Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% from the current price [6][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 16.75 billion for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decline of 11%, and a net profit of RMB 1.94 billion, down 16% year-on-year, which was below expectations [7]. - The report highlights a marginal improvement in duty-free sales, particularly in Hainan, with a notable recovery in average transaction value [9]. - The company is expected to optimize its product categories, membership services, and supply chain management, leading to projected net profits of RMB 5.26 billion, RMB 5.96 billion, and RMB 6.70 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9]. Company Overview - The company operates in the retail trade industry and has a current H-share price of HKD 51.85, with a market capitalization of RMB 90.20 billion [2]. - The major shareholder is China Tourism Group, holding 50.3% of the shares [2]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be RMB 2.54, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19 times [9]. Financial Performance - The company’s net profit for 2022 was RMB 5.03 billion, with projections of RMB 6.71 billion for 2023 and RMB 4.27 billion for 2024, reflecting fluctuations in profitability [8]. - The revenue forecast for 2025 is RMB 62.93 billion, with a year-on-year growth expectation of 23.3% [15]. - The report indicates a stable cost structure, with a gross margin of 33% and a decrease in financial expenses [9].

Group 1 - Hong Kong tourism stocks showed strong performance during trading, with Ctrip Group (09961.HK) rising nearly 4% [1] - Tongcheng Travel (00780.HK) increased by nearly 3% [1] - Guangdong Transport (03399.HK) saw a rise of 2.8% [1] - China Duty Free Group (01880.HK) also experienced gains [1]

| | | 中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司 会议资料 2024 年年度股东大会 二〇二五年五月 1. 个人股东亲自出席会议的，应出示本人身份证或者其它能够表明其身份 的有效证件或者证明；代理他人出席会议的，应出示本人有效身份证件、委托人 身份证复印件、股东授权委托书； | 议案十：关于修订《公司章程》的议案 30 | | --- | 中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司 2024 年年度股东大会会议资料 2024 年年度股东大会须知 根据《公司法》《上市公司股东会规则》及《公司章程》等有关规定，为确 保股东大会的正常秩序和议事效率，保证大会顺利进行，特制定须知如下： 一、会议按照《公司法》等有关法律、行政法规、部门规章、规范性文件以 及《公司章程》的有关规定进行，请参会人员自觉维护会议秩序，防止不当行为 影响其他股东合法权益。 二、出席现场会议的股东请在会议召开前30分钟到达会议现场办理签到手续， 并按规定出示及提供如下文件： 2. 法人股东应由法定代表人或者法定代表人委托的代理人出席会议。法定 代表人出席会议的，应出示本人身份证、能证明其具有法定代表人资格的有效证 明、公司营业执照复印件；代理人出席会议的，代理人应出 ...

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年4月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國旅遊集團中免股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年5月6日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01880 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 116,383,500 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 116,383,500 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | 0 | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 116,383,500 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 116,383,500 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A ...

证券代码：601888 证券简称：中国中免 公告编号：临 2025-016 中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司 关于召开2024年年度股东大会的通知 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 一、 召开会议的基本情况 (一)股东大会类型和届次 2024年年度股东大会 (三)投票方式：本次股东大会所采用的表决方式是现场投票和网络投票相结合的 方式 (四)现场会议召开的日期、时间和地点 召开的日期时间：2025 年 5 月 27 日 14 点 00 分 召开地点：北京市朝阳区新源西里中街 18 号渔阳饭店会议厅 (五)网络投票的系统、起止日期和投票时间。 网络投票系统：上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系统 网络投票起止时间：自2025 年 5 月 27 日 (二)股东大会召集人：董事会 1 股东大会召开日期：2025年5月27日 本次股东大会采用的网络投票系统：上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系统 至2025 年 5 月 27 日 采用上海证券交易所网络投票系统，通过交易系统投票平台的投票时间为股 东大会召开当日的交易 ...

