Core Viewpoint - The gold stocks have experienced significant gains, with notable increases in share prices for companies such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, China Silver Group, and Zijin Mining International, driven by the surge in spot gold prices exceeding $4000 per ounce [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining saw its stock price rise over 15%, reaching a new high during trading [1] - China Silver Group's stock increased by more than 11%, also achieving a new high [1] - Zijin Mining International's shares rose nearly 7%, marking a record high [1] - Shandong Gold and Lingbao Gold both experienced stock price increases of over 5% and 3% respectively, with Shandong Gold hitting a new high [1] - Datang Gold's shares rose over 3%, contributing to the overall positive performance in the sector [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The spot gold price has surpassed $4000 per ounce, continuing to set new records [1] - Spot silver has also seen an increase of over 1%, currently priced at $48.3 per ounce [1] - Goldman Sachs has raised its gold price forecast for December 2026 from $4300 to $4900 per ounce, indicating a bullish outlook for the market [1] - The overall market risk remains skewed towards the upside, reflecting positive sentiment among investors [1]

Group 1 - Hong Kong gold stocks experienced significant gains, with Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining rising over 15%, China Silver Group increasing over 11%, Zijin Mining International up nearly 7%, Shandong Gold up over 5%, and Tongguan Gold up over 4% [1] - Among these, Chifeng Jilong Gold, Zijin Mining International, Shandong Gold, and Lingbao Gold reached new highs during trading [1] - The surge in gold stocks is attributed to the spot gold price surpassing $4000 per ounce, continuing to set new records [1]

Group 1 - International gold prices surged to a historic high, with futures reaching $3945.2 per ounce and spot prices hitting $3920.77 per ounce, marking a significant increase in less than 10 days since surpassing the $3800 mark [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices in China also rose, with brands like Chow Sang Sang, Chow Tai Fook, and Lao Feng Xiang seeing prices exceed 1100 RMB per gram, and Lao Miao Gold reaching 1148 RMB per gram [1] - Hong Kong-listed gold stocks experienced notable gains, with Zhu Feng Gold rising over 12%, Shandong Gold increasing by over 6%, and other companies like Lingbao Gold and Chifeng Gold also seeing upward movement [2][3] Group 2 - The gold market in Shenzhen's Shui Bei area witnessed a surge in consumer activity during the National Day holiday, particularly in wedding-related products, with foot traffic reportedly doubling [4][6] - The popularity of 5D craft gold jewelry is increasing among young consumers, attributed to its lightweight and stylish design, alongside traditional wedding gold items like dragon and phoenix bangles and wedding rings [6] - Deutsche Bank analysts noted that the recent record high in gold prices is driven by heightened risk aversion among investors, with predictions of gold prices potentially reaching $4000 to $4500 per ounce by 2026 under various scenarios [8]

Group 1: Gold Market Overview - Spot gold prices have shown strong performance, reaching $3920 per ounce on October 6, with a daily increase of 0.35%, marking a new historical high [1] - Goldman Sachs indicates that due to strong interest from private investors, gold prices have further upside potential, possibly exceeding their expectations [1][3] - The influx of funds into gold ETFs has been unexpectedly strong, surpassing previous model predictions, indicating a renewed investor interest in gold assets [1][3] Group 2: Economic Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve reflect the economic pressures facing the U.S., which is expected to support gold price increases [2] - Historical data shows that during 10 past rate-cutting cycles since 1980, gold prices rose in 7 instances, highlighting gold's stability as a safe-haven asset [2] - The complex global geopolitical landscape has increased the investment value of gold, with rising demand for gold as a safe haven during turbulent times [2] Group 3: Central Bank and Gold Reserves - Central banks are diversifying their foreign reserves, with gold's status rising; since the Russia-Ukraine conflict, gold's share in central bank reserves has increased, surpassing the euro [2] - As of August 2025, the People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for 10 consecutive months, with gold reserves accounting for 7.64% of total foreign reserves, a historical high [2] Group 4: Company Performance in the Gold Sector - Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 167.71 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.50%, with net profit exceeding 23.29 billion yuan, up over 50% [4] - Shandong Gold achieved a revenue of 56.77 billion yuan, a 24.01% increase year-on-year, with net profit soaring by 102.98% to 2.81 billion yuan [5] - Lingbao Gold's revenue reached 7.79 billion yuan, an 82.02% increase, with net profit up 335.28% to 664 million yuan [6]

