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摩根大通刘鸣镝最新发声!
中国基金报· 2025-12-23 08:01
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market has entered the initial phase of a slow bull market, with corporate earnings expected to be the main driving factor in 2026, and multiple sectors showing potential for returns [2][8]. Group 1: Slow Bull Market Formation Logic - The institutionalization of A-shares is a key reason for the current slow bull market, contrasting with the retail-driven market of 2014-2015 [4]. - Corporate earnings are gradually improving, providing crucial support for market growth, with the MSCI China Index expected to see a 2%-3% year-on-year growth in 2025 [5]. - The "PBOC put" mechanism introduced by the People's Bank of China has provided essential support to the market, alongside a narrowing of market volatility due to the dominance of institutional funds [5][6]. Group 2: Industry Performance in 2025 - Positive return sectors include materials, benefiting from the "anti-involution" policy and demand for precious metals, achieving returns of over 100%; the healthcare sector has seen returns exceeding 60% [6]. - The insurance sector performed well due to growth in new premiums and a favorable stock market, while AI-related sectors such as gaming, media, and semiconductors have become market favorites [6]. - Conversely, sectors linked to macroeconomic recovery, such as food and beverage, electricity, and delivery services, have underperformed due to weak consumer recovery and excessive competition [6]. Group 3: Outlook for 2026 - The main themes for 2026 include exports, AI, "anti-involution," and consumption, with corporate earnings being the most critical factor for stock performance [8][9]. - The MSCI China Index is projected to reach a target of 100, the CSI 300 Index at 5200, and the MSCI Hong Kong Index at 16000, all expected to achieve double-digit returns in 2026, supported by earnings growth [8]. - Key sectors to watch include export-related industries benefiting from global fiscal and monetary easing, AI-related sectors with recovery potential, and the consumer sector showing a "K"-shaped recovery [9].
人民币,重大突发!
中国基金报· 2025-12-23 08:01
12月23日,市场全天冲高回落,三大指数小幅上涨。截至收盘, 沪指涨0.07%,深成指涨0.27%,创业板指涨0.41%。 【导读】A股震荡上涨,人民币汇率升 破7.02 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好,今天的市场,三大指数震荡上涨,但仍有3800只个股待涨,一起看看发生了什么事情。 震荡上涨 市场共 1512只个股上涨,68只个股涨停,3856只个股下跌。 离岸人民币兑美元升破7.02 | 锂电池产业链拉升,天际股份、多氟多等涨停。 | | --- | | 海南板块延续强势,海南发展、海汽集团均3连板。 | | --- | 液冷服务器概念股活跃,川润股份、英维克等涨停。 | 下跌方面,商业航天概念股下挫,顺灏股份跌停,久之洋、天银机电等跌超10%。 | | --- | 0.95。 中信证券分析,11月下旬以来,美元指数走软叠加央行中间价报价释放的引导信号,人民币汇率逐步升至年内新高并实现" 三价合一 "。 展望后市:1)短期来看,市场对于美联储12月的降息预期已充分定价,同时国内政策对经济的提振效果仍有待显现,央行的稳汇率政策 更多在于防止单边一致性预期,预计年内人民币有望偏强运行,汇率中枢或难突破7.0。但 ...
东太平洋,美军实施打击!
中国基金报· 2025-12-23 06:55
消息称,这次打击是在美国防部长赫格塞思的指示下进行的。情报认为,这艘船正"沿东太 平洋已知的毒品走私路线航行,并从事毒品走私活动"。在这次行动中有1名男性"毒品恐怖 分子"被打死,美军没有人员受伤。 les & FR 点击下载中国基金报客户端 ■ 中国基金报内容矩阵 ■ 巅峰对话 投资热点说 ETF风向标 IPO情报站 fe o 1 ■ a a - 444 and 4 4 CHINAFUND CHINAFUND CHINAFUND CHINAFUND 开盘速递 港股日报 全球早班车 数说人物 √ � [ 8 a 4 a g a d 4 4 4 CHINAFUND CHINAFUND CHINAFUND CHINAFUND ●微信搜一搜( 〔 〔 中国基金报 〕即刻获取财经资讯 来源:新华社 美军在东太平洋袭击一艘"贩毒船"致1人死亡 美军南方司令部22日发布消息称,美军"南方之矛"联合特遣部队当天在东太平洋对一艘"被 认定为恐怖组织的船只"实施打击,打死1人。 ...
