格隆汇10月16日丨广晟有色(600259.SH)公告称，广晟有色发布2025年前三季度业绩预告，预计归属于 上市公司股东的净利润为1.00亿元至1.30亿元，同比扭亏为盈。报告期内，稀土市场行情上涨，公司加 大生产规模，强化市场研判，加强营销协同，创新模式，调整结构，稀土冶炼分离及永磁材料产销量增 长；参股企业大宝山因铜硫钨价格上涨盈利增加，投资收益上升；同时推进亏损企业治理工作。 ...

格隆汇10月16日丨广晟有色(600259.SH)公布，公司预计2025年前三季度实现归属于上市公司股东的净 利润为1亿元至1.3亿元。公司预计2025年前三季度实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利 润为1.21亿元至1.51亿元。 2025年前三季度稀土市场行情整体上涨，公司抓住市场机会，加大分离企业生产规模；同时强化市场研 判，统筹企业管理，加强上下游营销业务协同，并创新市场营销模式，调整贸易结构，稀土冶炼分离及 稀土永磁材料产销量均实现不同程度增长，实现预期利润。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by the Ministry of Commerce on October 9 regarding comprehensive export controls on rare earth-related technologies and overseas items significantly expands the scope of control, enhancing China's pricing power in the rare earth sector and potentially catalyzing market performance [1] Group 1: Policy Impact - The new export control policy is systematic and comprehensive, strengthening China's pricing power in the rare earth market by extending controls to overseas transshipment and technology transfer [1] - The policy creates challenges for overseas companies in obtaining smelting and separation technologies, thereby consolidating China's competitive advantage across the entire industry chain [1] Group 2: Price Trends - Recent prices for praseodymium and neodymium oxide have remained stable within the range of 550,000 to 570,000, with some feedback indicating a reduction in orders from magnetic material manufacturers after November [2] - Despite the recent price fluctuations, the tightening of heavy rare earth smelting and separation capacity and ongoing policy catalysts are expected to provide strong support for prices [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The price center for rare earths is expected to continue rising, with supply controls extending globally, reinforcing supply rigidity and potentially slowing the release of overseas supply [3] - Demand from sectors such as electric vehicles, wind power, and air conditioning remains robust, and the reinforcement of export controls may lead to increased restocking intentions from overseas terminals, further elevating the price center [3] Group 4: Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks include Jinli Permanent Magnet (300748.SZ, 06680), China Rare Earth (000831.SZ), Guangsheng Nonferrous (600259.SH), and Northern Rare Earth (600111.SH), with additional mentions of Ningbo Yunsheng (600366.SH) and Zhenghai Magnetic Materials (300224.SH) [4]

Market Overview - The small metals sector experienced a decline of 2.62% on October 14, with Zhongkuang Resources leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3865.23, down 0.62%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12895.11, down 2.54% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Notable gainers included: - Dongfang Silver Industry (Code: 000962) with a closing price of 28.22, up 2.17% on a trading volume of 442,200 shares and a transaction value of 1.261 billion [1] - China Rare Earth (Code: 000831) closed at 61.39, up 2.08% with a trading volume of 1,295,600 shares and a transaction value of 8.127 billion [1] - Significant decliners included: - Zhongkuang Resources (Code: 002738) closed at 49.81, down 7.28% with a trading volume of 401,200 shares and a transaction value of 2.064 billion [2] - Yunnan Cuo Industry (Code: 002428) closed at 28.80, down 5.97% with a trading volume of 734,600 shares and a transaction value of 2.173 billion [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The small metals sector saw a net outflow of 3.693 billion from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 2.666 billion [2] - The table of capital flow indicates that: - Huaxi Nonferrous (Code: 600301) had a net inflow of 5.9074 million from institutional investors [3] - Zhongkuang Resources (Code: 002738) experienced a net outflow of 6.0851 million from institutional investors [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strong performance of rare earth permanent magnet stocks in the A-share market, driven by supply control and favorable policies in the rare earth industry [1] - Citigroup's report indicates that the rare earth industry is in the early to mid-stage of an upward cycle, benefiting from China's supply management and its strategic position in energy transition, despite uneven downstream demand [1] - The price of rare earth concentrate has increased by 37% to 26,205 yuan/ton (excluding tax) for Q4 2025, marking the highest level since Q2 2023 [1] Group 2 - Notable stock performances include Xinlaifu with a 20% increase, Baogang Co. and Antai Technology both reaching 10% limits, and China Rare Earth approaching a limit increase [2] - The total market capitalization of Baogang Co. is 139 billion yuan, with a year-to-date increase of 65.05% [2] - North Rare Earth has a market capitalization of 222.3 billion yuan, with a remarkable year-to-date increase of 190.13% [2]

