Investment Rating - The industry maintains a rating of "Add" [6] Core Viewpoints - The textile and apparel industry is expected to recover in 2024, with a focus on quality brands in 2025. The apparel brands are projected to face profit pressure in 2024, with a slight improvement anticipated in Q1 2025 [1][4] - The textile manufacturing sector shows stable growth, with a significant profit increase driven by improved capacity utilization. The impact of recent tariff changes may accelerate industry optimization in the medium to long term [2][4] - The gold and jewelry sector exhibits performance divergence, with brands that focus on store expansion and product differentiation outperforming the industry average [3][4] Summary by Sections 1. Apparel Brands - In 2024, the revenue of key apparel companies (A-shares only) is expected to decline by 2.2%, with a net profit drop of 24.1%. The decline in profit is more significant than revenue due to negative operating leverage and increased expense ratios [1][21] - The gross margin for key apparel companies is projected to increase by 0.4 percentage points to 56.8% in 2024, with a further increase of 1.1 percentage points to 57.4% in Q1 2025 [1][33] - Cash flow for most brands in 2024 is expected to align with performance, maintaining a high dividend payout ratio [1][49] 2. Textile Manufacturing - The textile manufacturing sector is projected to see a revenue increase of 6.4% and a net profit growth of 26.9% in 2024, with leading companies like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group showing revenue growth rates of 15% and 19% respectively [2][4] - The revenue growth for key textile manufacturing companies is expected to slow down in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 due to high base effects, but overall performance remains stable [2][4] - The sector is expected to benefit from a more integrated and internationalized supply chain, particularly for leading companies [2][4] 3. Gold and Jewelry - The gold and jewelry sector is expected to see a revenue decline of 1.7% in 2024, with a net profit increase of 3.6%. Companies with strong product differentiation and store expansion strategies are likely to outperform [3][4] - The consumption of gold jewelry is projected to decrease by 25% in 2024, while the demand for gold bars and coins is expected to rise by 25% [3][4] 4. Investment Recommendations - For apparel brands, recommended stocks include Anta Sports, with a projected PE of 18 times for 2025, and other companies like Tabo, Weigao Medical, and Hailan Home, with varying PE ratios [4][9] - In textile manufacturing, recommended stocks include Shenzhou International and Huayi Group, with projected PE ratios of 11 and 15 times respectively for 2025 [4][9] - In the gold and jewelry sector, companies like Chow Tai Fook and Chaohongji are highlighted, with projected PE ratios of 16 and 18 times for 2025 [4][9]

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhou International (02313) reported a total revenue of 29.898 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 14.88% and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.241 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year increase of 36.94% [2] Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2024 was 29.898 billion yuan, up 14.88% year-on-year [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 6.241 billion yuan, reflecting a 36.94% increase compared to the previous year [2] - Operating cash flow net amount was 5.273 billion yuan, showing a slight growth of 0.89% year-on-year [2][27] - Basic earnings per share were 4.15 yuan, with a weighted average return on equity of 17.97%, an increase of 3.74 percentage points from the previous year [2][23] Dividend Distribution - The company proposed a dividend distribution plan for 2024, with a payout of 1.28 HKD per share, equivalent to 1.19 RMB [2] Valuation Metrics - As of April 23, the price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) was approximately 11.72 times, the price-to-book ratio (TTM) was about 2.04 times, and the price-to-sales ratio (TTM) was around 2.55 times [2] Revenue Composition - The revenue composition for 2024 included: - Sports products: 19.7994 billion yuan - Leisure products: 7.2072 billion yuan - Underwear: 1.4358 billion yuan - Other knitted products: 0.2206 billion yuan [17] Cash Flow and Debt Management - Cash flow from financing activities was -2.651 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.984 billion yuan year-on-year [27] - Cash flow from investing activities was -3.469 billion yuan, compared to -1.38 billion yuan in the previous year [27] - As of the end of 2024, the company’s long-term borrowings decreased by 100%, while short-term borrowings increased by 25.62% [42] Asset and Liability Changes - As of the end of 2024, cash and cash equivalents increased by 47.65%, while fixed assets decreased by 1.53% [39] - The current ratio was 2.29, and the quick ratio was 1.88 [46]