加仓!加仓!
中国基金报· 2025-12-23 06:50
Group 1 - On December 22, the A-share market saw all three major indices rise, with the stock ETF market continuing its trend of net inflows, exceeding 2.2 billion yuan that day [2][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.69%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.47%, and the ChiNext Index climbed by 2.23%. The computing hardware sector showed active performance, with significant gains in optical communication and CPO, while the media sector weakened and bank stocks retreated [4] - As of December 22, the total scale of 1,282 stock ETFs in the market was approximately 4.7 trillion yuan, with a net inflow of over 2.2 billion yuan based on an increase of 6.612 billion fund shares [4] Group 2 - The net inflow of funds for broad-based ETFs reached 5.248 billion yuan on December 22, with the CSI A500 index products leading the inflow at 14.414 billion yuan [4] - Over the past five trading days, the CSI A500 index products saw a net inflow exceeding 42.1 billion yuan, while the Hang Seng Technology index products had a net inflow of over 4.8 billion yuan [4] - On December 22, 28 ETFs had net inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, with the top three being the CSI A500 ETF from Guotai Fund (5.238 billion yuan), A500 ETF from Southern Fund (3.146 billion yuan), and A500 ETF from Huaxia Fund (2.878 billion yuan) [4][5] Group 3 - The CSI 300 index products experienced the largest net outflow, totaling 4.594 billion yuan, while thematic ETFs also saw significant outflows of 4.467 billion yuan [8] - The top three ETFs with the largest net outflows included the CSI 300 ETF from Huatai-PB Fund (-2.327 billion yuan), the ChiNext ETF from E Fund (-1.019 billion yuan), and the CSI 300 ETF from E Fund (-0.864 billion yuan) [9] Group 4 - Looking ahead, the semiconductor industry is expected to continue its upward trend due to multiple favorable factors, including a surge in AI computing demand, accelerated domestic substitution, and technological breakthroughs [10] - The technology sector is anticipated to maintain strong industrial momentum through 2026, with value styles expected to support the market as it enters a stable phase, suggesting a characteristic of "technology leading, value following" [10]
习近平对中央企业工作作出重要指示
中国基金报· 2025-12-23 06:23
李强在讲话中指出,习近平总书记的重要指示,对中央企业提出了明确要求和殷切希望,具有很强的战 略性和指导性,为做好中央企业工作进一步指明了方向。我们要深入学习领会,抓好贯彻落实。 习近平对中央企业工作作出重要指示强调 充分认识职责使命更好服务党和国家工作大局 为中国式现代化建设贡献更大力量 李强出席中央企业负责人会议并讲话 中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平近日对中央企业工作作出重要指示指出,党的十八大 以来,中央企业认真贯彻党中央决策部署,积极服务国家战略,在国民经济中发挥了骨干和支柱作用。 习近平强调,新征程上,中央企业要充分认识肩负的职责使命,更好服务党和国家工作大局,服务经济 社会高质量发展,服务保障和改善民生,勇担社会责任,为中国式现代化建设贡献更大力量。要聚焦主 责主业,持续优化国有经济布局,切实增强核心功能、提升核心竞争力。要立足实体经济,强化关键核 心技术攻关,推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合。要进一步深化改革,完善中国特色现代企业制度,健 全公司治理结构,着力解决制约企业发展的深层次问题,努力建设世界一流企业。要统筹发展和安全, 有效防范化解风险,不断夯实企业安全发展的基础。 习近平强 ...
利好突袭,集体爆发!
