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美联储暂停降息终结三连降,谁将是美联储下一任“掌柜”?
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 03:53
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%, marking the first pause after three consecutive rate cuts [1][5] - The market is more focused on the next Federal Reserve Chair candidate rather than the rate decision, with speculation surrounding potential nominees [2][3] - The selection process for the next Chair, led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, began in September 2025 and has narrowed down from 11 candidates to a final list of 2 to 4 [2] Group 2 - Current Chair Jerome Powell's term ends in May 2026, but he can remain on the Board until 2028, complicating the nomination process for a new Chair [3] - If Powell stays on the Board, it may limit Trump's ability to nominate a new Chair unless a vacancy is created [3] - Analysts expect Powell may continue as a Board member after May, which could disrupt current market expectations for a dovish stance [3][6] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve's decision to pause rate cuts aligns with market expectations, with 10 out of 12 members supporting the decision [5] - Economic indicators show high uncertainty, with slow job growth and stable unemployment rates, while inflation remains elevated [5] - Future rate decisions will depend on political factors and economic conditions, with potential for two more rate cuts later in the year [6]
专访北京市经信局局长姜广智:发展AI要采取“差异化战略”
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 03:49
Core Insights - The article highlights the rapid advancements in Beijing's AI industry, marked by the listing of Zhipu AI on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and the release of the Kimi K2.5 model, showcasing significant technological breakthroughs [1] - The Beijing government emphasizes the need for a differentiated development strategy to overcome computational power bottlenecks and promote a positive cycle between models and applications [1][5] Group 1: AI Development and Applications - The AI application market is divided into ToC (consumer) and ToB (business) sectors, with significant achievements in conversational AI and productivity tools for businesses [3] - The government is actively promoting AI integration in key industries, including software development, manufacturing, and sectors like smart vehicles, healthcare, and education [3][8] Group 2: Model and Data Quality - The increasing usability of large models is noted, with Zhipu's GLM-4.7 model demonstrating enhanced programming capabilities [4] - The government stresses the importance of high-quality, specialized data for training models, moving away from generic internet data to meet specific industry needs [8] Group 3: Future Outlook and Strategic Goals - The Beijing government aims to foster the development of several trillion-yuan emerging industry clusters, including AI, green energy, and intelligent manufacturing by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [9] - The development logic follows an integrated approach of data, computation, modeling, and application, with the government playing a crucial role in policy and ecosystem facilitation [10]
贝壳车评|保时捷中国渠道大收缩,不能让车主为品牌转型买单
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 03:41
Core Insights - Porsche China CEO announced plans to reduce the number of dealerships from 114 in 2025 to 80 by 2026, a nearly 30% decrease, in response to a projected 26% decline in sales in 2025 [1] - The channel optimization has led to dissatisfaction among some customers who are unable to use maintenance packages purchased at authorized dealerships due to closures, raising questions about consumer rights protection [1][2] - The luxury car market is entering a phase of inventory competition, where brands are consolidating resources and focusing on high-potential markets, but Porsche's main controversy lies in its responsibility to consumers during market changes [1][2] Company Response and Consumer Trust - Porsche has faced criticism for not adequately addressing consumer concerns regarding the usability of maintenance packages after dealership closures, which has led to a loss of trust among customers [2][3] - The company has been accused of enjoying the benefits of the booming luxury car market without properly addressing consumer rights, resulting in unnecessary losses for loyal customers [2] - The lack of clear solutions for customers who purchased maintenance packages at closed dealerships reflects a failure in brand management and a depletion of consumer trust [2][3] Market Challenges and Brand Strategy - The announcement of a significant reduction in dealerships amid unresolved consumer issues may exacerbate the brand's trust crisis and further damage consumer confidence [3] - Porsche's challenges are indicative of broader issues faced by traditional luxury brands in adapting to the evolving Chinese market, particularly in terms of electric vehicle development and meeting local consumer demands [3][4] - To regain consumer trust, Porsche must implement clear solutions for affected customers and adopt a transparent approach in addressing public concerns, demonstrating accountability and commitment to consumer rights [4] Industry Implications - The situation serves as a warning for all traditional luxury brands, emphasizing the importance of respecting market dynamics and prioritizing consumer rights [4] - Brands must focus on both product quality and service experience to maintain competitiveness in a challenging market environment, or risk being eliminated from the market [4]
特斯拉停产Model S和X
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 02:21
新京报贝壳财经讯(记者白昊天)1月29日,特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克宣布将在2026年第二季度结 束前停产两款高端车型Model S和Model X。同时,美国弗里蒙特工厂的Model S和X生产线将被"改造为 年产100万台Optimus机器人的生产线"。 公开资料显示,Model S于2012年推出,是特斯拉首款面向大众市场的规模化高端电动轿车;Model X则 于2015年面世,凭借猎鹰翼门设计成为电动SUV标杆。有分析认为,Model S/X的产能高达10万辆/年, 但实际产能利用率长期不足,2025年销量仅为5万辆左右,进一步加速了停产进程。 校对 杨利 编辑 杨娟娟 ...
