Group 1 - The retail non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 23 listed banks continues to rise, with a slight decrease in overall NPL ratio to 1.25% as of Q4 2024, down 2bps from Q4 2023. However, retail loan NPL ratios have generally increased, with state-owned banks seeing an average rise of 29bps compared to Q4 2023 [1][2][3] - The average retail credit cost for listed banks in 2024 is 1.24%, a decrease of 3bps year-on-year. State-owned banks have a lower average retail credit cost of 0.99%, attributed to a higher proportion of lower-risk personal housing loans [2][3] - Looking ahead, banks are expected to manage retail loan risks by tightening customer eligibility and employing various asset disposal strategies, with the impact on asset quality being relatively controllable [4] Group 2 - The report highlights that the retail loan structure of banks has shifted, with personal housing loans making up an average of 60.9% of the total retail loans for state-owned banks, which is 17.6 percentage points higher than the sample average [2][16] - Specific banks such as Ping An Bank and Everbright Bank have seen a decrease in retail credit costs, with Ping An Bank's credit cost dropping by 34bps year-on-year, largely due to a reduction in credit card NPLs [3][4] - The report suggests that banks like Postal Savings Bank have improved their asset quality, with a notable decrease in consumer loan NPLs by 12.2 billion yuan, resulting in a NPL ratio decline of 47bps to 1.34% [4][8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trend of banks, including China Merchants Bank, discontinuing cardless deposit and withdrawal services, citing reasons such as risk management, cost efficiency, and the optimization of financial services [1][2][4]. Group 1: Industry Trends - Over the past year, more than 50 banks have suspended various cardless services, including cardless deposits and withdrawals [3][4]. - Major state-owned banks initiated these changes in early 2023, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China halting its cardless cash withdrawal service on April 17, 2023 [5]. - Following this, other banks like China Communications Bank and Minsheng Bank have also announced similar service suspensions [6][7]. Group 2: Reasons for Changes - Banks are adjusting these services primarily to enhance financial service quality, manage risks, and improve cost efficiency [2][8]. - The low security of identity verification in cardless transactions is a significant factor driving these changes [9]. - The overall demand for cardless deposit and withdrawal services from customers is relatively low, making the impact of these adjustments minimal for banks [9]. Group 3: Customer Impact - Customers will now need to carry their bank cards for deposits and withdrawals, which may lead to some inconvenience [10]. - The shift aligns with the decreasing frequency of cash usage due to the rise of mobile payments, prompting banks to close ATM QR code deposit functions [7].

