Core Viewpoint - Lithium stocks are experiencing an upward trend, driven by expectations of a supply shortage in the global lithium market by 2027, which may lead to price increases for lithium carbonate [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Ganfeng Lithium (01772) rose by 4.27% to HKD 51.8, while Tianqi Lithium (09696) increased by 3.31% to HKD 48 [1] - Lithium carbonate futures for the 2605 contract saw a rise of over 3%, peaking at CNY 96,800 per ton [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Huatai Securities predicts a potential supply shortage in the global lithium market by 2027, which could push prices above CNY 100,000 per ton in the second half of 2026 [1] - If a sustained shortage occurs in 2027, lithium carbonate prices could further increase to CNY 120,000 per ton due to low sensitivity of downstream sectors to price changes [1] Group 3: Industry Trends - Three significant changes in the industry have been observed: strong production resilience on the supply side, accelerated inventory reduction driven by demand, and a prolonged capital expenditure bottom for Chinese enterprises over the past three years [1] - Global sales of new energy vehicles are projected to reach 5.4 million units in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 23%, while energy storage battery shipments are expected to hit 170 GWh, up 98.5% year-on-year [1] - The production rhythm for lithium salt projects is anticipated to slow down from 2026 to 2028, indicating that the lithium cycle's turning point is approaching [1]

锂业股午前走高，截至发稿，赣锋锂业（01772）上涨3.46%，报51.40港元；天齐锂业（09696）上涨 2.28%，报47.52港元。 责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 锂业股午前走高，截至发稿，赣锋锂业（01772）上涨3.46%，报51.40港元；天齐锂业（09696）上涨 2.28%，报47.52港元。 责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 ...

Group 1 - The lithium battery sector in Hong Kong is experiencing active performance, with notable stock increases for companies such as Ganfeng Lithium (+4.27%), Tianqi Lithium (+3.19%), and CATL (+2.02%) [2] - The U.S. Department of Defense is significantly stockpiling critical minerals, including lithium, cobalt, graphite, and rare earths, highlighting the global emphasis on strategic resource security and supporting long-term lithium demand [3] - Vulcan Energy has secured nearly $2.5 billion in financing for its Lionheart lithium project in Germany, which is expected to produce 24,000 tons of lithium annually, sufficient to meet the annual demand of approximately 500,000 electric vehicles, thereby strengthening the local supply chain in Europe [3] Group 2 - A report from CITIC Securities predicts that global lithium battery demand will exceed 2,700 GWh by 2026, with a year-on-year growth of over 30%, and energy storage battery demand surpassing 900 GWh, indicating potential supply tightness across various segments [3] - Huatai Securities forecasts that global lithium resource supply (measured in LCE) will reach 1.634 million tons, 2.162 million tons, and 2.532 million tons in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.3%, 32.3%, and 17.1%, although structural scarcity remains a concern [3] - CATL has received type approval for its marine battery system from the Italian classification society RINA, and its products are now used in nearly 900 vessels, including the world's largest pure electric inland cruise ship [4] Group 3 - CATL has signed a framework supply agreement with Singapore's renewable energy developer Vena Energy to provide 4 GWh of EnerX battery storage systems, showcasing its technological output and delivery capabilities in the global energy storage market [4]

五矿证券指出，观察到产业的三大变化：供给端生产韧性强；需求带动下，产业链去库并加速。 2025Q3全球新能源汽车销量540万辆，同比+23%；储能电池出货量170Gwh，同比+98.5%，产业链排产 增加带动库存去化并加速；中资企业资本开支已处于周期底部约3年时间，我们预计2026-2028年锂盐项 目投产节奏放缓。该行认为锂矿周期拐点已经逐步接近。 锂业股早盘走高，截至发稿，赣锋锂业（002460）(01772)涨4.27%，报51.8港元；天齐锂业（002466） (09696)涨3.31%，报48港元。 消息面上，碳酸锂期货2605合约今早一度涨超3%，最高见96800元/吨。根据华泰证券测算，由于预期 27年全球锂资源供需关系或走向短缺，短缺预期或推升价格在26年下半年提前启动，有望再次突破10万 元/吨。考虑下游对于碳酸锂价格的敏感程度相对较低，该行认为若27年出现持续短缺去库情况，碳酸 锂价格上行空间或进一步打开，有望上涨至12万元/吨。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，锂业股早盘走高，截至发稿，赣锋锂业(01772)涨4.27%，报51.8港元；天齐锂业 (09696)涨3.31%，报48港元。 消息面上，碳酸锂期货2605合约今早一度涨超3%，最高见96800元/吨。根据华泰证券测算，由于预期 27年全球锂资源供需关系或走向短缺，短缺预期或推升价格在26年下半年提前启动，有望再次突破10万 元/吨。考虑下游对于碳酸锂价格的敏感程度相对较低，该行认为若27年出现持续短缺去库情况，碳酸 锂价格上行空间或进一步打开，有望上涨至12万元/吨。 五矿证券指出，观察到产业的三大变化：供给端生产韧性强；需求带动下，产业链去库并加速。 2025Q3全球新能源汽车销量540万辆，同比+23%；储能电池出货量170Gwh，同比+98.5%，产业链排产 增加带动库存去化并加速；中资企业资本开支已处于周期底部约3年时间，我们预计2026-2028年锂盐项 目投产节奏放缓。该行认为锂矿周期拐点已经逐步接近。 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market's non-ferrous metal sector has seen an upward trend, with Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) rising over 7% [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) increased by more than 4%, while Tianqi Lithium (09696.HK) rose over 3% [1] - Other companies such as Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK), China Hongqiao (01378.HK), and China Aluminum (02600.HK) also experienced gains [1]

