Investment Rating - The transportation sector has shown a positive trend with a 3.2% increase in the transportation index, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.5% during the week of July 19-25, 2025 [1][12]. Core Insights - The transportation sector's fund holdings increased to 32.5 billion yuan, a 17.0% rise compared to the previous quarter, with a market share of 1.95% [2]. - The express delivery segment saw a significant year-on-year growth of 15.8% in June, with SF Express leading the growth [2]. - The logistics sector is under pressure, particularly in hazardous materials logistics, but there is a push towards smart logistics, with Hai Chen Co. being recommended [3]. - The aviation sector is experiencing a steady recovery, with a 3% increase in domestic passenger volume in June compared to the previous year [4]. - The shipping sector is stabilizing, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) increasing by 10.9% week-on-week, indicating a positive trend in dry bulk shipping [5][34]. Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index rose by 3.2%, with the airport sector showing the highest increase of 5.6% [1][12]. Industry Fundamentals Tracking Shipping and Ports - The export container freight index (CCFI) was 1261.35 points, down 3.2% week-on-week and down 40.9% year-on-year [20]. - The domestic container freight index (PDCI) increased by 1.1% week-on-week, indicating a slight recovery in domestic shipping [28]. Aviation and Airports - The average daily flights reached 16,945, a 3.68% increase year-on-year, with domestic flights up by 2.51% [4]. - The introduction of a new ticket purchasing feature on the airline service platform is expected to enhance customer experience [4]. Rail and Road - National highway freight traffic increased by 0.67% week-on-week, with a year-on-year increase of 2.01% [6][76]. - The railway passenger volume in June was 373 million, a 3.61% increase year-on-year [73]. Express Delivery - The express delivery business volume reached 16.87 billion pieces in June, with a notable increase in the market share of SF Express [2][44].

Group 1 - On July 24, heavy rainfall in Beijing significantly impacted flight operations at Daxing Airport, leading to numerous flight diversions and delays [1][3] - China Southern Airlines issued a yellow alert for widespread flight delays at Daxing Airport from 18:30 to 23:59 on July 24 due to severe weather conditions [1][3] - A flight from Tokyo to Daxing Airport was diverted to Jinan Airport after being unable to land due to thunderstorms, highlighting the operational challenges faced by airlines during adverse weather [1][3] Group 2 - The weather forecast indicated that light thunderstorms would persist from July 24 at 3:00 AM to July 25 at 2:00 AM, suggesting ongoing disruptions to flight schedules [3] - Capital Airport also experienced rainfall around 18:00, with predictions of thunderstorms affecting operations between 18:20 and 20:00, further complicating the situation for airlines [3] - China Southern Airlines advised passengers to check flight statuses through various channels, including their official website and customer service hotline, in case of delays or cancellations [3]

Core Viewpoint - China Southern Airlines Logistics Co., Ltd. (CSAL) is enhancing its logistics services in response to the peak summer transportation demand, focusing on efficient logistics channels for fresh produce and international trade [1][3][6]. Group 1: Logistics Operations - CSAL is operating nearly 1,000 tons of daily cargo volume for inbound and outbound flights in Shanghai during the summer peak [1]. - The company has established 6 dedicated cargo flight routes and 38 bellyhold routes to maximize operational efficiency and capacity in the Shanghai region [1]. - A special initiative has been launched to improve cargo transfer efficiency, resulting in a significant reduction of transfer time from 10 hours to 7 hours for flights from Hanoi to Chicago via Shanghai [6][7]. Group 2: Fresh Produce Transportation - There has been a 190% year-on-year increase in shrimp fry transportation since July, with an average daily transportation volume of 3.5 tons for fish fry [3]. - CSAL has implemented a "green channel" for the transportation of seasonal fresh products, ensuring strict temperature control and expedited security checks [3]. Group 3: Service Innovation - The company is committed to continuous service innovation, optimizing service chains, and enhancing logistics efficiency to meet the growing demands of the public during the summer peak season [7].

Core Points - China Southern Airlines (CSA) will launch two new international routes from Shenzhen to Yangon, Myanmar, and Chiang Mai, Thailand, in late August, enhancing its international flight network from Shenzhen [1] - The Yangon route (CZ8055/6) will commence on August 21, operating every Thursday and Sunday, while the Chiang Mai route (CZ8063/4) will start on August 22, operating every Wednesday, Friday, and Sunday [1] - Both routes will be serviced by Airbus A320/A321 aircraft, increasing the total number of international and regional routes operated by CSA from Shenzhen to 17 [1] Safety and Service Enhancements - CSA has implemented several safety measures for the summer travel season, focusing on potential security risks and enhancing the handling of in-flight disturbances and the use of electronic devices [1] - The airline is conducting legal awareness campaigns in terminals to improve passenger safety and civility, along with regular emergency response drills to enhance crew readiness [1] - In response to the rising number of unaccompanied minor travelers, CSA has upgraded its "Mumian Children's Flight" service, providing dedicated one-on-one companionship and ensuring communication with parents during flight delays [2]

