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【有色】铼价格再创近6年新高,钨价格创近10年新高——金属新材料高频数据周报(250728-0803)(王招华/方驭涛/王秋琪)
光大证券研究· 2025-08-05 23:06
Group 1: Military Industry New Materials - The price of electrolytic cobalt has increased to 265,000 CNY/ton, a week-on-week increase of 6.9% [3] - The price ratio of electrolytic cobalt to cobalt powder is 0.95, up by 4.5% week-on-week; the price ratio of electrolytic cobalt to cobalt sulfate is 5.15, up by 6.2% [3] - Carbon fiber price remains at 83.8 CNY/kg with a gross profit of -8.24 CNY/kg [3] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Materials - The CIF price of Li2O 5% lithium concentrate is 677 USD/ton, down by 4.51% week-on-week [4] - Prices for battery-grade lithium hydroxide, industrial-grade lithium carbonate, and battery-grade lithium carbonate are 73,200 CNY/ton, 70,200 CNY/ton, and 65,200 CNY/ton, with week-on-week increases of 7.9%, 6.95%, and 8.2% respectively [4] - The price of cobalt sulfate is 50,800 CNY/ton, up by 2.01% week-on-week [4] - Prices for lithium iron phosphate and 523-type cathode materials are 32,700 CNY/ton and 111,000 CNY/ton, remaining stable with slight increases of 0% and 0.4% respectively [4] - The price of neodymium oxide is 531.15 CNY/kg, up by 3.5% week-on-week [4] Group 3: Photovoltaic New Materials - The price of photovoltaic-grade polysilicon is 4.94 USD/kg, remaining stable [5] - EVA price is 10,100 CNY/ton, down by 0.5%, at a low level since 2013 [5] - The price of 3.2mm photovoltaic glass coating remains at 24.0 CNY/sqm [5] Group 4: Nuclear Power New Materials - Prices for zirconium-related materials are stable, with prices for zirconium oxychloride, sponge zirconium, hafnium oxide, zirconium silicate, and zircon sand at 14,750 CNY/ton, 150 CNY/kg, 9,000 CNY/kg, 13,950 CNY/ton, and 14,012.5 CNY/ton respectively [6] - The uranium price is projected to be 59.58 USD/lb in June 2025, up by 4.0% [6] Group 5: Consumer Electronics New Materials - The price of cobalt tetroxide is 207,500 CNY/ton, up by 2.47% week-on-week [7] - The price of lithium cobalt oxide is stable at 175.0 CNY/kg [7] - The price of silicon carbide remains at 5,400.00 CNY/ton [7] - Prices for high-purity gallium, crude indium, and refined indium are 1,755.00 CNY/kg, 2,575.00 CNY/kg, and 2,675.00 CNY/kg, with changes of -1.7%, 0%, and 0% respectively [7] - The price of germanium dioxide is stable at 9,800 CNY/kg, with 50% used for optical fibers and 15% for electronics and solar devices [7] Group 6: Other Materials - The prices for platinum, rhodium, and iridium are 312.00 CNY/g, 1,865.00 CNY/g, and 1,305.00 CNY/g, with changes of -6.3%, +9.4%, and +5.7% respectively [8]
【有色】铱价格创近10个月新高,多晶硅价格创2014年以来新低——金属新材料高频数据周报(0616-0622)(王招华/马俊等)
光大证券研究· 2025-06-26 13:28
Group 1: Military Industry New Materials - The price of electrolytic cobalt remains stable at 236,000 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week change of +0% [3] - The price of carbon fiber is 83.8 CNY/kg, also unchanged, with a gross profit of -8.56 CNY/kg [3] - Beryllium prices are stable this week [3] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Materials - The price of Li2O 5% lithium concentrate at the Chinese port is 540 USD/ton, down by -0.92% week-on-week [4] - The prices of battery-grade lithium hydroxide, industrial-grade lithium hydroxide, and electric carbon are 59,800 CNY/ton, 60,600 CNY/ton, and 60,600 CNY/ton respectively, with changes of -0.1%, +1.21%, and -2.3% [4] - The price of cobalt sulfate is 47,700 CNY/ton, unchanged [4] - The prices of lithium iron phosphate and 523-type cathode materials are 30,300 CNY/ton and 104,800 CNY/ton, with changes of +0% and -0.7% respectively [4] - The price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide is 444.11 CNY/kg, up by +0.8% [4] Group 3: Photovoltaic New Materials - The price of photovoltaic-grade polysilicon is 4.25 USD/kg, down by -0.7% [5] - The price of EVA is 10,450 CNY/ton, unchanged, remaining at a high level since 2013 [5] - The price of 3.2mm photovoltaic glass coating is 24.0 CNY/square meter, unchanged [5] Group 4: Nuclear Power New Materials - The prices of zirconium-related materials are as follows: zirconium oxychloride at 14,750 CNY/ton, sponge zircon at 155 CNY/kg, hafnium oxide at 9,000 CNY/kg, zirconium silicate at 14,225 CNY/ton, and zircon sand at 14,012.5 CNY/ton, with various week-on-week changes [6] - The uranium price for May 2025 is 57.31 USD/pound, up by +8.8% [6] Group 5: Consumer Electronics New Materials - The price of cobalt oxide is 186,500 CNY/ton, unchanged, while lithium cobalt oxide is priced at 175.0 CNY/kg, also unchanged [7] - The price of silicon carbide is 5,600.00 CNY/ton, unchanged [7] - The prices of high-purity gallium, crude indium, and refined indium are 1,865.00 CNY/kg, 2,425.00 CNY/kg, and 2,525.00 CNY/kg respectively, with changes of -0.5%, +0%, and +0% [7] - The price of germanium dioxide is 9,900 CNY/kg, unchanged, with 50% used for optical fibers and 15% for electronic and solar devices; high-purity gallium is primarily used in semiconductors [7]