Core Insights - The financial reports of 23 A-share listed banks for 2024 show stable revenue and profit, with total revenue at 5.04 trillion yuan and net profit at 1.93 trillion yuan, reflecting a slight year-on-year decline of 0.6% in revenue and a growth of 1.88% in profit [1][2][3] Revenue and Profit Analysis - Total revenue for the 23 listed banks in 2024 is 5.04 trillion yuan, down 0.6% from the previous year [2] - The six major state-owned banks reported a total revenue of 3.52 trillion yuan, a decrease of 94.25 billion yuan from last year [2] - Among the state-owned banks, Construction Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank experienced revenue declines of 2.54% and 2.52%, respectively [2] - In contrast, most city and rural commercial banks showed revenue growth, with eight banks reporting increases, including Ruifeng Bank and Changshu Bank, which grew by 15.29% and 10.53% respectively [2] Net Profit Performance - The net profit for the 23 listed banks totaled 1.93 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 1.88% [3] - State-owned banks achieved a combined net profit of 1.42 trillion yuan, with Agricultural Bank leading the growth at 4.76% [3] - Among the listed joint-stock banks, three reported declines in net profit, with Minsheng Bank experiencing a notable drop of 9.07% [3] Net Interest Margin Trends - The average net interest margin for the 23 listed banks in 2024 was 1.65%, down from 1.83% in 2023, reflecting a decrease of 19 basis points [5][6] - The net interest margin for major state-owned banks is generally below 1.5%, with only Postal Savings Bank exceeding this threshold at 1.87% [6][7] Asset Quality and Risks - Overall asset quality among listed banks is improving, with most banks reporting a decline in non-performing loan (NPL) ratios [9] - However, there are structural risks, particularly in personal operating loans, which have seen a significant increase in both scale and NPL ratios, averaging 1.81% across ten banks, up 29 basis points from 2023 [9][10] - The total balance of personal operating loans across 19 banks reached 8.32 trillion yuan, a 40.8% increase from the previous year [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the banking sector, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the net profit of listed banks is expected to grow by 1.8% year-on-year for 2024, with a notable increase in growth rate compared to the first three quarters [4][10]. - Revenue decline is narrowing, with a projected revenue growth rate of -0.6% for 2024, an improvement from -1.6% in the previous quarters [11][14]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic economic recovery and the impact of recent growth-stabilizing policies on banking performance [14]. Summary by Sections 1. Profitability Breakdown - The net interest income for listed banks is expected to decline by 2.3% in 2024, an improvement from a 3.2% decline in the first three quarters [11][12]. - Non-interest income, particularly from investment gains, is projected to increase by 28% due to falling bond yields, partially offsetting revenue pressures [11][12]. - The report notes that the cost-to-income ratio has increased to 32.8%, reflecting a 0.5 percentage point rise year-on-year [7]. 2. Operational Analysis - Asset growth for listed banks has decreased to 7.2%, with loan growth at 7.7%, indicating stable overall growth despite a slight decline [22][23]. - The annualized net interest margin is projected to decrease to 1.43%, primarily due to asset pricing pressures [24]. - The report indicates that the quality of assets remains stable, with non-performing loan ratios showing slight fluctuations but overall stability [7][22]. 3. Dividend and Investment Recommendations - The report highlights a stable dividend payout ratio, with 9 banks increasing their dividend rates compared to the previous year [7]. - Investment recommendations focus on "pro-cyclical and high dividend" strategies, with an average dividend yield of 4.3% for the sector, which remains attractive compared to risk-free rates [7][8]. - Specific banks recommended for investment include Chengdu Bank, Suzhou Bank, and Ningbo Bank, which are expected to benefit from regional economic recovery [8][14].

Core Insights - The establishment of a four-level coordination mechanism for financing support to small and micro enterprises aims to enhance the efficiency and quality of financial services provided to these businesses [1][6][9] Group 1: Policy and Mechanism - The financial regulatory authority and the National Development and Reform Commission have initiated a mechanism to improve financing for small and micro enterprises, focusing on information sharing and tailored support [1][6] - Local governments have formed specialized teams to address the unique financing challenges faced by small and micro enterprises, breaking down previous departmental silos [6][7] Group 2: Loan Growth and Performance - Major state-owned banks have reported significant growth in inclusive small and micro enterprise loans, with Agricultural Bank of China, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, and China Bank showing growth rates exceeding 29% [2][3] - As of February 2025, the total balance of inclusive small and micro enterprise loans in China approached 34 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.6%, outpacing other loan categories by 5.7 percentage points [4][6] Group 3: Case Studies and Implementation - Local teams have successfully facilitated financing for specific enterprises by addressing regulatory hurdles and providing necessary documentation to banks, demonstrating the effectiveness of the new coordination mechanism [7][8] - The focus has shifted from merely providing loans to ensuring the quality and suitability of financial products for small and micro enterprises, highlighting the importance of personalized solutions [8][9]

