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CMU教授万字反思:西方式AGI永远到不了
量子位· 2025-12-20 07:38
Core Viewpoint - The discussion around AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) is fundamentally flawed as it ignores the physical limitations of computing resources and hardware, making AGI an unattainable goal [1][17]. Group 1: Hardware Limitations - The performance peak of GPUs was reached in 2018, and further improvements are limited, with significant optimizations expected to exhaust their potential by 2027 [14][15]. - The cost of moving information increases exponentially with distance, which affects the efficiency of computation [5]. - Current AI architectures, such as Transformers, are nearing the physical limits of hardware optimization, indicating that further advancements will be minimal [8]. Group 2: Resource Consumption - Achieving linear improvements in AI performance requires exponential increases in resources, making it increasingly impractical [9][16]. - The cost of collecting data from the physical world is prohibitively high, which complicates the development of AGI that can handle complex real-world tasks [18]. - The assumption that scaling up models will enhance AI performance is flawed, as the diminishing returns on resource investment will soon become evident [16]. Group 3: Future of AI - The future of AI lies in gradual improvements within physical constraints, focusing on practical applications that enhance productivity rather than pursuing the elusive AGI [20]. - The approach in the U.S. tends to focus on achieving superintelligence through significant investment, while China emphasizes practical applications and productivity enhancements through subsidies [21][22].
字节全员涨薪底气曝光:2025年利润500亿美元,跟Meta一个水平了
量子位· 2025-12-20 06:30
Core Insights - ByteDance has reported a significant profit increase, with a net profit of $40 billion for the first three quarters of the year, and is projected to reach $50 billion by year-end, averaging a daily profit of approximately $9.64 million [5][7]. - The company's revenue is expected to hit $186 billion, reflecting a 20% year-over-year growth, resulting in a net profit margin of 26.9% [7]. - ByteDance's valuation has surged, with reports indicating a valuation of $330 billion in September, later rising to $480 billion following stock buybacks and competitive bidding from investment firms [8]. Salary Increase and Structural Changes - ByteDance announced a company-wide salary increase, with a 1.5 times increase in salary adjustment investment for the current performance evaluation cycle, aimed at enhancing total employee compensation [10][20]. - The salary structure will shift to increase the cash component while reducing the proportion of stock options, with performance incentives also seeing a 35% increase in total bonus investment [10][20]. - The new salary structure will allow for more immediate cash access for employees, with adjustments in the distribution of performance options [11][21]. New Job Level System - A new job level system will be implemented starting January 2026, transitioning from a 10-tier system to a new L1-L10 classification, which will not directly correspond to the previous levels [12][23]. - The new system aims to provide greater salary increase potential and redefine job requirements at each level, enhancing overall compensation competitiveness [13][23]. - The restructuring is part of ByteDance's strategy to attract and retain talent amid increasing competition in the AI sector, reflecting a shift in focus from top-tier talent to a broader employee base [15][16].
北大华为联队夺冠:形式化数学竞赛33支队伍角逐,国产大模型啃下形式化证明硬骨头
量子位· 2025-12-20 06:30
Core Insights - The article discusses a breakthrough in AI mathematical reasoning achieved by a team named "Lean说的都队" during the CCF formalized mathematics competition, where they emerged as champions among 33 teams [1][2]. Group 1: Competition Overview - The competition, organized by the China Computer Federation and supported by various institutions, aimed to address the core issues of "hallucination" and unreliability in large models during mathematical reasoning [2]. - The competition required models to convert natural language mathematical problems into formal proof code without any natural language explanations, effectively making AI act as both mathematicians and programmers [4]. Group 2: Team Performance - "Lean说的都队" demonstrated exceptional capabilities, answering 181 out of 220 questions