刚果(金)钴出口禁令再延三个月,能扭转供应过剩格局吗?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-23 14:04
Core Viewpoint - The temporary ban on cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has been extended for an additional three months, now lasting a total of seven months, in response to an oversupply in the global cobalt market [1][7]. Industry Impact - The extension of the cobalt export ban has led to a rise in the energy metals sector, with companies like Tengyuan Cobalt (301219.SZ) seeing a stock price increase of 15.42%, and other firms such as Hanrui Cobalt (300618.SZ) and Huayou Cobalt (603799.SH) also experiencing significant gains [1]. - Cobalt prices have increased, with the average price of electrolytic cobalt reported at 244,000 yuan/ton, up by 8,500 yuan from the previous working day [1]. Company Responses - Major Chinese cobalt producers, including Luoyang Molybdenum and Huayou Cobalt, have indicated that their operations in the DRC are not significantly impacted by the export ban extension. Luoyang Molybdenum reported a cobalt production of 114,200 tons last year, a 106% increase year-on-year, while Huayou Cobalt noted that its cobalt capacity is primarily based in Indonesia, minimizing the impact of the DRC ban [2][4]. - Analysts suggest that domestic cobalt refining companies may face pressure due to increased uncertainty in cobalt raw material supply, although they currently have sufficient inventory to continue production [2][3]. Market Dynamics - The DRC is the largest cobalt producer globally, accounting for 76% of the world's cobalt production last year [5]. - Prior to the ban, cobalt prices had already dropped nearly 70% from their peak in Q1 2022, indicating a significant oversupply in the market [6]. - The ban's extension is expected to affect 128,000 tons of cobalt exports from the DRC this year, potentially shifting the global cobalt market from oversupply to a shortage by 2025, which could drive prices up [8]. Future Outlook - Industry experts have mixed views on whether the DRC's export ban will effectively alter the global cobalt supply-demand balance. Some predict short-term price increases driven by market sentiment, while others caution that without sufficient demand, the oversupply may persist [8][9]. - The DRC's strategy may include measures to enhance its pricing power in the cobalt market, although the implications of such strategies on the overall market dynamics remain uncertain [9].
【有色】多晶硅价格连续1个月下跌,电车材料价格普遍下滑——金属新材料高频数据周报(0414-0420)(王招华/马俊/王秋琪)
光大证券研究· 2025-04-21 09:09
Group 1: Military Industry New Materials - The price of electrolytic cobalt remains stable at 240,000 CNY/ton, with no change compared to the previous week [2] - The price of carbon fiber is 83.8 CNY/kg, also unchanged, with a gross profit of -18.31 CNY/kg [2] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Materials - The price of Li2O 5% lithium concentrate has reached 732 USD/ton, with no change [3] - The prices of electric carbon, industrial carbon, and battery-grade lithium hydroxide are 72,200 CNY/ton, 70,600 CNY/ton, and 68,900 CNY/ton, showing decreases of 1.4%, 0.8%, and 0.4% respectively [3] - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide is 415.67 CNY/kg, down by 2.8% [3] Group 3: Photovoltaic New Materials - The price of photovoltaic-grade polysilicon is 4.58 USD/kg, down by 7.1% [4] - The price of EVA is 11,500 CNY/ton, remaining stable at a high level since 2013 [4] - The price of 3.2mm photovoltaic glass coating is 24.0 CNY/sqm, unchanged [4] Group 4: Nuclear Power New Materials - The prices of zirconium-related materials such as zirconium oxychloride and sponge zirconium remain stable, while uranium price is 51.83 USD/lb, down by 4.6% [5] Group 5: Consumer Electronics New Materials - The price of cobalt oxide is 187,000 CNY/ton, unchanged [6] - The price of silicon carbide is 5,700 CNY/ton, also stable, while high-purity gallium, crude indium, and refined indium prices are 1,925 CNY/kg, 2,575 CNY/kg, and 2,675 CNY/kg respectively, all unchanged [6] Group 6: Other Materials - The price of rhodium has decreased [7] Group 7: Precious Metals - The prices of platinum, rhodium, and iridium are 240.00 CNY/g, 1,400.00 CNY/g, and 1,055.00 CNY/g respectively, with platinum up by 2.1% and rhodium down by 4.8% [9]