Financial Performance - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, the company reported a sales revenue of RMB 28,662,938, an increase of 14.3% from RMB 24,969,792 in 2023[8] - The company's profit before tax for 2024 was RMB 7,163,778, representing a 43.5% increase compared to RMB 4,995,501 in 2023[8] - The net profit for 2024 was RMB 6,240,581, up 37.0% from RMB 4,557,263 in 2023[8] - The gross profit margin improved to 28.1% in 2024, compared to 24.3% in 2023[8] - The group’s overall revenue and operating performance returned to growth, achieving a new high in 2024[12] - The company achieved a sales revenue of approximately RMB 28,662,938,000 for the fiscal year 2024, representing an increase of about 14.8% compared to the previous year[28] - Gross profit for the year was approximately RMB 8,054,897,000, up about 32.9% year-on-year, with a gross margin improvement of 3.8 percentage points to 28.1%[28] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was approximately RMB 6,240,581,000, reflecting a year-on-year increase of about 36.9%[28] - The company reported a total comprehensive income of RMB 6,171,766 thousand for 2024, compared to RMB 4,566,558 thousand in 2023, reflecting overall financial health[166] Market and Sales Performance - Sales from the sports category accounted for 69.1% of total sales in 2024, amounting to RMB 19,799,350[9] - Domestic sales in China reached RMB 8,061,175, representing 28.1% of total sales in 2024[10] - The group's sales in the domestic market of China increased by 13.2% year-on-year, with apparel sales amounting to approximately RMB 7,870,002,000, up from RMB 6,964,278,000, representing a growth of about RMB 905,724,000 or 13.0%[34] - Sales of sports products reached approximately RMB 19,799,350,000, an increase of about 9.8% from the previous year, driven by demand in the mainland China and U.S. markets[30] - Sales of casual products increased by approximately 27.1% to RMB 7,207,239,000, primarily due to rising demand in the Japanese market[30] - The company’s sales in the Japanese market grew by approximately 31.5% to RMB 4,834,111,000, attributed to increased demand for casual and lingerie products[33] Production and Capacity - The company produced 5.5 billion garments in 2024, maintaining its capacity to produce 250,000 tons of fabric annually[4] - The group initiated the construction of a second fabric factory in Vietnam and plans to start hiring for a new garment factory in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, to expand production capacity[11] - The company plans to start recruiting for its new garment factory in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, in March 2025, with an expected workforce of around 6,000 employees[26] Assets and Financial Health - The company’s total assets increased to RMB 53,107,848 in 2024, up from RMB 48,611,137 in 2023[8] - The current ratio improved to 2.3 in 2024, compared to 2.1 in 2023, indicating better short-term financial health[8] - As of December 31, 2024, the equity attributable to the owners of the parent company was approximately RMB 35,852,895,000, an increase from RMB 32,867,316,000 in the previous year[36] - The net cash generated from operating activities was approximately RMB 5,272,964,000, slightly up from RMB 5,226,525,000 in the previous year, with cash and cash equivalents totaling approximately RMB 10,868,830,000[37] - The net debt (bank borrowings minus cash and cash equivalents) increased to approximately RMB 1,949,734,000 from RMB 507,515,000, primarily due to an increase in time deposits over three months[38] Corporate Governance - The company has adhered to all corporate governance codes as of December 31, 2024[54] - The board consists of five executive directors and four independent non-executive directors, with independent non-executive directors accounting for approximately 44.4% of the board members[64] - The company has implemented a shareholder communication policy to ensure that shareholder views and concerns are appropriately addressed[60] - The board has a clear division of responsibilities, with the chairman managing board operations and the co-CEOs overseeing daily business operations[63] - The company provides ongoing professional development for directors to enhance their knowledge and skills in accordance with corporate governance codes[57] Sustainability and Innovation - The group is committed to promoting green and low-carbon transformation, enhancing production efficiency through digitalization and automation[12] - The company aims to enhance production efficiency through automation and AI applications, focusing on reducing training periods and improving employee comfort[51] - The company is committed to sustainable development through smart manufacturing and digital transformation to drive industry upgrades[52] Dividends and Shareholder Returns - The company reported a final dividend of HKD 1.28 per share, equivalent to approximately RMB 1.19, subject to shareholder approval[107] - The interim dividend for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was declared at HKD 1.25 per share, compared to HKD 0.95 per share for the same period last year[107] - The company will consider the group's profitability, financial condition, investment requirements, and future prospects when deciding on dividend distribution[110] Risk Management and Compliance - The company has implemented a risk management system aimed at improving operational efficiency and ensuring asset safety, while managing significant risks rather than eliminating them[75] - The internal audit department plays a key role in governance, reporting directly to the chairman and regularly reviewing business processes[75] - The company has established compliance procedures to ensure adherence to applicable laws and regulations[142] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a high capacity utilization rate in 2025, supported by the gradual release of new capacity in overseas bases[52] - The company plans to increase R&D investment in new fabrics and emphasize the application of new materials and processes to diversify product offerings[51]

AI基金富达悦享红利优选混合A（020493）披露2025年一季报，第一季度基金利润268.05万元，加权平均基金份额本期利润0.0271元。报告期内，基金净值 增长率为2.74%，截至一季度末，基金规模为8352.86万元。 该基金属于偏股混合型基金。截至4月21日，单位净值为0.971元。基金经理是聂毅翔和周文群。 基金管理人在一季报中表示，我们对权益市场的长期前景保持乐观，特别是随着宏观政策转向，我们看到国家稳增长的决心非常大，执行力也非常强，后续 政策将持续落地直至经济基本面出现有效改观。我们认为在国际宏观不确定性增加以及中国经济增长模式转型的背景下，高质量分红公司将展现出明显的跨 周期风险收益优势，给投资者带来长期更好的投资体验。 我们非常看好红利资产在一个完整市场周期中的总体表现，特别是随着中国进入低利率时代，红利资产的稀缺性将会凸显。我们认为低利率环境将持续，以 支持实体经济的修复。随着无风险利率持续趋势性下行，可提供确定性股息收入的高质量红利资产将继续受到投资者青睐。我们将持续跟踪宏观数据与组合 持仓上市公司的基本面变化。 截至4月21日，富达悦享红利优选混合A近三个月复权单位净值增长率为-0 ...

