Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Ctrip and Mxue Group, while upgrading Mxue Group's rating from "Hold" to "Buy" [2][8]. Core Insights - Ctrip's Q2 2025 revenue grew by 16% year-on-year to 14.9 billion yuan, with a non-GAAP operating profit of 4.7 billion yuan and a non-GAAP operating margin of 31%, exceeding expectations due to lower marketing expenses [2][7]. - Mxue Group's H1 2025 revenue reached 14.9 billion yuan, a 39% increase year-on-year, with net profit of 2.7 billion yuan, up 44%, driven by higher-than-expected store openings [2][8]. - Gu Ming's H1 2025 revenue was 5.7 billion yuan, a 41% year-on-year increase, with adjusted core profit of 1.1 billion yuan, up 49%, attributed to higher store count and single-store revenue [3][9]. Summary by Sections Ctrip - Q2 2025 revenue increased by 16% to 14.9 billion yuan, with accommodation booking revenue up 21%, transportation revenue up 11%, and group travel revenue up 5% [2][7]. - International OTA platform bookings grew over 60% year-on-year, with inbound tourism bookings more than doubling [2][7]. - The company has fully utilized its $400 million share buyback authorization and approved a new buyback plan of up to $5 billion [2][7]. Mxue Group - H1 2025 revenue was 14.9 billion yuan, a 39% increase, with net profit of 2.7 billion yuan, up 44% [2][8]. - The company is expanding in Southeast Asia, with daily sales growth in Indonesia and Vietnam, and plans for new stores in the U.S. and Latin America [2][8]. - The Lucky Coffee brand complements Mxue's offerings, focusing on freshly ground coffee, enhancing supply chain advantages [2][8]. Gu Ming - H1 2025 revenue reached 5.7 billion yuan, a 41% increase, with adjusted core profit of 1.1 billion yuan, up 49% [3][9]. - The company added 1,265 new stores, bringing the total to 11,179, with a significant increase in stores in lower-tier cities [3][9]. - The average daily GMV per store grew by 21% to 7,600 yuan, benefiting from substantial takeout subsidies [3][9]. Domestic Pharmaceutical Companies - Xinda Biologics reported H1 2025 revenue of 5.953 billion yuan, a 50.6% increase, with net profit turning positive at 834 million yuan [4][13]. - Kangfang Biologics achieved H1 2025 revenue of 1.472 billion yuan, a 37.8% increase, but reported a net loss of 588 million yuan [4][13]. - Rongchang Biologics reported H1 2025 revenue of 1.092 billion yuan, a 47.6% increase, with a reduced net loss of 450 million yuan [4][13]. Overseas Pharmaceutical Companies - Eli Lilly's GLP-1 obesity drug trial showed significant weight loss results, with the 36mg group achieving a 10.5% average weight reduction [5][16]. - BioArctic partnered with Novartis to develop a new CNS drug, receiving an upfront payment of $30 million [5][16]. - Regeneron announced positive results for its MG drug in a Phase III trial, achieving key endpoints [5][16].

