Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment for these industries [4]. Core Insights - In August, the average daily power generation exceeded 30 billion kilowatt-hours for the first time, with total industrial power generation reaching 936.3 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 1.6% [9][57]. - The report highlights the continued growth of thermal power and the significant contribution of renewable energy sources, particularly wind and solar power, to the overall power generation increase [10][11]. - Global gas prices are experiencing narrow fluctuations, with a stable supply-demand balance in the market, particularly in the U.S. and Europe [20][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Generation - In August, the total power generation was 936.3 billion kilowatt-hours, with a daily average of 30.2 billion kilowatt-hours, marking a 1.6% increase year-on-year [9][57]. - The breakdown of power generation types shows thermal power at 6,274 billion kilowatt-hours (up 1.7%), hydropower at 1,479 billion kilowatt-hours (down 10.1%), nuclear power at 645 billion kilowatt-hours (up 5.9%), wind power at 738 billion kilowatt-hours (up 20.2%), and solar power at 538 billion kilowatt-hours (up 15.9%) [11][58]. - The report emphasizes the strong growth of renewable energy, with wind and solar power showing significant year-on-year increases of 20.2% and 15.9%, respectively [10][11]. 2. Natural Gas - As of September 19, the Henry Hub spot price was $2.89/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly decrease of 1.80%, while the TTF spot price in Europe remained stable at €32.00/MWh [20][21]. - The report notes that U.S. natural gas production remains high, contributing to a stable supply-demand balance and low price fluctuations [23][29]. - The LNG ex-factory price in China was 4,019 yuan/ton, with a weekly decrease of 0.84%, indicating a softening market due to weak domestic demand [41][44]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For hydropower, the report recommends companies like Guotou Power, Chuan Investment Energy, and Yangtze Power due to stable growth and financial benefits from interest rate cuts [18]. - In the renewable energy sector, companies such as Xintian Green Energy and Funi Co. are highlighted for their stable returns and high profitability [18]. - The report suggests focusing on integrated natural gas traders like New Hope Energy and Shenzhen Gas, as well as city gas companies benefiting from cost reductions [44].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Insights - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment held a press conference on "High-Quality Completion of the 14th Five-Year Plan," indicating ongoing progress in the "dual carbon" policy [1] - Solid waste management and water governance policies are expected to strengthen the fundamentals of hazardous waste and water-related companies [13] - The demand for environmental monitoring equipment is anticipated to continue growing due to the ongoing "dual carbon" policy [13] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - Since the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan, the capacity for hazardous waste utilization and disposal has increased by 58.8%, and the capacity for municipal solid waste incineration has increased by 72.4% compared to the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [10] - Over 3000 solid waste management projects have been implemented across 113 cities, with an investment of approximately 560 billion yuan [10] Solid Waste Management - The solid waste sector has seen a significant improvement in cash flow and dividend payouts, with a focus on operational efficiency and cost reduction [14] - The average revenue growth for the solid waste sector was 1%, with net profit increasing by 8% in the first half of 2025 [14] Water Management - The water sector is expected to experience a cash flow turnaround similar to that of the waste incineration sector, with a projected increase in free cash flow starting in 2026 [18] - Water pricing reforms are being implemented in cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen, which may lead to a new round of price adjustments [18] Sanitation Equipment - The penetration rate of electric sanitation vehicles increased by 6.53 percentage points to 16.71% in the first eight months of 2025, with sales of electric sanitation vehicles rising by 69.34% year-on-year [22] - The total sales of sanitation vehicles reached 49,577 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.2% [22] Bio-Diesel - The average price of waste cooking oil increased to 6,713 yuan per ton, while the average price of biodiesel remained stable at 8,400 yuan per ton, resulting in a decrease in profit margins [34] Lithium Battery Recycling - The prices of metals and discounts on ternary battery materials have increased, leading to improved profitability in lithium battery recycling [39]

Investment Highlights - The report highlights significant acceleration in national subsidies recovery for the environmental sector in July-August 2025, with Everbright receiving 2.064 billion yuan, surpassing the 1.534 billion yuan received in the same period of 2024 [1][4] - The solid waste sector has shown improvements in return on equity (ROE) and cash flow, with a 1% increase in revenue and an 8% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025 [5][6] - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Hanlan Environment, Green Power, and Everbright Environment, among others [2] Solid Waste Sector Insights - The solid waste sector's performance in the first half of 2025 includes a 9% increase in operating cash flow, reaching 6.9 billion yuan, and a 24% increase in free cash flow compared to the first half of 2024 [5][6] - The average waste incineration companies saw a 1.8% increase in tonnage output and a 1.2% increase in