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of the TAOIX system's flight scheduling module by China Southern Airlines aims to enhance the efficiency and safety of operations during the peak summer travel season through comprehensive digitalization [1][2]. Group 1: Digital Transformation in Flight Scheduling - The new flight scheduling module utilizes operations research and artificial intelligence to improve task distribution and personnel matching, addressing inefficiencies in traditional scheduling methods [2]. - The module covers various maintenance scenarios, creating a closed-loop management system that enhances scheduling efficiency by reducing reliance on manual notifications [2][3]. - The intelligent scheduling algorithm and real-time monitoring capabilities allow for precise task and personnel matching, significantly improving the scientific and efficient nature of scheduling [2][3]. Group 2: Real-time Data Integration and Response - The module introduces a digital monitoring mechanism that connects with multiple data platforms, enabling a dynamic response system to flight changes [3]. - Automatic alert functions provide timely notifications to staff and management, facilitating quick task handling and improving overall operational efficiency [3]. - The system supports real-time tracking of key performance indicators, aiding in decision-making for scheduling strategies and resource allocation [3]. Group 3: Nationwide Implementation and Future Directions - The flight scheduling module has been successfully piloted in several bases, with significant improvements noted in monitoring and task management [4]. - The module has been rolled out to 17 maintenance units, expanding the coverage of digital scheduling [4]. - Future initiatives will focus on standardizing processes, digitizing management, and enhancing decision-making capabilities to further advance the digital transformation in maintenance operations [4].

Core Viewpoint - The aviation sector in Hong Kong and mainland China is experiencing a positive performance, with significant stock price increases for major airlines, while the industry is also addressing challenges related to competition and profitability [1][5][6]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Hong Kong aviation stocks showed active performance, with China National Aviation rising by 6.25%, China Southern Airlines and China Eastern Airlines increasing by over 3%, and Cathay Pacific rising by 0.17% [1]. - In the A-share market, Huaxia Airlines rose over 4%, while China National Aviation and Juneyao Airlines increased by over 3% [2]. Group 2: Industry Developments - The Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) held a meeting on July 22, 2025, outlining nine requirements to enhance the aviation sector, including the establishment of a unified market and addressing "involution" competition [3][4]. - In the first half of the year, the aviation industry achieved a total transport turnover of 783.5 billion ton-kilometers and a passenger transport volume of 37 million, marking year-on-year growth of 11.4% and 6% respectively [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance of Airlines - Major state-owned airlines are expected to report significant losses for the first half of 2025, with China Eastern Airlines projecting a net loss of 1.2 to 1.6 billion yuan, China Southern Airlines expecting a loss of 1.338 to 1.756 billion yuan, and China National Aviation forecasting a loss of 1.7 to 2.2 billion yuan [6][8]. - In contrast, Huaxia Airlines anticipates a net profit of 220 to 290 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 741% to 1009% [9]. Group 4: Market Recovery and Future Outlook - The international flight recovery remains slow, with only 84% of pre-pandemic levels restored by 2024, and 88% by the first half of 2025, impacting the profitability of major state-owned airlines [8][10]. - The aviation industry is projected to benefit from the "anti-involution" policies, which may stabilize ticket prices and improve revenue management strategies, potentially leading to a recovery in profitability [14][15].

