有研究机构表示，当前全球稀土行业正处于变革期。供给端，国内供给格局整合，行业集中度提升；海 外矿山积极开发，全球供应多元化趋势显现；需求端，新能源汽车、风电等传统领域需求稳固，机器 人、低空经济等新兴领域对稀土中长期需求形成潜在支撑。价格方面，经过前期调整，随着供需结构逐 步改善，价格企稳回升。 一位业内人士告诉《证券日报》记者："战略小金属储量有限、开采难度大且供给弹性不足，同时新能 源、半导体、军工等下游需求快速增长，供需矛盾偏紧，相关公司正在积极找矿。" 钴市场上，基于刚果（金）出口配额管制与采矿特许权使用费政策，以及国内到货延迟的现状，叠加近 期金银、钨钼等金属板块热度的共振，市场货紧价扬。1月9日，中钨在线数据显示，钴粉价格报570元/ 公斤，周环比涨10.7%。 稀土价格亦有明显上涨。1月9日，稀土产业指数上涨2.96%。"小金属价格上涨，主要受供给端约束、 宏观环境利好、下游需求增长等因素推动。例如各国对稀土资源的战略重视程度不断提高，国内以《稀 土管理条例》为核心构建精细化监管体系，海外也在积极布局稀土产业链，全球供应链呈现多元化探索 趋势。"中国企业资本联盟副理事长柏文喜向《证券日报》记者表 ...

Event Summary - The annual report disclosure schedule for 2025 has been released, with ChipGuide Technology being the first to disclose on February 3, 2026, and *ST Huawang on February 13, 2026 [1] Industry Insights - Key sectors expected to show improved or sustained high growth in annual report performance include "price-increasing commodities," "new energy and high-end manufacturing," "export-oriented sectors," and "TMT sectors with strong or improving demand" [1] - In the "price-increasing commodities" category, items with price increases exceeding 200% include black tungsten concentrate, VC, and lithium hexafluorophosphate, while those with increases over 100% include platinum and cobalt [4] - The new energy and high-end manufacturing sector is benefiting from high growth in military equipment orders and expanding demand for industrial robots and energy storage [6] - The export sector has seen significant growth, with high-tech and electromechanical product exports increasing by 7.7% and 9.7% year-on-year, respectively [6] Company Performance - A list of companies expected to see net profit growth exceeding 50% for the year has been compiled, based on preliminary quarterly report data [8] - Notable companies include Yuanjie Technology, with a projected net profit increase of 1726.36%, and Runze Technology, with an increase of 262.73% [9] - The semiconductor industry is projected to grow by 13.7% in sales in 2025, driven by strong demand for memory chips [7]

生意社12月29日讯 | 品种/规格 | 报价市场/地区 | 报价 | 均价 | 涨跌 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1#钴 | 广东南储现货 | 430000-450000 | 440000 | 12000 | 元/吨 | | 1#钴 | 上海金属网 | 438000-450000 | 444000 | 9000 | 元/吨 | | 电解钴(99.8%) | 上海华通现货 | 436000-446000 | 441000 | 12000 | 元/吨 | | 钴(250kg/桶装99.95%) | 国产/赞比亚 | 450000-458000 | 454000 | 14000 | 元/吨 | | 钴粉(-200目，国产) | 上海地区 | 500000-510000 | 505000 | 0 | 元/吨 | | 电解钴 | 上海金藏(国产交割) | 440000-452000 | 452000 | 12000 | 元/吨 | 生意社12月29日讯 | 品种/规格 | 报价市场/地区 | 报价 | 均价 | 涨跌 | 单位 | | --- | -- ...

