A股复盘 | 航天停下来了？ / 2025.12.30 标题和封面图都是群友贡献的！ 说来好笑，群里今天下注押红还是绿（不是赌博），结果沪指涨幅0%，意不意外，惊不惊喜！鉴于收盘点数还是比开盘高的，也算是十日阳 线吧！ MSCI中国指数今年以来上涨约28%，有望连续第二年实现年度上涨，并且正朝着自2017年以来相对标普500指数表现最强的一年迈进。 先来八卦（bushi）机器人大涨的原因吧，开盘前早报整理了几条，但是机器人热度不怎么高。 一个是， 12月29日，华为全资持股的东莞极目机器有限公司注册资本增加至约46.89亿元，增幅约20.54%。同日，越疆科技公告拟启动A 股上市计划，深之蓝的科创板IPO申请已获受理。 此外， 京东与宇树科技合作的首家线下机器人体验店将于12月31日正式开业。火山引擎宣布成为2026年春晚独家AI云合作伙伴。 工信部人形机器人与具身智能标准化技术委员会已于近日成立，多家机器人企业相关负责人参与。 接着盘中，机器人传出两个小作文，机器人才大拉特拉！ 一是特朗普政府正考虑2026年发布关于机器人的行政命令；二是近期供应商陆续 在北美拜访，特斯拉Optimus发包在即，市场已经开始 ...

板块内，电解液、锂矿两大核心方向领涨，滨海能源（维权）、多氟多、天赐材料等多只个股强势封板，铜冠铜箔、华盛锂 电等创业板股均涨超10%，资金做多情绪明显浓烈。 今天，碳酸锂期货主力合约也强势大涨5.96%，价格突破至12万元/吨，重回2024年3月时的高点，成为拉涨锂电概念的强大助 推力。 如此强势表现，或许宣告了锂电板块正式告别调整期，迈入新一轮上行通道。 经历近两个月的深度回调后，锂电股再次迎来强势反弹。 12月23日，截至A股收市，三大指数维持小幅上涨，锂电概念以收涨2.07%的涨幅、以及高达50亿主力资金净流入的强势表现 领涨所有行业。 | | 名称 | 张幅%1 | 年初至今 | 三力净额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 电池 | +2.07% | +70.44% | +50.14亿 | | 2 | 能源合展 | +1.51% | +71.16% | +6.96亿 | | ന | 电子化学品 | +1.36% | +58.66% | -3226.88万 | | 4 | 小金属 | +1.35% | +98.75% | -3.79亿 | | 5 | 环保 ...

相关个股中，滨海能源（000695）、多氟多（002407）、深圳新星（603978）、天际股份（002759）、 万润股份（002643）、集泰股份（002909）、天赐材料（002709）等7只个股涨停，天华新能 （300390）、华盛锂电、大中矿业（001203）、厦钨新能、国城矿业（000688）等个股跟涨。 消息面上，受益于储能等对锂电池需求的拉动，12月份以来，锂电产业链景气度持续攀升，多环节呈现 涨价态势。电解液环节继六氟磷酸锂后，VC添加剂(碳酸亚乙烯酯)和FEC(氟代碳酸乙烯酯)因供需缺口 持续扩大，价格呈现上涨趋势。除电解液环节外，锂电产业链上的正极材料、隔膜、负极材料等环节原 材料均出现价格拉升的情况。 12月23日，锂电池概念盘中震荡走强，电解液、锂矿方向领涨。 12月23日，中国有色金属工业协会锂业分会发布2025年11月份锂行业运行情况。11月份，国内碳酸锂价 格中枢明显抬升。电池级碳酸锂价格从月初的81000元/吨上涨至月末的92000元/吨，上涨13.58%；碳酸 锂期货主力合约收盘价从月初的82280元/吨上涨至月末的96420元/吨，上涨17.19%，月末期现价差为 442 ...