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of favorable policies, such as the 144-hour visa-free transit, has significantly boosted China's inbound and outbound tourism, leading to a rapid recovery in the tourism market and increased consumer spending in duty-free shopping [2] Group 1: Duty-Free Store Policy - The Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Commerce, Ministry of Culture and Tourism, General Administration of Customs, and State Taxation Administration issued a notice to enhance the management of city duty-free stores, effective from October 1, 2024 [2][4] - The new regulations exempt duty-free stores from customs duties, import VAT, and consumption tax on imported goods, while domestic goods sold in these stores are treated as exports, allowing for tax refunds [4][6] - The policy aims to promote the healthy and orderly development of city duty-free stores, with a focus on enhancing consumer shopping experiences through reduced costs [6] Group 2: Store Operations and Requirements - City duty-free stores are required to sell goods only to travelers holding valid exit documents and are set to operate under a "buy in-store, pick up at the port" model [9][10] - The stores must undergo customs inspection and approval before commencing operations, with existing stores in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Xiamen adapting to the new regulations starting October 1, 2024 [7][8] - New duty-free stores will be established in cities such as Guangzhou, Chengdu, and Shenzhen, with a focus on selling a variety of consumer goods [8] Group 3: Tax Benefits and Consumer Impact - The tax exemptions provided by the new policy can significantly lower operational costs for duty-free stores, enhancing their competitive pricing and improving the shopping experience for consumers [6] - For example, a hypothetical case of jade ornaments illustrates that the total tax savings for a duty-free store can amount to 1,228.14 yuan, which translates to lower prices for consumers [5][6] - The policy encourages the sale of domestic products, particularly those that promote Chinese culture, thereby supporting local brands [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock's performance in the near term [6]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was 16.746 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.96% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.938 billion yuan, down 15.98% [1]. - The decline in duty-free sales has been narrowing, with a recovery in average transaction value, although shopping conversion rates remain a challenge. The duty-free shopping amount in Hainan for Q1 2025 was 11.31 billion yuan, down 11.4%, with the number of shoppers decreasing by 27.8% [2]. - The international passenger flow is recovering significantly, with Q1 2025 international passenger traffic at major airports showing increases of 20% to 26% compared to the previous year, suggesting a positive trend for duty-free sales [2][3]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 4.7 billion yuan, 5.2 billion yuan, and 5.7 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a recovery trend [3]. - The comprehensive gross margin for Q1 2025 was 33.0%, a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 11.6%, down 0.7 percentage points [2]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 56.474 billion yuan in 2024 to 72.772 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 6.25% [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][8] Core Views - The company's performance in Q1 2025 showed a revenue of 16.746 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 10.96%, with a gross margin of 32.98% [1] - The decline in offshore duty-free sales is expected to stabilize, with a potential recovery in operations as demand improves [1] - The company is positioned to benefit from various supportive policies, a rebound in inbound tourism, and an expansion of product offerings, which could enhance profitability [1][3] - The introduction of new tax refund policies is anticipated to boost consumer spending among inbound tourists [3] - The long-term value of the company remains promising, with target prices set at 79.1 RMB for A-shares and 73.08 HKD for H-shares [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 16.746 billion, with a net profit of 1.938 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 15.98% [1] - The company expects EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 2.26, 2.56, and 2.91 RMB respectively [4] Market Trends - The sales figures for offshore duty-free in January, February, and March 2025 were 3.13 billion, 5.28 billion, and 2.90 billion respectively, with a narrowing year-on-year decline [2] - The recovery in airport passenger traffic is evident, with significant increases in international passenger throughput [2] Policy Impact - New tax refund policies are expected to enhance the shopping experience for inbound tourists, potentially increasing their spending [3] - The company is actively expanding its city store channels, which are expected to capture additional inbound tourist traffic [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 16.746 billion RMB in Q1 2025, a year-over-year decrease of 10.96%, with a gross margin of 32.98% [1]. - The decline in duty-free sales is expected to stabilize as the high base effect diminishes, leading to a potential recovery in operations [1]. - The company is positioned to benefit from various supportive policies, a rebound in inbound and outbound passenger flow, and an upgrade in product structure, which could enhance profitability [1]. - The new "buy and refund" tax policy is anticipated to boost consumer spending among inbound tourists [3]. - The company has plans to upgrade existing city stores and add new ones, which is expected to capture additional inbound customer traffic [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 16.746 billion RMB, with a net profit of 1.938 billion RMB, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 15.98% [1]. - The company forecasts EPS of 2.26, 2.56, and 2.91 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]. Market Trends - Duty-free sales in January, February, and March 2025 were 3.13 billion, 5.28 billion, and 2.90 billion RMB, with year-over-year declines narrowing to -5.3% in March [2]. - The recovery in airport passenger flow is evident, with significant increases in international passenger throughput [2]. Valuation - The target price for A-shares is set at 79.1 RMB, and for H-shares at 73.08 HKD, reflecting a premium based on the company's leading position in the duty-free market [4].

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·旅游零售Ⅱ 中国中免（601888） 2025 一季报点评：海南降幅继续收窄，关注 市内店和消费政策效果 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 67,540 | 56,474 | 59,182 | 63,365 | 67,777 | | 同比（%） | 24.08 | (16.38) | 4.80 | 7.07 | 6.96 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 6,714 | 4,267 | 4,680 | 5,353 | 5,976 | | 同比（%） | 33.46 | (36.44) | 9.68 | 14.38 | 11.63 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 3.25 | 2.06 | 2.26 | 2.59 | 2.89 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 19.20 | 30.22 | 27.55 | 24.08 | 21.58 | [Table_Tag] ...