Banking Sector - The banking sector has shown weak absolute and relative returns since Q3 2025, but its "high dividend, low valuation" characteristics are becoming more prominent after a phase of price adjustment [4] - The resilience of the banking fundamentals is strong, with listed banks expected to report slightly better performance growth in Q3 2025 compared to H1 2025, providing a stable foundation for annual performance [4] - There are six positive factors supporting the current valuation of bank stocks, indicating a potential reallocation opportunity in the banking sector [4] Real Estate Market - From January to September 2025, the total area of residential land sold in 100 cities was 1.54 billion square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 6.2% [4] - The average transaction price of land was 6,847 yuan per square meter, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.1%, with first-tier cities averaging 41,137 yuan per square meter, up 42.0% year-on-year [4] - The overall premium rate for land transactions in 30 cities was 11.1%, an increase of 5.9 percentage points year-on-year, with these cities accounting for 48% of the total area sold and 82% of the total transaction value [4] Metals and Materials - The price of cobalt across various categories has risen, with electrolytic cobalt priced at 368,000 yuan per ton, a week-on-week increase of 6.7% [4] - The price ratio of electrolytic cobalt to cobalt powder is 0.82, down 13.1% week-on-week, while the ratio of electrolytic cobalt to cobalt sulfate is 4.16, a decrease of 1.5% [4] - Carbon fiber prices remained stable at 83.8 yuan per kilogram, with a gross profit of 8.38 yuan per kilogram [4] Company Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 33.95 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.85 billion yuan, up 6.1% year-on-year [6] - In Q3 2025 alone, the company achieved a net profit of 1.02 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.5% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 17.2% [6] - The company is actively promoting collaboration with Douyin, which is expected to boost advertising gross income and overall performance [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has lifted its cobalt export ban and shifted to a quota system, allowing for significant exports in the coming years, which is expected to impact the global cobalt supply chain and market dynamics [1][5]. Group 1: Policy Changes and Market Impact - The DRC will allow over 18,000 tons of cobalt exports in 2023, with annual quotas of 96,600 tons for 2026 and 2027, distributed based on companies' historical export volumes [1]. - Following the announcement, cobalt-related stocks in China's A-share market saw significant increases, indicating a positive market reaction [1]. - The shift from a complete export ban to a quota system suggests a more refined approach to managing cobalt resources in the DRC [5]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The cobalt market is currently facing a raw material shortage, with high concentration in spot inventories, leading to price increases primarily driven by traders and companies holding physical stocks [2]. - The battery sector, which consumes over 70% of cobalt, is experiencing pressure due to inventory levels, causing battery manufacturers to reduce procurement from upstream suppliers [2]. - The DRC's export policy change is expected to lead to a supply shortage in the global cobalt market from 2025 to 2027, with projected shortfalls of 122,000 tons, 88,000 tons, and 97,000 tons respectively [8]. Group 3: Price Trends and Market Reactions - Domestic cobalt prices in China have been reported between 270,000 to 290,000 yuan per ton, reflecting an upward trend in the market [3]. - The overall cobalt market is experiencing reduced supply and rising prices, with international demand also increasing, contributing to a bullish outlook for cobalt prices [3]. - Companies in the cobalt sector are currently assessing the new quota system and its implications for their operations, with some indicating that they have sufficient inventory to manage potential supply disruptions [10][11].

Core Viewpoint - The end of the cobalt export ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) on October 15, 2023, and the introduction of a quota system will significantly impact the global cobalt supply-demand balance, with expectations that the quota will not meet downstream demand, leading to tighter supply [1][3][9]. Group 1: Cobalt Export Ban and Quota System - The DRC, as the world's largest cobalt supplier, will end its seven-month cobalt export ban and implement an export quota system starting October 16, 2023 [3]. - The DRC's cobalt reserves are projected to be 6 million tons in 2024, accounting for 55% of global reserves, with an expected production of 220,000 tons, representing 76% of global output [3]. - The new quota system allows for the export of over 18,000 tons of cobalt for the remainder of the year, with annual quotas of 96,600 tons for 2026 and 2027, based on historical export volumes [9][10]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Price Trends - Following the announcement of the quota system, cobalt-related stocks in the A-share market saw a rise, indicating market optimism despite concerns about supply shortages [1]. - The current market for cobalt products has seen price increases, with electrolytic cobalt prices rising by 1% recently, reflecting tight supply conditions [4]. - Analysts predict that the initial shipments post-ban will be limited, with only about 3,600 tons expected to be shipped in October, which would only cover one-third of China's monthly cobalt intermediate consumption [9][10]. Group 3: Strategic Supply Diversification - Chinese companies are actively exploring overseas cobalt resource development and recycling to address challenges posed by the global cobalt supply chain restructuring [2][11]. - Notable progress has been made in Indonesia, with companies like Greeenme achieving significant increases in cobalt production, which helps mitigate the impact of the DRC's export ban [11]. - The recycling of cobalt from used batteries is becoming increasingly viable, with expectations that it will alleviate supply pressures as recovery rates improve in the coming years [12].

