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委内瑞拉断供古巴 地缘风险升温推动黄金避险突破
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 03:06
摘要今日周一(1月12日)亚盘时段,国际黄金目前交投于1031元/克附近,截至发稿,国际黄金最新报 1024.21元/克,涨幅1.25%,最高上探至1031.81元/克,最低触及1011.22元/克。目前来看,国际黄金短 线偏向看涨走势。 今日周一(1月12日)亚盘时段,国际黄金目前交投于1031元/克附近,截至发稿,国际黄金最新报1024.21 元/克,涨幅1.25%,最高上探至1031.81元/克,最低触及1011.22元/克。目前来看,国际黄金短线偏向看 涨走势。 【要闻速递】 美国总统特朗普上周日宣布,委内瑞拉将停止向古巴输送任何石油或资金,并暗示古巴应尽快与华盛顿 达成协议,否则将面临"零石油、零资金"的制裁。此言引发古巴领导层强烈反击。 美国情报机构评估显示,古巴农业、旅游业等关键部门受严重影响,失去委内瑞拉支持将使迪亚斯-卡 内尔执政更艰难,但未明确支持"古巴即将垮台"的预测。 【最新黄金行情解析】 黄金早间开盘即强势拉升,再度刷新历史新高,价格直逼4600一线。当前多头行情主要由两大核心因素 驱动:其一,非农数据不及预期——12月非农就业表现疲软,市场对美联储降息的预期升温,吸引资金 持续涌入 ...
美豆油价格延续涨势 1月9日大商所豆油期货仓单增加1162手
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 03:06
北京时间1月12日,芝加哥商业交易所(CBOT)豆油期货价格延续涨势,开盘报49.80美分/磅,现报50.03 美分/磅,涨幅0.75%,盘中最高触及50.05美分/磅,最低下探49.80美分/磅。 更新时间: 美豆油 49.59 50.02 49.49 49.70 0.53% 【豆油市场消息速递】 1月9日:全国一级豆油成交量22000吨,环比上个交易日增加27.91%。 1月9日,大商所豆油期货仓单29426手,环比上个交易日增加1162手。 粮农组织植物油价格指数12月平均为164.6点,环比下降0.4点(0.2%),创下六个月来新低。此次下跌 反映出全球大豆油、菜籽油和葵花籽油价格下降,其降幅远超棕榈油报价涨幅。 豆油期货行情回顾: 1月9日芝加哥商业交易所(CBOT)豆油期货行情 品种 开盘价 最高价 最低价 收盘价 ...
避险需求叠加政策利好 瑞郎创短期新高
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 02:36
Core Viewpoint - The Swiss Franc (CHF) continues to strengthen against the US Dollar (USD), driven by its status as a safe-haven currency amid rising global political and economic uncertainties [1][2]. Group 1: Currency Performance - As of January 12, the CHF/USD exchange rate is at 1.2527, reflecting a 0.35% increase from the previous trading day [1]. - The CHF/USD has shown a daily trading range of 1.2473 to 1.2547, indicating a volatility of 0.59% [1]. - The current exchange rate stability is reinforced by a strong demand for CHF in large transactions, with a conversion rate of 1 CHF to 1.2485 USD [1]. Group 2: Economic Factors - The traditional safe-haven status of the CHF is bolstered by Switzerland's political stability, long-term trade surplus, low debt levels, and a robust innovative economy [1]. - An agreement between Switzerland and the US regarding tariff disputes has mitigated significant external economic risks, supporting the CHF's strength [1]. - The US Dollar Index has shown insufficient momentum, closing at 98.90 on January 9, which has created favorable conditions for the CHF to appreciate against the USD [2]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis - The Swiss National Bank's (SNB) stable monetary policy, in the context of rising inflation and nearing interest rate limits, has enhanced market confidence in the CHF [2]. - Technical indicators suggest that the CHF/USD is in a bullish trend, having broken through the upper boundary of a short-term trading range, with potential resistance at 1.2600 if the upward momentum continues [2][3]. - Short-term trading strategies suggest buying in the range of 1.2480-1.2550, with support at 1.2473 and a stop-loss set below 1.2450 [3].
