头豹市场研究| 2024/12 商用车系列： 2024年中国商用车企业竞争格局判断 报告：尾部企业淘汰赛加速 2024 China Heavy Truck Market Cyclical Study 2024 年中国大型トラック市場の循環的研究 （精华版） 报告标签：重卡、自卸车、房地产、牵引车、商用车、GDP 撰写人：马天奇 报告提供的任何内容（包括但不限于数据、文字、图表、图像等）均系头豹研究院独有的高度机密性文件 （在报告中另行标明出处者除外）。未经头豹研究院事先书面许可，任何人不得以任何方式擅自复制、再 造、传播、出版、引用、改编、汇编本报告内容，若有违反上述约定的行为发生，头豹研究院保留采取法 律措施、追究相关人员责任的权利。头豹研究院开展的所有商业活动均使用"头豹研究院"或"头豹"的商号、 商标，头豹研究院无任何前述名称之外的其他分支机构，也未授权或聘用其他任何第三方代表头豹研究院 开展商业活动。 www.leadleo.com 头豹市场研读 | 2024/12 观点摘要 从国际经验看，主要发达国家重卡市场已全面进入成熟期：美国1970-2020年经历六个完整 经济周期，虽然销量中枢整体呈上移趋势 ...

AIGC聊天机器人 ：对话未来革命——智能交互的伦理边界与 商业想象 头豹词条报告系列 李 2025-02-21 未经平台授权，禁止转载 摘要 AIGC聊天机器人行业通过模拟人类语言交流，结合自然语言处理技术，提供个性化交互体验。自2022年ChatGPT推出后，该行业进入快速发展阶段，展现出多元化使用场 景，如智能家居、社交媒体、电子商务等，并深入教育、医疗、企业服务等垂直领域。技术驱动是该行业的核心特征，依赖芯片、框架、模型及应用层技术架构。高投入高 门槛限制了中小企业参与，资源向头部企业聚集，竞争趋于垄断。大模型应用多元化推动市场洗牌重构，加速企业间竞争与行业智能化转型。全球与中国市场规模快速增 长，预计未来十年将持续扩大。 （该报告由悉尼大学经济学专业李泽贤于2024年12月完成）。 行业定义 聊天机器人（Chatbot）是一种通过文本、语音或多模态形式与用户交互，模拟人类语言交流的计算机程序。传统聊天机器人基于预设规则 或脚本交互，仅提供固定回复。 基于生成式人工智能技术的AIGC聊天机器人以Transformer架构为核心，结合NLP、NLU和NLG技术，能够深度解析并生成自然语言。其 特点包括： ...

头豹词条报告系列 陈祖杰 涂料乳液行业规模 | 1. 涂料乳液市场规模 | (结论图) | P3 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2. 涂料乳液市场规模 | | P4 | | 3. 涂料产量 | | P5 | | 4. 涂料乳液产量 | | P6 | | 5. 乳液平均价格 | | P7 | | 6. 溯源信息链接引用 | | P8 | | 7. 法律声明 | | P9 | | 8. 头豹研究院简介 | | P10 | | 9. 头豹词条介绍 | | P11 | | 10. 头豹词条报告 | | P12 | 1. 涂料乳液市场规模 (结论图) P3 2. 涂料乳液市场规模 P4 | 涂料乳液市场规模:（结论=B*C） 涂料乳液市场规模:（结论=B*C） | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 年份 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E | 20 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the coating emulsion industry [1]. Core Insights - The coating emulsion market size in China has shown fluctuations over the years, with a notable peak in 2021 at 851.2 billion RMB, followed by a decline to an estimated 671.95 billion RMB in 2023 [6]. - The production of coating emulsions is projected to grow slightly from 1,116.16 tons in 2022 to 1,131.79 tons in 2023, indicating a modest recovery [13]. - The average price of emulsions has been on a downward trend, decreasing from 0.77 RMB in 2017 to an estimated 0.59 RMB in 2023 [7]. Market Size Overview - The coating emulsion market size from 2017 to 2027 is as follows: - 2017: 545.41 billion RMB - 2018: 555.28 billion RMB - 2019: 476.05 billion RMB - 2020: 385.59 billion RMB - 2021: 851.2 billion RMB - 2022: 692.02 billion RMB - 2023E: 671.95 billion RMB - 2024E: 652.47 billion RMB - 2025E: 633.56 billion RMB - 2026E: 615.19 billion RMB - 2027E: 597.35 billion RMB [6]. Production Insights - The production of coatings in tons from 2017 to 2027 is as follows: - 2017: 2,213.5 tons - 2018: 2,377.07 tons - 2019: 2,438.8 tons - 2020: 2,459.1 tons - 2021: 3,800 tons - 2022: 3,488 tons - 2023E: 3,536.83 tons - 2024E: 3,586.35 tons - 2025E: 3,636.56 tons - 2026E: 3,687.47 tons - 2027E: 3,739.09 tons [10]. Average Price Trends - The average price of emulsions from 2017 to 2027 is as follows: - 2017: 0.77 RMB - 2018: 0.73 RMB - 2019: 0.61 RMB - 2020: 0.49 RMB - 2021: 0.7 RMB - 2022: 0.62 RMB - 2023E: 0.59 RMB - 2024E: 0.57 RMB - 2025E: 0.54 RMB - 2026E: 0.52 RMB - 2027E: 0.5 RMB [7].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or company Core Insights - Huawei has transitioned from a component supplier to a comprehensive solution provider in the smart automotive sector, adhering to a "no car manufacturing" strategy while deeply collaborating with automotive companies, creating a differentiated competitive landscape compared to BYD's vertical integration and three-electric technology advantages [3][4] - The competition between Huawei and traditional automakers in the field of intelligence will be a focal point in the future market [3] - Huawei's automotive business operates through three