Group 1 - The cobalt export ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) will end on October 15, and a quota system will be implemented, impacting global cobalt supply and demand balance [1][2] - DRC holds 55% of the world's cobalt reserves, with a projected production of 220,000 tons in 2024, accounting for 76% of global output [2] - The introduction of the quota system is expected to lead to tighter cobalt supply, as the quota scale may not meet downstream demand in the next two years [1][3] Group 2 - China's refined cobalt production accounts for approximately 80% of the global market, with recent price increases observed in the spot market [3] - The current market sentiment is bullish, with many companies pausing quotes and awaiting clarity on the quota policy [3][4] - The DRC's export ban has led to a significant reduction in cobalt inventory, with some companies reporting a 35.09% increase in inventory levels [6] Group 3 - The new quota system allows for the export of over 18,000 tons of cobalt in the remaining months of this year, with future quotas set at 96,600 tons annually for 2026 and 2027 [7] - The goal of the new policy is to reduce global cobalt inventory to approximately one month's demand, contrasting with the typical three to four months of inventory held by major smelters [7][8] - The anticipated tight supply in the fourth quarter will depend on domestic and overseas inventory levels, with potential for speculative hoarding [7][8] Group 4 - Chinese companies are actively exploring new cobalt supply channels, including projects in Indonesia, which have shown significant production increases [9] - The recycling of cobalt from used batteries is becoming increasingly viable, with companies like Grinm Metal achieving over 10,000 tons of cobalt recovery last year [10] - The growth of cobalt recycling is expected to alleviate supply pressures as the industry approaches peak recovery rates in the coming years [10]

Group 1 - The cobalt export ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) will end on October 15, transitioning to an export quota system, which is expected to impact global cobalt supply and demand balance [1][2] - DRC holds 55% of the world's cobalt reserves, with a projected production of 220,000 tons in 2024, accounting for 76% of global output [2] - The introduction of the quota system is anticipated to be insufficient to meet downstream demand over the next two years, leading to tighter cobalt supply [1][3] Group 2 - China's refined cobalt production accounts for approximately 80% of the global market, with recent price increases observed in the spot market for cobalt-related products [3] - Analysts indicate that the current market is characterized by low inventory levels, leading to a bullish outlook on prices, despite some companies pausing quotes in anticipation of the new quota policy [3][4] - The DRC's export ban has resulted in a significant reduction in global cobalt inventory, with prices rebounding by over 63% since the lowest point in February [5][6] Group 3 - The new export quota allows for over 18,000 tons of cobalt to be exported by DRC mines for the remainder of the year, with future quotas set at 96,600 tons annually for 2026 and 2027 [7] - The goal of the new quota system is to reduce global cobalt inventory to approximately one month's demand, contrasting with the typical three to four months of inventory held by major smelters [7][8] - The anticipated supply tightness in the fourth quarter of this year is expected to be exacerbated by the long shipping times for cobalt shipments from DRC [7][8] Group 4 - Chinese companies are actively seeking to diversify cobalt supply sources, with significant investments in Indonesian cobalt projects, which have shown promising production increases [9] - The recycling of cobalt from used batteries is becoming increasingly viable, with companies like Grinm and others establishing recycling facilities to enhance resource recovery [10] - The expected rise in battery recycling rates by 2026 and 2027 is projected to alleviate some of the supply pressures on cobalt resources [10]

