Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [4] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a bullish outlook on gold prices despite ongoing trade tensions and economic uncertainties, suggesting that the worst of market sentiment has passed and prices are expected to trend upwards [2][11] - For copper, the supply-demand dynamics remain tight, and there are opportunities for low-position equity investments despite short-term volatility [3][12] - The aluminum market is experiencing price fluctuations, with a focus on downstream inventory replenishment and the impact of macroeconomic factors [14] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Research Insights - Gold prices are expected to remain volatile but trend upwards due to easing trade tensions and ongoing economic concerns [2][11] - Copper demand remains strong, with high operating rates in production and a supportive supply side despite recent disruptions [3][12] 2. Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals index fell by 0.85%, underperforming the broader market [15] - The top-performing sub-sectors include rare earths and magnetic materials, while lithium and aluminum showed declines [15] 3. Metal Prices and Inventories 3.1. New Energy Metals - Cobalt prices are stable, while lithium prices have decreased, indicating a mixed market for these metals [25][28] 3.2. Base Metals - Base metal prices have generally declined, with specific price movements noted for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin [35][37] 3.3. Precious Metals - Gold prices increased by 0.8% to $3319 per ounce, while silver prices decreased by 2.1% to $32.83 per ounce [48][49]

| 名称 | 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司 | | --- | --- | | 统一社会信用代码 | 91410000171080594J | | 注册资本 | 肆拾贰亿玖仟玖佰捌拾肆万捌仟壹佰贰拾肆人民币元整 | | 成立日期 | 1999年12月22日 | | 类型 | 股份有限公司（港澳台投资、上市） | | 法定代表人 | 袁宏林 | 股票代码：603993 股票简称：洛阳钼业 编号：2025—027 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司 关于完成工商变更登记并换发营业执照的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误 导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承 担法律责任。 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）分别于 2024年10月28日和2024年12月10日召开第七届董事会第三次会议、 2024年第一次临时股东大会，分别审议通过关于变更公司注册资本、 企业类型及修订《公司章程》的议案，同意对公司注册资本、企业 类型、《公司章程》等内容进行修改。详见公司于上海证券交易所网 站披露的相关公告和《公司章程》。 近日，公司办理完成了相关工商变更登记手续，并取得了 ...

Core Viewpoint - The new materials sector is expected to continue its growth trajectory due to increasing demand from China's manufacturing industry and the integration of technologies like artificial intelligence, despite a recent decline in the new materials index's valuation [1][4]. Summary by Category Market Performance - As of April 29, 2025, the new materials index decreased by 4.22%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which fell by 2.89%, resulting in a 1.33 percentage point lag [2]. - The new materials index ranked 23rd among 30 major industry sectors in terms of performance [2]. Price Trends - Basic metal prices saw a general decline in April 2025, with notable decreases in copper (-3.52%), aluminum (-2.90%), lead (-2.96%), zinc (-4.51%), tin (-9.02%), and nickel (-4.74%) [2]. - Rare gas prices experienced slight declines in April 2025, with helium priced at 655 RMB per bottle (-0.27%), xenon at 27,000 RMB per cubic meter (-3.99%), neon at 120 RMB per cubic meter (-4.00%), and krypton at 275 RMB per cubic meter (-8.92%) [3]. Export Data - In March 2025, exports of superhard materials and products increased by 32.22% year-on-year, totaling 14,000 tons, while export revenue decreased by 9.35% to 14.4 million USD [3]. - The average export price for superhard materials fell by 31.44% to 10.35 USD per kilogram [3]. Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of the new materials index as of April 29, 2025, was 22.94, reflecting an 11.57% decrease from the previous month and positioning it at the 53.90 percentile of historical valuations since 2022, indicating a reasonable valuation for the sector [1][4]. Future Outlook - The new materials sector is anticipated to enter a prosperous cycle driven by domestic demand recovery and the push for domestic alternatives, maintaining an investment rating of "stronger than the market" [1][4].