中国基金报· 2025-12-23 05:19
Market Overview - A-shares experienced a positive trend in the morning session on December 23, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.34%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.65%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.78% [2] - The total market turnover reached 1.25 trillion yuan, showing a slight increase compared to the previous day, with over 3,300 stocks declining [3] - The total annual turnover of A-shares for 2023 surpassed 405.55 trillion yuan, marking the first time it exceeded 400 trillion yuan in history [3] Sector Performance - The lithium battery sector saw significant gains, with lithium electrolyte, lithium anode, power batteries, and solid-state batteries all experiencing substantial increases [10] - Other sectors that performed well included non-ferrous metals, building materials, electric equipment, and electronics, while consumer goods, defense, and automotive sectors faced corrections [3] Lithium Battery Sector Highlights - Lithium battery-related stocks surged, with notable increases in lithium electrolyte (7.38%), fiberglass (5.66%), power batteries (3.81%), and lithium anodes (3.66%) [5] - Individual stocks such as Binhai Energy, Duofluor, Tianji Co., and Tianci Materials hit the daily limit, while Huasheng Lithium and Haike Xinyuan rose over 10% [11] - The futures market saw lithium carbonate contracts rise by over 4% [13] Local Stocks Activity - Hainan and Fujian local stocks remained active, with Hainan Ruize and Hainan Haiya reaching three consecutive limit-ups, and Hainan's business environment being positively highlighted by local officials [16][19] - Fujian stocks also saw gains, with companies like Antong Holdings and Anji Food hitting their daily limits [20] Company Specifics - Victory Energy continued its strong performance, achieving an "8 consecutive limit-up" status, with its stock price reaching 31.63 yuan per share, up 10.02% [24][25] - The company announced a significant investment from Qiteng Robotics, which plans to acquire up to 44.99% of Victory Energy, changing its controlling shareholder [26]
快手,最新声明!
中国基金报· 2025-12-23 05:19
【导读】快手科技针对网络直播事件发布声明 快手表示,公司始终严守合规底线,坚决反对任何违规内容及行为。公司强烈谴责黑灰产的违法犯罪行为,已就上述事宜向公安机关报警 并向相关部门报告,并将视情况采取其他适当的法律补救措施,以保障本公司及其股东的权益。 12月22日22:00左右,快手直播间突然出现大量色情内容,包括播放淫秽影片、主播擦边低俗表演等。随后,快手紧急关闭直播频道,至 23日凌晨0:45左右,直播频道恢复正常。 奇安信安全专家汪列军认为,此次攻击之所以能造成大规模破坏,核心原因在于黑灰产已全面迈入"自动化攻击"时代,而平台仍依赖传统 人工防御模式。黑客借助自动化工具批量注册、操控僵尸号,实现违规内容的秒级发布与扩散,这种规模化攻击完全超出人工审核的应对 极限。传统人工审核存在天然滞后性,面对每秒数十条的违规内容洪流,往往陷入"封禁不及新增"的被动局面,即便增派人手也难以填补 攻防效率低的情况。 12月23日,快手港股开盘一度跌超5.5%,午盘收报64.3港元/股,下跌3.6%,与昨日相比,市值蒸发超百亿港元。 中国基金报记者 忆山 12月23日,快手在官网发布声明称,快手应用的直播功能于2025年12 ...
浦发银行,“村改支”再落一子!
中国基金报· 2025-12-23 04:18
整体来看,今年以来,包括国有大行、股份制银行和城、农商行均加速推进"村改支"进程。例如,10月份,农业银行获批收编吉林地区 192家原农商行、农村信用合作联社及村镇银行分支机构,统一更名为农业银行支行或分理处;今年内常熟银行已三次计划"村改支",合计 吸收合并7家村镇银行,设立新的支行网点。 【导读】浦发银行获批吸收合并巩义浦发村镇银行,"村改支"进程再迎重要进展 中国基金报记者 马嘉昕 12月22日,国家金融监督管理总局河南监管局发布《关于上海浦东发展银行股份有限公司收购巩义浦发村镇银行股份有限公司并设立分支 机构的批复》,同意浦发银行收购巩义浦发村镇银行并设立上海浦东发展银行郑州巩义支行,承接巩义浦发村镇银行清产核资后的资产、 负债、业务和员工以及相关权利和义务。 公开资料显示,巩义浦发村镇银行成立于2009年9月17日,注册资本为1.5亿元,注册地址位于河南省巩义市,浦发银行对其持股比例为 51%。 这意味着,浦发银行在"村改支"进程中再次获得重要进展。据悉,仅约一个月前,浦发银行刚刚获批收购浙江平阳浦发村镇银行,并改设 为浦发银行温州平阳支行。 据粗略梳理,自今年7月浦发银行集中启动"村改支"改革以来 ...
