智通财经APP获悉，光大证券发布研报称，10月A股港股市场表现震荡。港股整体盈利能力相对较强， 同时互联网、新消费、创新药等资产相对稀缺。此外，尽管港股已经连续多月上涨，但是整体估值仍然 偏低，长期配置性价比仍较高。在AI产业趋势持续发展，以及美联储降息周期开启背景下，港股市场 未来或许将继续震荡上行。行业配置方面，中期关注TMT和先进制造板块，如果市场出现震荡则关注 滞涨方向，如高股息及消费板块。 光大证券主要观点如下： 10月A股港股市场表现震荡 10月A股主要指数涨跌互现。受海外预期波动、市场风险偏好回落等因素影响，10月(截至28日)，A股 主要指数分化明显，其中上证综指涨幅最大，10月份累计上涨了2.7%，而科创50跌幅最大，累计下跌 1.6%。10月各行业涨幅分化较为明显。受市场情绪回落、部分资金止盈等因素影响，煤炭、通信、银 行等行业表现较好。 10月港股市场有所回调。10月受海外不确定性加大、国内风险偏好回落等因素影响，港股市场整体走势 较为震荡。截至2025年10月28日，恒生香港35、恒生中国企业指数、恒生指数、恒生综合指数、恒生科 技指数的涨幅分别为0.2%、-1.9%、-1.9%、-2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for ASMPT (00522), highlighting strong AI demand and a recovery in mainstream business and SMT, with expectations for accelerated shipments in Q4 2025 and 2026, despite one-time costs from restructuring [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to HKD 2.03 billion, HKD 13.51 billion, and HKD 19.35 billion, reflecting changes of -66%, +42%, and +41% respectively compared to previous estimates [1] - Year-on-year changes are projected at -41.2%, +565.2%, and +43.2% for the respective years [1] Group 2: Business Developments - The company is deepening its focus on TCB and HB, with expectations for accelerated shipments in Q4 2025 and 2026 [1] - In TCB, the company has validated HBM4 with major clients, anticipating orders from leading wafer foundry customers and preparing for mass production [1] - In the storage sector, the company has secured multiple orders for HBM4-12H, with one being a primary supplier [1] - The company continues to deliver HB in Q3, with several projects at different evaluation stages [1] Group 3: Restructuring Impact - The voluntary liquidation of the Shenzhen subsidiary AEC resulted in a short-term loss for the company, but is expected to improve long-term profitability [2] - The restructuring and inventory write-off in Q3 incurred costs of HKD 3.55 billion, but is projected to enhance gross margins and save HKD 1.28 billion annually [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for ASMPT (00522), highlighting strong AI demand and a recovery in mainstream business and SMT, with expectations for accelerated shipments in TCB by Q4 2025 and in 2026, despite one-time costs from restructuring [1] Group 1: Financial Forecasts - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to HKD 2.03 billion, HKD 13.51 billion, and HKD 19.35 billion, reflecting changes of -66%, +42%, and +41% respectively compared to previous estimates [1] - Year-on-year changes in net profit are projected at -41.2% for 2025, +565.2% for 2026, and +43.2% for 2027 [1] Group 2: Business Developments - The company is deepening its focus on TCB and HB, with expectations for accelerated shipments in Q4 2025 and 2026 [1] - In TCB, the company has validated HBM4 with key customers in the logic sector, anticipating orders from leading foundry clients starting in Q4 2025 [1] - In the storage sector, the company has secured multiple orders for HBM4-12H, with one major client as a primary supplier [1] - The company is also progressing in HB, with ongoing deliveries and multiple projects at different evaluation stages [1] Group 3: Restructuring Impact - The voluntary liquidation of the Shenzhen subsidiary AEC resulted in a short-term loss for the company, but is expected to improve long-term profitability [2] - The restructuring and inventory write-off in Q3 incurred costs of HKD 3.55 billion, but is projected to enhance gross margins and save HKD 1.28 billion annually [2]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 321.21 million yuan for the first nine months of 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 8.61% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -28.70 million yuan, an improvement from -104 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities was 31.36 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 219.08% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for the current period was 124.58 million yuan, an increase of 61.25% compared to the previous year [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the current period was -6.36 million yuan, an increase of 80.32% year-on-year [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after excluding non-recurring gains and losses was -8.75 million yuan, a decrease of 74.05% compared to the previous year [2] - The net cash flow from operating activities for the year-to-date was 31.36 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 219.08% [2] Historical Financial Data - The company achieved revenues of 480 million yuan, 479 million yuan, and 413 million yuan from 2022 to 2024, respectively [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 were -51.68 million yuan, -177 million yuan, and -282 million yuan, respectively [3] - The net cash flow from operating activities for the same years were -90.80 million yuan, -117 million yuan, and -21.64 million yuan, respectively [3]