Group 1 - The core index, the China Securities Hong Kong-Shenzhen New Generation Consumption Theme Index, opened at 1719.01 points and has seen a decline of 16.03% over the past month, an increase of 9.98% over the past three months, and a year-to-date increase of 5.99% [1][2] - The index consists of 50 listed companies from the food and beverage, apparel, leisure, and other consumer goods and services sectors that meet the characteristics of new generation consumption, reflecting the overall performance of these companies in the mainland and Hong Kong markets [1][2] - The index's top ten holdings include Xiaomi Group-W (13.43%), Tencent Holdings (10.83%), Meituan-W (7.87%), Kuaishou-W (7.48%), Pop Mart (6.56%), Yum China (6.43%), Anta Sports (6.29%), China Duty Free Group (3.33%), GoerTek (2.64%), and Shenzhou International (2.23%) [1][2] Group 2 - The market segment distribution of the index shows that the Hong Kong Stock Exchange accounts for 71.66%, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for 18.41%, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange for 9.93% [1][2] - In terms of industry composition, discretionary consumption accounts for 41.55%, communication services for 33.35%, information technology for 19.59%, staple consumption for 3.85%, and healthcare for 1.64% [2] - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year, and special adjustments may occur under certain circumstances [2]

证 券 研 究 报 告 申洲国际（02313）2024 年报点评 强推（维持） 2024 年顺利收官，收入利润表现亮眼 目标价：82.50 港元 事项： ❖ 公司公布 2024 年年报。2024 年，公司实现营收 286.6 亿元，同比+14.8%，归 母净利润 62.4 亿元，同比+36.9%。公司 24 年末派息 1.28 港元/股，考虑中期 股息，全年累计派息 2.53 港元/股，派息比例为 55.8%，按 4 月 11 日收盘价 计，对应股息率 5.2%。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 28,663 | 32,147 | 35,564 | 38,825 | | 同比增速(%) | 14.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 6,241 | 6,631 | 7,431 | 8,231 | | 同比增速(%) | 36.9% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 1 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6][5]. Core Views - The controlling shareholder, Mr. Ma, has increased his stake in the company by 450,000 shares, bringing his total holdings to 637 million shares, which represents 42.39% of the company [1]. - The changes in tariffs are seen as a potential opportunity for the company to enhance its market share, with a short-term impact on the supply chain [2][3]. - The company is expected to maintain a high capacity utilization rate and continue its positive development momentum, with plans to optimize its overseas production bases and improve supply chain efficiency [4]. Summary by Sections - **Shareholder Activity**: Mr. Ma Jianrong has increased his holdings by 450,000 shares, totaling 637 million shares, or 42.39% of the company [1]. - **Tariff Impact**: The report suggests that while the supply chain may bear some tariff costs in the short term, the long-term outlook for leading supply chains is positive, with potential for increased market share and profitability [2][3]. - **Operational Strategy**: The company plans to enhance its production capabilities and market responsiveness by optimizing its overseas bases, investing in new materials, and diversifying its product offerings to meet consumer demand [4]. - **Financial Forecast**: The report maintains its earnings forecast, projecting revenues of 32.4 billion RMB, 36.6 billion RMB, and 41.3 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with net profits of 6.6 billion RMB, 7.4 billion RMB, and 8.4 billion RMB respectively [5].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, setting a target price of HKD 65.17 based on a PE of 14 times for 2025, which is considered the lowest level in the past decade [5]. Core Viewpoints - The company is one of the largest vertically integrated knitwear manufacturers globally, with strong profitability driven by several advantages, including robust R&D capabilities, integrated production efficiency, and diversified overseas factory layout [2]. - The company has a manageable risk profile regarding tariffs, with only 16% of its exports going to the U.S., and potential tariff impacts on overall orders estimated to be less than 3% [3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of major clients, with positive trends in orders from Uniqlo, Adidas, and Nike, indicating a favorable short-term outlook [4]. Summary by Sections Company Highlights - The company has established long-term partnerships with major global brands such as Nike, Uniqlo, and Adidas, enhancing its market position [15]. - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue of CNY 28.66 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.79%, and a net profit of CNY 6.24 billion, up 36.94% [15]. Investment Logic - The company’s diversified production capacity and collaboration with major clients provide a competitive edge, with the potential to increase market share amid industry disruptions [3]. - The company's management has shown confidence in its future by increasing their shareholdings during recent market fluctuations [3][4]. Short-term Orders - The company is expected to see improved order conditions due to the recovery of its core clients, with Uniqlo and Adidas showing positive sales trends [4]. - The long-term market share is anticipated to grow as major clients focus on core suppliers, reducing the number of suppliers they work with [4]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company’s EPS is projected to be CNY 4.39, CNY 4.91, and CNY 5.48 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a PE ratio of 11 times for 2025 [5]. - The report indicates that the company’s recent stock price decline presents a buying opportunity, with a target valuation based on a PE of 14 times for 2025 [5].