Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Securities has raised the gross profit margin forecast for Guoshengtang (02273) based on the 2025 interim report, adjusting the earnings per share for 2025-2027 to 1.54, 1.88, and 2.30 yuan respectively, with a target price of 45.54 HKD based on a 27x P/E ratio for 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1][2] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 150 million yuan, up 41.9%, and operating cash flow of 300 million yuan, up 111%, while free cash flow reached 210 million yuan, a significant increase of 466% [2] Business Growth and Strategy - By business segment, the revenue from healthcare solutions in the first half of 2025 was 1.48 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, while revenue from health products was 10 million yuan. Offline institutional revenue was 1.37 billion yuan, up 11.1%, with same-store sales accounting for 97.3%, indicating growth primarily from existing stores [3] - The company added 7 new stores (4 self-built and 3 acquired) and entered 2 new cities, following a strategy of "steady growth from existing stores and orderly expansion of new stores" to mitigate acquisition risks and ensure high-quality performance growth [3] Product Development and International Expansion - The revenue from in-hospital preparations and other self-priced products saw explosive growth, increasing by 209% year-on-year. The company added 2 new in-hospital preparations, bringing the total to 14, with one product successfully certified and launched in Singapore [4] - Revenue from Singapore reached 2.143 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 121%, indicating rapid growth in overseas business and the establishment of a dual-wheel business model of "service + product" [4] Digital and AI Initiatives - The company has established deep collaborations with major platforms such as Xiaohongshu, Meituan, Douyin, and Gaode Map, with new users from these platforms accounting for 7.6% of the group's offline new user count, achieving lower customer acquisition costs than the industry average [5] - As of late August, the prescription payment rate for the AI avatar reached 76.7%, with expert prescription adoption exceeding 80%. The company possesses over 20 million consultation records, 18 million cases, and 100,000 high-quality expert data, planning to advance AI avatar functionalities and commercial applications [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong internal profit growth and is advancing in AI and overseas expansion [2][3]. - Revenue and gross margin forecasts have been adjusted, with earnings per share for 2025-2027 projected at 1.54, 1.88, and 2.30 CNY respectively [4]. - The target price is set at 45.54 HKD, based on a 27x P/E ratio for 2025 [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023A, the company reported revenue of 2,323 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 43.0% [5]. - The projected revenue for 2025E is 3,572 million CNY, reflecting an 18.2% increase [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025E is expected to be 364 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 18.7% [5]. - The gross margin is forecasted to be 29.5% in 2025E, with a slight increase to 30.6% by 2027E [5]. - The net profit margin is projected to stabilize around 10.2% for 2025E [5]. Business Strategy and Growth Drivers - The company is focusing on optimizing its structure for internal growth, with a significant increase in revenue from proprietary products [9]. - The introduction of new in-hospital formulations has led to a 209% increase in revenue from these products [9]. - The company is expanding its overseas business, with notable growth in Singapore, where revenue increased by 121% [9]. - The integration of AI technology is enhancing operational efficiency and customer acquisition [9].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Multiple companies, including Tencent Holdings and Anta Sports, conducted share buybacks on September 23, 2025, with Tencent leading in terms of buyback amount and quantity [1][2]. Group 1: Buyback Details - Tencent Holdings (00700) repurchased 867,000 shares for a total of 550 million [2]. - Anta Sports (02020) repurchased 2.12 million shares for a total of 200 million [2]. - Hang Seng Bank (00011) repurchased 200,000 shares for a total of 23.57 million [2]. - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (00386) repurchased 5.51 million shares for a total of 22.44 million [2]. - Stone Four Pharmaceutical Group (02005) repurchased 5 million shares for a total of 14.67 million [2]. Group 2: Cumulative Buyback Data - Tencent's cumulative buyback for the year reached 61.59 million shares, accounting for 0.670% of its total share capital [2]. - Anta Sports' cumulative buyback for the year reached 4.24 million shares, accounting for 0.151% of its total share capital [2]. - China Hongqiao Group (01378) had a cumulative buyback of 15.2 million shares, accounting for 1.620% of its total share capital [2]. - Coolpad Group (02369) had a significant cumulative buyback of 27.25 million shares, accounting for 6.653% of its total share capital [2].

证券时报·数据宝统计，固生堂在港交所公告显示，9月23日以每股31.500港元至32.040港元的价格回购 24.00万股，回购金额达760.89万港元。该股当日收盘价31.660港元，下跌2.58%，全天成交额5257.21万 港元。 | 日期 | 回购股数（万股） | 回购最高价（港元） | 回购最低价（港元） | 回购金额（万港元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025.09.23 | 24.00 | 32.040 | 31.500 | 760.89 | | 2025.09.22 | 6.74 | 32.700 | 32.440 | 219.61 | | 2025.09.19 | 14.18 | 33.320 | 32.900 | 469.63 | | 2025.09.18 | 13.20 | 33.800 | 33.360 | 443.11 | | 2025.09.17 | 13.00 | 33.800 | 33.360 | 437.62 | | 2025.09.16 | 8.17 | 32.400 | 32.120 | 263.96 | | 2025.09 ...

如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02273 | 說明 | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份（不包括庫存股 份）數目百分比 (註3) | 庫存股份數目 | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | 已發行股份總數 | | 於下列日期開始時的結存(註1) | 2025年9月22日 | 236,014,992 | | 0 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guoshengtang (02273), announced a share buyback plan, indicating confidence in its stock value and future prospects [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Share Buyback Details - The company will repurchase 67,400 shares at a total cost of HKD 2.1961 million [1] - The buyback price per share ranges from HKD 32.44 to HKD 32.70 [1]

智通财经APP讯，固生堂(02273)发布公告，该公司于2025年9月22日斥资219.61万港元回购6.74万股股 份，每股回购价格为32.44-32.7港元。 ...

格隆汇9月22日丨固生堂(02273.HK)公告，9月22日耗资220万港元回购6.7万股。 ...

翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 固生堂控股有限公司 呈交日期： 2025年9月22日 FF305 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 第 2 頁 共 7 頁 v 1.3.0 FF305 確認 不適用 第一章節註釋： | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02273 | 說明 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the biopharmaceutical industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The growth of healthcare expenses, which reached 9.06 trillion yuan in 2023, is outpacing GDP growth, indicating that commercial health insurance may provide a solution to the pressures faced by the medical insurance system [3][15] - The commercial health insurance sector is expected to grow significantly, with premiums projected to reach 97.74 billion yuan by 2024, driven by low penetration rates and the need for additional funding sources [20][24] - Policies are increasingly supportive of commercial health insurance, particularly in relation to innovative drugs, which are now being included in the commercial health insurance directory [71][76] Summary by Sections Part 1: Healthcare Financing System - The healthcare financing system in China consists of government, social, and personal contributions, with social contributions being the main driver for future growth [10][15] Part 2: Growth of Health Insurance - The commercial health insurance market is expected to fill a significant funding gap, with an estimated shortfall of over 1.7 trillion yuan by 2030 [21][22] - Medical insurance is the primary source of compensation within commercial health insurance, with a compensation rate of approximately 68.79% in 2022 [27][31] Part 3: Core Products of Medical Insurance - The report highlights the importance of medical insurance as a key focus area, noting that it directly compensates for medical expenses, unlike critical illness insurance [31][35] Part 4: Policy Support for Health Insurance Development - A series of policies since 2009 have aimed to promote the development of commercial health insurance, with specific targets for market size and coverage [71][72] Part 5: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on innovative drug companies with rich pipelines, DTP pharmacies, and companies in the TPA industry, as well as innovative medical devices and high-end medical service providers [77]