parallel models: component supply, HI intelligent driving, and HarmonyOS intelligent driving, with the HI model showing the most growth potential due to its non-threatening nature to automakers' dominance [3][7] Summary by Sections Huawei's Automotive Business Development - Huawei's automotive journey began with in-car communication (2013-2015), evolved through collaborations with car manufacturers (2016-2018), and has now reached the stage of providing comprehensive solutions since 2019 [3][4] Production Capacity and Market Performance - Huawei's smart selection vehicle business has established an annual production capacity of 1.7 million units, achieving rapid growth in the high-end new energy market, with standout models like the Zhijie R7 and Xiangjie S9 [4] - The production layout includes various factories with specific annual capacities, such as 700,000 units at the Seres Chongqing Super Factory and 150,000 units at the Liangjiang Factory [4] Revenue Projections - By 2030, Huawei's automotive business is expected to generate revenues of 63.51 billion yuan from HarmonyOS intelligent driving and 24.27 billion yuan from smart automotive solutions, with intelligent driving and cockpit technologies being the main growth drivers [5][16] - The projected sales volume for HarmonyOS intelligent driving is expected to increase from 78,000 units to 1.56 million units, primarily driven by the Wanjie series [5][16] Business Models and Solutions - Huawei's smart automotive business provides comprehensive support through five major solutions, including hardware and software supply, and operates through a sales network comprising direct brand outlets and partnerships with automotive companies [7][8] - The smart selection model allows Huawei to deeply participate in the automotive manufacturing process, achieving both "making good cars" and "selling good cars" [7] Case Study: Seres - The collaboration between Seres and Huawei has evolved through stages of exploration, brand accumulation, market downturns, and product breakthroughs, with the product line expanding from the single SF5 to multiple models like Wanjie M5/M7/M9, achieving peak monthly sales of over 40,000 units [11] - The smart selection model has significantly contributed to Seres' success by providing a transparent pricing system and a user-centered marketing approach, which has resonated well with younger consumers [11]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the infant formula food industry Core Insights - The infant formula food market is experiencing significant changes due to the implementation of new national standards, which emphasize nutritional safety and production process standardization [9][10] - Domestic brands dominate the market, with approximately 80% of new formula registrations being from local companies, reflecting a shift in consumer trust towards domestic products [10][24] - The market size of the infant formula food industry has been declining, with a compound annual growth rate of -2.51% from 2019 to 2023, and projections indicate a further decline from 2024 to 2028 [27][28] Industry Definition - Infant formula food is designed for infants aged 0-3 years, aiming to meet their specific nutritional needs through a combination of dairy and plant-based ingredients [1][2] - The products are categorized based on the age of the infant, including infant formula (0-6 months), follow-up formula (6-12 months), and toddler formula (12-36 months) [3][4][6] Industry Characteristics - The industry is characterized by a unified core standard between China and Europe, with specific details varying [7] - The new national standards have ushered in a new era of balanced nutrition for infant formula, prompting