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誉衡药业(002437):双核心业务筑牢基本盘,多矩阵产品贡献增量
Jianghai Securities· 2025-12-11 02:30
证券研究报告·公司深度报告 2025 年 12 月 11 日 江海证券研究发展部 执业证书编号:S1410524050001 | 投资评级: | 增持(首次) | | --- | --- | | 当前价格: | 3.22元 | | 目标价格: | 3.64元 | | 目标期限: | 6 个月 | | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(百万股) | 2232.03 | | A 股股本(百万股) | 2232.03 | | B/H 股股本(百万股) | -/- | | A 股流通比例(%) | 98.46 | | 12 个月最高/最低(元) | 4.08/2.12 | | 第一大股东 | 沈臻宇 | | 第一大股东持股比例(%) | 4.92 | | 上证综指/沪深 300 | 3878.00/4531.05 | % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 -4.31 -6.61 8.72 绝对收益 -6.94 -5.01 23.37 数据来源:聚源 注:相对收益与沪深 300 相比 医药行业研究组 分析师:吴春红 誉衡药业 002437.SZ 医药生物行业 双核心业务筑牢基本盘,多矩阵 ...
股票多因子系列(五):Barra CNE6纯因子风险模型搭建与应用
Jianghai Securities· 2025-12-10 11:09
证券研究报告·金融工程深度报告 2025 年 12 月 10 日 江海证券研究发展部 金融工程研究报告 金融工程研究组 分析师:梁俊炜 执业证书编号:S1410524090001 联系人:朱威 执业证书编号:S1410124010022 相关研究报告 1.金融工程深度报告:股票多因子 系列四:神经网络多因子模型初探 -2025.04.17 2.金融工程深度报告:股票多因子 系列三:机器学习在多因子模型中 的应用-2024.08.19 3.金融工程深度报告:股票多因子 系列二:基本面类因子实测——基 于 Barra CNE6-2024.05.22 4. 金融工程深度报告:股票多因子 系列一:量价类因子实测——基于 Barra CNE6-2024.03.11 股票多因子系列(五):Barra CNE6 纯因子风险模型搭建与应用 核心内容: 本报告可能存在数据缺失、数据错误、数据不及时、模型处理错误等风险。本报告仅从 金融工程角度,对权益市场数据进行统计、分析,不构成对市场指数、行业或个股进行 预测或推荐。本报告涉及的策略搭建方法仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议。本报告回测 结果仅依赖于过去公开数据,不代表未来收益,随 ...
A股市场快照:宽基指数每日投资动态-20251210
Jianghai Securities· 2025-12-10 10:05
金融工程定期报告 证券研究报告·金融工程报告 2025 年 12 月 10 日 江海证券研究发展部 分析师:梁俊炜 执业证书编号:S1410524090001 A 股市场快照:宽基指数每日投资动 部下跌,其中中证 500(-0.71%)和上证 50(-0.71%)跌幅最大。当年涨跌情况, 创业板指(49.87%)涨幅最大,其次是中证 2000(33.25%)和中证 500(24.37%), 中证 1000(23.88%)和中证全指(22.15%)涨幅缩小,而上证 50(11.67%)涨幅 最小。另外,创业板指连续四日连阳。 ◆均线比较:所有跟踪指数仍在 5、10 及 20 日均线之上。中证 1000 重新跌回 60 ◆资金占比与换手:2025 年 12 月 9 日, 中证 2000(25.43%)交易金额占比最高, 相关研究报告 日均线。市场持续震荡。 态 2025.12.09 A 股市场快照:宽基指数每日投资动 态 2025.12.08 A 股市场快照:宽基指数每日投资动 态 2025.12.05 其次是沪深 300(24.33%)和中证 1000(21.11%)。各宽基指数当前换手率分别为 中证 2000 ...