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal industry is experiencing significant growth driven by rising metal prices, with several leading companies reporting strong performance in 2024 and maintaining rapid growth in the first quarter of the year [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Zijin Mining reported a revenue of approximately 303.64 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of about 32.05 billion yuan, up 51.76% [2]. - In the first quarter of 2024, Zijin Mining achieved a revenue of 78.93 billion yuan, a 5.55% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 10.17 billion yuan, reflecting a 62.39% growth [2]. - China Aluminum's revenue for 2024 reached 237.07 billion yuan, a 5.21% increase, with a net profit of 12.4 billion yuan, up 85.38% [2]. - In the first quarter of 2024, China Aluminum's revenue was 55.78 billion yuan, a 13.95% increase, and the net profit was 3.54 billion yuan, up 58.78% [2]. - Luoyang Molybdenum achieved a revenue of 213.03 billion yuan in 2024, a 14.37% increase, with a net profit of 13.53 billion yuan, up 64.03% [4]. - In the first quarter of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum's revenue was 46.01 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.25%, while the net profit increased by 90.47% to 3.95 billion yuan [4]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The non-ferrous metal industry is benefiting from high prices of metals like gold and copper, leading to sustained high growth in revenues and profits for major companies [2][5]. - The market outlook for gold remains positive in the medium to long term, despite recent fluctuations, with expectations of a strong performance driven by inflation and weakening dollar credit [6][7]. - The copper market is expected to face a supply shortage in the medium term, with demand from sectors like home appliances and electric vehicles driving prices upward [7]. - The aluminum market is anticipated to improve, with a potential rise in prices due to recovering profits from electrolytic aluminum and increasing demand [7].

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal industry has experienced significant growth in performance driven by rising metal prices, particularly in gold and copper [1][4]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metal industry has shown high growth, with several listed companies maintaining rapid growth in Q1 2024 [2][4]. - Major companies like Zijin Mining, China Aluminum, and Luoyang Molybdenum have reported substantial increases in revenue and net profit for 2024 [4][6]. Group 2: Company Highlights - Zijin Mining achieved approximately 303.64 billion yuan in revenue for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.49%, with a net profit of about 32.05 billion yuan, up 51.76% [4][6]. - In Q1 2024, Zijin Mining's revenue was 78.93 billion yuan, growing by 5.55%, and net profit reached 10.17 billion yuan, an increase of 62.39% [4][6]. - China Aluminum reported 2024 revenue of 237.07 billion yuan, a 5.21% increase, and a net profit of 12.4 billion yuan, up 85.38% [4][6]. - Luoyang Molybdenum's revenue for 2024 was 213.03 billion yuan, a 14.37% increase, with a net profit of 13.53 billion yuan, up 64.03% [4][6]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Institutions remain optimistic about the long-term price trends of gold and copper, despite short-term fluctuations due to geopolitical factors [8][9][10]. - The copper market is expected to face a supply shortage, with demand from sectors like home appliances and electric vehicles driving prices upward [10]. - The aluminum market is anticipated to improve, with potential profit recovery for electrolytic aluminum as demand increases [10].