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, setting a target price of HKD 65.17 based on a PE of 14 times for 2025, which is considered the lowest level in the past decade [5]. Core Views - The company is recognized as one of the largest vertically integrated knitwear manufacturers globally, with a strong client base including Nike, Uniqlo, and Adidas. Its high profitability is attributed to several advantages, including strong R&D capabilities, integrated production efficiency, and diversified overseas factory locations [2][15]. - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of major clients, leading to improved order conditions. The long-term market share is anticipated to grow as major clients focus on core suppliers, reducing the number of suppliers [4][11]. Summary by Sections Company Highlights - The company has established itself as a leading vertically integrated knitwear manufacturer, with a significant portion of its production in China, Vietnam, and Cambodia, accounting for 47%, 27%, and 26% of capacity respectively [2][55]. - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 28.66 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.79%, and a net profit of RMB 6.24 billion, up 36.94% [15][25]. Investment Logic - The company has a manageable risk profile compared to its peers, with only 16% of its exports going to the U.S. The potential impact of tariffs is estimated to be less than 3% on overall orders [3][63]. - The recent tariff situation is expected to accelerate the exit of smaller competitors, allowing the company to capture additional market share due to its stronger financial and operational resilience [3][64]. Short-term Orders - The company is optimistic about order improvements from its four major clients, with Uniqlo and Adidas showing positive trends. Adidas is expected to recover its brand strength, which will benefit the company [4][11]. - The long-term market share is projected to increase as major clients reduce their supplier base, enhancing operational efficiency [4][11]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company’s EPS is forecasted to be RMB 4.39, RMB 4.91, and RMB 5.48 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a PE of 11 times for 2025, indicating a significant valuation opportunity [5][9]. - The report suggests that the recent stock price decline presents a buying opportunity, with a target price set at HKD 65.17 [5].

Group 1 - The latest research from Yale University estimates that U.S. tariff policies will result in an average annual loss of $4,700 for American households, with significant impacts on clothing prices, which are expected to rise by 64% in the short term and 27% in the long term [1] - Currently, only 2.5% of clothing and 1% of footwear in the U.S. is domestically manufactured, with Vietnam being a major source of imports for clothing and footwear [1] - The U.S. is the largest market for Vietnam's textile and apparel exports, which are projected to reach $44 billion in 2024, with major brands like Nike and Lululemon having over 35% of their production capacity in Vietnam [1] Group 2 - According to a report from Galaxy Securities, domestic textile companies are shifting from capacity growth to high-quality growth, focusing on high-value customers and mid-to-high-end products, which allows for some price adjustment flexibility [2] - The international capacity layout advantages of textile companies are becoming more evident, and the industry is expected to see a consolidation as smaller companies struggle to absorb tariff costs, leading to orders concentrating among leading firms with overseas layouts [2] - Domestic textile manufacturing leaders are focusing on overseas markets with lower exposure to U.S. exports and strong customer ties, which provides resilience amid industry fluctuations [2] Group 3 - Listed companies in the apparel sector on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange include brand companies such as Toppan (06110), Samsonite (01910), Anta Sports (02020), Li Ning (02331), Xtep International (01368), and Bosideng (03998), as well as manufacturing companies like Jiu Xing Holdings (01836), Shenzhou International (02313), and Yue Yuen Industrial (00551) [3]