成交量 | 日成交额 | 累计成交量 | 累计成交额 | 交易方式 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | (元) | (吨) | (元) | | | | | | | | | - | 49.051.536 | 2.719.954.775.06 | ...
马士基:三季度财务业绩强劲 预计红海的干扰影响将持续全年
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 07:43
马士基首席执行官Vincent Clerc表示:"我们在第三季度各项业务中都交出了强劲的业绩。随着市场状况 的波动,我们有能力帮助客户适应并保持其供应链的稳定。" 在全年展望方面,马士基表示,预计红海地区的干扰影响将持续全年。现预计全年EBITDA将在90亿至 95亿美元之间,较之前的预期范围(80亿至95亿美元)上调。 (文章来源:新华财经) 新华财经北京11月6日电航运集团马士基(Maersk)周四(11月6日)报告称,在运营改善和积极成本措 施的推动下,公司2025年第三季度财务业绩强劲,在所有业务领域都实现了连续增长。在此基础上,马 士基完善了2025年全年的财务指导。 马士基表示,第三季度的息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)同比下降44%,降至26.9亿美元,主要由于 运费下跌,但在一定程度上被海运的强劲交付量,及物流和服务以及码头业绩的改善所抵消。超过了公 司此前收集的分析师调查预期的25.8亿美元。 | Highlights Q3 | | | | | | | | USD million | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...
科创板收盘播报:科创50指数震荡涨3.34% 半导体股涨幅居前
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 07:42
新华财经北京11月6日电(王媛媛)科创50指数11月6日震荡上涨。至收盘时,科创50指数报1436.89, 涨幅3.34%,指数振幅为2.86%,总成交额约909.92亿元,较上一交易日有所放大。 从盘面上看,科创板个股多数上涨,上涨个股405只。高价股表现较好,低价股有所分化。 细分领域中,半导体、电气设备、专用机械类个股表现活跃,软件服务、生物制药类个股下跌。 换手率方面,禾元生物换手率为39.7%,位居首位;龙腾光电换手率为0.26%,位居末位。 (文章来源:新华财经) 经新华财经统计,11月6日,剔除1只停牌股,科创板剩余591只个股平均涨幅1.16%,平均换手率 2.75%,合计成交额2179亿元,平均振幅为3.68%。 个股表现方面,长光华芯、华盛锂电涨20%,领涨成分股;航天宏图跌15.92%,跌幅居首。 成交额方面,寒武纪成交额192.5亿元,位居首位;ST帕瓦成交额583.5万元,位居末位。 ...
德国9月工业生产增幅低于预期 复苏仍显缓慢
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 07:40
新华财经北京11月6日电德国9月工业生产增长不及预期,欧洲最大经济体在多年低迷后仅在缓慢复苏。 德国统计局周四表示,9月工业生产环比增长1.3%,低于3%的市场预期。 汽车制造业增长12.3%是此次增长的主因,周三数据显示汽车行业引领工厂订单实现五个月来首次增 长,这些数字表明经济可能有望企稳。制造业复苏对克服2023年和2024年产出收缩的困境至关重要。 德国的经济问题源自美国更高的关税、全球需求疲软以及长期存在的问题,如繁琐的行政手续。同时, 预计在接下来的几个季度,由于政府支出增加和欧洲央行利率下降,经济活动将获得动力。 (文章来源:新华财经) ...
收评:主要股指高开高走 半导体、磷化工、有色等多个板块大涨
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 07:22
Market Performance - The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets opened higher on November 6, with significant gains in the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index by the end of the trading day [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4007.76 points, up 0.97%, with a trading volume of approximately 930.3 billion yuan; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13452.42 points, up 1.73%, with a trading volume of about 112.5 billion yuan; the ChiNext Index closed at 3224.62 points, up 1.84%, with a trading volume of around 50.5 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The semiconductor sector showed strong performance, opening high and maintaining gains throughout the day; the phosphate chemical sector also saw significant increases before stabilizing [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced upward movement, driven by multiple aluminum stocks hitting the daily limit; other sectors such as chemical fiber, PVDF concept, CPO concept, storage chips, components, EDA concept, and lithium mining also recorded notable gains [1] - Conversely, sectors that had previously seen substantial gains, such as Hainan, tourism, duty-free shops, and media entertainment, faced significant adjustments [1] Institutional Insights - According to institutional views, the market is expected to maintain an upward trend, supported by policies, liquidity, and valuation factors; sectors like semiconductors, consumer electronics, artificial intelligence, robotics, and low-altitude economy are highlighted for investment opportunities [2] - Another perspective suggests that while favorable factors slightly outweigh the pressures, the market may remain in a sideways trend, with a focus on structural opportunities in technology sectors like AI and semiconductors [2] - The overall sentiment indicates a "slow bull" market, with structural opportunities likely to dominate the market in November [3] Index Changes - MSCI announced changes to its November index, adding 26 stocks to the MSCI China Index and removing 20 stocks, including notable companies like Ganfeng Lithium and others [4] Innovations Recognition - TIME magazine recognized several Chinese tech companies, including Yushu Technology and DeepSeek, in its list of "Best Inventions of 2025," highlighting the innovation landscape in China [5]
日本10月经济形势报告维持全部地区评估
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 07:22
Core Insights - The overall assessment of Japan's economic situation remains unchanged, indicating a "moderate recovery" despite some signs of weakness [1] Economic Assessment - The evaluations for personal consumption, production activities, and employment conditions have not changed [1] - The report emphasizes the need to pay attention to rising prices and the impact of U.S. trade policies on the economic outlook [1] Fiscal Policy - Japan's Finance Minister, Shunichi Suzuki, supports Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's call for "responsible proactive fiscal policy," aiming to balance economic revitalization with fiscal health through reforms in both expenditure and revenue [1]
【新华500】新华500指数(989001)6日涨1.51%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 07:14
走势上看,新华500指数(989001)6日早间小有高开,随后震荡上行,午后指数持续高位整理,最终大幅收涨。指数盘中最高触及5182.58点,最低触及 5121.13点,成分股全天总成交额报7433亿元,成交额较上一交易日有所增加。 成分股方面,中国铝业、潍柴动力、东山精密、正泰电器等成分股涨幅居前;芒果超媒、贝泰妮、闻泰科技、乐普医疗等成分股跌幅靠前。 (文章来源:新华财经) 新华财经北京11月6日电 新华500指数(989001)11月6日收盘涨1.51%,报5182.58点。 ...
美国政府停摆刷新历史最长纪录 民生保障系统濒临崩溃
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 07:01
新华财经北京11月6日电(崔凯)美国联邦政府"停摆"于当地时间11月5日零时进入第36天,打破2018– 2019年35天的历史纪录,成为美国建国以来持续时间最长的一次政府关门事件。此次停摆源于民主、共 和两党在2026财年临时拨款法案上的严重分歧,核心争议集中于《平价医疗法案》的政府补贴问题。 (文章来源:新华财经) 据美国国会预算办公室(CBO)评估,若停摆持续,第四季度美国实际国内生产总值(GDP)年增长 率或将下降1至2个百分点。英国广播公司(BBC)援引经济专家估算,停摆每持续一周,将给美国经济 造成约150亿美元的直接损失;彭博社则指出,损失区间可能高达100亿至300亿美元。 截至目前,参议院已第14次未能通过临时拨款法案。两党均未展现出妥协意愿。共和党方面坚持削减福 利开支,民主党则拒绝放弃医保补贴条款。中国人民大学国际关系学院教授刁大明分析称, ...