传媒行业:游戏板块估值低,投资机会凸显
Jianghai Securities· 2025-12-10 08:13
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The gaming sector shows strong performance with leading companies demonstrating significant revenue generation, particularly Tencent and Century Huatong, which ranked first and second in global mobile game publisher revenue [3][4] - The number of domestic game licenses issued in 2025 has increased by 29.39% year-on-year, indicating a supportive regulatory environment for the gaming industry [4] - The gaming sector is characterized by strong cash flow, ongoing policy support, and deepening AI game development, making it an attractive investment opportunity [6] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - Over the past 12 months, the industry has shown a relative return of -3.47% compared to the CSI 300 index, with an absolute return of 12.26% [2] Market Developments - In November 2025, 33 Chinese companies made it to the global top 100 mobile game publishers, collectively generating $1.95 billion, which accounts for 35.8% of the total revenue of the top 100 publishers [3] - The flagship game "Whiteout Survival" from Century Huatong contributed 54% of its revenue in November, with total earnings exceeding $3.8 billion [3] Regulatory Environment - The National Press and Publication Administration issued 1,532 domestic game licenses from January to November 2025, reflecting a 29.39% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [4]
A股市场快照:宽基指数每日投资动态-20251209
Jianghai Securities· 2025-12-09 10:38
证券研究报告·金融工程报告 2025 年 12 月 9 日 江海证券研究发展部 态 2025.12.08 A 股市场快照:宽基指数每日投资动 态 2025.12.05 A 股市场快照:宽基指数每日投资动 态 2025.12.04 其次是中证 2000(24.75%)和中证 1000(21.02%)。各宽基指数当前换手率分别 为中证 2000(4.34),创业板指(2.78),中证 1000(2.47),中证全指(1.77), 中证 500(1.69),沪深 300(0.61)和上证 50(0.26)。 ◆日收益率分布:创业板指的峰度负偏离最大,中证 1000 的峰度负偏离最小。创 业板指的负偏态最大,中证 1000 的负偏态最小。 ◆风险溢价:2025 年 12 月 8 日, 创业板指(93.41%)和中证 2000(85.79%)风险 溢价近 5 年分位值较高,沪深 300(80.56%)和上证 50(76.11%)较低。 金融工程定期报告 金融工程研究组 A 股市场快照:宽基指数每日投资动态 2025.12.09 ◆市场表现:2025 年 12 月 8 日, 各宽基指数(表 1)全部上涨,其中创业板指(2 ...
通信行业:太空算力兴起,长期空间巨大
Jianghai Securities· 2025-12-09 08:31
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of space computing as a significant opportunity, driven by the urgent need to overcome terrestrial computing limitations and the unique advantages of space data centers [5][6] - The report outlines a three-step strategy for the development of space data centers in Beijing, emphasizing the importance of technological breakthroughs and the establishment of a new industrial chain [5] - The global tech giants are increasingly investing in space computing, indicating a competitive landscape that presents potential investment opportunities [6] Performance Overview - Over the past 12 months, the industry has shown strong performance with a relative return of 67.07% compared to the CSI 300 index, and an absolute return of 83.4% [2] - The industry has also demonstrated positive returns over shorter time frames, with a 10.88% relative return over the past month and a 9.42% return over the past three months [2] Strategic Developments - The report discusses the strategic importance of space data centers, which are expected to leverage the natural cooling of space and abundant solar energy to address the growing demand for computing power driven by artificial intelligence [5] - The first phase of the three-step strategy involves the development of a test satellite, "Chenguang-1," which is set to be launched by the end of 2025 or early 2026 [5] - The report emphasizes that the successful implementation of this strategy could lead to a significant transformation in the computing industry, with space data centers becoming a key component of the commercial space and AI sectors [5][6]
黑龙江省资本市场跟踪双周报-20251208
Jianghai Securities· 2025-12-08 11:39
执业证书编号:S1410524040001 1. 江海证券-黑龙江省资本市场跟踪-黑龙 江省资本市场跟踪双周报— (2025.11.9-2025.11.22)– 2025.11.24 2. 江海证券-黑龙江省资本市场跟踪-黑龙 江省资本市场跟踪双周报— (2025.10.26-2025.11.8) – 2025.11.10 3. 江海证券-黑龙江省资本市场跟踪-黑龙 江省资本市场跟踪双周报— (2025.10.12-2025.10.25) – 2025.10.29 4. 江海证券-黑龙江省资本市场跟踪-黑龙 江省资本市场跟踪双周报— (2025.9.21-2025.10.11) – 2025.10.14 5. 江海证券-黑龙江省资本市场跟踪-黑龙 江省资本市场跟踪双周报— 机械军工行业研究组 黑龙江省资本市场跟踪双周报 — — 证券研究报告·黑龙江省资本市场跟踪报告 2025 年 12 月 8 日 江海证券研究发展部 风险提示:地方经济及政策变动风险、政策不及预期风险、资本市场波动风险、 宏观经济不确定性风险等。 敬请参阅最后一页之免责条款 2 分析师:张诗瑶 (2025.11.23-2025.12.6) 投 ...