纽约白银期货实时行情(2026年1月12日)
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 02:23
Core Viewpoint - The article provides the latest trading information for COMEX silver futures, highlighting significant price movements and current market conditions as of January 12, 2026 [1]. Price Summary - The latest price for COMEX silver futures is $83.49, with a highest price of $83.91 and a lowest price of $79.90, compared to the previous closing price of $79.79 [1].
(2026年1月12日)白银期货价格今日行情查询
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 02:23
| 名称 | 最新价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 昨收价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪银主力 | 20535.00 | 20641.00 | 18743.00 | 18731.00 | 打开APP,查看更多高清行情》 金投白银网(http://ag.cngold.org)为您提供最新白银期货价格、白银期货合约、白银期货交易以及白银期 货走势,更多白银期货行情敬请关注:白银期货专栏 备注:以上白银的价格仅供参考,请以官方报价为准。如对白银投资有疑问可咨询本站客服。 金投白银网提供今日白银期货价格走势_今天白银期货价格走势(2026年1月12日) 今日白银期货价格查询(2026年1月12日) ...
澳元震荡走强突破0.67
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 02:20
市场情绪与外部风险也对澳元兑美元走势产生重要扰动。全球风险偏好的变化直接影响风险敏感型的澳 元,2025年4月曾因美国关税政策引发贸易冲突担忧,导致澳元单日大跌并跌破0.60水平;而当全球风 险情绪缓和时,澳元则逐步企稳回升。此外,中国需求前景尤为关键,中国作为澳大利亚铁矿石的主要 进口国,其基建投资需求变化直接影响澳大利亚出口及澳元走势。同时,全球贸易保护主义回潮、地缘 政治紧张等因素,仍可能加剧澳元的短期波动。 截至2026年1月12日澳元兑美元报0.6697,日内上涨0.1945%,今开与昨收均为0.6677,最高触及 0.6706,最低下探0.6671。2026年开年以来,该汇率延续2025年末的震荡上行态势,1月7日曾触及约 0.68的阶段性高位,刷新2025年中期以来记录。日线级别看,澳元兑美元运行重心较2025年上半年显著 提升,当前在0.66-0.67区间震荡整理,关键阻力位聚焦0.68整数关口,若能有效突破有望进一步打开上 行空间;关键支撑位则位于0.6650附近,跌破或引发阶段性回调。 从核心驱动逻辑来看,澳美两国货币政策预期分歧是主导汇率走势的核心主线。美联储宽松预期持续发 酵,市场普遍 ...
避险升温叠加资金追捧 国际黄金步入第5浪上涨
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 02:20
摘要今日周一(1月12日)亚盘时段,国际黄金最新报价为1025.66元/克,较前一交易日上涨13.99美元,涨 幅1.38%,日内强势冲高。当日开盘价为1011.66元/克,最高价为1031.87元/克,最低价为1011.28元/ 克。 今日周一(1月12日)亚盘时段,国际黄金最新报价为1025.66元/克,较前一交易日上涨13.99美元,涨幅 1.38%,日内强势冲高。当日开盘价为1011.66元/克,最高价为1031.87元/克,最低价为1011.28元/克。 【要闻速递】 本周五,美国最高法院将迎来"判决日",可能就特朗普多数关税政策的合法性作出裁决。Polymarket交 易数据显示,市场认为支持特朗普关据《华尔街日报》报道,美国官员透露,特朗普定于周二听取应对 伊朗抗议活动的选项简报,显示其正考虑兑现多次威胁——就伊朗当局镇压示威者的行为对该政权实施 惩戒。 官员表示,特朗普将与高级行政官员召开会议讨论下一步行动,可能包括加强线上反政府信息传播、对 伊朗军事及民用目标部署秘密网络武器、追加制裁乃至军事打击。预计国务卿鲁比奥、防长赫格塞思、 参联会主席凯恩上将出席会议。由于审议尚处早期,特朗普暂不会做 ...
