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煤炭开采行业周报:12月煤价仍有上涨动能-20251207
Guohai Securities· 2025-12-07 10:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal price has upward momentum in December, driven by seasonal demand increases and supply constraints [4][7] - The coal mining industry is characterized by high asset quality and strong cash flow among leading companies, indicating a favorable long-term outlook for coal prices [7] Summary by Sections 1. Thermal Coal - As of December 5, the price of thermal coal at northern ports is 785 RMB/ton, a decrease of 31 RMB/ton week-on-week [14] - Production in the Sanxi region has seen a slight decrease in capacity utilization, down 0.61 percentage points [14][21] - Coastal and inland power plants have increased daily coal consumption by 7.3 and 35.3 thousand tons respectively [14][23] - The inventory of power plants in 25 provinces is 136.12 million tons, down 115 thousand tons year-on-year [14][34] 2. Coking Coal - The capacity utilization rate for coking coal mines has decreased by 0.17 percentage points to 84.5% [5][40] - The average crossing volume at Ganqimaodu port has increased, indicating stable import levels [5][44] - The price of main coking coal at ports is 1,630 RMB/ton, down 40 RMB/ton week-on-week [5][41] 3. Coke - The production rate of independent coking plants has increased slightly to 72.66% [53][59] - The average profit per ton of coke has decreased to approximately 30 RMB/ton, down 16 RMB/ton week-on-week [57] - The price of coke at Rizhao port is 1,630 RMB/ton, a decrease of 50 RMB/ton week-on-week [54] 4. Anthracite - The price of anthracite remains stable, with the small block price at 930 RMB/ton [69] 5. Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - Key companies to focus on include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal, all rated as "Buy" [9]
需求偏弱震荡或延续,供给约束深跌亦难为
Xinda Securities· 2025-12-07 07:53
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle for the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [11][12] - The supply side constraints are expected to support prices despite high inventory levels and mild weather conditions, with coal prices anticipated to exhibit a bottoming and oscillating trend [11][12] - The underlying investment logic of coal capacity shortages remains unchanged, with a balanced short-term supply-demand scenario and a long-term gap still present [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of December 6, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 791 RMB/ton, down 27 RMB/ton week-on-week [30] - The international thermal coal FOB price for Newcastle (NEWC5500) is 85.5 USD/ton, down 1.8 USD/ton week-on-week [30] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port is 1650 RMB/ton, down 60 RMB/ton week-on-week [32] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 91.5%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points week-on-week [48] - The daily coal consumption in inland 17 provinces has increased by 32.10 thousand tons/day, a rise of 9.07% week-on-week [47] - The daily coal consumption in coastal 8 provinces has increased by 10.70 thousand tons/day, a rise of 5.72% week-on-week [47] Inventory Situation - The coal inventory in inland 17 provinces has decreased by 100.60 thousand tons, a decline of 0.99% week-on-week [47] - The coal inventory in coastal 8 provinces has increased by 51.10 thousand tons, an increase of 1.48% week-on-week [47] Company Performance - The coal sector has shown a positive performance with a 0.77% increase, although it underperformed compared to the broader market [14][17] - Key companies to focus on include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal, which are noted for their stable operations and strong performance [12][13]
煤炭开采行业跟踪周报:供需均显疲弱,煤价维持下行走势-20251207
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-07 03:12
证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·煤炭开采 煤炭开采行业跟踪周报 供需均显疲弱,煤价维持下行走势 2025 年 12 月 07 日 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 行业近况 本周(12 月 1 日至 12 月 5 日)港口动力煤现货价环比下跌 31 元/吨, 报收 785 元/吨。 供给端,本周环渤海四港区日均调入量195.09万吨,环比上周下降10.51 万吨,降幅 5.11%。本周产地供应较为稳定,港口供应量有所减少。 需求端,本周环渤海四港区日均调出量 173.19 万吨,环比上周下降 26 万吨,降幅 13.05%。日均锚地船舶共 75 艘,环比上周减少 24 艘,降 幅 24%;环渤海四港区库存端 2761.40 万吨,环比上周上涨 100 万吨, 增幅 3.77% 。港口本周整体调出量减少、库存绝对值上涨,需求释放有 限,煤价略有下行。 我们分析认为:目前港口煤价库存处于较高位置,下游供暖需求已提前 释放,叠加新能源水电风电挤压火电份额,预计煤价维持震荡走势。 估值与建议: 仍旧关注保险资金增量;保费收入维持正增长,且向头部保险集中。固 收类资产荒依旧,叠加红利资产 ...
