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美联储降息落地后,有色金属如何布局?紫金矿业涨超5%,有色龙头ETF(159876)本轮拉升55%
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-25 07:07
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has restarted interest rate cuts after nine months, lowering rates by 25 basis points, which aligns with market expectations and signals the potential beginning of a new easing cycle [1] Group 1: Market Impact - The Fed's rate cut is expected to support the non-ferrous metals sector by enhancing purchasing demand and boosting metal prices due to a weaker dollar [1] - The easing of monetary policy is likely to improve liquidity globally, increasing risk appetite and attracting funds to cyclical commodities, particularly in the non-ferrous metals sector [1] - A moderate global economic recovery driven by lower financing costs is anticipated to benefit demand for industrial metals like copper, aluminum, and zinc, as well as strategic metals such as nickel and rare earths [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The fundamentals for most non-ferrous metals remain strong, supported by global economic recovery and domestic policies aimed at optimizing production factors [2] - The ongoing "anti-involution" policies in China are expected to enhance profitability across various sectors, facilitating the transmission of rising metal prices to downstream industries [2] Group 3: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector ETF (159876) experienced a significant increase, with a peak intraday rise of 2.7% and a cumulative increase of 55.21% since its low on April 8, outperforming major indices [3] - Leading copper companies have shown substantial gains, with several stocks, including Luoyang Molybdenum and Northern Copper, experiencing significant price increases [3] Group 4: Investment Strategy - A diversified investment approach through the non-ferrous metals sector ETF and its associated funds is recommended to capture the overall sector's performance while mitigating risks [7]
瑞银:全球第二大铜矿印尼Grasberg矿难停产 料明年全球铜供需缺口扩大 行业看好紫金矿业等
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 07:03
瑞银发表报告表示,FCX因今年9月8日印尼Grasberg矿区(全球第二大铜矿)地下出现矿难(大量湿泥涌入 矿洞且扩散至多层工作面)宣布暂时停产,FCX对今明两年铜产量降幅预测比市场预期更大,这将加剧 2026年全球铜市场预期的供给缺口,该行重申对铜价乐观展望。瑞银表示,矿股重点推荐Anglo American(NGLOY.US)、Teck Resources(TECK.US)及紫金矿业(601899)(02899)。 FCX提到,约80万吨湿物料突然涌入矿井,并快速向下流入多个作业层,Grasbergblock cave(GBC)区域 原本预计贡献Grasberg矿山2029年前的70%铜及黄金产量。本次事故发生于GBC五个开采分区之一,但 导致其他GBC生产区的基础设施也受损。FCX初步评估,多间生产将延后,预计2025年第四季仅少量产 出和销售;计划分阶段于2026年重启及逐步恢复生产,初步估计矿山铜产量将较此前指引下调约35%。 Grasberg预计2027年才能恢复至事故前估算产能。 2026年铜精炼供应预测下调,将扩大精炼市场的供给缺口。虽然与关税相关的宏观不确定性及市场波动 持续,中国铜需求仍展 ...
瑞银:全球第二大铜矿印尼Grasberg矿难停产 料明年全球铜供需缺口扩大 行业看好紫金矿业(02899)等
智通财经网· 2025-09-25 07:02
智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发表报告表示,FCX因今年9月8日印尼Grasberg矿区(全球第二大铜矿)地下出 现矿难(大量湿泥涌入矿洞且扩散至多层工作面)宣布暂时停产,FCX对今明两年铜产量降幅预测比市场 预期更大,这将加剧2026年全球铜市场预期的供给缺口,该行重申对铜价乐观展望。瑞银表示,矿股重 点推荐Anglo American(NGLOY.US)、Teck Resources(TECK.US)及紫金矿业(02899)。 FCX提到,约80万吨湿物料突然涌入矿井,并快速向下流入多个作业层,Grasbergblock cave(GBC)区域 原本预计贡献Grasberg矿山2029年前的70%铜及黄金产量。本次事故发生于GBC五个开采分区之一,但 导致其他GBC生产区的基础设施也受损。FCX初步评估,多间生产将延后,预计2025年第四季仅少量产 出和销售;计划分阶段于2026年重启及逐步恢复生产,初步估计矿山铜产量将较此前指引下调约35%。 Grasberg预计2027年才能恢复至事故前估算产能。 瑞银指,Grasberg指引下调(约20万吨)再叠加今年Kamoa Kakula与El Teniente矿山事 ...
紫金矿业成交额超100亿元
注:本文系新闻报道,不构成投资建议,股市有风险,投资需谨慎。 (原标题:紫金矿业成交额超100亿元) 数据宝统计,截至14:33,紫金矿业成交额100.19亿元,超100亿元。最新股价上涨5.40%,换手率1.79%。上一交易日该股全天成交额为43.24亿 元。(数据宝) ...
瑞银:重申对铜价乐观展望 推荐英美资源、泰克资源及紫金矿业等
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 06:25
瑞银发表报告表示,美国矿业巨头自由港麦克莫兰公司因今年9月8日印尼Grasberg矿区(全球第二大铜 矿)地下出现矿难(大量湿泥涌入矿洞且扩散至多层工作面)宣布暂时停产,公司对今明两年铜产量降幅预 测比市场预期更大,这将加剧2026年全球铜市场预期的供给缺口,该行重申对铜价乐观展望。瑞银表 示,矿股重点推荐英美资源、泰克资源、Antofagasta及紫金矿业。该行亦列出全球2025年精炼铜总产量 预测为2785.3万吨、精炼铜总需求量为2758.6万吨,即今年预测供需平衡差为26.7万吨;预计全球2026 年精炼铜总产量预测为2806.2万吨、精炼铜总需求量为2848.2万吨,即明年预测供需平衡差为负42.1万 吨;并估计2027年及2029年全球精炼铜预测供需平衡差分别为负51万吨、负75.6万吨及负122.4万吨。 ...
