从资金流向上来看，当日油气开采板块主力资金净流出2.98亿元，游资资金净流入7602.98万元，散户资 金净流入2.22亿元。油气开采板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入（元） | | | 主力净占比 游资净流入（元） 游资净占比 散户净流入（元） 散户净占比 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000968 蓝焰控股 | | 792.01万 | 5.72% | 120.08万 | 0.87% | -912.09万 | -6.59% | | 600777 | *ST新潮 | -365.97万 | -7.27% | 176.38万 | 3.51% | 189.59万 | 3.77% | | 600938 中国海油 | | -1.05 亿 | -3.86% | 6151.73万 | 2.25% | 4379.99万 | 1.60% | | 600759 洲际油气 | | -1.97亿 | -7.84% | 1154.79万 | 0.46% | 1.85 Z | 7.38% | 证券之星消息，1月5日油气开采板块 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed a narrow range of fluctuations on January 5, with the Hang Seng Index slightly up by 0.03%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down by 0.22%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 0.09% [1][2]. Sector Performance - Large tech stocks exhibited mixed performance, with Kuaishou surging by over 11%, while other notable stocks like Bilibili and Alibaba also saw gains of over 5% and 2%, respectively. Conversely, stocks like NetEase and Xiaomi fell by over 2% [2][4]. - The biotechnology sector was active, with companies like Rongchang Bio and Kelun-Bothai rising over 7%, and other firms like Fuhong Hanlin and Tigermed increasing by over 6% [7]. - The insurance sector saw strong gains, with China Pacific Insurance up over 6% and New China Life Insurance up over 5%. Analysts highlighted five key trends in the life insurance industry for 2026, including rapid growth in new business and a shift in customer demographics [8]. - The automotive sector faced declines, with Great Wall Motors dropping over 6% and NIO nearly 6%. Despite some brands achieving record sales in 2025, only a few met their annual sales targets [10]. Notable Stock Movements - Kuaishou's stock price reached 73.60 HKD, reflecting an increase of 11.09% with a market cap of 317.91 billion HKD [5]. - Nanjing Panda Electronics surged by nearly 40%, while Micron Brain Science and Brainhole Technology rose by nearly 20% and over 17%, respectively, following news of Neuralink's plans for large-scale production of brain-computer interface devices [6][4]. - The "three oil giants" saw significant declines, with China Petroleum and China National Offshore Oil Corporation both dropping over 3% due to geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ decisions [9]. Capital Flows - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of 18.723 billion HKD, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing 9.809 billion HKD and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing 8.914 billion HKD [12]. Future Outlook - Goldman Sachs recommends overweighting Chinese stocks, predicting a 15% to 20% annual increase in the Chinese stock market for 2026 and 2027. Guosen Securities also sees potential in the market driven by a weaker US dollar and improved domestic liquidity in the spring of 2026 [15].

第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年12月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 中國海洋石油有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年1月5日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | FF301 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 FF301 III.已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動詳情 (A). 股份期權（根據發行人的股份期權計劃） 不適用 第 3 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 (B). 承諾發行發行人股份的權證 不適用 FF301 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00883 | | 說明 | | 於香港聯交所上市的股份（「香港股份」） ...

截至9月30日，中国海油股东户数21.65万，较上期减少7.02%；人均流通股13922股，较上期增加 7.62%。2025年1月-9月，中国海油实现营业收入3125.03亿元，同比减少4.15%；归母净利润1019.71亿 元，同比减少12.59%。 来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 分红方面，中国海油A股上市后累计派现2559.95亿元。近三年，累计派现1790.51亿元。 12月31日，中国海油涨1.07%，成交额13.39亿元。两融数据显示，当日中国海油获融资买入额3.04亿 元，融资偿还9581.37万元，融资净买入2.09亿元。截至12月31日，中国海油融资融券余额合计15.96亿 元。 融资方面，中国海油当日融资买入3.04亿元。当前融资余额15.85亿元，占流通市值的1.76%，融资余额 低于近一年30%分位水平，处于低位。 融券方面，中国海油12月31日融券偿还2.19万股，融券卖出2.78万股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额 83.90万元；融券余量33.61万股，融券余额1014.35万元，低于近一年50%分位水平，处于较低位。 资料显示，中国海洋石油有限公司位于北京市东城区朝阳门北大街25号,香 ...

