Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, recommending various companies within these industries for investment [5][14]. Core Insights - The report highlights the competitive results of the electricity pricing mechanism in Shandong, indicating that wind power is favored over solar power, with wind power pricing at 0.319 CNY/kWh and solar at 0.225 CNY/kWh [9][10]. - A new pricing mechanism for nearby consumption of renewable energy has been established, clarifying economic responsibilities and allowing renewable projects to pay for supply reliability [12][13]. - Global gas prices are showing mixed trends, with European and Asian prices rising while U.S. prices are declining, reflecting varying supply and demand dynamics [15][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: Shandong Pricing Mechanism and New Renewable Energy Policies - Shandong's first competitive pricing results show wind power projects with a total capacity of 3.5911 GW and a mechanism electricity price of 0.319 CNY/kWh, while solar projects have a capacity of 1.265 GW and a price of 0.225 CNY/kWh [9][11]. - The new pricing mechanism for nearby consumption aims to enhance the utilization of renewable energy and reduce the pressure on the power system [12][13]. 2. Gas: Global Price Variations - As of September 12, U.S. Henry Hub spot prices are at $2.94/mmBtu, down 3.61% week-on-week, while European TTF prices are at €32.00/MWh, up 1.27% [15][16]. - The report notes that U.S. gas production remains high despite a slight decline, while European prices are influenced by supply constraints and increased heating demand due to cooler temperatures [15][20]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The gas sector outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, while the public utilities, power, and environmental sectors underperformed [36]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - Recent announcements include the implementation of market-oriented pricing reforms for renewable energy in Jiangxi province, effective from October 2025 [40]. - The report also discusses various company announcements, including operational updates and financial instruments [43]. 5. Key Company Valuation Tables - The report provides valuation metrics for key companies in the public utility sector, highlighting buy and hold recommendations for several firms based on their earnings and price-to-earnings ratios [45][46].

Core Viewpoint - Conch Venture (00586) shares rose over 6%, currently up 6.67% at HKD 10.88, with a trading volume of HKD 123 million, following a report from Citigroup highlighting management's plans to enhance profitability by RMB 1 billion annually over the next two to three years through various operational improvements [1][1][1] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Conch Venture reported revenue of RMB 3.086 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.55%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.286 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.33% [1][1][1] - The company's performance benefited significantly from the increased profitability of its associate, Conch Cement (600585). Excluding this contribution, the core net profit for the first half was RMB 446 million, a year-on-year decrease of 6% [1][1][1] Dividend and Future Outlook - Conch Venture declared its first interim dividend of HKD 0.1 per share, resulting in a payout ratio of only 12%. The forecasted yield for the company is expected to reach 5.1% this year, increasing to between 6.5% and 8.4% from 2026 to 2027 [1][1][1] - Citigroup raised its target price for the stock from HKD 10.1 to HKD 12, maintaining a "Buy" rating based on anticipated improvements in cash flow and reduced debt pressure [1][1][1]

Core Viewpoint - Conch Venture's stock has risen over 6% following a report from Citigroup, which outlines management's plans to enhance profitability through various operational improvements over the next two to three years [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Conch Venture reported revenue of 3.086 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.55%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.286 billion yuan, an increase of 9.33% [1] - The company declared its first interim dividend of 0.1 HKD per share, resulting in a payout ratio of only 12% [1] Analyst Insights - Citigroup forecasts that Conch Venture will increase its annual profit by 1 billion yuan through improved waste-to-energy efficiency, expanded steam sales, increased disposal fees, enhanced fly ash recovery value, and cost reductions [1] - Bank of America noted that the company's performance benefited significantly from the profit contribution of its associate, Conch Cement, with core net profit (excluding this contribution) decreasing by 6% year-on-year to 446 million yuan [1] - The target price for Conch Venture has been raised from 10.1 HKD to 12 HKD, with a rating of "Buy" [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's research report indicates that Conch Venture's management plans to enhance profit by 1 billion yuan annually over the next two to three years through various measures [1] Group 1: Profit Enhancement Strategies - The company aims to improve waste-to-energy efficiency, expand steam sales, increase disposal fees, enhance the value of fly ash recovery, and reduce costs [1] Group 2: Cash Flow and Dividend Outlook - The recovery of operating cash flow is expected to benefit from the retrieval of national subsidy funds and a reduction in capital expenditure burdens [1] - With improved cash flow and reduced debt pressure, there is potential for an increase in dividend yield [1] Group 3: Target Price Adjustment - Citigroup has raised its target price for the company from 10 HKD to 15 HKD while maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國海螺創業控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00586 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 15,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.01 | HKD | | 150,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 15,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.01 | HKD | | 150,000,000 | 本月底法 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's solid waste management business shows steady growth, and the cement segment is experiencing a performance reversal, leading to positive free cash flow [1] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, reflecting an increase in expected profits due to improved performance in its core waste incineration operations and the indirect holding in Conch Cement [1] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 8,033 million, with a decline to 6,271 million in 2024 and further to 6,147 million in 2025, before a slight recovery in subsequent years [1][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decrease from 2,464 million in 2023 to 2,020 million in 2024, but is forecasted to rise to 2,361 million in 2025 [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.37 in 2023, dropping to 1.13 in 2024, and recovering to 1.32 in 2025 [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 6.91 in 2023, increasing to 8.43 in 2024, and then decreasing to 7.21 in 2025 [1][8] Business Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 30.86 billion, a slight decline of 1.55% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 9.33% to 12.86 billion [7] - The waste disposal segment reported operational revenue of 21.07 billion, up 7.61%, while construction revenue fell significantly by 54.53% to 2.74 billion [7] - The