大行评级|瑞银:重申对铜价乐观展望 推荐英美资源、泰克资源及紫金矿业等
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-25 06:20
格隆汇9月25日|瑞银发表报告表示,美国矿业巨头自由港麦克莫兰公司因今年9月8日印尼Grasberg矿 区(全球第二大铜矿)地下出现矿难(大量湿泥涌入矿洞且扩散至多层工作面)宣布暂时停产,公司对今明 两年铜产量降幅预测比市场预期更大,这将加剧2026年全球铜市场预期的供给缺口,该行重申对铜价乐 观展望。 瑞银表示,矿股重点推荐英美资源、泰克资源、Antofagasta及紫金矿业。该行亦列出全球 2025年精炼铜总产量预测为2785.3万吨、精炼铜总需求量为2758.6万吨,即今年预测供需平衡差为26.7 万吨;预计全球2026年精炼铜总产量预测为2806.2万吨、精炼铜总需求量为2848.2万吨,即明年预测供 需平衡差为负42.1万吨;并估计2027年及2029年全球精炼铜预测供需平衡差分别为负51万吨、负75.6万 吨及负122.4万吨。 ...
紫金矿业早盘涨超6% 紫金黄金国际或成年内全球第二大IPO项目 公司显著受益金、铜涨价
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 06:09
东方证券发布研报称,25年9月美联储宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点,市场预计连续降息 周期或开启。降息周期的开启有助于黄金、铜等金属迎来上涨行情,看好公司铜金业务实现量价齐升, 业绩有望继续向上。天风证券(601162)也表示,全球经济发展背景叠加美联储降息大环境下铜、金价 格持续看涨,25H1两者占公司营收比例分别为27.8%/49.1%,公司营收及利润有望在金、铜价格提升下 继续上升。 消息面上,紫金矿业此前发布公告,公司收到通知,受超强台风"桦加沙"影响,紫金黄金国际原定于9 月24日结束的香港公开发售登记事项将推迟1天完成,预计紫金黄金国际股份在香港联交所挂牌并开始 上市交易的日期亦将相应推迟1天至9月30日。据悉,紫金黄金国际有望成为继宁德时代(300750)后今 年全球第二大IPO项目。 紫金矿业(601899)(02899)早盘涨超6%,截至发稿,涨6.07%,报31.44港元,成交额18.43亿港元。 ...
紫金矿业午前涨逾6%紫金黄金国际或成年内全球第二大IPO项目
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 04:38
紫金矿业(02899)早盘涨超6%,截至发稿,股价上涨5.87%,现报31.38港元,成交额20.74亿港元。 紫金矿业此前发布公告,公司收到通知,受超强台风"桦加沙"影响,紫金黄金国际原定于9月24日结束的香港公开发售登记事项将推迟1天完成,预计紫金黄金国际股份在香港联交所挂牌并开始 东方证券发布研报称,25年9月美联储宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点,市场预计连续降息周期或开启。降息周期的开启有助于黄金、铜等金属迎来上涨行情,看好公司铜金业务实现 责任编辑:卢昱君 ...
港股午评|恒生指数早盘涨0.43% 宁德时代股价刷新上市新高
智通财经网· 2025-09-25 04:06
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.43%, gaining 115 points to reach 26,633 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.91% with a morning trading volume of HKD 175.8 billion [1] - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) saw its stock price increase by over 5%, reaching a new high since its listing, with Credit Lyonnais raising its target price to HKD 670 [1] - JD Group's stock rose by over 6%, with plans to invest continuously over the next three years to develop a trillion-scale artificial intelligence ecosystem [1] Group 2 - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. experienced a 13% increase, reaching a new high, amid supply disruptions in cobalt and copper, and announced a HKD 5 billion equity incentive plan [2] - Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. rose by over 6%, benefiting significantly from rising gold and copper prices, with its subsidiary expected to be the second-largest IPO globally this year [2] - Semiconductor stocks continued their upward trend, with Alibaba announcing an expansion in AI capital expenditure, and Goldman Sachs optimistic about long-term demand growth for Chinese AI chips; Hua Hong Semiconductor rose by over 6%, while SMIC increased by nearly 2% [2] Group 3 - China Everbright Holdings Co., Ltd. surged by over 21%, with a cumulative increase of 110% in stock price this year, focusing on key industries including artificial intelligence and semiconductors [3] Group 4 - Jinli Permanent Magnet Co., Ltd. rose by over 6%, with the robotics industry expected to see multiple catalysts, as the company has made early investments in the robotics sector [4] Group 5 - Shanghai Electric Group Co., Ltd. increased by over 6%, with new breakthroughs in the nuclear fusion sector and continued advancements in emerging industries [5] Group 6 - Chery Automobile Co., Ltd. saw its stock price rise by over 8% on its first day of listing [6] Group 7 - Changfei Optical Fiber and Cable Co., Ltd. fell by over 2%, as its former largest shareholder liquidated 23.73% of its shares within six months [7]
紫金矿业香港上市股票创下盘中历史新高。
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 03:57
紫金矿业香港上市股票创下盘中历史新高。 ...