Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan
Search documents
波黑去年11月旅游人次同比微降,过夜数保持稳定
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2026-01-14 13:56
在国外游客客源结构方面,克罗地亚游客以25.2%的占比居首,塞尔维亚(12.3%)、土耳其(9.0%)和斯洛 文尼亚(7.4%)紧随其后。其他主要客源国包括黑山(4.9%)、中国(3.9%)、德国(3.3%)和意大利(3.2%)。上 述国家合计贡献了国外游客过夜总量的69.2%,其余国家游客占30.8%。(驻波黑使馆经商处) 从过夜结构看,国内游客占比37.6%,国外游客占比62.4%。国内游客过夜数环比下降14.7%,同比上升 5.6%;国外游客过夜数环比显著减少40.9%,同比亦下降2.6%。 波黑《新闻报》1月12日报道。波黑统计局数据显示,2025年11月波黑共接待游客12.15万人次,环比下 降34.8%,同比微降3.1%。游客过夜总数达24.97万夜次,环比下降33.2%,同比略增0.3%。 ...
波黑央行预测今年一季度总体通胀率预计为3.8%,环比下降0.4%
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2026-01-14 13:56
波黑《独立报》1月11日报道。根据波黑央行最新预测显示,今年一季度总体通胀率预计为3.8%,较去 年第四季度的4.2%有所回落。 波黑央行在公告中指出,去年第三季度实际经济活动增长率估计为1.9%,与去年9月预测的2%基本持 平。央行表示,对去年第四季度实际GDP年增长率的初步估计为2.1%,增长主要来自服务业,制造业 贡献有限。估计2025年第四季度总体通胀率为4.2%,核心通胀率为4.3%。由于食品价格强劲上涨,以 及主要由电价上涨推动的运营成本上升,总体通胀率较去年9月的快速预测值微幅上调0.3%点。 经济学家伊戈尔(002922)加夫兰对此持谨慎态度。他表示,预期通胀率的小幅下降并不代表经济状况 有明显改善。原因在于,过去几年价格已经大幅上涨,因此当前3.8%的通胀率所产生的实际影响,可 能相当于甚至高于几年前高得多的通胀率。价格基数已显著抬高,涨幅的绝对值也相应增大。 加夫兰指出,这绝不意味着食品等基本必需品和服务的价格上涨速度会放缓,民众无法期待生活水平有 任何改善。唯一可能产生效果的是当局采取严肃行动,依据实际成本实施价格管控和最高限价。我们需 要的是价格下降,而不是价格上涨速度的放缓。(驻波黑 ...
大华银行上调越南2026年GDP增速预期至7.5%
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2026-01-14 10:18
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Singapore's UOB has raised Vietnam's GDP growth forecast for 2026 from 7.0% to 7.5% due to strong economic performance [1] - Vietnam's economy continued to show robust growth in Q4 2025, with actual GDP growing by 8.46% year-on-year, surpassing both the previous quarter's growth of 8.25% and market expectations, marking the highest quarterly growth since 2009, excluding pandemic-related anomalies [1] - Exports and manufacturing are identified as the main drivers of economic growth, with Q4 2025 exports achieving a 19% year-on-year increase and an annual export growth rate of 17%, demonstrating strong export competitiveness [1] - The manufacturing sector also saw a significant increase, with a year-on-year growth of 11.3% in Q4, contributing to an overall manufacturing value-added growth rate of 10.5% for the year [1] Group 2 - The report warns of potential risks to Vietnam's future economic growth, including uncertainties in external demand due to its highly open economy, where exports account for 83% of GDP, and the ongoing uncertainty of U.S. trade policies [2] - Inflationary pressures are highlighted, with an average Consumer Price Index (CPI) increase of 3.2% in 2025, driven mainly by rising service prices, particularly in healthcare and education [2] - The Vietnamese dong depreciated by 3.1% against the U.S. dollar, leading to imported inflation pressures [2] - The report indicates that the State Bank of Vietnam is expected to maintain the refinancing rate at 4.5% throughout 2026 to ensure macroeconomic stability and manage inflation expectations [2]
越南瓯雒人工智能联盟拟设奖项表彰本土AI产品
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2026-01-14 09:55
Group 1 - The u L c Grand Prize will be established to recognize AI products and solutions developed by Vietnamese individuals that have significant and sustainable impacts on the economy and society, with a grand prize of $1 million and opportunities for international market expansion [1] - The award will be held annually for three years starting in 2026, with online registration opening in March and closing in July, followed by preliminary and final evaluations, culminating in an award ceremony in November [1] - Evaluation criteria for the award include impact, innovation, sustainability, scalability, and adherence to AI ethics [1] Group 2 - The u L c AI Alliance was established in June 2025, aiming to develop large language models that accurately and naturally process Vietnamese, promote national cultural characteristics, and foster economic development [2] - The alliance is committed to building an open and transparent AI ecosystem, stimulating innovation, and promoting the widespread application of AI while gradually achieving autonomy in AI technology [2] - Members of the alliance include over 20 leading tech companies in Vietnam such as FPT, Mobifone, VNPT, CMC, and MoMo, as well as several universities [2]
柬埔寨2025年橡胶及橡胶制品出口突破20亿美元 同比增长超三成
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2026-01-14 08:36
橡胶产业在柬埔寨出口结构中的支柱地位进一步巩固,其在全球供应链中的竞争力持续增强。 据海关总署最新报告,2025年柬埔寨橡胶及橡胶制品出口额达20.7亿美元,较2024年的15.1亿美元增长 36.9%;与2023年的9.2亿美元相比,增幅高达124.8%,实现连续两年高速增长。 柬埔寨橡胶产业持续展现强劲韧性。2025年,橡胶及橡胶制品出口额突破20亿美元,同比增长超三成。 ...
