Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant price increase of rare earth minerals due to recent export controls by the Chinese government and the response from the U.S., leading to a surge in market interest and discussions among investors [1][2]. Group 1: Price Increase of Rare Earth Minerals - On October 10, both Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel announced a price increase for rare earth concentrates, with a historical surge of 37% [4][5]. - The price for rare earth concentrates is set at 26,205 yuan/ton (excluding tax) for Q4 2025, with adjustments based on the REO percentage [4][5]. - The price has been raised five times in the past quarters, with previous prices ranging from 16,741 yuan/ton to 19,109 yuan/ton, showing a consistent upward trend [6]. Group 2: Factors Behind Price Surge - The price increase is attributed to a combination of supply constraints, policy changes, and rising demand [11]. - Supply has tightened due to halted imports from the U.S. and reduced imports from Myanmar, alongside production issues at the Grasberg copper mine [11]. - Recent export controls by the Chinese government aim to protect national security and manage the strategic resource's supply [11]. - Demand for rare earth materials is growing due to expansions in high-end manufacturing sectors like electric vehicles and renewable energy [11]. Group 3: Industry Profitability Turning Point - The rare earth industry is experiencing a significant recovery, with Northern Rare Earth forecasting a net profit of 1.51 to 1.57 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 272% to 287% [14][16]. - The average prices for praseodymium and neodymium metals have risen by 11.9% and 12.7% year-on-year, respectively, supporting the profitability of companies in the sector [14]. - Northern Rare Earth's sales volume for rare earth metal products increased by 32.33%, indicating a recovery in market activity [16]. Group 4: Investor Discussions - The news has led to increased discussions among investors regarding the rare earth cycle and the potential for a profitability turning point [20]. - Investors are optimistic about Northern Rare Earth's performance, citing the potential for profits to exceed previous highs due to increased demand and favorable market conditions [21]. - There are concerns about the balance between price increases and profit margins, with discussions on how rising costs may impact overall profitability [22].

Core Viewpoint - Northern Rare Earth announced a significant increase in the trading price of rare earth concentrate for Q4 2025, reflecting a robust market outlook and strong financial performance expectations for the upcoming quarters [1][2][3]. Price Adjustment - The trading price for rare earth concentrate has been adjusted to 26,205 yuan/ton (excluding tax), marking a 37.13% increase compared to the previous quarter's price of 19,109 yuan/ton [2][3]. - This price adjustment is part of a quarterly pricing mechanism established in previous board meetings and is expected to stabilize after a series of price increases [2][3]. Financial Performance Forecast - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company anticipates a net profit between 1.51 billion yuan and 1.57 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 272.54% to 287.34% [4][5]. - The forecasted net profit, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, is expected to be between 1.33 billion yuan and 1.39 billion yuan, indicating a substantial increase of 399.9% to 422.46% compared to the same period last year [5]. Market Outlook - The company maintains an optimistic outlook on the growth of downstream demand in the rare earth industry, with stable prices for key products like praseodymium and neodymium [3]. - Despite some market fluctuations due to international trade factors, domestic demand has provided strong support for the rare earth market, leading to increased activity compared to the previous year [3]. Strategic Development - The company plans to enhance its competitiveness by expanding its production capacity in the rare earth permanent magnet materials sector, with a focus on high-performance neodymium-iron-boron alloy projects [5]. - A new project is set to add an annual production capacity of 50,000 tons of magnetic material alloys and 10,000 tons of hydrogen powder, aiming to create a leading production facility in terms of capacity and cost-effectiveness [5].