Group 1 - The "Big Three" oil companies in the market experienced declines, with China Petroleum and China National Offshore Oil Corporation dropping over 4%, and Sinopec falling nearly 2% [1] - Specific stock performance includes: China Petroleum (down 4.23% to 8.160, market cap 1.49 trillion), China National Offshore Oil Corporation (down 4.21% to 20.940, market cap 995.277 billion), and Sinopec (down 1.70% to 4.620, market cap 558.676 billion) [2] - Oil prices fell in the Asian morning session, with Brent crude nearing $60 per barrel and WTI close to $57 per barrel, influenced by ample supply despite concerns over political turmoil in Venezuela affecting oil transport [1][2] Group 2 - Analysts indicate that global oil supply is sufficient, suggesting that further disruptions in Venezuelan exports will not have a direct impact on prices [3] - Reports from sources familiar with Venezuela's state oil company PDVSA state that the U.S. operation to capture Maduro did not damage Venezuela's oil production or refining industry [3]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw declines in the "three oil giants," with China National Petroleum Corporation and CNOOC both dropping over 4%, and Sinopec falling nearly 2% [1][2] - Oil prices in Asia fell, influenced by ample supply, despite concerns that the political turmoil in Venezuela could disrupt oil transportation [1] - Brent crude oil prices approached $60 per barrel, while WTI neared $57 per barrel [1] Group 2 - Analysts indicated that the global oil supply is sufficient, suggesting that further disruptions in Venezuelan exports would not have a direct impact on prices [1] - Reports from Reuters cited two sources familiar with the operations of Venezuela's state oil company PDVSA, stating that the U.S. operation to capture Maduro did not damage Venezuela's oil production and refining sectors [1]

Group 1 - The three major oil companies in China experienced a collective decline in stock prices [1] - PetroChina (00857.HK) fell by 3.99%, trading at HKD 8.18 [1] - CNOOC (00883.HK) decreased by 3.2%, with a current price of HKD 21.16 [1] - Sinopec (00386.HK) dropped by 1.28%, now priced at HKD 4.64 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The collective decline of China's three major oil companies is influenced by geopolitical events in Venezuela, where the U.S. has initiated military action and plans significant investment in the country's oil infrastructure, despite ongoing sanctions [1] Group 1: Company Performance - PetroChina (00857) saw a decline of 3.99%, trading at HKD 8.18 [1] - CNOOC (00883) dropped by 3.2%, with shares at HKD 21.16 [1] - Sinopec (00386) fell by 1.28%, priced at HKD 4.64 [1] Group 2: Geopolitical Impact - The U.S. military action against Venezuela includes the capture of President Maduro, which has implications for the oil market [1] - Trump announced that U.S. oil companies will invest billions to repair Venezuela's damaged oil infrastructure, aiming to restore production and generate revenue [1] - Despite the investment, the U.S. oil embargo on Venezuela remains fully in effect [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - Venezuela holds the largest proven oil reserves globally, yet its current production is below 1 million barrels per day, accounting for less than 1% of global oil output [1] - Goldman Sachs suggests that any recovery in production will be gradual and localized due to the deteriorated state of infrastructure [1] - A sustained increase in Venezuelan oil production, along with rising output from the U.S. and Russia, could heighten the risk of declining oil prices post-2027 [1]

Group 1 - The three major oil companies in China experienced collective declines, with PetroChina (00857) down 3.99% to HKD 8.18, CNOOC (00883) down 3.2% to HKD 21.16, and Sinopec (00386) down 1.28% to HKD 4.64 [1] - The U.S. has launched military action against Venezuela, capturing President Maduro, and plans for major U.S. oil companies to invest billions to repair Venezuela's severely damaged oil infrastructure [1] - Venezuela possesses the largest proven oil reserves globally, but its current oil production is less than 1 million barrels per day, accounting for less than 1% of global oil output [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs believes that any recovery in Venezuela's oil production will be "gradual and localized" due to the extent of infrastructure degradation [1] - A sustained increase in Venezuela's oil production, combined with growth from the U.S. and Russia, could heighten the risk of declining oil prices in 2027 and beyond [1]

Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical industry is currently facing significant "involution" competition, leading to a situation where companies are experiencing increased production without corresponding profit growth. The industry's operating revenue profit margin has declined from 8.03% in 2021 to an expected 4.85% in 2024. However, since 2025, some sub-industries have begun to recover, with a year-on-year increase of 10.56% in net profit attributable to the parent company in the first three quarters, indicating a gradual stabilization and recovery in industry profitability [2][3]. Supply Side - Investment in fixed assets in the chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry has turned negative since June 2025, with capital expenditures in the basic chemical industry and several sub-industries declining for multiple consecutive quarters. The current expansion cycle in the industry is nearing its end. In September, policies aimed at stabilizing growth in the petrochemical industry were introduced to address low-price and disorderly competition and to promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity. Sub-industries such as silicone, caprolactam, and PTA polyester have responded to these "anti-involution" measures by either issuing or formulating industry guidelines. It is anticipated that there will be stricter approvals for new chemical product capacities, and the elimination of backward production capacity (such as small scale, high energy consumption, and high pollution) will accelerate, effectively alleviating the issue of supply surplus in the petrochemical industry [2][3]. Demand Side - Traditional demand is expected to see a moderate recovery due to global central banks entering a rate-cutting cycle and pausing balance sheet reductions, supported by monetary and fiscal policy stimuli. Emerging demand from sectors such as new energy, SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel), and AI continues to drive the need for key chemical materials that support technological upgrades in industries [3]. - The overseas chemical capacity reduction, driven by high energy costs and aging facilities, has led to a wave of plant closures in the European chemical industry since 2025. Currently, China's chemical product sales account for over 40% of the global market, with a well-established domestic petrochemical industry chain. As overseas capacity continues to clear and demand is expected to recover, Chinese chemical companies are likely to see an increase in global market share, accelerating the digestion of surplus capacity [3]. Macro and Chemical Product Prices - As of December 2025, the manufacturing PMI index was reported at 50.1%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, indicating expansion. The China Chemical Product Price Index (CCPI) was reported at 3927 points, a decrease of 9.4% from 4333 points at the beginning of the year, reflecting a decline in the ex-factory prices of major chemical products [3]. Oil Prices - In 2025, international oil prices exhibited a fluctuating downward trend, with Brent crude futures averaging approximately $69.15 per barrel and WTI crude futures averaging about $65.87 per barrel. This fluctuation was influenced by a combination of factors, including OPEC+'s gradual production increases, geopolitical conflicts, and macroeconomic sentiment. OPEC+ announced a pause in production increases at the beginning of 2026 to alleviate surplus pressures after a cumulative increase of 411,000 barrels per day from October to December. The demand from non-OECD countries, along with aviation fuel and petrochemical raw material needs, has become a major support for oil prices. Major institutions have narrowed their demand growth expectations for 2025-2026 to a range of 700,000 to 1.4 million barrels per day [4]. Investment Recommendations - The refining and chemical sector is expected to see a recovery in overall profits due to moderate oil prices and reduced cost fluctuations. The industry is also experiencing a shift towards "reducing oil and increasing chemicals," supported by clear anti-involution policy signals. Recommended companies include China Petroleum and Rongsheng Petrochemical [5][6]. - In the potassium fertilizer sector, potassium salt resources are expected to remain scarce, with a tight balance in global supply and demand over the next 2-3 years. Recommended company: Yara International, which holds significant potassium salt mining rights in Laos [6]. - In the phosphorus chemical sector, the demand for lithium iron phosphate in energy storage is expected to enhance the marginal pull on phosphorus ore demand, leading to a revaluation of phosphorus ore. Recommended companies include Chuanheng Co. and Yuntianhua [6]. - In the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) sector, the EU has mandated a gradual increase in SAF blending ratios, with global SAF demand expected to double to 2 million tons by 2025. Recommended company: Zhuoyue New Energy, a leading domestic biodiesel enterprise [6][7].