伊朗火药桶逼近临界点 黄金强势回升创历史新高
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 02:20
Group 1 - The current spot gold price is 1027.01 CNY per gram, reflecting an increase of 15.08 USD, or 1.49%, from the previous trading day [1] - The opening price for the day was 1011.82 CNY per gram, with a high of 1032.13 CNY and a low of 1011.54 CNY [1] Group 2 - Protests in Iran have escalated, with demonstrations spreading to dozens of cities and hundreds of thousands participating, driven by economic collapse, government corruption, and oppression [2] - The Iranian regime, led by Supreme Leader Khamenei, faces its most severe challenge since 1979, with ongoing economic difficulties and public anger complicating control efforts [2] - Brent crude oil prices surged over 5% to 63 USD per barrel due to supply disruption risks, highlighting global market concerns [2] - The U.S. administration, under President Trump, has threatened to strike Iran, raising fears of a regime change strategy similar to that in Venezuela [2] - Iran has warned that if attacked, U.S. assets in the Middle East and Israel would become "legitimate targets," despite its economic stagnation and high inflation [2] - Analysts suggest that the Iranian regime may persist through restructuring or a Revolutionary Guard coup, with a complete collapse being unlikely but short-term violence and division risks remaining high [2] Group 3 - The gold price analysis indicates that the price has not yet broken previous highs but reached a new historical peak at 8:30 AM [3] - Key support level for price action is at 4550, with a potential upward target of around 4600 if this level is effectively breached [3] - The daily candlestick chart shows a bullish signal with indicators maintaining a golden cross, while the MACD lines are becoming flat, suggesting an overall upward trend [3]
美指年内跌近10%后震荡回升
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 02:20
经济基本面与结构性因素的博弈进一步加剧了美元走势的复杂性。美国经济仍展现出一定韧性,美联储 已将2026年实际GDP增速预测上调至2.3%,AI产业繁荣与财政扩张政策持续注入增长动力,吸引全球 资本流入,构成美元"安全垫"。但与此同时,全球经济增长动能对比正在转变,市场对欧元区等非美经 济体复苏预期升温,当全球增长引擎更加多元时,美元需求相对减弱。更关键的是,"去美元化"趋势带 来结构性压力,美国关税政策与财政可持续性疑虑削弱了美元信用,2025年各国央行及私人投资者持续 增持黄金对冲美元风险,现货黄金价格全年飙升逾70%,这种"弃美元、购黄金"的趋势在2026年可能延 续,进一步压制美元长期走势。 除核心因素外,多重扰动变量可能引发美元指数阶段性反弹。其一,非美经济体紧缩进程或受限,日本 面临高债务与内需疲软的双重约束,欧洲经济存在结构性难题,其货币政策正常化步伐可能放缓,若紧 缩力度不及预期,将间接利好美元。其二,美元避险功能仍不可忽视,尽管"去美元化"是长期趋势,但 目前暂无单一货币能全面替代美元的储备和结算功能,若2026年全球地缘政治或贸易摩擦升温,美元作 为传统终极避险资产的地位可能凸显,吸引资金 ...
1月12日白银早评:美国12月非农低于预期 银价开盘急速拉升
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-12 02:15
Market Overview - The US dollar index is trading around 98.883, while spot silver opened at $80.39/oz and is currently around $83.29/oz, with silver T+D trading at approximately 20,402 CNY/kg [1] - Last Friday, the dollar index rose by 0.26% to close at 99.130, and spot silver increased by 3.89% to close at $79.95/oz, driven by lower-than-expected US non-farm payrolls and geopolitical uncertainties caused by Trump [1] Economic Data - On January 9, silver ETF holdings increased by 93.05 tons to 16,308.48 tons [1] - The US non-farm payroll report indicated an increase of 50,000 jobs in December, with the unemployment rate at 4.4% [2] - The market perceives a zero probability of a Fed rate cut in January following the non-farm report [2] Federal Reserve Insights - Fed officials have commented on the labor market, with Barkin welcoming the decline in unemployment and Bostic emphasizing the need to focus on reducing inflation [2] - Morgan Stanley and Citigroup have projected rate cuts in June and September, and March, July, and September respectively, each by 25 basis points [2] Geopolitical Developments - Trump has threatened intervention in Iran, with the Iranian parliament warning of retaliation against US attacks [2] - In South America, Trump has canceled plans for a second wave of attacks on Venezuela and is engaging in exploratory diplomacy with the country [2] Silver Market Analysis - The silver market experienced fluctuations, opening at $73.403, reaching a low of $72.837, and a high of $82.766 before closing at $79.949, indicating a bullish trend [3] - Current trading strategies suggest maintaining long positions with stop-loss orders set at specific levels [3]