Core Viewpoint - The price of rare earth concentrate has been adjusted to 26,205 yuan per ton (excluding tax) for the fourth quarter of 2025, marking a significant increase of 37.13% compared to the previous quarter, and this is the fifth consecutive quarter of price increases for both Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel [1][4]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - Northern Rare Earth announced that the price for rare earth concentrate for Q4 2025 is set at 26,205 yuan per ton (dry weight, REO=50%), with a price adjustment of 524.10 yuan per ton for every 1% change in REO [1]. - Baotou Steel also confirmed the same price adjustment for its related transactions in Q4 2025 [1]. - The price of rare earth concentrate has increased from 16,741 yuan per ton in Q3 2024 to the current price, representing a total increase of 56.53% over the past year [4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Northern Rare Earth expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.51 to 1.57 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 272.54% to 287.34% [4]. - The company anticipates a non-recurring net profit of 1.33 to 1.39 billion yuan for the same period, indicating a substantial increase of 399.9% to 422.46% year-on-year [4]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The demand for rare earth materials is expected to grow due to the increasing needs in green low-carbon technologies and electric-driven applications, with a projected demand growth of around 10% [4]. - Emerging sectors such as wind power, new energy vehicles, humanoid robots, and low-altitude economy are anticipated to provide strong support for downstream demand growth [4]. - The market for polishing powders is expected to benefit from the growth in mobile phone cover glass, semiconductors, and chips, while hydrogen storage will see new increments due to advancements in energy storage [5]. Group 4: Stock Performance - Since July 2025, the stock price of Northern Rare Earth has increased by over 100%, closing at 52.48 yuan per share on October 10, 2025, with a market capitalization of 189.7 billion yuan [6]. - Baotou Steel's stock price was reported at 2.54 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 11.5 billion yuan [6].

今年前三季度，北方稀土业绩实现大幅增长。公司昨日晚间发布公告，今年前三季度，预计实现归属于 上市公司股东的净利润为15.1亿元至15.7亿元，同比增长272.54%到287.34%。公司表示，报告期内，公 司主要产品产销量同比增长，推动经营业绩大幅上升。 稀土行情回暖，国内两大稀土巨头之间今年第四季度的关联交易价格继续上调，环比涨幅高达近4成。 这已是双方连续第5个季度上调稀土精矿价格。 智通财经记者注意到，自2024年第四季度起，稀土精矿价格已经连续5个季度上调。截至目前，稀土精 矿关联交易价格已经和2022年初的水平相当。过往公告显示，2022年初，双方稀土精矿交易价格为不含 税26887.2元/吨（干量，REO=51%），REO每增减1%，不含税价格增减527.2元/吨（干量）。 值得关注的是，2022年12月，包钢股份、北方稀土宣布将稀土精矿关联交易价格上调至不含税35313元/ 吨（干量，REO=50%），REO每增减1%，不含税价格增减706.26元/吨（干量），稀土精矿价格达到新 的高度。 据智通财经记者统计，近一年以来，自2024年第三季度以来，稀土精矿交易价格从16741元/吨（干量， RE ...

Core Viewpoint - The two major rare earth companies, Northern Rare Earth (600111.SH) and Baotou Steel (600010.SH), announced a price increase for rare earth concentrate, with the new price set at 26,205 yuan/ton for Q4 2025, marking a 37% increase from the previous quarter and the highest price since Q2 2023 [1][4]. Pricing Mechanism - The price adjustment mechanism for rare earth concentrate between Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel began in 2023, with quarterly price calculations based on a fixed pricing formula established in a prior agreement [1][3]. - The price will change by 524.10 yuan/ton for every 1% change in REO content [4]. Financial Performance - Northern Rare Earth expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.51 billion to 1.57 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 272.54% to 287.34% [2]. - The company also anticipates a net profit of 1.33 billion to 1.39 billion yuan after excluding non-recurring gains and losses, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 399.90% to 422.46% [2]. - Baotou Steel reported a revenue of 31.33 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a decrease of 11.02%, but a net profit of 151 million yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 39.99% [2].