Core Insights - The credit card business in China is facing challenges, with a notable decline in transaction volumes and an increase in non-performing loans, despite some banks like China Construction Bank achieving significant growth in credit card loan balances [1][4][8]. Group 1: Credit Card Loan Balances - China Construction Bank (CCB) has become the first bank in the country to surpass 1 trillion yuan in credit card loans, reaching 1.07 trillion yuan in 2024, an increase of 688 billion yuan from the end of 2023 [2][3]. - Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) showed the most significant growth in credit card loans, increasing by 1.587 billion yuan, with its share in personal loans rising from 8.67% to 9.73% [3]. - Ping An Bank experienced a substantial reduction in credit card loans, with a balance of 435 billion yuan, down 791 billion yuan year-on-year, leading to a decrease in its share of personal loans from 25.99% to 24.62% [3]. Group 2: Asset Quality and Non-Performing Loans - The overall asset quality of credit card loans has deteriorated, with banks like Changshu Bank and Chongqing Bank reporting significant increases in non-performing loan ratios, rising to 4.14% and 3.04% respectively [4][5]. - The total amount of overdue credit card loans reached 123.964 billion yuan by the end of 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 26.32% [5]. Group 3: Market Trends and Consumer Behavior - The total number of credit cards in circulation has decreased significantly, dropping from 807 million in mid-2022 to 727 million by the end of 2024, a reduction of 80 million cards [8]. - Credit card transaction volumes have also declined, with major banks like China Merchants Bank and Ping An Bank reporting decreases in credit card spending of approximately 390 billion yuan and 460 billion yuan respectively [8][10]. - The shift towards consumer loans is evident, with several banks reporting an increase in the proportion of consumer loans within their personal loan portfolios, indicating a strategic pivot in response to market conditions [11][12]. Group 4: Strategic Adjustments by Banks - Some banks are restructuring their credit card operations, with China Merchants Bank and Ping An Bank focusing on high-quality customer acquisition and adjusting their credit card issuance strategies [8][10]. - Traffic Bank is transitioning to a localized management model for its credit card business, aiming to provide integrated financial services to better meet customer needs [10].

Core Viewpoint - Minsheng Bank aims to support private enterprises, with loans to this sector exceeding 1.5 trillion yuan, accounting for nearly 40% of total loans in 2024 [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, the group's total assets reached 7.8 trillion yuan, a 1.8% increase year-on-year, with loans amounting to 4.45 trillion yuan, up 1.5% [2] - The group's operating income was 136.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.2% from the previous year, while net profit fell by 9.8% due to increased risk provisions and technology investments [2][3] - The net interest margin for 2024 was 1.39%, down 7 basis points year-on-year, but the decline was less than the industry average [4] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 1.47%, a decrease of 0.01 percentage points from the previous year, and the NPL generation rate was 1.49%, down 0.09 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The bank recovered 67.4 billion yuan in non-performing assets in 2024, with cash recovery of 10.2 billion yuan from written-off assets [6] Real Estate and Financing Platform - The NPL ratio for the real estate sector was 5.01%, with a slight decrease in NPL generation and overall asset quality remaining stable [7] - The financing platform business balance was 98.257 billion yuan, a 26% decrease from the previous year, indicating manageable risk levels [7] Specific Loan Cases - The loan balance for Dongfang Group was 7.694 billion yuan, down approximately 1.9 billion yuan year-on-year, with provisions made based on risk assessments [8] - The loan balance for Fan Hai Group was 18.484 billion yuan, with provisions also made considering the risk status [8] - The loan balance for Evergrande Group was 9.1 billion yuan, primarily for real estate projects, with provisions made to mitigate potential impacts on the bank's operations [9]

