A favorite tool of President Donald Trump has been costing Americans, according to new study. The brunt of US tariffs — 96% — have been paid by US buyers, research from the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, a German think tank, found, while about 4% of the tariff burden was paid by foreign exporters."American importers and consumers bear nearly all the cost," the researchers said of the tariffs. The study, published Monday, said that the $200 billion increase in customs revenue that the US government ...

Core Argument - The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments regarding President Trump's attempt to remove Federal Reserve board member Lisa Cook, raising questions about the independence of the Federal Reserve and the president's authority over its members [1][2]. Group 1: Legal Implications - The case has significant implications for the Federal Reserve's independence, especially as Fed Chair Jerome Powell has accused the Trump administration of political interference [2][7]. - The Supreme Court has previously allowed the president to fire leaders of independent agencies, but has indicated that the Federal Reserve may be treated with special deference due to its unique structure [3][8]. - The outcome of this case could set a precedent for how future presidents might exert influence over the Federal Reserve and its governors [12][15]. Group 2: Historical Context - The Federal Reserve was established as an independent agency to insulate its members from political pressures, with board members serving staggered 14-year terms [4]. - The Supreme Court has historically recognized limits on the president's ability to remove members of independent agencies, but recent rulings suggest a shift towards allowing "at will" firings [5][6]. - The justices have previously emphasized the Federal Reserve's distinct historical tradition, which may influence their decision in the Cook case [9][10]. Group 3: Economic Impact - The Federal Reserve's policies directly affect the economy, influencing interest rates, borrowing costs, and savings returns, which are crucial for maintaining the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency [11]. - Experts warn that if Trump succeeds in removing Cook, it could open the door for future presidents to undermine the Federal Reserve's independence, potentially leading to economic instability [12][15].

Core Insights - Hyundai's Georgia plant may soon see the introduction of Atlas, an all-electric humanoid robot developed by Boston Dynamics, which is designed to assist factory employees with tasks such as parts sequencing and logistics [1][2][3] Company Overview - Boston Dynamics, owned by Hyundai, showcased Atlas at the Consumer Electronics Show, highlighting its capabilities in moving car parts and performing tasks in a factory setting [2][4] - The company has transitioned Atlas from a hydraulic to an all-electric platform, aiming for mass production and cost reduction [8][10] Technological Advancements - Atlas features 56 degrees of freedom and is designed for modularity, utilizing only three types of motors to facilitate mass production [8][10] - AI advancements are crucial for Atlas to perform a wide variety of tasks, with a goal of achieving 99.9% reliability [11][12] Market Application - The initial focus for Atlas will be on logistics tasks in automotive factories, with plans to expand into more complex assembly tasks over time [13][15] - Workers will interact with Atlas, providing a seamless experience where they can instruct the robot to perform specific tasks [14][17] Future Outlook - The deployment of Atlas in homes is projected to occur in five to ten years, with industrial applications being the primary focus in the near term [23][24] - The introduction of humanoid robots like Atlas is expected to create new job opportunities in building, maintaining, and training robots, rather than replacing human workers [18][19] Competitive Landscape - The competition for AI talent is intense, with Boston Dynamics competing against major tech companies for skilled professionals [21] - The company emphasizes the need for significant investment to develop humanoid robots, indicating a long-term commitment to the market [25]

Economic Environment - At the start of 2025, concerns about investing in China were heightened due to a new protectionist US administration and instability in China's real estate market [1] - By the end of 2025, many fears were deemed overblown as the Chinese government focused on economic stimulation, leading to increased buybacks by public companies [2] Company Performance - ByteDance, after selling a majority stake in its US TikTok operations, is now valued between $350 billion and $370 billion, marking a significant increase in its worth [2] - Hedge funds that invested in China saw substantial returns, with Bridgewater's China Total Returns fund generating a 34.2% return and Tekne Capital achieving over 50% [3] Investment Strategies - Kothari's firm, which manages $1.5 billion, invested in Chinese companies like DiDi Global and GDS, capitalizing on the low valuations of strong companies amid headwinds [4] - China-focused funds performed well, with Pinpoint's strategy returning over 24% and George Jiang's Golden China fund close to 33% [5] Market Trends - The average return for China-focused funds was nearly 18%, surpassing the industry average of 10.7% [6] - Investors are closely monitoring the evolving US-China relationship, particularly regarding trade agreements related to chips and potential geopolitical tensions [6]