炼化及贸易板块12月5日跌0.64%,和顺石油领跌,主力资金净流出1.97亿元
证券之星消息,12月5日炼化及贸易板块较上一交易日下跌0.64%,和顺石油领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3902.81,上涨0.7%。深证成指报收于13147.68,上涨1.08%。炼化及贸易板块个股涨跌见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600800 | 渤海化学 | 5.05 | 10.02% | 100.15万 | | 5.01亿 | | 000985 | 大庆华科 | 19.98 | 2.83% | 2.96万 | 5872.20万 | | | 001316 | 润贝航科 | 37.12 | 2.54% | 2.57万 | 9511.51万 | | | 600506 | 统一股份 | 25.02 | 2.54% | 14.12万 | | 3.51亿 | | 000703 | 恒逸石化 | 8.40 | 2.19% | 43.51万 | | 3.64亿 | | 000301 | 东方盛虹 | 9.57 | 2.03% | 12.03万 | | 1.14亿 ...
能源ETF广发(159945)开盘跌0.34%,重仓股中国神华跌0.36%,中国石油跌0.30%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 01:35
来源:新浪基金∞工作室 风险提示:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布,任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建 议。 能源ETF广发(159945)业绩比较基准为中证全指能源指数,管理人为广发基金管理有限公司,基金经 理为姚曦,成立(2015-06-25)以来回报为19.05%,近一个月回报为-0.68%。 12月5日,能源ETF广发(159945)开盘跌0.34%,报1.187元。能源ETF广发(159945)重仓股方面,中 国神华开盘跌0.36%,中国石油跌0.30%,陕西煤业涨0.44%,中国石化涨0.00%,中国海油涨0.21%,杰 瑞股份涨0.46%,兖矿能源跌0.14%,广汇能源涨0.00%,中煤能源跌0.36%,山西焦煤涨0.30%。 ...
解密主力资金出逃股 连续5日净流出621股
| 600452 | 涪陵电力 | 18 | 3.66 | 13.44 | -8.71 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002083 | 孚日股份 | 5 | 3.58 | 4.58 | -13.31 | | 002196 | 方正电机 | 6 | 3.48 | 5.89 | -9.02 | | 603778 | 国晟科技 | 5 | 3.46 | 3.40 | 16.70 | | 601179 | 中国西电 | 7 | 3.42 | 6.84 | -3.56 | | 603398 | *ST沐邦 | 12 | 3.30 | 9.74 | -6.19 | | 300019 | 硅宝科技 | 12 | 3.22 | 5.57 | -15.48 | | 688235 | 百济神州 U | - 6 | 3.20 | 8.81 | -1.77 | | 600418 | 江淮汽车 | 5 | 3.17 | 4.10 | -1.07 | | 002459 | 晶澳科技 | 5 | 2.98 | 11.90 | -7.28 | | 600161 | 天坛生物 | 14 | ...
油气ETF(159697)涨近1%,国际油价恢复涨势
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 02:03
数据显示,截至2025年11月28日,国证石油天然气指数(399439)前十大权重股分别为中国石油 (601857)、中国石化(600028)、中国海油(600938)、杰瑞股份(002353)、广汇能源(600256)、招商轮船 (601872)、新奥股份(600803)、中远海能(600026)、大众公用(600635)、海油工程(600583),前十大权重 股合计占比65.78%。 油气ETF(159697),场外联接(A:019827;C:019828;I:022861)。 以上内容与数据,与有连云立场无关,不构成投资建议。据此操作,风险自担。 天风证券指出,对2026年原油供需增量判断,情景假设分析:①OPEC若26年Q2重启增产路径,预计 2026年全球供应增量为193万桶/日;相比2025年的过剩幅度增加93万桶/日。②OPEC若26年都不重启增 产,预计2026年全球供应增量为165万桶/日;相比2025年的过剩幅度增加65万桶/日。 油气ETF紧密跟踪国证石油天然气指数,国证石油天然气指数反映沪深北交易所石油天然气产业相关上 市公司的证券价格变化情况。 截至2025年12月4日 09:43, ...