grid-connected output in the first half of 2025 [5][6] - Companies are expanding their operations and improving efficiency, with notable increases in heating supply rates for several firms [5][6] Water Sector Analysis - The water sector is expected to experience a cash flow turnaround, with a projected increase in free cash flow for companies like Xingrong and Shouchuang starting in 2026 [6] - Price reforms in water services are anticipated to enhance growth and valuation, with recent price adjustments in cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen [6] Sanitation Sector Developments - The penetration rate of electric sanitation vehicles is accelerating, with a 77.6% increase in sales of new energy sanitation vehicles in the first seven months of 2025 [7][8] - The report notes a significant rise in the number of automated sanitation projects, indicating a growing trend towards automation in the sector [7][8] Industry Tracking - The report tracks the performance of various sectors, including the increase in sales of sanitation vehicles and the profitability of biodiesel production, with a notable rise in the price of used cooking oil [8] - Lithium battery recycling is also highlighted, with improvements in profitability due to changes in pricing for lithium and cobalt [8]

Core Viewpoint - The recent notification from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration aims to improve the pricing mechanism for nearby consumption of renewable energy, which is expected to create new opportunities for green electricity direct connection projects starting from October 1, 2025 [1][2][3]. Group 1: Policy and Mechanism - The notification clarifies the economic responsibilities between nearby consumption projects and the public grid, allowing renewable energy projects to pay for supply reliability based on their needs [3][4]. - The new pricing mechanism is designed to enhance the willingness of the grid to provide stable supply services, facilitating the implementation of projects like waste incineration and green electricity direct connections [4][5]. Group 2: Project Requirements - Projects must have a clear interface, with power sources, loads, and storage connected as a whole to the public grid, ensuring safety and responsibility [3][4]. - Projects are required to have a self-consumption ratio of at least 60% of total available generation and 30% of total consumption, with new projects starting from 2030 needing a minimum of 35% [4][5]. Group 3: Economic Advantages - The economic feasibility of projects increases with higher load rates and smaller capacities connected to the public grid, as projects not connected to the grid are exempt from certain fees [4][5]. - For example, in Guangdong Province, the average market transaction price in 2025 is projected to be 0.3910 yuan per kWh, while the costs associated with grid connection and operation total 0.2721 yuan per kWh, leading to a total of 0.6631 yuan per kWh. Direct supply from waste incineration can offer a price advantage of 0.05 to 0.08 yuan per kWh compared to using grid electricity [5]. Group 4: Recommended Companies - The notification is expected to benefit companies involved in green electricity direct supply projects, with specific recommendations including Huanlan Environment, Yongxing Co., Conch Venture, Green Power Environmental Protection, Junxin Co., and Weiming Environmental Protection, while also suggesting attention to Wangneng Environment [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, recommending various companies within these industries for investment [5][14]. Core Insights - The report highlights the competitive results of the electricity pricing mechanism in Shandong, indicating that wind power is favored over solar power, with wind power pricing at 0.319 CNY/kWh and solar at 0.225 CNY/kWh [9][10]. - A new pricing mechanism for nearby consumption of renewable energy has been established, clarifying economic responsibilities and allowing renewable projects to pay for supply reliability [12][13]. - Global gas prices are showing mixed trends, with European and Asian prices rising while U.S. prices are declining, reflecting varying supply and demand dynamics [15][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: Shandong Pricing Mechanism and New Renewable Energy Policies - Shandong's first competitive pricing results show wind power projects with a total capacity of 3.5911 GW and a mechanism electricity price of 0.319 CNY/kWh, while solar projects have a capacity of 1.265 GW and a price of 0.225 CNY/kWh [9][11]. - The new pricing mechanism for nearby consumption aims to enhance the utilization of renewable energy and reduce the pressure on the power system [12][13]. 2. Gas: Global Price Variations - As of September 12, U.S. Henry Hub spot prices are at $2.94/mmBtu, down 3.61% week-on-week, while European TTF prices are at €32.00/MWh, up 1.27% [15][16]. - The report notes that U.S. gas production remains high despite a slight decline, while European prices are influenced by supply constraints and increased heating demand due to cooler temperatures [15][20]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The gas sector outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, while the public utilities, power, and environmental sectors underperformed [36]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - Recent announcements include the implementation of market-oriented pricing reforms for renewable energy in Jiangxi province, effective from October 2025 [40]. - The report also discusses various company announcements, including operational updates and financial instruments [43]. 5. Key Company Valuation Tables - The report provides valuation metrics for key companies in the public utility sector, highlighting buy and hold recommendations for several firms based on their earnings and price-to-earnings ratios [45][46].