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth market is experiencing a recovery, with the prices of associated transactions between two major domestic rare earth companies, Baotou Steel (包钢股份) and Northern Rare Earth (北方稀土), increasing significantly in the fourth quarter of this year, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of price hikes [1][2]. Price Adjustments - The associated transaction price for rare earth concentrate has been adjusted to 26,205 CNY/ton (excluding tax, dry weight, REO=50%) for Q4, reflecting a 37.13% increase from the previous quarter's price of 19,109 CNY/ton [1][2]. - The price adjustments are based on the pricing method established in 2022 and the market prices of rare earth oxides projected for Q3 2025 [1]. Market Trends - The price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide has risen significantly, with an average price of 562,000 CNY/ton on September 30, up 26.43% from 444,500 CNY/ton on June 30 [2]. - The current transaction prices for rare earth concentrates have returned to levels comparable to early 2022, where the price was 26,887.2 CNY/ton [2]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The continuous increase in rare earth concentrate prices may be linked to tightening upstream raw material supplies and stimulating policies for downstream consumption [3]. - Northern Rare Earth reported a substantial increase in net profit for the first three quarters of the year, projecting a net profit of 1.51 to 1.57 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 272.54% to 287.34% [3]. Future Outlook - Despite the positive performance, the overall demand for metals remains weak due to stagnant orders from magnetic material companies, which may lead to a downward trend in the rare earth market prices in the short term [3].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement from Baogang Co. and Northern Rare Earth indicates an increase in the associated transaction price for rare earth concentrates for Q4 2025, reflecting a significant upward trend in pricing within the industry [1][5]. Price Adjustment - The new price for rare earth concentrates is set at 26,205 yuan/ton (excluding tax), which is an increase of 7,096 yuan/ton or 37.13% compared to the price of 19,109 yuan/ton in Q3 2025 [5]. - This marks the fifth consecutive increase in the transaction price of rare earth concentrates, with previous quarterly prices showing a consistent upward trend [5][6]. Historical Price Data - Historical prices for rare earth concentrates over the past five quarters are as follows: - Q3 2025: 19,109 yuan/ton - Q2 2025: 18,825 yuan/ton - Q1 2025: 18,618 yuan/ton - Q4 2024: 17,782 yuan/ton - Q3 2024: 16,741 yuan/ton - Q2 2024: 16,792 yuan/ton - Q1 2024: 20,737 yuan/ton [6]. Pricing Mechanism - The pricing mechanism for rare earth concentrates has been in place for over two years, allowing for quarterly adjustments based on a predetermined formula [7]. - The management team calculates and adjusts the prices at the beginning of each quarter, ensuring that the pricing remains aligned with market conditions [7]. Company Performance - Northern Rare Earth has projected a net profit of 1.51 billion to 1.57 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 272.54% to 287.34% [7]. - The company also expects a non-recurring net profit of 1.33 billion to 1.39 billion yuan, reflecting a substantial year-on-year increase of 399.90% to 422.46% [7]. Market Trends - The rare earth industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with improved market conditions compared to the previous year [9]. - The average prices for praseodymium and neodymium metals have increased by 11.9% and 12.7% respectively in the first half of the year, indicating a positive trend in demand and pricing [10]. - Northern Rare Earth reported significant growth in sales volumes across its main product lines, with praseodymium and neodymium product sales reaching historical highs [10][11]. Profitability Recovery - Northern Rare Earth has ended a two-year decline in profitability, with other companies in the sector also showing similar recovery trends [12]. - The average profit growth rate for four major companies, including Northern Rare Earth, has reached 723%, with Northern Rare Earth alone seeing a staggering increase of 1,952% in net profit [14].