correctly in the preliminary round, scoring 82.27 points, and solving 5 out of 50 difficult problems in the finals with a score of 10 points, leading to a total score of 57.21, placing them first [6]. - The team consisted of members from Peking University, including Yuan Ye, Liu Chengwu, Li Botao, Xie Jiaxuan, and Li Siqi, guided by Professor Zhang Ming [6]. Group 3: Technical Innovations - The team utilized the Huawei openPangu-Ultra-MoE-718B model, a large-scale mixed expert language model with 718 billion parameters, which demonstrated strong performance in formal mathematical reasoning tasks [9]. - The model's architecture includes advanced features such as Multi-head Latent Attention and Depth-Scaled Sandwich-Norm, enhancing its ability to handle abstract mathematical concepts [9]. Group 4: Methodology and Mechanisms - The team introduced a collaborative solving system that combines the reasoning capabilities of the openPangu model with the efficiency of specialized provers [7]. - They implemented a dynamic switching strategy and a multi-layer quality assurance system to ensure the correctness and semantic alignment of proofs [13][14]. Group 5: Semantic Verification Breakthrough - A significant innovation was the introduction of a semantic decomposition verification mechanism, which breaks down natural language problems into data types, premises, and proof goals, improving the reliability of formal results [16][19]. - This approach addresses the issue of overly lenient judgments in traditional methods, significantly reducing the error rate in formal proofs [19]. Group 6: Practical Applications - The team showcased their model's adaptability through two case studies: one involving abstract algebra and another on complex number calculations, demonstrating the model's ability to generate rigorous formal proofs [20][22]. Group 7: Challenges and Future Directions - Despite the progress, the team acknowledged limitations in the current system, particularly in handling advanced mathematics topics and the average solving time of one hour per problem [23]. - Future recommendations include developing specialized provers through active learning, exploring dynamic sampling strategies, and fostering human-AI collaboration in proof processes [23]. Group 8: Conclusion - The achievements of the Peking University and Huawei team mark a significant milestone for China in the field of AI formalized reasoning, providing a viable technical pathway for tackling rigorous mathematical proofs [31].
首个文本到3D生成RL范式诞生,攻克几何与物理合理性
量子位· 2025-12-20 04:20
强化学习是否能够用于Text-to-3D生成,以加强3D自回归模型的逐步推理与生成过程? 3DGenR1团队 投稿 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI 在大语言模型和文生图领域,强化学习 (RL) 已成为提升模型思维链与生成质量的关键方法。 但当我们将目光转向更为复杂的文本到3D生成时,这套方法还会还管用吗? 近期,一项由 西北工业大学、北京大学、香港中文大学、上海人工智能实验室、香港科技大学合作 开展 的研究系统性探索了这一重要问 题。 论文链接: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.10949 代码链接: https://github.com/Ivan-Tang-3D/3DGen-R1 在LLM推理和2D文生图中,RL已经证明可以显著提升CoT推理能力和生成质量。但 3D物体更长、更稠密、更具几何约束 。 因此相关方向研究常面临这几个问题: Progressive Investigation:四个层次拆解Text-to-3D+RL 1. Reward设计层 1. 奖励如何同时刻画语义对齐、几何一致性和视觉质量? 2. 现有RL算法是否适合自回归式3D生成? 3. 缺乏专门考察"3D推理能力 ...
卡帕西2025大模型总结火爆硅谷
量子位· 2025-12-20 04:20
Core Insights - The article discusses the emerging trends in AI for 2025, highlighting the transformative impact of large models and the belief that only 10% of their potential has been realized so far [6][7]. Group 1: Key Predictions and Trends - The introduction of RLVR (Reinforcement Learning with Verified Rewards) marks a new phase in training large models, allowing them to develop reasoning strategies autonomously [8][10]. - The performance of large models is expected to exhibit a "zigzag" characteristic, indicating rapid bursts of capability as RLVR is adopted [18]. - Cursor represents a new application layer for large models, suggesting a shift towards more integrated and user-friendly AI applications [23][24]. Group 2: Innovations in AI Applications - Claude Code is identified as a significant example of a large model agent, capable of running locally on personal computers and utilizing user-specific data [26][32]. - Vibe Coding is anticipated to democratize programming, enabling non-professionals to create software through natural language [34][37]. - Nano Banana is highlighted as a groundbreaking model that integrates text generation, image generation, and world knowledge, setting a new standard for user interface and experience in AI [40][43].
奥迪+华为=油车智能天花板?
