消息面上，10月13日，现货黄金一度升至每盎司4060美元上方，刷新历史新高。美国总统特朗普称将于 11月1日起，对中国进口商品加征100%的新关税，此税率为在现有已支付关税基础上额外增加的部分； 此外美国也会在同日对"所有关键软件"实施出口管制；关税风险显著升温。国信证券认为，伴随美国三 大股指下跌，避险情绪驱动黄金价格继续上涨，仍看好黄金中长期价格走势，居民资产配置中黄金的比 例在2-10%间较适宜，机构配置盘比例则可适当提升。 黄金股早盘多数走高，截至发稿，紫金黄金国际(02259)涨5.44%，报137.5港元；大唐黄金(08299)涨 5.38%，报0.49港元；赤峰黄金（600988）(06693)涨3.87%，报33.82港元；万国黄金集团(03939)涨 3.64%，报37港元；灵宝黄金(03330)涨3.72%，报19.52港元。 赤峰黄金 赤峰黄金 大唐黄金 灵宝黄金 万国黄金集团 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 32.68 0.58 1.81% 5.08% 3.40% 1.68% 0.00% 1.68% 3.40% 5.08% 30.47 31.01 31.56 32.10 32.64 ...

Group 1 - The gold and non-ferrous metal sectors opened collectively higher, with notable stocks such as China Ruilin and Huayu Mining hitting the daily limit up [1] - The A-share market saw all three major indices open higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.55%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.04%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.37%, led by gains in non-ferrous metals, rare earth permanent magnets, and controllable nuclear fusion sectors [2] - Hong Kong gold stocks continued their upward trend, with Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining rising nearly 5%, and other companies like Shandong Gold and Zhaojin Mining also showing significant gains [3] Group 2 - The Hong Kong market opened with the Hang Seng Index up 0.31% and the Hang Seng Tech Index up 0.56%, with the non-ferrous metal sector maintaining its strong performance, highlighted by increases in stocks like Zijin Mining and Jiangxi Copper [4]

| 代码 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 √ | 最新价 | 总市值 | 年初至今涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00815 | 中国白银集团 | 8.97% | 0.850 | 23.06亿 | 260.17% | | 06693 | 赤峰黄金 | 4.94% | 37.360 | 709.99亿 | 175.82% | | 01787 | 山东黄金 | 4.11% | 43.600 | 2009.93亿 | 257.17% | | 01818 | 招等处,不 | 4.03% | 34.600 | 1225.67亿 | 217.27% | | 02099 | 中国黄金国际 | 3.82% | 149.500 | 592.64 Z | 270.24% | | 02259 | 紫金黄金国际 | 3.58% | 147.500 | 3947.6 Z | 106.03% | | 00340 | 潼关黄金 | 3.44% | 3.010 | 132.37亿 | 529.71% | | 02899 | 紫金矿业 | 3.33% | 35.380 | 9403.15亿 | ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 今日早盘，港股版"恐慌指数"恒指波幅指数飙升近29%，创2025年5月以来新高。截至收盘，恒生波幅 指数涨18.42%。多家机构认为，港股进入高波动阶段，港股"TACO"交易需要分批进行。 公司建议实物分派旅游地产业 香港中旅盘中涨超14% 香港中旅盘中涨超14%，截至收盘涨8.5%，报1.66港元/股，成交额2.51亿港元。 香港中旅是最早一批在港交所上市的旅游企业之一，于1992年在港交所上市。香港中旅历史可追溯到 1923年8月15日上海商业储蓄银行设立的旅行部。经过百年的发展，集团形成了由旅行社、景区、酒 店、免税、旅游交通、邮轮、地产以及在港综合业务组成的产业布局。 消息面上，香港中旅公布，建议实物分派旅游地产业务，股东可选择按每股收取1股私人公司股份，或 每股收取现金0.336港元。公司表示，完成分派后，集团将减少非核心资产拖累，盈利能力预期改善， 并进一步优化运营模式，把资金与管理资源集中于高回报的旅游运营环节。董事会认为，此举符合公司 及股东整体利益。 黄金及贵金属领涨 | 3h 10 | 黄金及贵金属 3622.94 ...