Core Viewpoint - China Southern Airlines (CSA) has launched a themed flight activity titled "Silk Road Summer: Chang'an Heat" on the CZ8061 flight from Xi'an to Almaty, aiming to promote traditional Chinese culture while providing a unique and enjoyable travel experience for passengers during the hot summer season [1][3]. Group 1: Themed Flight Activity - The flight featured immersive cultural experiences, interactive activities, and special services, showcasing the charm of traditional Chinese culture and CSA's service philosophy of "affectionate and meticulous" [1][3]. - Passengers enjoyed a tea tasting experience with Shaanxi Fuzhuan tea and a special mint green tea, symbolizing the blend of ancient Silk Road history and modern creativity [3]. Group 2: Passenger Engagement - An engaging quiz segment allowed passengers to answer questions related to the summer solstice customs and Xi'an's local features, creating a lively atmosphere and resulting in laughter and enjoyment [3]. - Passengers received CSA-branded gifts for correct answers, enhancing the overall experience and providing memorable keepsakes [3]. Group 3: Brand Image and Future Plans - The event not only brought joy and relief from the summer heat but also helped to enhance CSA's brand image by innovatively promoting traditional culture [5]. - CSA plans to continue developing themed flights that combine cultural elements with route characteristics, aiming to create more immersive flying experiences that leave lasting memories for travelers [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express delivery sector shows significant divergence in June data, with a focus on the industry's anti-involution process [3] - The express logistics market is expanding, supported by the national strategy to boost domestic demand, with a year-on-year growth of 15.8% in express delivery volume in June 2025 [5] - The performance of major express companies varies, with SF Express maintaining a business volume growth rate of over 30%, while other companies like YTO Express and Yunda Express show slower growth [4][5] Summary by Sections Express Logistics - In June 2025, the total express delivery volume reached 16.87 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 15.8%, with total revenue of 126.32 billion yuan, up 9.0% [5][24] - Major express companies' performance in June: YTO Express (2.627 billion pieces, +19.34%), Yunda Express (2.173 billion pieces, +7.41%), SF Express (1.460 billion pieces, +31.77%) [4][28] - The market share for these companies is 15.6% for YTO, 12.9% for both Yunda and Shentong, and 8.7% for SF Express [4] Air Transportation - The air travel sector is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery, with a year-on-year increase of 4.4% in passenger transport volume in June 2025 [52] - Major airlines are projected to improve their performance in Q2 2025 due to better supply-demand dynamics and lower oil prices [8] Shipping and Ports - The shipping sector is anticipated to benefit from OPEC+ production increases and a favorable economic environment, with a focus on crude oil transportation [16] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) increased by 27.8% week-on-week, indicating a recovery in the bulk shipping market [11][68] - Container throughput at Chinese ports showed a slight increase in cargo volume but a decrease in container throughput [81] Road and Rail - In June 2025, road freight volume increased by 2.86% year-on-year, while rail freight volume rose by 7.36% [45] - National logistics operations are running smoothly, with a slight increase in freight truck traffic [14] Supply Chain Logistics - Companies like Shenzhen International and Debon Logistics are expected to benefit from strategic transformations and improved profitability [15]

Investment Rating - The report recommends investing in SF Holding due to its valuation, operational resilience, and shareholder returns [2] - The report also recommends the aviation sector, specifically Air China and China Southern Airlines, due to expected profit elasticity from supply-demand optimization [4] Core Views - The express delivery industry saw a year-on-year growth of 15.8% in business volume in June, with SF Holding leading the growth [2] - The logistics sector is under pressure, particularly in hazardous materials logistics, but there is a push towards smart logistics, with Hai Chen Co. being recommended [3] - The aviation sector is experiencing robust growth, with Spring Airlines and China Eastern Airlines leading in RPK growth [4] - The shipping sector is facing challenges, with the CCFI index showing a significant year-on-year decline of 40.2% [5] Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index increased by 0.2% from July 12 to July 18, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 0.8% [1][13] Express Delivery - In June, the national express delivery business volume reached 168.7 billion pieces, with a revenue of 126.32 billion yuan, marking a 9.0% year-on-year increase [2] - The average revenue per delivery decreased by 5.9% to 7.49 yuan [2] Logistics - The chemical products price index (CCPI) is at 4021 points, down 14.3% year-on-year [3] - Hai Chen Co. is recommended due to its strategic partnerships and improved demand in consumer electronics [3] Aviation - The average daily flights in China increased by 3.29% year-on-year, with domestic flights up by 1.89% [4] - RPK growth for major airlines shows significant increases, with Spring Airlines at +12% compared to 2024 [4] Shipping - The CCFI index is at 1303.54 points, down 0.8% week-on-week and down 40.2% year-on-year [5] - The BDI index increased by 29.9% week-on-week, indicating a recovery in dry bulk shipping [5][38] Road and Rail - The national highway freight traffic increased by 0.19% week-on-week, with a year-on-year increase of 0.82% [6][81] - The railway passenger turnover increased by 3.61% year-on-year, while freight turnover showed a slight decline [79]

Group 1 - The peak travel season in Xinjiang is currently underway, prompting the Southern Airlines Xinjiang branch to enhance daily training and optimize the "Red-Blue confrontation" training model to improve emergency response capabilities and strengthen aviation safety [1][3] - The "Red-Blue confrontation" training mode simulates standard emergency procedures and replicates details of flight incidents based on recent aviation safety events, aiming to create realistic scenarios for training [1][2] - The training emphasizes rapid decision-making in high-pressure situations, where aviation security personnel must assess threat levels and isolate risks within seconds, thereby improving both response speed and psychological resilience [1][2] Group 2 - The training system includes a review and summary process that focuses on key actions during the "Red-Blue confrontation" training, using guidelines and tactical simulations as references to enhance professional skills [2] - In response to the increasing flight and passenger volumes during the peak season, the Southern Airlines Xinjiang security team is committed to ensuring passenger safety through rigorous training and effective incident management [3] - The management department is dedicated to addressing challenges posed by extreme weather and disturbances, ensuring safe and orderly travel for passengers during the peak summer season [3]