Group 1: Military Industry New Materials - The price of electrolytic cobalt has increased to 265,000 CNY/ton, a week-on-week increase of 6.9% [3] - The price ratio of electrolytic cobalt to cobalt powder is 0.95, up by 4.5% week-on-week; the price ratio of electrolytic cobalt to cobalt sulfate is 5.15, up by 6.2% [3] - Carbon fiber price remains at 83.8 CNY/kg with a gross profit of -8.24 CNY/kg [3] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Materials - The CIF price of Li2O 5% lithium concentrate is 677 USD/ton, down by 4.51% week-on-week [4] - Prices for battery-grade lithium hydroxide, industrial-grade lithium carbonate, and battery-grade lithium carbonate are 73,200 CNY/ton, 70,200 CNY/ton, and 65,200 CNY/ton, with week-on-week increases of 7.9%, 6.95%, and 8.2% respectively [4] - The price of cobalt sulfate is 50,800 CNY/ton, up by 2.01% week-on-week [4] - Prices for lithium iron phosphate and 523-type cathode materials are 32,700 CNY/ton and 111,000 CNY/ton, remaining stable with slight increases of 0% and 0.4% respectively [4] - The price of neodymium oxide is 531.15 CNY/kg, up by 3.5% week-on-week [4] Group 3: Photovoltaic New Materials - The price of photovoltaic-grade polysilicon is 4.94 USD/kg, remaining stable [5] - EVA price is 10,100 CNY/ton, down by 0.5%, at a low level since 2013 [5] - The price of 3.2mm photovoltaic glass coating remains at 24.0 CNY/sqm [5] Group 4: Nuclear Power New Materials - Prices for zirconium-related materials are stable, with prices for zirconium oxychloride, sponge zirconium, hafnium oxide, zirconium silicate, and zircon sand at 14,750 CNY/ton, 150 CNY/kg, 9,000 CNY/kg, 13,950 CNY/ton, and 14,012.5 CNY/ton respectively [6] - The uranium price is projected to be 59.58 USD/lb in June 2025, up by 4.0% [6] Group 5: Consumer Electronics New Materials - The price of cobalt tetroxide is 207,500 CNY/ton, up by 2.47% week-on-week [7] - The price of lithium cobalt oxide is stable at 175.0 CNY/kg [7] - The price of silicon carbide remains at 5,400.00 CNY/ton [7] - Prices for high-purity gallium, crude indium, and refined indium are 1,755.00 CNY/kg, 2,575.00 CNY/kg, and 2,675.00 CNY/kg, with changes of -1.7%, 0%, and 0% respectively [7] - The price of germanium dioxide is stable at 9,800 CNY/kg, with 50% used for optical fibers and 15% for electronics and solar devices [7] Group 6: Other Materials - The prices for platinum, rhodium, and iridium are 312.00 CNY/g, 1,865.00 CNY/g, and 1,305.00 CNY/g, with changes of -6.3%, +9.4%, and +5.7% respectively [8]

Group 1: Military Industry New Materials - The price of electrolytic cobalt remains stable at 236,000 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week change of +0% [3] - The price of carbon fiber is 83.8 CNY/kg, also unchanged, with a gross profit of -8.56 CNY/kg [3] - Beryllium prices are stable this week [3] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Materials - The price of Li2O 5% lithium concentrate at the Chinese port is 540 USD/ton, down by -0.92% week-on-week [4] - The prices of battery-grade lithium hydroxide, industrial-grade lithium hydroxide, and electric carbon are 59,800 CNY/ton, 60,600 CNY/ton, and 60,600 CNY/ton respectively, with changes of -0.1%, +1.21%, and -2.3% [4] - The price of cobalt sulfate is 47,700 CNY/ton, unchanged [4] - The prices of lithium iron phosphate and 523-type cathode materials are 30,300 CNY/ton and 104,800 CNY/ton, with changes of +0% and -0.7% respectively [4] - The price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide is 444.11 CNY/kg, up by +0.8% [4] Group 3: Photovoltaic New Materials - The price of photovoltaic-grade polysilicon is 4.25 USD/kg, down by -0.7% [5] - The price of EVA is 10,450 CNY/ton, unchanged, remaining at a high level since 2013 [5] - The price of 3.2mm photovoltaic glass coating is 24.0 CNY/square meter, unchanged [5] Group 4: Nuclear Power New Materials - The prices of zirconium-related materials are as follows: zirconium oxychloride at 14,750 CNY/ton, sponge zircon at 155 CNY/kg, hafnium oxide at 9,000 CNY/kg, zirconium silicate at 14,225 CNY/ton, and zircon sand at 14,012.5 CNY/ton, with various week-on-week changes [6] - The uranium price for May 2025 is 57.31 USD/pound, up by +8.8% [6] Group 5: Consumer Electronics New Materials - The price of cobalt oxide is 186,500 CNY/ton, unchanged, while lithium cobalt oxide is priced at 175.0 CNY/kg, also unchanged [7] - The price of silicon carbide is 5,600.00 CNY/ton, unchanged [7] - The prices of high-purity gallium, crude indium, and refined indium are 1,865.00 CNY/kg, 2,425.00 CNY/kg, and 2,525.00 CNY/kg respectively, with changes of -0.5%, +0%, and +0% [7] - The price of germanium dioxide is 9,900 CNY/kg, unchanged, with 50% used for optical fibers and 15% for electronic and solar devices; high-purity gallium is primarily used in semiconductors [7]