12月份以来，多家磷酸铁锂企业计划涨价。例如，12月1日，湖南裕能新能源电池材料股份有限公司表 示，涨价主要基于公司产品供不应求的市场情况，尤其是新产品系列供需矛盾突出，以及部分原材料价 格上涨带来的压力，公司与客户积极开展商务谈判，目前已取得较好的效果。 上游锂电材料的涨价已传导至产业链下游。12月9日，苏州德加能源科技有限公司（以下简称"德加能 源"）表示，自12月16日起对旗下电池系列产品售价上调15%。 本报记者 冯雨瑶 受益于储能等对锂电池需求的拉动，12月份以来，锂电产业链景气度持续攀升，多环节呈现涨价态势。 电解液被视作"锂电池的血液"，直接决定着电池的能量密度、充放电效率和安全性。在这一环节，继六 氟磷酸锂后，VC添加剂（碳酸亚乙烯酯）和FEC（氟代碳酸乙烯酯）因供需缺口持续扩大，价格呈现 上涨趋势。 巨丰投顾高级投资顾问丁臻宇对《证券日报》记者表示："六氟磷酸锂、VC添加剂等材料扩产周期长、 壁垒高，前期低价导致行业扩产谨慎、中小产能出清；叠加储能、新能源车年末需求超预期，头部企业 满产、库存低位，散单价格暴涨。" 丁臻宇进一步表示，预计上述原材料在2026年一季度末至二季度初涨价见顶，短期 ...

热点情报 食蟹猴价格暴涨近2倍 CRO（医药研发外包）企业核心生物资源之一的实验猴价格迎来暴涨！据北京商报，目前3—5岁左右的食蟹猴（实验猴的一种）价格已从最低5万元一只 涨至14万元一只，涨幅接近2倍，且年内已出现供不应求的局面。 比如，华盛锂电借VC添加剂涨价风口，股价47元一度大涨至155元。 如今，作为医学研究不可缺少的实验猴价格迎来暴涨，想必主力也不会错过机会。 为此，越声理财团队经过深度复盘，挖掘了4家核心公司。 其中一家，是国内实验猴资源最多的CRO企业之一，实验猴资源对其业绩影响显著。 前段时间，不仅被社保基金新进670万股，还被知名机构新进超过1900多万股。 所有人必须清楚，涨价题材向来是主力眼中的香饽饽。 比如，香农芯创凭存储芯片价格大涨，股价从40元飙升至204元。 ETF规模年内涨逾2万亿元 年内，ETF市场延续扩容态势，资金持续流入推动整体规模稳步抬升。数据显示，截至12月12日，今年以来全市场ETF规模增量已超过2万亿元，在权 益、债券、商品及跨境资产等多个方向均有体现，ETF作为重要资产配置工具的吸引力不断增强。 12月15日，龙洲股份逆势大涨9.95%，收盘价11.93元，成 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index opening high but closing lower, while the ChiNext Index initially rose over 1% before retreating [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.86 trillion, an increase of 78.6 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Nearly 4,400 stocks in the market declined, indicating a broad sell-off [1] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector showed resilience, with several stocks, including Zengsheng Technology, hitting the daily limit [1] - Retail concepts saw localized activity, with Baida Group quickly reaching the daily limit and Dongbai Group achieving five consecutive limit-ups [1] - The semiconductor equipment sector also performed well, with Yaxiang Integration hitting the daily limit and reaching a historical high [1] - In contrast, several stocks in the Fujian direction weakened, with China Wuyi and Shuhua Sports hitting the daily limit down [1] Hong Kong Market Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has shown weak performance recently, attributed to expectations surrounding the next Federal Reserve chair and the upcoming peak of lock-up stock releases in December [2][4] - The market is sensitive to external factors, including potential changes in U.S. interest rate policies and global trading dynamics [2] Potential Rebound Timing - A potential rebound is anticipated in mid to late December, depending on fiscal policy announcements and the Bank of Japan's interest rate statements [4] - Early January is also highlighted as a critical period, coinciding with the end of the lock-up peak and the release of the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes [5] VC Additive Market Dynamics - The price for lithium battery VC additives has been locked in at 150,000 to 170,000 per ton for December, significantly exceeding market expectations [7] - Despite concerns over a potential decline in battery production in January, structural demand for VC additives is expected to remain strong, particularly in energy storage batteries [7] - The effective supply of VC is projected to be around 105,000 tons next year, while total demand is expected to reach 120,000 tons, indicating a tight supply situation [7] - The industry is at a critical juncture of high demand growth and cyclical turning points, with leading companies trading at historically low price-to-earnings ratios [7] Future Outlook - By 2026, the demand growth for VC is anticipated to exceed 64%, driven by the expansion of the lithium battery market and technological advancements [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Jiangsu Boyun, stated that its products do not currently involve the field of VC additives [1] Group 1 - Jiangsu Boyun confirmed on an interactive platform that it is not engaged in the VC additives sector [1]