Core Insights - The mobile adtech firm Liftoff has filed for an IPO in the US, potentially signaling the end of a prolonged IPO drought in the adtech sector [1] - If the IPO market reopens, companies with consistent growth and a focus on performance advertising, particularly those leveraging AI, are expected to lead the way [2] Company Overview - Liftoff offers a software development kit for app developers to sell advertising and utilizes machine learning to help advertisers target high-quality mobile users [3] - The company reported a revenue growth of 30% year-over-year, reaching $491 million for the nine months ending September 30, with adjusted earnings of $263.3 million and a net loss of $25.6 million [3] Market Dynamics - Other mobile adtech companies like InMobi and Moloco are also seen as potential IPO candidates, as the market has consolidated into a few major players [4] - AppLovin has emerged as a leading player with a market cap exceeding $200 billion, influencing other companies in the adtech space [10] Performance Advertising Trends - Consumer spending on mobile apps is projected to grow by 21.6% year-over-year, reaching $155.8 billion by 2025 [12] - Advertisers are increasingly focused on measurable outcomes, employing data-driven strategies to optimize ad performance [14] Industry Challenges and Adaptations - The mobile ad industry faced challenges following Apple's privacy updates in 2021, which limited tracking capabilities [15] - Companies have adapted by investing in first-party data and AI tools, reducing reliance on Apple's tracking identifiers [16] Future Outlook - Recent antitrust rulings against Apple and Google may lead to reduced app store fees, creating a favorable environment for increased mobile ad spending [17] - Cost savings from reduced commissions are expected to be reinvested into user acquisition efforts [18]

Core Viewpoint - President Trump is leveraging tariffs to pressure Denmark and other countries into negotiating the sale of Greenland to the United States [1][2]. Group 1: Tariff Details - An additional 10% tariff on Denmark and several other countries will be imposed starting February 1, with a potential increase to 25% in June if no agreement is reached [1][2]. - These countries have been subject to tariffs since August 2025 due to Trump's previous trade policies [2]. Group 2: Strategic Importance of Greenland - Greenland is viewed as a national security issue due to its strategic location between Russia and China, and it hosts critical natural resources such as lithium, gold, iron ore, and oil [8]. - The U.S. already maintains a military base on the island, known as the Pituffik Space Base [8]. Group 3: Political Context - Trump's tariff threat coincides with the World Economic Forum in Davos, where he is expected to address global leaders [3]. - The White House is exploring various options to pursue the acquisition of Greenland, including potential military involvement [9].

Core Insights - OpenAI is testing ads in ChatGPT for US users on its free and Go tiers, which has been anticipated for some time [2] - The introduction of ads raises concerns among users, but many are accustomed to ads in various online platforms [3][4] Group 1: User Experience Concerns - Ads can be annoying, but users are already familiar with ads across multiple platforms, making it a common aspect of online experiences [3] - OpenAI's freemium model allows users to pay to remove ads, similar to other services like Netflix and Spotify [4] Group 2: Trust and Credibility Issues - There are concerns about whether ChatGPT can provide unbiased recommendations while displaying ads, but users are generally accustomed to distinguishing between organic and sponsored content [6] - The clarity of ad labeling in ChatGPT's mockups may help mitigate confusion among users [6] Group 3: Advertising Influence - The presence of ads may subject ChatGPT to pressures from advertisers, which is a legitimate concern [7] - However, this could lead to a normalizing effect, ensuring that the platform adheres to safe values and standards, as seen in other major advertising contexts [8] Group 4: Product Integrity - The introduction of ads may lead to perceptions of "enshittification," where a previously clean product becomes cluttered with advertisements [9] - Despite the potential downsides, the overall impact of ads on AI platforms may not be as detrimental as feared, and opinions may evolve over time [9]