Core Viewpoint - Conch Venture (00586) shares rose over 6%, currently up 6.67% at HKD 10.88, with a trading volume of HKD 123 million, following a report from Citigroup highlighting management's plans to enhance profitability by RMB 1 billion annually over the next two to three years through various operational improvements [1][1][1] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Conch Venture reported revenue of RMB 3.086 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.55%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.286 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.33% [1][1][1] - The company's performance benefited significantly from the increased profitability of its associate, Conch Cement (600585). Excluding this contribution, the core net profit for the first half was RMB 446 million, a year-on-year decrease of 6% [1][1][1] Dividend and Future Outlook - Conch Venture declared its first interim dividend of HKD 0.1 per share, resulting in a payout ratio of only 12%. The forecasted yield for the company is expected to reach 5.1% this year, increasing to between 6.5% and 8.4% from 2026 to 2027 [1][1][1] - Citigroup raised its target price for the stock from HKD 10.1 to HKD 12, maintaining a "Buy" rating based on anticipated improvements in cash flow and reduced debt pressure [1][1][1]

消息面上，花旗发布研报称，海螺创业管理层计划在未来两至三年内，透过提升垃圾发电效率、扩大蒸 汽销售规模、提高处置费用、增加飞灰回收价值以及降低成本等措施，将每年利润提升10亿元人民币。 另外，该行认为经营现金流复苏将受惠于国家补贴资金收回及资本支出负担减轻。随着现金流改善与债 务压力下降，股息率有上行空间。 智通财经APP获悉，海螺创业(00586)涨超6%，截至发稿，涨6.67%，报10.88港元，成交额1.23亿港元。 今年上半年，海螺创业实现收入30.86亿元，同比下降1.55%，归母净利润12.86亿元，同比增长9.33%。 美银证券此前指出，公司业绩受惠于间接联营公司海螺水泥的盈利贡献大幅提高。剔除此项，上半年核 心净利润为4.46亿元人民币，同比减少6%。集团派发首次中期股息，每股0.1港元，意味着派息率仅为 12%。该行预料，集团今年收益率达5.1%，2026年至2027年则上调至6.5%至8.4%，其目标价由10.1港元 上调至12港元，其评级为"买入"。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's research report indicates that Conch Venture's management plans to enhance profit by 1 billion yuan annually over the next two to three years through various measures [1] Group 1: Profit Enhancement Strategies - The company aims to improve waste-to-energy efficiency, expand steam sales, increase disposal fees, enhance the value of fly ash recovery, and reduce costs [1] Group 2: Cash Flow and Dividend Outlook - The recovery of operating cash flow is expected to benefit from the retrieval of national subsidy funds and a reduction in capital expenditure burdens [1] - With improved cash flow and reduced debt pressure, there is potential for an increase in dividend yield [1] Group 3: Target Price Adjustment - Citigroup has raised its target price for the company from 10 HKD to 15 HKD while maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國海螺創業控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00586 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 15,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.01 | HKD | | 150,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 15,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.01 | HKD | | 150,000,000 | 本月底法 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's solid waste management business shows steady growth, and the cement segment is experiencing a performance reversal, leading to positive free cash flow [1] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, reflecting an increase in expected profits due to improved performance in its core waste incineration operations and the indirect holding in Conch Cement [1] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 8,033 million, with a decline to 6,271 million in 2024 and further to 6,147 million in 2025, before a slight recovery in subsequent years [1][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decrease from 2,464 million in 2023 to 2,020 million in 2024, but is forecasted to rise to 2,361 million in 2025 [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.37 in 2023, dropping to 1.13 in 2024, and recovering to 1.32 in 2025 [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 6.91 in 2023, increasing to 8.43 in 2024, and then decreasing to 7.21 in 2025 [1][8] Business Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 30.86 billion, a slight decline of 1.55% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 9.33% to 12.86 billion [7] - The waste disposal segment reported operational revenue of 21.07 billion, up 7.61%, while construction revenue fell significantly by 54.53% to 2.74 billion [7] - The energy efficiency equipment segment saw a revenue decline of 22.26% to 2.59 billion, while the new energy business experienced a substantial increase of 191.65% to 3.10 billion [7] Cash Flow and Dividends - The company reported a positive free cash flow of 0.4 billion in the first half of 2025, a significant improvement from -8.6 billion in the first half of 2024 [7] - The company anticipates an increase in dividend potential due to improved free cash flow and dividends from Conch Cement [7]