量子位· 2025-12-20 04:20
Core Viewpoint - The emergence of the FAW Audi A5L QianKun Intelligent Driving® version, a fuel vehicle equipped with Huawei's intelligent driving technology, challenges the stereotype that fuel vehicles lack intelligence, showcasing a significant advancement in the automotive industry [1][2][44]. Group 1: Product Features and Performance - The FAW Audi A5L integrates Huawei's QianKun Intelligent Driving with Audi's mechanical quality and Porsche's engine technology, creating a highly capable vehicle [1]. - The vehicle's design includes innovative placement of the lidar system, which is located below the headlights, maintaining traditional aesthetics while enhancing functionality [7]. - During a test drive, the vehicle demonstrated high levels of intelligent driving, with 93% of the journey under intelligent assistance, effectively navigating various urban and highway scenarios [9][39]. Group 2: User Experience and Feedback - The intelligent driving system of the FAW Audi A5L successfully dispelled preconceived notions about fuel vehicles being non-intelligent, providing a comfortable and safe driving experience [41][44]. - Users reported smooth acceleration and steering, with the system effectively managing complex driving situations, such as navigating through blind spots and roundabouts [24][28][39]. Group 3: Market Trends and Implications - The fuel vehicle market remains significant, with 14.67 million units sold in China from January to October, indicating a strong user base that demands intelligent features [45]. - The integration of intelligent driving technology into fuel vehicles is seen as a response to market demands, with the potential for significant growth in this segment [46][56]. - The collaboration between Audi and Huawei represents a shift in the automotive industry, where fuel vehicles can now compete with electric vehicles in terms of intelligence and user experience [57][60]. Group 4: Technological Innovations - The vehicle's architecture includes a six-layer system, with Huawei responsible for the upper layers that enhance intelligent capabilities, while Audi focuses on the lower layers to improve responsiveness [47][49]. - The Vehicle Motion Manager (VMM) plays a crucial role in facilitating communication between hardware and software, ensuring smooth operation of the intelligent driving system [52][54]. - Audi's redesign of the electronic architecture reduces communication delays, allowing for more efficient execution of driving commands, which is essential for the performance of intelligent driving features [50][55].
量子位编辑作者招聘
量子位· 2025-12-20 04:20
编辑部 发自 凹非寺 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI 目前,我们有 三大方向 岗位招聘,希望你是 (或者能成为) 这三个方向的内容专家: 岗位均为全职,工作地点:北京中关村。 岗位面向: 加入我们,你可以获得: 以下是岗位详情: 所有岗位不同能力层级职位均在开放,欢迎结合个人履历和经验申请。 AI产业方向 AI热潮还在汹涌,但如果你还不知道如何参与……那为什么不来 量子位 呢? 我们是一家以 追踪AI新进展 为核心的内容平台,经过8年积累,目前拥有顶流影响力,广泛且备受认可的产业资源,以及时代风口的最佳观 测和学习生态位。 岗位职责: AI产业方向 :关注基建层创新,包含芯片、AI Infra、云计算; AI财经方向 :关注AI领域创投和财报,跟踪产业链资本动向; AI产品方向 :关注AI在应用和硬件终端方向的进展。 社招:覆盖编辑、主笔、主编各个层级,按能力匹配岗位; 校招:应届毕业生,接受实习且可转正。 站在AI浪潮之巅 :第一时间接触和了解AI领域最新技术和产品,构建完整的AI认知体系。 玩转AI新工具 :将各种AI新技术、新工具应用于工作,提升工作效率和创造力。 打造个人影响力 :通过撰写独家原创内 ...
火线解析智谱AI招股书:年营收3亿增速130%,“中国版OpenAI”率先冲刺全球大模型第一股
量子位· 2025-12-19 14:08
Core Viewpoint - Zhipu AI, regarded as the "Chinese version of OpenAI," is preparing for its IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, having recently passed the hearing process [2][4]. Company Overview - Founded in 2019, Zhipu AI has raised over 8 rounds of financing, accumulating more than 8.3 billion RMB, with a current valuation of 24.38 billion RMB [3][59]. - The company focuses on the development of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and has created a complete system from foundational models to application products [4][5]. Technology and Product Development - Zhipu AI has developed the "GLM" series models, which support multi-modal inputs and outputs, demonstrating strong capabilities in understanding and generating text, images, and more [9]. - The company has released flagship models GLM-4.5 and GLM-4.6, achieving significant recognition in industry benchmarks [10][11]. - Zhipu AI's models have been recognized for their efficiency, with GLM-4.5 ranking third globally in industry standards and first in China [11]. Business Model and Commercialization - Zhipu AI has been implementing a Model as a Service (MaaS) business model since 2021, which has proven to be scalable and flexible, attracting over 2.7 million enterprise and application developers [23][24]. - The company has generated significant revenue from its models, with GLM-4.5/4.6 achieving over 1 billion RMB in income from global developers [25]. Financial Performance - Zhipu AI's revenue has shown rapid growth, with projected revenues of 57.4 million RMB in 2022, 124.5 million RMB in 2023, and 312.4 million RMB in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 130% [29]. - The company maintains a high gross margin, with rates of 54.6%, 64.6%, and 56.3% from 2022 to 2024 [34]. Industry Context - The Chinese large language model market is projected to reach 5.3 billion RMB in 2024, with expectations to grow to 101.1 billion RMB by 2030, driven primarily by institutional clients [61]. - The commercialization paths for enterprise-level LLMs are becoming clearer, indicating a promising future for the industry [62].