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth industry is experiencing a significant price increase, with the price of rare earth concentrate set to rise to 26,205 yuan/ton in Q4 2025, marking a 37.13% increase from the previous quarter's price of 19,109 yuan/ton [5][6]. Price Adjustment Mechanism - The price adjustment mechanism for rare earth concentrate has been in place for over two years, with quarterly adjustments based on a pricing formula agreed upon by Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel [6]. - The prices for the past five quarters were as follows: 17,741 yuan/ton, 17,782 yuan/ton, 18,618 yuan/ton, 18,825 yuan/ton, and 19,109 yuan/ton, with respective quarter-on-quarter increases of 6.2%, 4.7%, 1.1%, 1.5% [6]. Industry Performance - The rare earth industry is showing improved profitability, with Northern Rare Earth forecasting a net profit of 1.51 billion to 1.57 billion yuan for the first three quarters of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 272.54% to 287.34% [6]. - The overall market demand for rare earths remains strong, with significant price increases in key products such as praseodymium and neodymium oxides, which saw average prices rise by 11.9% and 12.7% respectively in the first half of the year [10]. Company Performance - Northern Rare Earth reported a gross margin increase of 4.32 percentage points to 12.28%, while Guangsheng Nonferrous's gross margin rose by 5.1 percentage points to 6.4% [10]. - The sales volume of rare earth products for Northern Rare Earth reached historical highs, with a 32.33% increase in rare earth metal product sales and a 17.93% increase in functional materials sales [10]. Market Trends - The A-share rare earth index has seen a year-to-date increase of over 100%, with stocks like Northern Rare Earth, Shenghe Resources, and Huahong Technology doubling in value [7]. - Despite a recent decline in stock prices for Baotou Steel and Northern Rare Earth, the overall market sentiment remains positive due to the anticipated continued improvement in profitability for the second half of the year [7][11].

我做中长线这么多年，总跟大家说不用盯着短期涨跌慌神，像稀土这种战略资源，提价加业绩预增的组合，其实是在给咱们释放信号：看板块得看底层逻 辑，这种有稳定定价机制、基本面能跟上的标的，才值得多花心思跟踪。 最近刷公告时，北方稀土和包钢股份那则提价消息，我第一时间就划重点了，这可不是小打小闹的调整，得跟大家好好聊聊。 今天就跟大家聊到这，后续稀土板块的动向我也会接着盯，有新观察再跟各位分享。我是帮主郑重，咱们下次接着聊#A股#里的机会。 更让咱们A股投资者上心的是，北方稀土紧跟着就放了业绩预告——前三季度归母净利润预计15到15.7亿，同比涨了272%到287%，扣非净利润增速更猛， 快400%到420%了！这业绩跟提价的联动，明眼人都能看出门道，毕竟稀土精矿的定价机制已经运行两年多，每季度按公式调整，不是临时炒作，这才是基 本面支撑的实在动静。 昨天看公告里写，2025年第四季度稀土精矿价格调到了不含税26205元/吨，环比一下涨了37%！要知道之前四次提价，幅度最高也就6.2%，这次直接把力度 拉满，而且这已经是连续第五次上调了，从最早的16741元/吨一路涨上来，趋势很明显。 ...

10月10日晚间，一则消息在资本市场和稀土行业激起千层浪。 | 股票代码:600010 债券代码:175793 | | | --- | --- | | 股票简称:包钢股份 债券简称:GC钢联01 | 编号:(临)2025-067 | 北方稀土、包钢股份同日发布公告，上调2025年第四季度稀土精矿关联交易价格。两家公司拟将2025年第四季度稀土精矿关联交易价格调整为 不含税26205元/吨（干量，REO=50%）。REO每增减1%，不含税价格增减524.10元/吨。 根据此前公告，近一年以来，稀土精矿交易价格持续上调。其中，第三季度稀土精矿交易价格调整为不含税19109元/吨。由此测算，第四季度 的稀土价格环比上涨了37.13%。 稀土精矿价格大幅上调 包钢股份发布公告称，根据2022年年度股东大会审议通过的稀土精矿价格调整机制及计算公式，公司拟将2025年第四季度稀土精矿关联交易价 格调整为不含税26205元/吨（干量，REO=50%）。REO每增减1%，不含税价格增减524.10元/吨。 同日，北方稀土也公告称，根据稀土精矿定价方法及2025年第三季度稀土氧化物价格，经测算并经公司总经理办公会审议通过，20 ...