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum's Q1 performance shows a decline in revenue but a significant increase in net profit, driven by rising copper and cobalt prices and improved cost management [4][5]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 46.006 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.25% year-on-year [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.946 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 90.47% year-on-year [4]. - Basic earnings per share increased by 80% to 0.18 yuan [4]. Product Performance - In the mining and processing segment, copper production reached 170,600 tons, up 15.65% year-on-year, marking a historical high for the period [5]. - Cobalt production was 30,400 tons, with a completion rate of 27.65% [5]. - Molybdenum and tungsten production were 3,341 tons and 1,993 tons, respectively, with tungsten production increasing by 3.73% year-on-year [5]. Sales and Pricing - Revenue from copper and cobalt segments increased by 43.91% and 83.90%, respectively, despite no significant growth in sales volume [6]. - The gross margin for copper and cobalt reached 55.21% and 61.42%, significantly higher than the previous year's figures [6][7]. Market Dynamics - Copper prices approached 10,000 USD per ton in March, while cobalt prices rose by approximately 50% from January to March [8]. - The cobalt market is expected to face downward pressure in 2024, with a projected average price drop of 26.18% compared to 2023 [8]. Trade Segment - The mineral trading segment showed a mixed performance, with primary metal product sales increasing by 3.16% and revenue soaring by 98.59% [9]. - Refined metal product sales dropped by 68.44%, leading to a revenue decline of 32.27% [9]. Management Changes - Significant management changes were announced, including the resignation of the chairman and vice chairman, with new appointments aimed at enhancing operational efficiency [4][11]. - The new COO, Que Chaoyang, previously held a senior position at Zijin Mining, indicating a strategic shift in leadership [12][14]. Strategic Intent - The management changes reflect a strategic intent to optimize operations and enhance competitiveness in the mining sector [14]. - The company aims to improve its operational efficiency and product structure, focusing on high-margin primary products [10][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [7]. Core Views - The company reported a significant year-on-year increase in net profit for Q1 2025, achieving a net profit of 3.946 billion yuan, up 90.47% year-on-year, primarily due to rising copper prices and cost reductions from lean management [1][4]. - The production of copper and cobalt exceeded expectations, with copper production increasing by 15.65% year-on-year, and both metals achieving over 27% of their annual production targets by the end of Q1 2025 [2][4]. - The company announced the acquisition of Lumina Gold Company for 581 million Canadian dollars, adding a gold product to its diversified resource portfolio, with the Cangrejos gold mine being the core asset of this transaction [4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved an operating revenue of 46.006 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.25% year-on-year, while the comprehensive gross margin improved to 22.34%, up 9.55 percentage points year-on-year [1][3]. - The average prices for copper and cobalt in Q1 2025 were 9,419.8 USD/ton and 11.8 USD/pound, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.3% for copper and a decrease of 12.4% for cobalt [2]. - The company forecasts net profits of 14.88 billion yuan, 16.03 billion yuan, and 18.06 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.3, 9.6, and 8.5 times [4][6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the establishment of a platform for value enhancement among listed companies in Henan, aimed at improving development quality and increasing investor returns [1][2] - A total of 37 major A-share companies and H-share representatives participated in the exchange meeting, sharing experiences and practices for value enhancement [1] - The "Henan Listed Company Value Enhancement Professional Committee" was established to serve as a platform for ongoing communication and to promote value enhancement practices [1][2] Group 2 - Participating companies expressed commitment to implementing the new "National Nine Articles" spirit, focusing on internal system establishment and value management centered on investors [2] - The meeting enriched the practical experience of value enhancement for Henan listed companies through the sharing of case studies and best practices [2] - The Henan Listed Company Association plans to leverage the meeting's outcomes to solidify responsibilities, enhance value management tools, and contribute to the stability and prosperity of the capital market [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong Q1 2025 results with a significant increase in net profit, driven by growth in the copper and cobalt segments despite a decline in revenue and sales volume [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 46.006 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.25% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 21.05% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.946 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 90.47% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 24.97% [1]. - The non-recurring net profit was 3.928 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 87.82% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 13.99% [1]. Segment Performance - The increase in net profit by 1.874 billion yuan year-on-year was primarily due to a gross profit increase of 4.376 billion yuan, attributed to the copper and cobalt segments [2]. - In Q1 2025, the prices for cathode copper and metallic cobalt were 9,352 USD/ton and 11.9 USD/pound, showing year-on-year changes of +10.8% and -11.9%, respectively [2]. - The production of copper and cobalt in Q1 2025 was 170,600 tons and 30,400 tons, representing year-on-year increases of 15.6% and 20.7% [2]. - Despite significant year-on-year production growth, the sales volume of copper and cobalt decreased quarter-on-quarter by 43.4% and 16.7% to 124,000 tons and 24,000 tons, respectively [2]. Strategic Developments - The company plans to acquire 100% of Lumina Gold for 581 million CAD, which includes the Cangrejos gold project in Ecuador with substantial resources [3]. - The Cangrejos project has a resource estimate of 1.376 billion tons with an average gold grade of 0.46 g/t, containing 638 tons of gold [3]. - The project is expected to have a lifespan of 26 years and will be developed in three phases, with an initial capacity of 30,000 tons per day [3]. - The company aims to achieve annual production targets of 800,000 to 1,000,000 tons of copper, 90,000 to 100,000 tons of cobalt, and over 10,000 tons of niobium by 2028 [3]. Investment Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 14.975 billion, 17.521 billion, and 20.035 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.70, 0.81, and 0.93 yuan [4]. - The projected PE ratios based on the latest stock price are 10X, 9X, and 8X for the respective years [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q1 2025 financial results, showing a slight decline in revenue but a significant increase in net profit, indicating strong operational performance despite market challenges [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 46.006 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.25% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 21.05% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.946 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 90.47% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 24.97% [1]. - The non-recurring net profit was 3.928 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 87.82% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 13.99% [1]. Production Performance - The company continued to increase production across its main products, achieving overproduction in copper, cobalt, tungsten, and niobium [2]. - Q1 2025 production figures included copper at 170,600 tons (+15.65% YoY), cobalt at 30,400 tons (+20.68% YoY), tungsten at 2,000 tons (+3.75% YoY), niobium at 2,600 tons (+4.39% YoY), and phosphate fertilizer at 279,500 tons (+0.24% YoY) [2]. - The production completion rates for copper, cobalt, molybdenum, tungsten, niobium, and phosphate fertilizer were 27%, 28%, 25%, 28%, 26%, and 24%, respectively [2]. Strategic Expansion - The company announced the acquisition of Lumina Gold Company for 581 million Canadian dollars, aiming to fill the gap in its gold segment and enhance its resilience to cyclical fluctuations [3]. - The Cangrejos gold mine in Ecuador, the core asset of this acquisition, has a resource estimate of 1.376 billion tons with an average gold grade of 0.46 g/t, containing 638 tons of gold [3]. - The mine is characterized by low stripping ratios and competitive mining costs due to its favorable infrastructure [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company projects earnings per share (EPS) of 0.68, 0.77, and 0.84 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11, 9, and 9 times [3].