companies to invest in research and development [9][10] - The market is witnessing a significant shift towards high-quality, high-value products, particularly in lower-tier cities where consumer demand is growing [26][30] Industry Development History - The infant formula food industry has evolved through several phases, including foundational development, the introduction of foreign technology, and recent innovations [11][12][13] - The industry has seen increased regulation and standardization, particularly following the melamine scandal in 2008, which led to a focus on quality and safety [15][16] Industry Chain Analysis - The industry chain consists of raw material suppliers, manufacturing enterprises, and distribution channels, forming a complete ecosystem [17][18] - Key players in the upstream supply chain include companies that ensure high-quality milk sources through controlled farming practices [18][21] - The midstream sector has seen a significant shift, with many older factories exiting the market and new entrants emerging under the new standards [19][20] Market Size and Trends - The market size for infant formula food has decreased from 195.792 billion RMB in 2019 to 176.875 billion RMB in 2023, with projections indicating a further decline [27][28] - The decline in birth rates has directly impacted the market, with fewer infants leading to reduced demand for formula [28] Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is increasingly concentrated, with domestic brands like Feihe and Yili gaining market share against foreign brands [34][36] - The new national standards are expected to further elevate the market entry barriers, leading to a consolidation of brands and an increase in market share for leading domestic companies [37]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The coastal dry bulk shipping market in China is expected to maintain a moderate growth rate, with an estimated capacity increase of approximately 3.3% from 2023 to 2027 [8][17][18] - The total capacity of the coastal dry bulk shipping market is projected to grow from 7,982.4 million tons in 2022 to 9,389.34 million tons by 2027 [7][16] - The number of coastal dry bulk shipping vessels is anticipated to rise from 2,427 in 2022 to 2,855 by 2027, reflecting a consistent growth trend [9][23] Summary by Sections 1. Coastal Dry Bulk Shipping Market Capacity - The capacity of the coastal dry bulk shipping market in China is calculated based on specific parameters, showing a steady increase over the years, with projections for 2023 estimating a capacity of 8,245.82 million tons [7][16] - Historical data indicates a growth from 5,521.9 million tons in 2017 to 7,982.4 million tons in 2022, with a forecasted growth rate of 3.3% annually from 2023 to 2027 [7][16] 2. Number of Coastal Dry Bulk Shipping Vessels - The number of vessels in the coastal dry bulk shipping sector is expected to grow from 2,427 in 2022 to 2,855 by 2027, with a growth rate of approximately 3.3% per year [9][23] - The fleet size has fluctuated in previous years, with a notable increase from 1,671 vessels in 2017 to 2,427 in 2022 [9][23] 3. Average Capacity of Coastal Dry Bulk Vessels - The average capacity of coastal dry bulk vessels is projected to remain stable at around 3.29 tons from 2023 to 2027, indicating a consistent operational efficiency [21][22] - Historical data shows slight variations in average capacity, with a peak of 3.57 tons in 2019 before stabilizing [21][22]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or company Core Insights - Huawei has transitioned from a component supplier to a comprehensive solution provider in the smart automotive sector, adhering to a "no car manufacturing" strategy while deeply