Group 1 - Haitong International raised the target price for Gu Ming (01364) from HKD 24.2 to HKD 27.7, maintaining an "outperform" rating [1] - Gu Ming reported impressive revenue growth driven by store expansion and same-store sales, with a transaction value of RMB 14.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34%, and revenue of RMB 5.66 billion, up 41% year-on-year [1] - The sales breakdown includes RMB 4.50 billion from merchandise, RMB 1.16 billion from franchise management services, and RMB 0.01 billion from direct store sales, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 42%, 39%, and 14% [1] Group 2 - The firm expects continued growth from takeout services in the second half of the year, with ongoing promotion of coffee and breakfast products expanding consumer scenarios and attracting new customers [1] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised by 15%, 18%, and 31% to RMB 12.4 billion, RMB 15.2 billion, and RMB 18.8 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 41%, 22%, and 24% [1] - Adjusted net profit forecasts have been increased by 22%, 27%, and 46% to RMB 2.30 billion, RMB 2.79 billion, and RMB 3.49 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 49%, 21%, and 25%, and adjusted net profit margins of 18.5%, 18.4%, and 18.5% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International has raised the target price for Gu Ming (01364) from HKD 24.2 to HKD 27.7, maintaining an "outperform" rating due to strong revenue growth driven by store expansion and same-store sales growth [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Gu Ming achieved a transaction value of RMB 14.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34%, with revenue reaching RMB 5.66 billion, up 41% year-on-year [1] - Revenue from sales of goods and equipment, franchise management services, and direct store sales were RMB 4.50 billion, RMB 1.16 billion, and RMB 0.01 billion, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 42%, 39%, and 14% [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see continued growth in the second half of the year, with takeout services contributing additional revenue, and the promotion of coffee and breakfast products expanding consumer scenarios [1] - Haitong International has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 15%, 18%, and 31% to RMB 12.4 billion, RMB 15.2 billion, and RMB 18.8 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 41%, 22%, and 24% [1] - The adjusted net profit forecasts have been increased by 22%, 27%, and 46% to RMB 2.30 billion, RMB 2.79 billion, and RMB 3.49 billion, with year-on-year growth of 49%, 21%, and 25% [1] - The adjusted net profit margins are projected to be 18.5%, 18.4%, and 18.5% for the respective years [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Dahe has lowered the target price for Gu Ming (01364) to HKD 27 while maintaining a "Buy" rating, reflecting the impact of delivery subsidies on the market environment [1] - The expected price-to-earnings ratio for 2025-2026 has been adjusted down to 25 times from the previous 30 times, indicating a more cautious outlook [1] - Gu Ming's management has shown determination to address order fluctuations caused by delivery platforms, and there is increased confidence in their clear roadmap to reach 20,000 stores in the next three years [1] Group 2 - In a recent conference call, management reported that the average transaction value per store in July and August continued to grow by approximately 20% after the peak of subsidies [1] - Dine-in demand also experienced a year-on-year increase of several percentage points during the delivery competition period, showcasing resilience in customer preferences [1]

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa released a report stating that Gu Ming (01364) is striving to maintain stable growth after the peak of subsidies, reiterating a "Buy" rating, with the expected price-to-earnings ratio for 2025-2026 adjusted down to 25 times from 30 times, and the target price reduced from HKD 32 to HKD 27 to reflect the environment post-delivery subsidies [1] Group 1 - The report indicates increased confidence in Gu Ming's management's commitment to addressing order fluctuations caused by delivery platforms, as well as a clear roadmap to achieve 20,000 stores in the next three years [1] - Management shared that the total merchandise transaction value per store in July and August continued to grow by approximately 20% after the peak of subsidies [1] - Dine-in demand also experienced a year-on-year increase of several percentage points during the delivery competition period [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated significant growth in revenue and profit in the first half of 2025, driven by store expansion and improved operational efficiency [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.66 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.2% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.63 billion yuan, up 121.5% year-on-year [1] - Adjusted profit for the same period was 1.09 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 42.4% [1] Business Segmentation - Revenue from sales of goods and equipment was 4.50 billion yuan, accounting for 79.4% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 41.8% [2] - Franchise management service revenue was 1.16 billion yuan, making up 20.5% of total revenue, with a growth of 39.2% [2] - Direct store sales revenue was 7.84 million yuan, representing 0.1% of total revenue [2] Store Expansion - The company added a net of 1,265 stores in H1 2025, significantly accelerating its expansion pace compared to the previous year [2] - Total store count reached 11,179 by the end of H1 2025, with a revised annual net store addition target increased from 2,100 to 2,500 [2] - The proportion of stores in lower-tier cities reached 80.9%, with town stores accounting for 43% of the total [2] Operational Efficiency - Average GMV per store was 1.371 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.6% [2] - The number of cups sold per store was 79,400, up 16.6% year-on-year, with an estimated average price per cup increasing by approximately 4% [2] Profitability Metrics - Gross margin stood at 31.5%, with a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points [3] - Operating profit margin improved by 1.6 percentage points to 23.7% [3] - Adjusted net profit margin increased by 0.2 percentage points to 19.2% [3] Future Outlook - The company has revised its adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 2.22 billion, 2.74 billion, and 3.31 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting increases of 10%, 9%, and 7% [3] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from product innovation and expansion in lower-tier markets, potentially leading to sustained valuation premiums [3]

Core Insights - The company reported strong performance in H1 2025, with revenue reaching 5.663 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.2%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.626 billion yuan, up 121.5% [1] - Adjusted net profit, excluding the impact of fair value changes from preferred shares and listing expenses, was 1.086 billion yuan, reflecting a 42.4% year-on-year growth [1] - The company is expanding its store network aggressively, with a total of 11,179 stores by the end of H1 2025, a 17.5% increase year-on-year [1] Business Performance - Revenue from product sales and equipment reached 4.496 billion yuan, a 42% increase year-on-year, accounting for 79% of total revenue [1] - Franchise management service revenue was 1.159 billion yuan, up 39% year-on-year, making up 20% of total revenue [1] - Direct store sales were 0.08 billion yuan, reflecting a 14% year-on-year increase [1] Store Expansion - The company opened 1,570 new stores in H1 2025 while closing 305, indicating a steady expansion of its store network [1] - The company is focusing on penetrating lower-tier markets, which presents significant growth potential [1] Operational Improvement - Total GMV for H1 2025 was 14.094 billion yuan, a 34% year-on-year increase, with average daily GMV per store at 7,600 yuan, up 21% [1] - The average daily cup sales per store reached 439 cups, a 17% increase year-on-year, with an average cup price of 17.25 yuan, up 3% [1] - The company has optimized its brand matrix, with registered members reaching 178 million and quarterly active members at 50 million [1] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is expected to accelerate market share capture due to its expanding store network and improving same-store performance [1] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised, with net profits projected at 2.685 billion, 2.495 billion, and 2.881 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 19, 20, and 18 times [1] - The investment rating is maintained at "Buy" [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report highlights strong revenue and profit growth for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 5.663 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 41.2%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.625 billion RMB, up 121.5% year-on-year [7] - The company is experiencing significant scale effects that enhance profitability, with a gross margin of 31.5% and an adjusted net profit margin of 19.2% [7] - The expansion of store locations is progressing steadily, with over 11,179 stores across more than 200 cities in China, marking a 17.5% increase from the previous year [7] - Continuous product innovation is evident, with 52 new products launched in the first half of 2025, including significant advancements in the coffee category [7] - The company is expected to maintain strong growth in net profit for 2025-2027, with projections of 2.232 billion RMB, 2.651 billion RMB, and 3.052 billion RMB respectively, reflecting growth rates of 50.93%, 18.78%, and 15.13% [6][7] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 10,953 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 24.59% [6] - The estimated net profit for 2025 is 2,231.52 million RMB, with a significant year-on-year growth of 50.93% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.94 RMB in 2025, increasing to 1.28 RMB by 2027 [6]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Gu Ming (01364) has been opening stores at a pace exceeding expectations, driven by delivery subsidies and new product offerings, with a strong growth in gross merchandise value (GMV) of over 20% in July and August [1] Financial Performance - The company’s revenue growth is expected to be supported by strong store openings and category expansion, despite an increased base for food delivery subsidies by 2025 [1] - Goldman Sachs has raised its profit forecasts for Gu Ming for 2025 to 2027 by 9% to 14%, and adjusted the core net profit forecast for this year from 2.2 billion RMB to 2.4 billion RMB [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price for Gu Ming has been increased from 30 HKD to 32 HKD, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Gu Ming (01364) has been opening stores at a pace exceeding expectations, driven by delivery subsidies and new product offerings, with GMV growth exceeding 20% in July and August [1] Group 1: Store Expansion and Performance - Gu Ming's store opening speed has consistently surpassed expectations [1] - The company has experienced strong GMV growth, with over 20% increase in July and August [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - Goldman Sachs has raised Gu Ming's profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 9% to 14% [1] - The adjusted core net profit forecast for this year has been increased from 2.2 billion RMB to 2.4 billion RMB [1] Group 3: Target Price and Rating - The target price for Gu Ming has been raised from 30 HKD to 32 HKD [1] - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1]