Core Viewpoint - The gold industry stocks are experiencing a strong upward trend, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets amid geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The CSI Gold Industry Stock Index (931238) rose by 2.27% as of October 13, 2025, with notable gains from individual stocks such as Western Gold (601069) up 10.00%, Xiaocheng Technology (300139) up 9.61%, and Yuguang Jinlei (600531) up 8.98% [1][2]. - The Gold Stock ETF (517520) increased by 2.21%, with a cumulative rise of 10.62% over the past two weeks, ranking it in the top one-sixth among comparable funds [1][2]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Demand - The Gold Stock ETF saw a significant increase in scale, growing by 907 million yuan over the past two weeks, placing it in the top one-sixth among comparable funds [2][3]. - The ETF's shares increased by 94 million units in the same period, also ranking in the top one-sixth among comparable funds [3]. - The latest net inflow for the Gold Stock ETF was 192 million yuan, with a total of 111 million yuan attracted over the last four trading days [3]. Group 3: Economic and Geopolitical Factors - The Federal Reserve's dovish signals, including a 97.8% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, have bolstered market confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset [3]. - Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, and the U.S. government shutdown have heightened demand for gold, reinforcing its appeal as a protective investment [3][4]. - Analysts predict that short-term demand for gold will remain strong due to these factors, while long-term trends indicate continued central bank purchases and a shift from net selling to net buying in gold ETFs [4].

Group 1 - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell by 3.49%, down 916 points, closing at 25,373 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 4.54%. The morning trading volume reached HKD 281.8 billion [1] - Jinli Permanent Magnet (06680) surged over 12% as a rare earth giant announced price increases, with institutions optimistic about the strengthening strategic position of rare earths [1] - Semiconductor stocks rose against the trend, with Huahong Semiconductor (01347) increasing by 3.6%, driven by escalating competition in the technology sector and multiple catalysts for the semiconductor industry [1] - Kingsoft (03888) saw a rise of over 18% at one point, closing up over 9%, as external frictions escalate, highlighting the trend towards self-controlled industries and investment opportunities in the Xinchuang sector [1] - Gold stocks mostly rose due to risk aversion, with spot gold breaking through USD 4,060. Zijin Mining International (02259) increased by 4.6%, and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) rose by 2.5% [1] Group 2 - MicroPort Scientific-B (02252) rose over 2% as its commercialization process accelerated, with overseas orders exceeding 60 units [2] Group 3 - Liqin Resources (02245) increased by over 5% following the implementation of cobalt export quotas in the Democratic Republic of Congo [3] - China Merchants Energy (01138) rose over 4% due to seasonal demand and event disturbances, with institutions expecting stronger freight rates [3] - Domestic insurance stocks fell across the board, with Tianan Insurance announcing a debt default of CNY 5.3 billion, which institutions suggest may mark the beginning of market-driven risk pricing. New China Life Insurance (01336) fell by 5%, China Pacific Insurance (02328) by 3.9%, and China Taiping Insurance (02601) by 3.6% [3] Group 4 - Pharmaceutical stocks continued their recent downward trend, with Junshi Biosciences (01877) dropping nearly 10.6% and Kanglong Chemical (03759) falling over 9% [4] Group 5 - Apple-related stocks experienced significant declines, with Hongteng Precision (06088) dropping over 10%, as institutions stated that the impact of tariffs on the supply chain should not be overestimated [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant increase in gold stocks, driven by rising gold prices and geopolitical tensions [1] - As of the report, several gold stocks saw notable gains: Zijin Mining International rose by 5.44% to HKD 137.5, Datong Gold increased by 5.38% to HKD 0.49, Chifeng Jilong Gold surged by 3.87% to HKD 33.82, and others followed suit [1] - On October 13, spot gold prices exceeded USD 4060 per ounce, marking a new historical high [1] Group 2 - The article mentions that U.S. President Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese imports starting November 1, which adds to existing tariffs and raises significant trade risks [1] - The U.S. will also implement export controls on "all critical software" on the same date, further escalating geopolitical tensions [1] - Guosen Securities expresses a positive outlook on gold prices in the medium to long term, suggesting that the proportion of gold in individual asset allocation should be between 2-10%, while institutional allocations could be increased [1]