Group 1: Core Insights - The high-end manufacturing sector will remain a key focus and investment theme in 2026, with significant breakthroughs expected in humanoid robots, liquid cooling equipment, and solid-state battery equipment [1] - The PCB equipment industry is anticipated to improve due to the growing demand for AI computing power [1] Group 2: Humanoid Robots - 2026 is projected to be a breakthrough year for mass production in the humanoid robot industry, with a focus on high-complexity dexterous hands, screw rod production and cost reduction, reducer supply chain, six-dimensional force sensors, and precision injection molding [2] Group 3: Liquid Cooling Equipment - The liquid cooling industry is expected to see increased penetration driven by higher chip power density and lower data center PUE, with a shift from single-phase to dual-phase and immersion cooling technologies [3] Group 4: PCB Equipment - The AIPCB industry's positive outlook is extending to upstream equipment, with domestic manufacturers actively capturing the high-end PCB equipment market, indicating a broad market space for domestic equipment [4] Group 5: Solid-State Battery Equipment - Multiple battery manufacturers have confirmed plans for mass production of all-solid-state batteries, with rising demand expectations and supportive policies, indicating a potential breakthrough in the industry [5] Group 6: External Demand - The easing of tariff impacts is expected to sustain proactive inventory replenishment in tools and OPE, with a focus on mining equipment investment driven by copper grade decline and supply gaps [6] Group 7: Internal Demand - The recovery in manufacturing sentiment is likely to boost demand for machine tools and cutting tools, alongside accelerated automation upgrades in manufacturing enterprises [7]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities indicates a downward revision of New Oriental-S (09901) net profit forecasts for FY26-28 due to intensified industry competition and increased business base, with projected profits of $442 million, $514 million, and $582 million respectively, each down by 8% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In FY26Q1, New Oriental achieved net revenue of $1.523 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, exceeding previous guidance [1] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of $240,700, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit was $258 million, down 1.6% [1] - The company expects FY26Q2 overall net revenue to be between $1.132 billion and $1.163 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9%-12% [2] Group 2: Business Segments - In the overseas business segment, exam preparation revenue grew by 1.0% and consulting revenue by 2.0%, with slower growth rates observed [1] - Domestic exam preparation for adults and university students saw a robust revenue increase of 14.4% year-on-year [1] - New educational business revenue grew by 15.3% year-on-year, although growth was impacted by increased competition from low-cost/free classes during the summer [1] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - Non-GAAP operating profit for FY26Q1 was $336 million, reflecting an 11.3% year-on-year increase, with an operating profit margin of 22.0%, up 1.0 percentage points [3] - The improvement in profit margin is attributed to ongoing efforts in cost optimization and operational efficiency [3] - The company is implementing a cautious capacity expansion strategy and enhancing the use of AI technology in its educational ecosystem and internal operations [3] Group 4: Shareholder Returns - The company announced a three-year shareholder return plan, committing to return at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders, including a cash dividend of $190 million and a $300 million share buyback plan [2]

Core Viewpoint - Company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for New Oriental-S (09901) for FY26-28 down by 8% to $4.42 billion, $5.14 billion, and $5.82 billion respectively, while maintaining an "Overweight" rating due to strong industry demand despite increased competition [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In FY26Q1, the company achieved net revenue of $15.23 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, exceeding previous guidance [2][3] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of $240,700, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit was $258 million, down 1.6% [2] - The company expects FY26Q2 net revenue to be between $11.32 billion and $11.63 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9%-12% [4] Group 2: Business Segments - The overseas examination preparation business saw a revenue increase of 1.0%, while the overseas consulting business grew by 2.0%, indicating a slowdown in growth [3] - Domestic examination preparation for adults and university students experienced a robust revenue growth of 14.4% [3] - New educational business revenue grew by 15.3%, although growth has slowed due to increased competition from low-cost/free classes during