energy efficiency equipment segment saw a revenue decline of 22.26% to 2.59 billion, while the new energy business experienced a substantial increase of 191.65% to 3.10 billion [7] Cash Flow and Dividends - The company reported a positive free cash flow of 0.4 billion in the first half of 2025, a significant improvement from -8.6 billion in the first half of 2024 [7] - The company anticipates an increase in dividend potential due to improved free cash flow and dividends from Conch Cement [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight decline in revenue for H1 2025, primarily due to reduced construction income from waste disposal, but achieved a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.6%, mainly impacted by reduced construction income from waste disposal [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.29 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.3% [1] - The core net profit from the waste-to-energy business was 450 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.0%, influenced by a high base and losses in the new energy segment [1] Group 2: Waste Disposal Operations - The waste disposal segment generated revenue of 2.38 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.0%, with construction income dropping to 270 million yuan, down 54.5% [1] - The operating revenue for waste disposal was 2.11 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.6%, with 8.02 million tons of municipal waste processed, up 3% [1] - The company operated 87 waste-to-energy projects by the end of H1 2025, with 23 projects selling steam and 35 projects coordinating sludge disposal, marking an increase from the end of 2024 [1] Group 3: Cash Flow and Dividends - The net cash inflow from operating activities was 910 million yuan, a slight decrease of 20 million yuan year-on-year, mainly due to reduced renewable energy price subsidies [2] - The company announced an interim dividend of 0.1 HKD per share, totaling 164 million yuan [2] - The asset-liability ratio stood at 40.05% at the end of H1 2025, a decrease of 0.23 percentage points year-on-year, indicating ongoing efforts to reduce leverage [2] Group 4: Industry Outlook and Investments - The company's share of profits from joint ventures was 840 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.7%, benefiting from improved competition dynamics in the cement industry [2] - Despite fluctuations in cement prices since May, the company anticipates that supply-side reforms will accelerate, supported by increased infrastructure investment in H2 2025 [2] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains profit forecasts of 2.48 billion yuan, 2.76 billion yuan, and 3.03 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [3] - The company has adjusted its target price upward by 16.6% to 12.12 HKD, based on a valuation of 8.8x 2025 P/E for its environmental business and 9.3x 2025 P/E for its investment in the Conch Group [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight decline in revenue but an increase in net profit, driven by investment income from Conch Cement, indicating a mixed performance in its core operations [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 3.086 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.55% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.286 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.33% [1]. - Investment income from joint ventures, primarily from Conch Cement, contributed 839 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.72% [1]. Segment Analysis - The company's main business net profit, excluding investment income, was 446 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.02%, mainly due to a decline in gross profit from the new energy business [1]. - The waste disposal segment generated an operating revenue of 2.107 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.61%, with waste input and electricity generation increasing by 3% and 6%, respectively [1]. - The gross margin for the waste disposal segment improved by 5.32 percentage points to 43.71% [1]. Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - Operating cash flow for H1 2025 was 915 million yuan, slightly down year-on-year, primarily due to lower government subsidy receipts [2]. - Capital expenditures decreased significantly from 1.306 billion yuan in H1 2024 to 549 million yuan, resulting in positive free cash flow of 366 million yuan [2]. - The company announced an interim dividend of 0.10 HKD per share for the first time [2]. Investment Outlook - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upward to 2.352 billion, 2.446 billion, and 2.540 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting improved cash flow and dividend potential [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, considering the profit growth driven by investment returns and the positive shift in free cash flow [4]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for H1 2025 was 3.086 billion CNY, showing a year-over-year decline of 1.55%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.286 billion CNY, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.33%, slightly exceeding expectations [4]. - The profit growth is primarily attributed to the increased contributions from joint ventures, particularly from Conch Cement, which contributed 839 million CNY, a year-over-year increase of 19.72% [4]. - The company has confirmed a cash flow turning point, with operating cash flow at 915 million CNY, slightly down year-over-year, but free cash flow turned positive at 366 million CNY, leading to the announcement of an interim dividend of 0.10 HKD per share [4]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections show a decline from 8,015 million CNY in 2023 to 5,580 million CNY by 2027, with corresponding year-over-year growth rates of 2%, -22%, -2%, -4%, and -5% [3][5]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 2,464 million CNY in 2023 to 2,540 million CNY in 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of -18%, 16%, 4%, and 4% [3][5]. - Earnings per share are projected to rise from 1.37 CNY in 2023 to 1.42 CNY in 2027, with a price-to-earnings ratio decreasing from 7.2 to 7.0 over the same period [3][5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Conch Venture (00586.HK) reported a 9% year-on-year increase in net profit to 1.29 billion RMB in the first half of the year, primarily benefiting from the significant profit contribution from its associate company, Conch Cement [1] - Excluding this contribution, the core net profit for the first half decreased by 6% to 446 million RMB [1] - The company declared its first interim dividend of 0.1 HKD per share, resulting in a payout ratio of only 12% [1] Group 2 - Bank of America forecasts a revenue yield of 5.1% for the company this year, with an upward adjustment to 6.5% to 8.4% for 2026 to 2027 [1] - The target price for Conch Venture has been raised from 10.1 HKD to 12 HKD, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - As of August 28, 2025, Conch Venture's stock closed at 10.55 HKD, down 2.31%, with a trading volume of 16.23 million shares and a turnover of 170 million HKD [1] Group 3 - Conch Venture has a market capitalization of 19.354 billion HKD, ranking second in the environmental engineering and services industry [1] - Key performance indicators show a Return on Equity (ROE) of 4.43%, a net profit margin of 42.79%, and a debt ratio of 40.05% [1] - The company ranks 12th in ROE, 1st in net profit margin, and 14th in debt ratio compared to industry averages [1]