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold stocks follows a significant drop in gold prices, influenced by cautious signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rate policies [1] Group 1: Gold Stock Performance - Gold stocks experienced a widespread decline, with notable drops including Jihai Resources down 4.52% to 1.9 HKD, China Silver Group down 4.35% to 0.66 HKD, Chifeng Jilong Gold down 3.32% to 31.44 HKD, and Lingbao Gold down 2.4% to 19.93 HKD [1][1][1] Group 2: Gold Price Fluctuations - On October 2, gold prices saw a sharp decline, falling below 3820 USD/ounce after reaching a peak of 3896 USD/ounce, marking a drop of approximately 80 USD within the day [1][1][1] - Current spot gold prices are fluctuating around 3850 USD/ounce [1] Group 3: Federal Reserve Signals - Federal Reserve officials, including Logan, indicated a cautious approach towards interest rate policies, suggesting a slight increase in unemployment rates but not to a concerning level [1][1] - The officials emphasized the need for caution in avoiding premature rate cuts, stating that decisions will be based on available information rather than solely on official unemployment data [1][1]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market indices rose collectively, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 1.61%, the National Enterprises Index by 1.77%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index by 3.36% due to rising expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut [1] - Chip stocks experienced significant gains, with SMIC (00981.HK) up 12.7%, ChipMOS Technologies (02166.HK) up 10.71%, and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) up 7.12% [1] - The AI investment surge is driving demand for semiconductor storage, supported by domestic wafer fabrication expansion plans [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - Gold and precious metals stocks saw substantial increases, with Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) rising 15.13% and Zijin Mining (02899.HK) up 3.99%, driven by lower-than-expected U.S. employment data and heightened gold price expectations [2] - The automotive supply chain, including lithium battery and electric vehicle stocks, performed well, with Tianqi Lithium (09696.HK) up 12.93% and BYD Electronics (00285.HK) up 6.63% [2] - Biopharmaceuticals, innovative drugs, and medical outsourcing sectors also showed strong performance [3] Group 3: Underperforming Sectors - The real estate sector declined, with companies like Oceanwide Holdings (03377.HK) down 4.38% and China Resources Land (01109.HK) down 3.42% [3] - Consumer sectors, including film, aviation, education, dairy products, sports goods, and luxury goods, faced pressure and showed weakness [4]

| 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 其他類別 (請註明) | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | N/A | 說明 | | 本公司普通股股本中之内資股，每股面值人民幣 0.20元 | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 181,397,058 RMB | | 0.2 RMB | | 36,279,411.6 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 181,397,058 RMB | | 0.2 RMB | | 36,279,411.6 | 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： RMB 257,395,211 證券代號 (如上市) 03330 說明 本公司普通股股本中之H股，每股面值人民幣 0.20元 法定/註冊股份數目 面值 法定/註冊 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong gold sector has seen a significant rally, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets due to the U.S. government shutdown and escalating geopolitical tensions [1][7][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - Chinese Silver Group led the gains with a rise of over 30%, followed by Zijin Gold International with an increase of over 13%, and Tongguan Gold up by over 11% [1][2]. - Other companies such as Lingbao Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Zijin Mining also experienced notable increases in their stock prices [1][2]. Group 2: Gold Price Trends - COMEX gold futures showed a slight pullback but remained above the critical level of $3,890 [2]. - Spot gold maintained a high level around $3,868, providing strong support for related stocks [4]. Group 3: Drivers of Demand - The core reason for the sector's rise is the increased demand for safe-haven assets, triggered by the U.S. government shutdown, which is the first political deadlock in nearly seven years [7][8]. - The shutdown has led to significant economic uncertainty, with the U.S. Labor Department halting data collection and publication, affecting key economic indicators [8]. Group 4: Geopolitical Factors - Escalating geopolitical conflicts, particularly the recent military actions by Russia against Ukraine, have further heightened market risk aversion [9]. - The potential for further conflict in Europe has contributed to the attractiveness of gold as a hedge against political risk [9]. Group 5: Future Gold Price Predictions - Central bank gold purchases are a significant factor supporting rising gold prices, with global official gold reserves increasing by 166 tons in Q2 [10]. - Predictions indicate that gold prices could reach $4,200 per ounce by mid-2026, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and increased demand for safe-haven assets [10][11].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong precious metals sector experienced a significant increase, with all stocks rising [1] - China Silver Group (00815.HK) saw a rise of 22.6%, reaching HKD 0.66 per share [1] - Zijin Gold International (02259.HK) increased by 12%, trading at HKD 136 per share [1] - Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) rose by 8.02%, priced at HKD 19.93 per share [1] - Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) experienced a 6.27% increase, with shares at HKD 2.88 [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693.HK) rose by 6.18%, trading at HKD 32.3 per share [1]

Group 1 - Gold stocks experienced a significant rise, with China Silver Group up 24.53%, Zijin Mining up 14.18%, Lingbao Gold up 8.02%, Tongguan Gold up 6.27%, and Chifeng Jilong Gold up 6.18% [1] - On October 1, international gold prices hit a new record, with London gold approaching $3900 per ounce and COMEX gold also surpassing $3900 per ounce [1] - The U.S. ADP employment report indicated a decrease of 32,000 jobs in the private sector for September 2025, significantly below the expected increase of 50,000 jobs, leading to a 99% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October [1] Group 2 - Everbright Securities noted that if the U.S. government shuts down, economic data will cease publication, complicating Federal Reserve decision-making, which may lead to a more gradual rate cut path, favoring gold over U.S. stocks and bonds [2] - Goldman Sachs projected that by mid-2026, international gold prices could soar to $4000 per ounce, potentially reaching $4500 in extreme scenarios [2] - Goldman Sachs also stated that if the independence of the Federal Reserve is compromised and investors shift a small portion of their holdings from U.S. Treasuries to gold bars, gold prices could rise to around $5000 per ounce [2]