农大科技北交所挂牌上市,营收与净利“反向走势”曾被问询
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 15:04
Core Viewpoint - Shandong Agricultural University Fertilizer Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Company") has listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange, becoming the first company in Shandong to go public in 2023, with a significant stock price increase despite concerns over its financial performance and market risks [1][2]. Financial Performance - The Company has experienced a decline in revenue from 26.76 billion yuan in 2022 to an expected 23.63 billion yuan in 2024, while net profit has increased from 1.01 billion yuan in 2022 to 1.45 billion yuan in 2024 [2][3]. - In the first half of 2025, the Company reported revenue of 14.95 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.26 billion yuan [2]. - The Company attributes the net profit growth to an increase in gross margin and effective management of expenses, despite rising sales and administrative costs [3]. Market Position and Risks - The Company operates in the new fertilizer sector, focusing on products like humic acid fertilizers and controlled-release fertilizers, and ranks second in the industry for humic acid compound fertilizer production [2]. - The Company faces high customer concentration risk, with its largest client, China Post Group, accounting for a significant portion of its revenue, which raises concerns about dependency on a few key customers [4]. - The fertilizer industry is characterized by intense competition, with over 3,000 companies holding production licenses, leading to a fragmented market and challenges in maintaining competitive advantage [5][6]. Industry Outlook - The Chinese fertilizer market is projected to grow from 2,964 billion yuan in 2021 to 3,191 billion yuan by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 1.8% [4]. - The industry is undergoing a transformation driven by stricter environmental regulations and a focus on product innovation, which may impact the Company's ability to compete effectively [5][6].
菲仕兰发布首款“皇家美素佳儿”适度水解奶粉
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 12:41
荷兰皇家菲仕兰旗下"美素佳儿"品牌近期推出首款适度水解奶粉。该新品凭借76%的科学实证降敏率,领先于行业同品类配方,进一步完善了超高端奶粉系 列"皇家美素佳儿"的产品布局。 皇家美素佳儿适度水解奶粉正式发布。企业供图 适度水解配方实证76%降敏率 近年来,我国过敏性疾病患病率持续上升,逐渐逼近发达国家及区域儿童患病率水平,也让越来越多的家长开始关注宝宝的防敏需求。 段涛教授表示,生命早期1000天是过敏防控的黄金窗口。过敏防控核心目标不是"零过敏",而是建立"免疫平衡"。对于有家族过敏史的宝宝,纯母乳喂养是 首选。母乳喂养不足时,早期使用适度水解配方进行营养干预,可以协助降低过敏发生率。 对于敏宝来说,过敏是免疫力的平衡出了问题。不仅要从源头切断敏源,更要关注身体免疫系统的平衡。据介绍,"皇家美素佳儿"适度水解配方通过双酶靶 向(PHF)水解蛋白科技,精准切割致敏蛋白,从源头降低蛋白致敏性,同时最大程度保留营养成分,致力于让宝宝从根源上减少小敏感的发生风险。在强 化内在防护的同时,配方还添加了抗敏专用益生菌HN001和强护益生菌BB12,协同4倍母源级2'-FL型HMO与GOS益生元组合。这一科学配方组合旨在 ...