collaborating with automotive companies, creating a differentiated competitive landscape compared to BYD's vertical integration approach [3] - The report emphasizes Huawei's automotive business development through three parallel models: component supply, HI intelligent driving, and HarmonyOS intelligent driving, with the HI model showing the most growth potential due to its non-threatening nature to automotive companies [3] - The report aims to analyze Huawei's strategic layout and development status in the automotive industry, focusing on its technological innovation, business model transformation, and industrial ecosystem construction under the "no car manufacturing" strategy [3] Summary by Sections Huawei's Automotive Business Development - Huawei's automotive journey began with in-car communication (2013-2015), evolved through collaborations with car manufacturers (2016-2018), and has now reached the stage of providing comprehensive solutions since 2019 [3] Production Capacity and Market Performance - Huawei's smart selection vehicle business has established an annual production capacity of 1.7 million units, achieving rapid growth in the high-end new energy market, with standout models like the Zhijie R7 and Xiangjie S9 [4] - The production layout includes various factories, with the Wanjie M5, M7, and M9 produced at different facilities, totaling capacities of 700,000, 150,000, and 150,000 units respectively [4] Revenue Projections - By 2030, Huawei's automotive business is projected to achieve revenues of 63.51 billion yuan from HarmonyOS intelligent driving and 24.27 billion yuan from smart automotive solutions, with intelligent driving and cockpit technologies being the main growth drivers [5][16] - The HarmonyOS intelligent driving sales are expected to increase from 78,000 units to 1.56 million units, primarily driven by the Wanjie series [5] Business Models - Huawei's smart automotive business operates through five major solutions, providing comprehensive support from components to complete vehicles, leveraging both direct sales and partnerships with automotive companies [7] - The sales network consists of direct brand outlets and strategic partnerships, including self-operated retail points and authorized specialty stores [8] Case Study: Seres - The collaboration between Seres and Huawei has evolved through various stages, leading to a product line expansion from the SF5 to multiple models like the Wanjie M5/M7/M9, achieving peak monthly sales of over 40,000 units [11] - The innovative marketing strategy of the smart selection model has significantly contributed to Seres' success, offering a transparent pricing system and a user-centered purchasing experience [11]

千亿级赛道：婴幼儿配方食品市场增长图谱 头豹词条报告系列 2025-02-21 未经平台授权，禁止转载 摘要 婴幼儿配方食品是专门为满足婴儿和幼儿特定营养需求而设计的食品，旨在模仿母乳成分或根据特殊医学需求调整配方，提供必要的蛋白质、脂肪、碳水化合物、维生素和 矿物质等营养素。2023年2月22日起，婴幼儿配方奶粉新国标正式实施。新国标的出台为婴幼儿乳粉的配方注册提供了标准依据，新国标不仅细化了婴幼儿配方奶粉的营养 成分要求，还强调了产品的安全性和生产工艺的规范性，要求企业依据新标准重新提交配方注册申请，确保产品全面符合新国标的各项规定 行业定义 婴幼儿配方食品是指专为0~3岁婴幼儿设计生产的特殊食品，旨在满足其正常生长发育所需的营养需求。这些食品以乳类及乳蛋白制品、大 豆及大豆蛋白制品为主要原料，并加入适量的维生素、矿物质等营养成分，通过特定的生产工艺加工而成。根据适用年龄的不同，婴幼儿配方食 品可分为婴儿配方食品、较大婴儿配方食品和幼儿配方食品，以满足不同年龄段婴幼儿的营养需求。 行业分类 婴幼儿配方食品行业主要根据婴幼儿的年龄阶段分类。 根据适配年龄分类 根据年龄阶段将婴幼儿配方食品分为婴儿配方食品（0 ...

中国水上干散货运输行业市场规模 测算逻辑模型 头豹词条报告系列 黄元 水上干散货运输行业规模 | 1. 中国沿海干散货市场运力规模 (结论图) | P3 | | --- | --- | | 2. 中国沿海干散货市场运力规模 | P4 | | 3. 中国沿海干散货运输船舶数量 | P5 | | 4. 中国沿海干散货市场运力 | P6 | | 5. 中国沿海干散货船舶平均运力 | P7 | | 6. 溯源信息链接引用 | P8 | | 7. 法律声明 | P9 | | 8. 头豹研究院简介 | P10 | | 9. 头豹词条介绍 | P11 | | 10. 头豹词条报告 | P12 | 1. 中国沿海干散货市场运力规模 (结论图) P3 2. 中国沿海干散货市场运力规模 P4 | 中国沿海干散货市场运力规模:（结论=C*D） 中国沿海干散货市场运力规模:（结论=C*D） | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 年份 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 ...