Group 1 - The solid-state battery sector is experiencing a rise due to increasing upstream raw material prices, with the China Battery Theme Index up by 0.24% as of November 20, 2025 [1] - Key component stocks such as Tianhua New Energy, Enjie, and Xingyuan Materials have seen significant increases, with Tianhua New Energy rising by 9.75% [1] - Lithium battery sector profits have shown a recovery with a year-on-year net profit growth of 28.38% in the first three quarters of 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index [1] Group 2 - The demand for energy storage batteries has surged, with a year-on-year shipment growth of 62.62% in the first three quarters of 2025, and an expected annual growth rate exceeding 75% [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Battery Theme Index account for 56.8% of the index, including major players like Sungrow Power, CATL, and EVE Energy [1] - The battery ETF by Harvest (562880) closely tracks the China Battery Theme Index, providing a convenient investment tool for the battery sector [2]

Core Insights - The rapid growth in the energy storage industry and the recovery in lithium battery demand have led to a significant increase in the prices of key materials such as lithium hexafluorophosphate and VC additives, described as a "fire in winter" for the market [2][3]. Lithium Hexafluorophosphate - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has surged dramatically, with mainstream quotes exceeding 120,000 yuan per ton in mid-November, doubling from the low of 50,000 yuan in July and also doubling from mid-October [3]. - The price increase is driven by explosive growth in demand from the electric vehicle and energy storage sectors, alongside a contraction in supply due to the exit of many small enterprises under financial pressure [3]. - Domestic energy storage battery shipments reached 430 GWh in the first three quarters, surpassing last year's total, with some companies facing order backlogs extending to 2026 [3]. VC Additive - The price of VC additives has seen a staggering increase, with quotes reaching 100,000 to 120,000 yuan, marking a daily jump of over 50% [5]. - The surge in VC prices is attributed to the explosive demand from the energy storage market, rigid supply constraints, and smooth cost transmission [5]. - The global supply of VC is expected to face a significant shortfall, with projections indicating a gap of 12,000 to 15,000 tons by 2025 and potentially reaching 20,000 tons by 2026 [6]. Chlorosulfonic Acid - Chlorosulfonic acid prices have also risen sharply, with a cumulative increase of 23.5% in November and over 35% since early August [7]. - It is a key raw material for lithium bis(fluorosulfonyl)imide (LiFSI), which is gaining traction due to its superior technical specifications compared to traditional lithium hexafluorophosphate [7]. - The transition from lithium hexafluorophosphate to LiFSI indicates a shift towards high-nickel battery applications, with demand for LiFSI expected to grow at an annual rate of over 30% [8]. Industry Dynamics - Major players in the electrolyte market, such as Tianqi Materials, are benefiting from integrated layouts, maintaining high capacity utilization rates and securing long-term supply contracts with downstream battery manufacturers [4]. - The market outlook for lithium hexafluorophosphate remains optimistic, with expectations of continued price increases due to tight supply-demand dynamics [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company currently does not have VC additive products and is entering the new energy market through select products, aiming to leverage its R&D and production capabilities in fine chemicals to convert technological advantages into market advantages [2] Group 1 - The company has no VC additive products at present [2] - The company is entering the new energy market through individual products [2] - The company aims to enhance its supply chain by integrating upstream and downstream operations [2] Group 2 - The company seeks to leverage its R&D and production capabilities in the fine chemicals sector [2] - The company intends to transform its technological accumulation into market advantages [2]