转债随权益小幅回暖,但有所缩量
Jianghai Securities· 2025-12-08 11:00
aa 证券研究报告·金融工程报告 2025 年 12 月 8 日 江海证券研究发展部 分析师:梁俊炜 执业证书编号: S1410524090001 联系人:朱威 相关研究报告 金融工程定期报告 执业证书编号: S1410124010022 1.可转债跟踪周报:转债较权益超额 回撤,但股性攀升—2025.12.01 2.可转债跟踪周报:转债债性激增防 御 性 突 显 , 回 撤 小 于 权 益 — 2025.11.24 3.可转债跟踪周报:转债债性支撑上 涨,表现优于权益—2025.11.17 4.可转债跟踪周报:转债继续随权益 上涨,可维持均衡配置—2025.11.10 5.可转债跟踪周报:转债放量延续上 扬,涨幅超越权益—2025.11.03 转债随权益小幅回暖,但有所缩量 核心内容: | 1 | 可转债市场表现 | 2 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 1.1 市场行情 | 2 | | 2 | 可转债个券表现 | 5 | | | 2.1 个券行情 | 5 | | | 2.2 估值分析 | 7 | | 3 | 可转债条款跟踪 | 8 | | | 4 风险提示 | 9 | ◆可转债市场表现: ...
A股市场快照:宽基指数每日投资动态-20251208
Jianghai Securities· 2025-12-08 11:00
证券研究报告·金融工程报告 2025 年 12 月 8 日 江海证券研究发展部 金融工程定期报告 金融工程研究组 A 股市场快照:宽基指数每日投资动态 2025.12.08 ◆市场表现:2025 年 12 月 5 日, 各宽基指数(表 1)全部上涨,其中中证 2000(1.87%) 投资要点: 分析师:梁俊炜 执业证书编号:S1410524090001 A 股市场快照:宽基指数每日投资动 和创业板指(1.36%)涨幅最大。当年涨跌情况,创业板指(45.19%)涨幅最大, 其次是中证 2000(32.03%)和中证 500(23.96%),中证 1000(23.24%)和中证全 指(21.6%)涨幅扩大,而上证 50(11.82%)涨幅最小。 ◆均线比较:所有跟踪指数已站上 5 日及 10 日均线。中证 1000 仍在 20 日均线之 下,其余跟踪指数已突破 20 日均线。上证 50、沪深 300、中证 2000 和创业板指相 继突破 60 日均线,市场逐渐修复。 相关研究报告 ◆资金占比与换手:2025 年 12 月 5 日, 中证 2000(25.69%)交易金额占比最高, 态 2025.12.05 A 股 ...
康农种业(920403):优质品种助力公司从区域龙头向全国扩张
Jianghai Securities· 2025-12-08 10:46
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company is transitioning from a regional leader to a national player in the hybrid corn seed market, driven by high-quality varieties and strategic expansion [3][5]. - The company has a strong research and development foundation, with its actual controllers holding over 51% of the shares, ensuring effective management and strategic direction [17][18]. Financial Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 288.24 million yuan in 2023 to 660.40 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31.6% from 2020 to 2024 [4][31]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 53.22 million yuan in 2023 to 155.94 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 20.3% [4][31]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to remain stable, with values around 17% to 19% from 2025 to 2027 [4]. Company Overview - The company specializes in hybrid corn seed production, research, and sales, with a focus on high yield, stability, and comprehensive resistance [11][12]. - The company has expanded its market presence from the Southwest region to nationwide, with significant growth in the Central China region, which has become its largest revenue source [5][23]. Industry Context - The domestic corn seed market is characterized by oversupply and severe homogenization, with a supply-demand ratio of 175% for the 2024/2025 season [50]. - The global seed market is expected to grow steadily, with China's market projected to reach 893 billion yuan by 2026, reflecting a CAGR of 6.2% [37][39]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for high-quality corn seeds, as the average yield in China is only 60% of that in the United States [42].