the summer [3] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - Non-GAAP operating profit for FY26Q1 was $336 million, an increase of 11.3% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 22.0%, up 1.0 percentage point [5] - The improvement in profit margin is attributed to ongoing efforts in cost optimization and operational efficiency [5] - The company is implementing a three-year shareholder return plan, committing at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholder returns, including a $190 million cash dividend and a $300 million share buyback plan [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the chemical industry is expected to experience a recovery in profitability due to macroeconomic improvements and supply-side policy advancements, with a focus on sectors like phosphate chemicals, potassium fertilizers, pesticides, MDI, titanium dioxide, and lithium battery materials [1] - The macroeconomic environment has shown steady recovery since 2025, with expectations for CPI to return to positive territory by Q4 2025 and a gradual narrowing of PPI's year-on-year decline, indicating a bottoming out phase for the chemical industry [1] - The chemical industry's capital expenditure is currently contracting, and the pace of new capacity additions is slowing, which is beneficial for improving supply-demand relationships [1] Group 2 - The chemical industry's PB valuation is at historical lows, suggesting significant upside potential, while PE valuation reflects market pricing in future recovery [2] - The agricultural chemicals sector is performing relatively well, with high prices for phosphate and potassium fertilizers, and the pesticide industry entering a recovery phase [2] - The lithium battery materials sector is seeing improved profitability trends due to strong end-demand and orderly expansion by leading companies [2] Group 3 - Emerging applications in AI, OLED, and robotics are driving strong growth in the chemical new materials sector, with significant demand for key materials like photoresists and electronic chemicals [3] - The OLED market is experiencing rapid growth, with domestic panel manufacturers increasing their market share and the scale of organic materials expanding [3] - The robotics industry is creating new demand for high-performance materials such as PEEK and MXD6, which are characterized by lightweight, high strength, and high-temperature resistance [3]

Core Viewpoint - Recent events such as the resurgence of US-China trade tensions, Powell's indication of ending balance sheet reduction, and the turmoil in US regional banks have accelerated capital inflow into the gold market. Although short-term bullish factors for gold prices are largely priced in, the long-term bull market is far from over [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Domestic and foreign capital is rapidly flowing into the gold market due to multiple events [1] - The remaining two interest rate cuts for the year have been fully priced in, alongside a marginal easing of US-China trade frictions [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to mitigate short-term volatility risks and focus on long-term investment value [1] - Recommended investment vehicles include the gold ETF (518800) with over 27 billion yuan directly investing in physical gold and the gold stock ETF (517400) covering the entire gold industry chain [1]

Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 444 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 30.95% [1][2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -29.38 million yuan, compared to a profit of 17.19 million yuan in the same period last year, representing a decline of 270.98% [1][2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was -35.58 million yuan, down 330.09% from 15.46 million yuan in the previous year [1][2] - The net cash flow from operating activities was -45.82 million yuan [1][2] Previous Year Comparison - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 925 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 21.64% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 19.57 million yuan, down 79.62% from the previous year [2] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses for 2024 was 12.27 million yuan, a decrease of 86.22% [2] - The net cash flow from operating activities in 2024 was 60.63 million yuan, an increase of 7.77% [2] Fundraising and Use of Proceeds - The company was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on September 25, 2020, raising a total of 503 million yuan, with a net amount of 446 million yuan after deducting issuance costs [3] - The raised funds were allocated to various projects, including 140 million yuan for dual-use rocket production capacity and 110 million yuan for high-temperature special materials production line [3] - The company also issued convertible bonds totaling 495 million yuan, with a net amount of approximately 485 million yuan after deducting issuance expenses [4][5]