1年融资17亿的具身智能明星,首秀绣了个logo
量子位· 2025-12-19 14:08
一凡 发自 凹非寺 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI 2025年最受资本热捧的具身智能初创公司,在2025年年终完成了"首秀"。 它石智航,成立不到1年拿了17亿元融资后,刚刚交卷,举行了首次技术发布会。 而它石的首秀,也是通过"绣"展现的—— 首秀绣的是正是它石智航的LOGO,它石介绍说这是世界首台会刺绣的机器人。 不只会干针线活,也能下车间: 以及今年各路机器人的基操——跳舞: 这背后的丝滑动作,都是由基于真实数据训练的世界模型输出。在不同场景下执行不同任务,覆盖家庭和车间也意味着,这不仅仅是一 场技术发布会,也是商业化潜力的展现。 它石智航"首绣" 它石智航刚刚展示了两款产品: 工业机器人A系列(下图左二)和通用机器人T系列(下图右一),从下肢就能看出他们的差别。 △ A系列和T系列中间的是它石智航创始人、CEO陈亦伦 它石认为这体现了复杂操作任务的多种能力,亚毫米级精度、双手协同、连续触觉和力觉反馈调节和长时序任务的执行等。 所以为什么展示机器人的刺绣能力?这背后有两个原因: 秀技术和救手艺 。 而背后支撑这一切的,是它石智航对 下一代具身智能Scaling Law 的理解。 首先,是秀技术实力。 它 ...
4.98万就能买机器人通用基座?!一机三态,多场景验证,标配VLA大脑
量子位· 2025-12-19 12:16
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the innovative features and capabilities of the TRON 2 robot developed by Zhujidi Dynamics, highlighting its versatility, performance, and ease of deployment in various tasks and environments [10][44]. Group 1: Product Features - TRON 2 is a multi-form embodied robot that can switch between three core configurations: dual arms, dual legs, and dual wheels, allowing it to adapt to different tasks [10][11]. - The robot features a 7-DoF (Degrees of Freedom) arm design that mimics human arm flexibility, enhancing its ability to perform complex tasks such as precise grabbing and positioning [18][19]. - TRON 2 is equipped with a humanoid spherical wrist structure that allows for high-precision movements in confined spaces, addressing common industry challenges related to end-effector control [20][21]. - The robot has a reach of 70 cm and can perform tasks in a wide range of environments, including high and distant operations [23]. - It supports dual-wheel and dual-leg movement modes, improving its obstacle avoidance and environmental perception capabilities [26][27]. - TRON 2 has a payload capacity of 30 kg and a battery life of up to 4 hours, making it suitable for continuous operation in various scenarios [29]. Group 2: Deployment and Usability - The design of TRON 2 emphasizes ease of deployment, allowing users to set up the robot in just 30 minutes and complete the full process from environment configuration to task execution within 2 hours [36][38]. - The robot comes with a VLA development toolkit that includes example tutorials and preset modules, facilitating integration with mainstream models like Pi 0.5 and ACT [36][38]. - TRON 2 integrates data collection, training validation, and deployment testing into a closed-loop system, enhancing research efficiency and stability [38][40]. Group 3: Company Strategy and Market Position - Zhujidi Dynamics focuses on long-term development in the embodied intelligence sector, prioritizing foundational aspects like motion control and universal platform capabilities over superficial features [44][45]. - The company has attracted significant investment from major players like Alibaba and JD.com, indicating confidence in its strategic direction and product development [45][46]. - TRON 2 represents a culmination of the company's iterative approach to product development, addressing real user needs and enhancing the usability of embodied robots [46][47].