Core Insights - The ongoing US-China trade tensions have led to a surge in safe-haven investments, pushing gold prices to a new historical high of $4,060 per ounce [1] - The rise in gold prices has positively impacted the Hong Kong stock market, particularly gold-related stocks, which have shown significant gains [1] Company Performance - Zijin Mining International saw an increase of over 6%, with a latest price of $139.00 and a market capitalization of 372.11 billion, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 94.16% [2] - China Silver Group rose by over 5%, with a latest price of $0.800 and a market capitalization of 2.17 billion, marking a year-to-date increase of 238.98% [2] - Chifeng Jilong Gold experienced a gain of 4.48%, with a latest price of $34.020 and a market capitalization of 64.65 billion, showing a year-to-date increase of 151.16% [2] - Lingbao Gold saw an increase of 4.04%, with a latest price of $19.580 and a market capitalization of 25.20 billion, reflecting a remarkable year-to-date increase of 640.79% [2] - Zefeng Gold rose by 3.55%, with a latest price of $1.750 and a market capitalization of 2.17 billion, indicating a staggering year-to-date increase of 894.32% [2] - Shandong Gold increased by 2.51%, with a latest price of $40.080 and a market capitalization of 184.77 billion, showing a year-to-date increase of 228.34% [2] - Zijin Mining rose by 2.08%, with a latest price of $34.360 and a market capitalization of 913.21 billion, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 152.73% [2] - Jihai Resources increased by 2.27%, with a latest price of $1.800 and a market capitalization of 3.60 billion, marking a year-to-date increase of 116.87% [2] - Zhangguan Gold rose by 2.12%, with a latest price of $2.890 and a market capitalization of 12.71 billion, indicating a year-to-date increase of 504.60% [2] - China National Gold International saw an increase of 1.28%, with a latest price of $141.900 and a market capitalization of 56.25 billion, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 251.42% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals sector, particularly gold and silver, has seen significant price increases, with gold prices rising 47% this year, potentially marking the largest annual increase since 1979. Silver has outperformed gold, with a price increase of over 62% [2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - On October 2, the first trading day after the National Day holiday in Hong Kong, gold and silver stocks surged, with several stocks, including China Silver Group, rising over 10%, and China Silver Group specifically increasing by 30% to reach a nearly four-year high [1]. - Year-to-date performance shows that China Silver Group has increased by 192.37%, while Tongguan Gold has surged by 552.72% [2]. Group 2: Price Trends and Predictions - Goldman Sachs has raised its price forecasts for gold, predicting prices could reach $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026 and $4,300 by the end of 2026, indicating further upward potential for gold prices [3]. - The gold-silver ratio, which measures the price relationship between gold and silver, currently stands at approximately 80:1, suggesting that silver may still have room for price increases [8][24]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global silver market has experienced a supply-demand gap for five consecutive years, with an estimated shortfall of about 4,000 tons in 2025 [18]. - Industrial demand for silver is projected to continue growing, with its share of total demand expected to reach 58% by 2024 [20]. Group 4: Economic Context - The differing economic roles of gold and silver lead to divergent price movements under various economic conditions. Gold primarily serves as a safe-haven asset, while silver has both safe-haven and industrial attributes, which can drive its price higher during economic recoveries [13][14]. - Historical trends indicate that when the gold-silver ratio exceeds 80:1, silver is often undervalued relative to gold, presenting potential investment opportunities [22].

Core Viewpoint - The gold stocks collectively opened lower, influenced by a significant drop in spot gold prices and geopolitical developments in the Middle East [3]. Group 1: Market Performance - Chinese gold stocks such as China Gold International, Zijin Mining International, Shandong Gold, and Chifeng Jilong Gold experienced declines, with drops of 3.99%, 3.75%, 3.71%, and 3.13% respectively [3]. - Spot gold prices fell below $3960 per ounce, retreating nearly $100 from recent highs, while COMEX gold futures dropped by 1.95% [3]. Group 2: Geopolitical Impact - A ceasefire agreement between Hamas and Israel was announced, leading to a rapid decrease in geopolitical tensions, which contributed to the sell-off in gold [3]. - Analysts noted that the recent high prices of gold prompted profit-taking among investors, further pressuring gold prices in the short term [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite the current price pressures, analysts from Huatai Futures indicated that the underlying factors such as risk premium and the Federal Reserve's accommodative stance have not changed significantly, suggesting potential for future price increases [3].