冲上热搜!黄金,还在刷新历史新高
中国基金报· 2025-12-23 04:18
【导读】国际金价持续刷新历史新高 中国基金报记者 忆山 金价仍在一路狂飙! 继前一日大幅上涨、创下历史新高后,12月23日,COMEX黄金又相继突破4500美元/盎 司、4510美元/盎司、4520美元/盎司关口,截至发稿,报4524.9美元/盎司,年内涨幅超 62%;伦敦金现也突破4490美元/盎司关口,截至发稿,报4490.08美元/盎司,年内涨幅超 71%。 至此,现货、期货黄金均录得逾四十年来最强劲的年度表现。 COMEX黄金 < Q GC.CMX 3.33万 4469.4 总手 昨结 4524 9 4481.8 现手 6 +1.24% 开盘 +55.5 1.60万 最高价 4526.5 持 仓 36.21万 外 盘 最低价 4479.8 增 仓 1.73万 1.05万 内 盘 分时 | 五日 | 日K | 周K | 月K 更多 ◎ 叠加 设均线 MA5:4421.9↑ 10:4367.3↑ 20:4298.8↑ 前复权 4660.4 -4526-5- 3808.1 08-11 12-23 10-16 成交量 总手:3万 总额:0 VMA5:17万 VMA10:19万 VMA20:18万 × 实物黄金 ...
002909,直线拉涨停!
中国基金报· 2025-12-23 03:35
Market Overview - The A-share market opened higher on December 23, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.12% to 3921.95, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.04% to 13338.07, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.09% to 3194.76 [3][4]. Hainan Free Trade Port Concept Stocks - Hainan Free Trade Port concept stocks continued to show strength, with Hainan Ruize and Hainan Qiche hitting the daily limit, while Kangzhi Pharmaceutical, Hainan Haiyao, and Haixia Co. also saw significant gains [10][11]. - Notable stock performances include: - Shennong Agricultural (涨14.31%) with a total market value of 8.3 billion CNY and a year-to-date increase of 107.38% [12]. - Hainan Qiche (涨10.02%) with a market value of 9.1 billion CNY and a year-to-date increase of 58.16% [12]. Chemical Sector Activity - The chemical sector experienced a notable surge, with stocks like Wanrun Co., Dongcai Technology, and Jitai Co. hitting the daily limit [14][15]. - Key stock performances in the chemical sector include: - Wanrun Co. (涨10.01%) with a market value of 15.1 billion CNY and a year-to-date increase of 37.74% [16]. - Dongcai Technology (涨10.00%) with a market value of 27.1 billion CNY and a year-to-date increase of 257.06% [16]. Semiconductor Sector Performance - The semiconductor sector also saw fluctuations, with Shenghui Integration achieving a two-day consecutive limit increase, reaching a historical high [18]. - Notable stock performances in the semiconductor sector include: - Hengkun New Materials (涨10.35%) with a market value of 23.9 billion CNY [19]. - Wensheng Co. (涨8.68%) with a market value of 6.8 billion CNY [19]. Future Outlook - According to Xinyi Securities, the Hainan Free Trade Port aims to become a new regional offshore international trade center, presenting various development opportunities, including deepening cooperation with Hong Kong and advancing high-end manufacturing [13]. - Guohai Securities anticipates that the chemical industry is entering a favorable phase, with potential for increased dividend capabilities and high potential dividend yields [17].