岚图汽车计划今年发布4款车型,全部搭载L3级智能辅助驾驶硬件
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 12:02
HE E KAJS HBO DEL 2000 Fir . 2 0 岚图汽车2026年产品规划。企业供图 新京报贝壳财经讯(记者王琳琳)1月28日,岚图汽车发布2026年新产品规划,宣布将推出四款全新车型,包括岚图泰山Ultra、岚图泰山X8、岚图FE(代 号)及岚图珠峰(代号)。该布局意在覆盖SUV、FUV及MPV三大主流品类。四款产品均搭载L3级智能辅助驾驶硬件。 具体来看,岚图泰山Ultra计划于2026年3月率先交付,岚图泰山X8计划于上半年上市,纯电FUV岚图FE(代号)将于今年年中推出,全品类MPV销量冠军 的岚图珠峰(代号)将于下半年正式上市。 校对 穆祥桐 ...
北交所再迎一日双响:农大科技敲钟,恒道科技过会
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 11:45
Group 1 - Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) welcomed its fourth listing of the year with Shandong Agricultural University Fertilizer Technology Co., Ltd. becoming the first A-share listed company from Shandong province in 2023 [1] - The opening price of Agricultural University Technology was 49.90 yuan, closing at 52.89 yuan, marking a significant increase of 111.56% with a turnover rate of 95.03% [2] - The first-day performance of new listings on BSE has been robust, with substantial trading enthusiasm continuing from the previous year, as evidenced by the record-breaking subscription funds for new shares [3] Group 2 - The number of listed companies on BSE reached 291, with a total market capitalization exceeding 9,468 billion yuan, nearing the 10 trillion yuan milestone [4] - The explosive growth of subscription funds for new shares on BSE reflects its four-year development, with average subscription funds increasing from 231 billion yuan in 2022 to 9,100 billion yuan in 2026, representing a nearly 40-fold increase [3] Group 3 - Zhejiang Hengdao Technology Co., Ltd. successfully passed the listing committee's review, with a focus on the authenticity and sustainability of its performance, particularly regarding accounts receivable [5][6] - Hengdao Technology's revenue from 2022 to the first half of 2025 was reported as 1.43 billion yuan, 1.68 billion yuan, 2.34 billion yuan, and 1.47 billion yuan, with net profits of 387.4 million yuan, 486.6 million yuan, 688.7 million yuan, and 403.1 million yuan respectively [6] - The company faces significant accounts receivable risks, with over 50% of its receivables being overdue from 2022 to 2024, raising concerns about the adequacy of its bad debt provisions [7] Group 4 - BSE is enhancing its role as a vital channel for financing small and medium-sized enterprises, focusing on the quality of listed companies and fostering long-term capital [8]
贾国龙接任西贝小牛餐饮法定代表人
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 10:48
编辑 王琳 校对 柳宝庆 新京报讯(记者王萍)近日,天眼查信息显示,北京西贝小牛餐饮管理有限公司发生工商变更,马燕卸 任法定代表人、董事、经理,由贾国龙接任,同时,张艳红卸任监事。 公开信息显示,北京西贝小牛餐饮管理有限公司成立于2024年10月,注册资本300万元,经营范围包括 餐饮管理、企业管理、食品销售等,由内蒙古西贝餐饮集团有限公司、内蒙古贾国龙功夫菜食品销售有 限公司共同持股。 ...
和邦生物遭双重警示,三年业绩断崖式下滑
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 10:48
业绩断崖式下滑 资料显示,和邦生物成立于2002年8月,2012年7月31日在上交所上市,主营业务为化工、农药、饲料添 加剂、玻璃及制品、光伏材料及制品制造以及盐矿、磷矿的开发。 近日,四川和邦生物科技股份有限公司(简称"和邦生物")同时收到四川证监局与上交所的双重问责, 直指其财务核算与信息披露违规。此前,和邦生物发布2025年业绩预告,公司2025年净利润预亏4.7亿 至5.7亿元。从2021-2022年两年狂赚超68亿元,到2025年预亏4.7亿至5.7亿元,短短三年,这家涉及化 工、光伏、磷矿等多领域的上市公司,已身陷经营、财务与治理的困局。 信披违规、提前确认收入被罚 《行政监管措施决定书》显示,和邦生物存在以下问题:一是和邦生物将部分客户签收确认于2025年的 收入确认在2024年,导致2024年多计收入373.26万元;二是公司对2024年度向不特定对象发行可转换公 司债券的部分信息披露不准确。上述行为不符合《上市公司信息披露管理办法》(证监会令第182号)第 三条第一款、《企业会计准则第14号——收入》第四条规定。 四川证监局认为,公司控股股东四川和邦投资集团有限公司(以下简称和邦集团)、实际 ...