1.47亿元主力资金今日撤离石油石化板块
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.42% on December 2, with seven industries experiencing gains, led by the oil and petrochemical sector, which rose by 0.71% [1] - The light industry manufacturing sector also saw an increase of 0.55% [1] - Conversely, the media and non-ferrous metals sectors faced declines of 1.75% and 1.36%, respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 46.499 billion yuan, with seven industries recording net inflows [1] - The light industry manufacturing sector had the highest net inflow of 679 million yuan, despite a slight decline of 0.34% [1] - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector also saw a net inflow of 585 million yuan, with a daily drop of 0.34% [1] Industry-Specific Insights: Oil and Petrochemical - The oil and petrochemical sector experienced a 0.71% increase, with a net outflow of 14.7 million yuan [2] - Out of 47 stocks in this sector, 20 stocks rose, including one that hit the daily limit, while 24 stocks declined [2] - The top three stocks with significant net inflows were China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (472.135 million yuan), Hengyi Petrochemical (332.405 million yuan), and Intercontinental Oil & Gas (241.617 million yuan) [2][3] - The stocks with the highest net outflows included Guanghui Energy (414.025 million yuan), Tongyuan Petroleum (345.877 million yuan), and Heshun Petroleum (286.865 million yuan) [2][3]
解密主力资金出逃股 连续5日净流出459股
证券时报·数据宝统计,截至12月2日收盘,沪深两市共459只个股连续5日或5日以上主力资金净流出。 从净流出持续时间来看,万泰生物连续25日主力资金净流出,排名第一;中油资本连续24日主力资金净 流出,位列第二。从主力资金净流出总规模来看,东方财富主力资金净流出金额最大,连续13天累计净 流出60.68亿元,蓝色光标紧随其后,6天累计净流出36.68亿元。从主力资金净流出占成交金额的比例来 看,广汇能源占比排名居首,该股近5日下跌0.99%。(数据宝) 连续5日或以上主力资金净流出个股排名 | 000712 | 锦龙股份 | 8 | 1.65 | 11.01 | -8.00 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00071 1 | ST京蓝 | 17 | 1.63 | 10.74 | -1.12 | | 000558 | 天府文旅 | 5 | 1.63 | 4.14 | -0.85 | | 605305 | 中际联合 | 12 | 1.62 | 6.15 | -7.21 | | 300996 | 普联软件 | 7 | 1.61 | 8.68 | -4.37 | | ...
地区冲突或持续支撑油价,油气ETF(159697)涨超1.2%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 03:03
油气ETF紧密跟踪国证石油天然气指数,国证石油天然气指数反映沪深北交易所石油天然气产业相关上 市公司的证券价格变化情况。 数据显示,截至2025年11月28日,国证石油天然气指数(399439)前十大权重股分别为中国石油 (601857)、中国石化(600028)、中国海油(600938)、杰瑞股份(002353)、广汇能源(600256)、招商轮船 (601872)、新奥股份(600803)、中远海能(600026)、大众公用(600635)、海油工程(600583),前十大权重 股合计占比65.78%。 油气ETF(159697),场外联接(A:019827;C:019828;I:022861)。 以上内容与数据,与有连云立场无关,不构成投资建议。据此操作,风险自担。 截至2025年12月1日 10:36,国证石油天然气指数(399439)强势上涨1.82%,成分股杰瑞股份(002353)上涨 8.26%,招商轮船(601872)上涨6.81%,中远海能(600026)上涨4.30%,新奥股份(600803),博迈科 (603727)等个股跟涨。油气ETF(159697)上涨1.22%, 冲击3连涨。最新 ...