Core Viewpoint - Minsheng Bank aims to be a partner for private enterprises, targeting over 1.5 trillion yuan in loans to private enterprises in 2024, accounting for nearly 40% of total loans [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, Minsheng Bank's total assets reached 7.8 trillion yuan, a 1.8% increase year-on-year, with loans amounting to 4.45 trillion yuan, up 1.5% [4] - The bank's operating income was 136.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.2% from the previous year, while net profit fell by 9.8% due to increased risk provisions and technology investments [4][5] - The net interest margin for 2024 was 1.39%, down 7 basis points year-on-year, but the decline was less than the industry average [6] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 1.47%, a slight decrease of 0.01 percentage points year-on-year, marking four consecutive years of decline [7] - The bank recovered 67.4 billion yuan in non-performing assets in 2024, with cash recovery of 10.2 billion yuan from written-off assets [7] Real Estate and Financing Platform - The NPL ratio for the real estate sector was 5.01%, with a decrease in both the amount and rate of new NPLs compared to 2023 [8] - The financing platform debt balance was 98.257 billion yuan, down 26% year-on-year, indicating manageable risk levels [8] Specific Loan Cases - The loan balance for Dongfang Group was 7.694 billion yuan, reduced by approximately 1.9 billion yuan from the previous year, with provisions made based on risk assessments [9] - The loan balance for Fan Hai Group was 18.484 billion yuan, with provisions also made considering the risk profile [9] - The loan balance for Evergrande Group was 9.1 billion yuan, primarily for real estate projects, with provisions in place to mitigate potential impacts on the bank's operations [10]

Core Viewpoint - Minsheng Bank has strengthened its balance sheet and enhanced its resilience to navigate through economic cycles, as highlighted by Chairman Gao Yingxin during the 2024 performance communication meeting [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Minsheng Bank's total assets reached 7.8 trillion yuan, indicating a positive operational trend [2]. - The net interest margin has stabilized, with a year-on-year decline of 7 basis points, but the rate of decline has narrowed [3]. - The bank's non-performing loan ratio stood at 1.47% at the end of last year, marking a four-year consecutive decline [3]. - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio has increased from 9.17% in 2022 to 9.36% in 2024, reflecting effective capital management [3]. Group 2: Business Strategy - The bank aims to maintain its competitive edge in supply chain finance, which has seen significant growth, with a balance of 310.4 billion yuan and a 115% increase in core customer numbers [3][9]. - Minsheng Bank is focusing on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) as a key business strategy, with SME loan balances nearing 1 trillion yuan and a compound annual growth rate of 20% over the past three years [8]. - The bank has implemented a comprehensive customer service model that includes account services, payment settlements, and credit services tailored to the lifecycle of clients [8]. Group 3: Retail Business Development - The bank's retail assets under management (AUM) approached 3 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 7.87% [12]. - The average cost of personal deposits decreased to 2.16%, down 11 basis points year-on-year, indicating improved cost management [12]. - The number of retail customers reached 130 million, with a growth rate of 5.99% [12]. Group 4: Supply Chain Finance - Minsheng Bank has established a diverse product system for supply chain finance, enhancing efficiency through digital solutions [10]. - The bank has shifted to a data-driven risk assessment model, utilizing transaction and logistics data for credit evaluations [10]. - A dedicated supply chain team has been formed to improve internal collaboration and service delivery [11]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The management expresses confidence in the bank's strategic transformation and its ability to enhance operational efficiency and customer service quality [16].

每经记者 张寿林 每经编辑 马子卿 负债方面，近年来民生银行通过深耕客户，获取高质量负债的成效逐步显现，存款付息率持续下降。各 项存款中，个人存款较上年末增加918亿元，占比提升2.4个百分点；活期存款较上年末增加1275亿元， 占比提升3.2个百分点。同时，存款付息率降幅持续扩大，2024年存款付息率2.14%，较上年下降17个 BP，下半年环比再下降20个BP。 "民生银行2024年下半年息差环比提升，带动营业收入下半年环比增长，主要是受益于负债成本的有效 管控和资产结构的不断优化。"民生银行副行长李彬表示，预计2025年银行业净息差仍将承压，该行将 积极应对形势变化，着力通过客户基础扩大，核心主营业务增长，力求推动净息差和营业收入变化优于 市场平均表现，并在此基础上力争营业收入总量保持平稳。 民生银行董事长高迎欣说，2021年以来，该行持续深化民企战略，升级服务模式，更加强调为客户创造 价值，成为民营企业的首选银行，尤其是携手他们穿越经济周期。 4月1日下午，民生银行以网络直播的形式召开2024年度业绩交流会。此前公布的年报显示，2024年末民 生银行集团资产总额7.81万亿元，较上年末增长1.82%， ...