2025年12月、1-12月份青岛特办出口许可证发证情况
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2026-01-14 07:18
2025年1-12月,青岛特办共签发出口许可证2130份,同比增长83.94%;证面金额157760.6万美元,同比 增长171.14%。 2025年12月,青岛特办签发出口许可证191份,同比增长119.54%;证面金额17919.8万美元,同比增长 297.88%。 ...
《非洲增长与机会法案》延期进入投票表决阶段
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2026-01-14 05:37
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Congress is in the voting phase to extend the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), which is set to expire on September 30, 2025, aiming to prolong trade benefits for African countries to mitigate export impacts to the U.S. [1] Group 1: Legislative Details - The proposed extension would continue AGOA's tariff benefits until the end of 2028 and extend certain import-related technical fees and customs arrangements until the end of 2031 [1] - The House of Representatives has passed the bill, which is now under Senate review; if approved, the measures will have retroactive effects allowing importers to claim refunds on duties paid since the expiration date [1] Group 2: Economic Impact - AGOA has been a crucial trade arrangement between the U.S. and sub-Saharan African countries since its implementation in 2000, with over 30 African nations eligible to export thousands of products to the U.S. duty-free [1] - In 2024, the total value of U.S. imports from AGOA beneficiary countries is projected to be approximately $8.4 billion, with non-energy products accounting for about $6 billion, primarily including automobiles and parts, apparel, agricultural products, and some industrial goods [1] Group 3: Country-Specific Insights - South Africa is the largest exporter of non-energy products to the U.S., with automobiles and parts being the main categories [2] - Kenya has seen significant growth in apparel exports under AGOA, with exports rising from tens of millions in the early 2000s to over $600 million recently, constituting the majority of its exports to the U.S. [2] - Countries like Lesotho and Madagascar heavily rely on the U.S. market for their textile and apparel industries, with exports directly impacting tens of thousands of jobs [2] Group 4: Broader Implications - The extension of AGOA is viewed as a significant signal of U.S. commitment to economic cooperation and industrial support for Africa [2] - A timely extension of AGOA is crucial to prevent increased tariffs on exports from certain countries, which could weaken their competitiveness in international markets and negatively affect employment and foreign exchange earnings [2]
首届摩洛哥世界先进制造技术展(WAM Morocco)将在卡萨布兰卡举办
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2026-01-14 04:28
摩洛哥《晨报》1月12日报道,1月20日至22日首届摩洛哥世界先进制造技术展(WAM Morocco)将在卡萨 布兰卡举办。本次展会聚焦工业4.0,将重点展示人工智能在工厂应用、新型工业数据中心、脱碳、供 应链演进以及先进制造业投资等方面的最新进展,吸引来自18个国家的100多家企业参会,重点包括施 耐德电气、SAP、Engie、住友、罗克韦尔自动化、日立、Zoho和Vivo Energy。 该展会聚焦解决摩洛哥和非洲工业面临的具体挑战,包括降低生产成本、保障供应链安全、实现基础设 施现代化、吸引投资以及将人工智能融入工厂等。展会将与GITEX Africa合作,帮助与会者了解技术趋 势,并挖掘摩洛哥成为工业4.0区域中心的潜力。 ...
摩洛哥央行宣布2026年起部分老版纸币停止流通
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2026-01-14 04:28
此次停止流通的旧版纸币包括1987年版和1990年版10迪拉姆纸币、1987年版50迪拉姆、100迪拉姆和200 迪拉姆纸币,以及1996年版20迪拉姆纸币。自规定日期起,这些纸币将不能再用于日常消费、结算或任 何商业支付活动。持有上述纸币的个人和机构,仍可在2026年1月1日至2030年12月31日期间办理等值兑 换。兑换渠道包括摩洛哥中央银行各地分支机构以及全国范围内的商业银行网点,兑换过程不收取任何 费用。 摩洛哥La Vie Eco网站1月12日报道,摩洛哥中央银行近日宣布,自2026年1月1日起,部分老版迪拉姆纸 币将正式退出流通,不再具备法定支付效力。 ...
2025年荷兰通货膨胀率为3.3%
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2026-01-14 03:39
2025年,荷兰住房平均租金同比上涨5.1%;食品和非酒精饮料的平均价格同比上涨4%,价格涨幅最大 的是牛肉(23%)、咖啡(20.3%)、可可(18.8%)、巧克力(18.4%)和黄油(11.2%)。此外,据初步数据显示, 欧元区通胀率从2024年的2.4%降至2025年的2.1%。 荷兰中央统计局最新数据显示,2025年全年荷兰消费品和服务价格同比上涨3.3%,与2024年通胀率持 平。其中,住房、食品和非酒精饮料的价格上涨是2025年通货膨胀的主要推手。 ...