截至发稿，赣锋锂业(01772.HK)涨5.17%、天齐锂业(09696.HK)涨3.31%、宁德时代(03750.HK)涨 1.81%。 ...

人民财讯12月10日电，企查查APP显示，近日，安徽隐山天齐双新股权投资合伙企业（有限合伙）成 立，出资额5亿元，经营范围包含：以私募基金从事股权投资、投资管理、资产管理等活动。企查查股 权穿透显示，该公司由天齐锂业（002466）全资子公司成都天齐锂业有限公司、安徽省新材料产业主题 投资基金合伙企业（有限合伙）等共同持股。 ...

隔夜美股美股锂矿概念持续走强，Sigma Lithium大涨13%，智利矿业化工、美国雅保均上涨。 据《卫报》报道，美国国防部正通过国家国防储备计划大规模囤积关键矿产，被纳入囤积范围的至少包 括38种矿物和金属，其中涵盖锂、钴、石墨以及稀土元素，这些正是能源转型所依赖的基础材料。 天齐锂业（09696）、赣锋锂业（01772）、龙蟠科技(02465) 据12月3日声明，Vulcan Energy已获得近25亿美元融资，用于建设欧洲最大锂生产项目。交易所文件显 示，德国Lionheart锂项目一期工程的目标年产能为2.4万吨锂，前十年的承购合同已全部签订，"一期工 程生产的锂足以满足每年约50万辆电动汽车的需求"。 中信建投研报称，预计明年锂电池总需求有望超过2700GWh，同比增速超过30%，其中储能电池需求超 过900GWh，锂电多个环节可能出现紧缺。 华泰证券指出，根据测算，2026年全球锂资源供应增量将主要来自国内盐湖新项目投产、非洲矿与澳矿 的放量，以及南美盐湖产能的爬产。中性预期下，我们预测2025年至2027年全球锂资源供给量预计分别 为163.4万吨、216.2万吨和253.2万吨LCE，同比增 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. Department of Defense is significantly stockpiling critical minerals, including lithium, cobalt, graphite, and rare earth elements, essential for energy transition [1] - Vulcan Energy has secured nearly $2.5 billion in financing for the largest lithium production project in Europe, with an annual production capacity of 24,000 tons of lithium, sufficient to meet the demand for approximately 500,000 electric vehicles per year [1] - CITIC Securities forecasts that the total demand for lithium batteries is expected to exceed 2,700 GWh next year, with a year-on-year growth rate of over 30%, indicating potential shortages in various segments of the lithium supply chain [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities predicts that the global lithium resource supply increment from 2025 to 2027 will mainly come from new domestic salt lake projects, increased output from African and Australian mines, and gradual production ramp-up from South American salt lakes, with expected supply volumes of 1.634 million tons, 2.162 million tons, and 2.532 million tons of LCE respectively [2] - CITIC Securities emphasizes the importance of resource self-sufficiency and low-cost quality resources, suggesting that companies with high self-sufficiency rates will have stable raw material supply and high margins, reducing risks associated with low-margin processing in the future [2] - The report highlights that as lithium prices stabilize, companies with significant production and capacity growth will be prioritized for investment opportunities [2] Group 3 - Relevant Hong Kong-listed companies in the lithium resource sector include Tianqi Lithium (002466), Ganfeng Lithium (002460), and Longpan Technology (603906) [3]