Group 1 - Netflix is shifting its messaging to support theatrical releases as it plans to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, indicating that watching movies in theaters is beneficial [1][2] - Co-CEO Ted Sarandos emphasized a commitment to keeping all future Warner Bros. movies in theaters for at least 45 days, highlighting the importance of this timeframe for theatrical revenue [2][3] - Historically, Netflix has opposed the concept of a theatrical "window," advocating for immediate home viewing options, but is now adapting its stance due to the acquisition [3][5] Group 2 - Sarandos has previously promoted the idea that the future of movies lies in home viewing, aligning with a broader decline in moviegoing, influenced by various factors including internet alternatives [5][6] - Despite the acquisition plans, skepticism remains regarding Netflix's commitment to theaters, as Sarandos has also expressed a primary goal of delivering first-run movies to streaming members [6][7] - In contrast, Paramount has made a clear commitment to traditional theatrical windows, which may put pressure on Netflix to solidify its position in the theatrical space [8]

Core Viewpoint - The film "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple," directed by Nia DaCosta, continues the story from "28 Years Later," featuring Cillian Murphy's character Jim, and sets the stage for a potential third installment in the franchise [1][5]. Film Overview - The narrative follows Spike, who is coerced into a gang led by Sir Lord Jimmy, and their violent journey leads them to Dr. Ian Kelson's bone sanctuary, culminating in a bloody confrontation [2]. - Jim, who has been living a secluded life with his daughter, reappears to assist Spike and Kelly when they are pursued by zombies, marking his return to the franchise after the first film [4]. Box Office and Future Prospects - Danny Boyle expresses optimism that Cillian Murphy's involvement will encourage Sony to greenlight a third movie, with Jim as the central character [5]. - "28 Years Later" grossed over $150 million globally, and "The Bone Temple" is projected to outperform "Avatar: Fire & Ash" at the box office, potentially fulfilling Boyle's hopes for a sequel [6].

Core Viewpoint - Apple is losing its dominant position in the tech supply chain, with power shifting towards AI companies like Nvidia and major cloud providers such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Google [1][2]. Supply Chain Dynamics - Apple, while still a major player, is no longer the primary client for key suppliers, which marks a significant shift in the industry [2][12]. - The tech companies that control the supply chain are more likely to succeed, as they can secure better pricing and reliable supply by ordering larger volumes of components [2]. TSMC's Changing Focus - TSMC, the largest chipmaker, has seen its high-performance computing segment, driven by AI chips, account for approximately 58% of its revenue, surpassing smartphone processors [6]. - TSMC's CEO noted that AI companies demonstrate significant business growth and financial returns, leading suppliers to prioritize these clients over Apple [7]. Memory Chip Market Shift - Memory chip manufacturers are reallocating capacity from smartphones and PCs to meet the demands of AI data centers, which could lead to increased smartphone costs and squeezed margins [8]. - Nvidia has secured long-term memory supply contracts, diminishing the negotiating power of smartphone makers [8]. Bottlenecks and Competition - Emerging bottlenecks in the supply chain, such as a shortage of high-end glass cloth for chip substrates, are causing suppliers to favor AI customers who offer pre-payments and multi-year contracts [9][10]. - Apple is now competing with AI chipmakers for limited substrate supplies and is even sending engineers to assist smaller suppliers in qualifying alternative materials [10]. Manufacturing Partner Shifts - Foxconn, traditionally associated with iPhone assembly, is now generating more revenue from AI servers than from consumer electronics, indicating a shift in focus towards AI clients [11]. Apple's Position in the Market - Despite these changes, Apple remains one of the largest component buyers, but it is now experiencing what it means to be just another large customer in a supply chain increasingly influenced by AI [12].