证券之星消息，10月13日小金属板块较上一交易日上涨6.26%，广晟有色领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3889.5，下跌0.19%。深证成指报收于13231.47，下跌0.93%。小金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600259 | 广晟有色 | 64.85 | 10.01% | 34.97万 | | 22.00亿 | | 000831 | 中国稀土 | 60.14 | 10.01% | 116.92万 | | 68.13亿 | | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 57.73 | 10.00% | 380.26万 | | 214.56 Z | | 000962 | 东方银业 | 27.62 | 10.00% | 24.75万 | | 6.39亿 | | 600392 | 盛和盗源 | 26.07 | 8.81% | 214.67万 | | 54.64亿 | | 600549 | 厦门钨业 | 33.29 | 7.77% | 103.85万 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2][9]. Core Insights - The report highlights the increasing geopolitical tensions between China and the U.S., which may elevate demand for safe-haven assets like gold and strategic metals such as rare earths and tungsten [5][9]. - The copper market is experiencing supply disruptions, with prices trending upward due to tight supply conditions [5]. - Aluminum demand is expected to continue, with potential opportunities for investment following market corrections [5]. - The strategic importance of rare earths and tungsten is emphasized due to recent export controls and geopolitical developments [5][9]. Summary by Sections Copper Sector - Supply disruptions are ongoing, with LME copper prices at $10,735 per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.9% [5]. - The processing fee for imported copper concentrate is negative, indicating tight supply [5]. - Companies with rich copper reserves are recommended for investment [9]. Aluminum Sector - LME aluminum prices reached $2,800 per ton, up 3.6% week-on-week [5]. - The operating rate for aluminum processing enterprises has slightly decreased, but demand is expected to remain stable [5]. - Investment opportunities are suggested for companies in the aluminum sector following market corrections [9]. Gold Sector - Gold prices are rising, with SHFE gold at 901.6 RMB per gram, up 3.1% week-on-week [5]. - The report suggests that geopolitical tensions may enhance gold's strategic position as a safe-haven asset [5]. - Investment in gold-related companies is recommended due to their undervalued resource potential [9]. Rare Metals Sector - Rare earth prices remain stable, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide at 683,000 RMB per ton [5]. - Recent export controls on rare earths have heightened their strategic importance amid U.S.-China tensions [5][9]. - Investment opportunities are highlighted in companies involved in rare earth production [9]. Steel Sector - Steel prices are stable, with SHFE rebar at 3,103 RMB per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.0% [6]. - The report notes frequent disruptions in iron ore supply negotiations, which may impact future prices [6]. - Companies with high self-sufficiency in iron ore are recommended for investment [9].

Investment Rating - The report rates the rare earth industry as "Overweight," indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [8]. Core Insights - The new export control regulations on rare earths, issued by the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs, expand the range of controlled elements, adding five new heavy rare earth elements to the existing seven [3]. - The regulations impose stricter controls on the export purposes of rare earth products, particularly prohibiting military applications and requiring case-by-case approval for advanced semiconductor-related uses [3]. - The new regulations create a comprehensive control system over the entire rare earth industry chain, enhancing China's pricing power in the sector [3]. Summary by Sections Export Control Regulations - The new regulations include export controls on additional heavy rare earth elements and strengthen the control over the export purposes of rare earth products, particularly for military and advanced semiconductor applications [3]. - The regulations also cover the export of technologies, equipment, and raw materials related to rare earths, establishing a multi-layered control system [3]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests that the strengthened export controls will enhance the strategic value of the rare earth sector amid the ongoing US-China competition, indicating potential upward valuation for the sector [3]. - Recommended companies for investment include: - China Rare Earth: Focused on heavy rare earths with clear integration expectations - Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel: Strong in light rare earths with significant cost advantages - Guangsheng Nonferrous: A platform for rare earth resource integration in Guangdong with accelerated high-end magnetic material layout - Jieneng Permanent Magnet and Zhenghai Magnetic Materials: Expected to benefit from increased concentration in rare earth product exports [3]. Company Valuation - The report provides a valuation table for key companies in the rare earth sector, detailing their stock prices, earnings per share (EPS) forecasts, and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for the upcoming years [4].

中信建投证券指出，中国稀土战略地位进一步得以强化，预计海外备库动作加强，稀土价格有望进一步 上涨；长周期看，中国对稀土开采-冶炼分离-磁材制造-磁材回收全产业链的技术、设备、软辅材料管 控，无疑将增加海外稀土自主可控产业链建成的难度，时间周期也将延长，长期强化中国稀土的壁垒优 势，利好稀土价格中枢上移。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 10月13日，A股市场全天震荡回升，三大指数低开高走，科创50指数低开近3%，午后翻红大涨逾1%。 板块上，稀土永磁板块今日逆市大涨，银河磁体、惠城环保、新莱福斩获20CM涨停，广晟有色、中国 稀土、北方稀土、有研新材等多股涨停，金力永磁、中科磁业等多股涨幅超10%。 消息面上，10月9日，商务部联合海关总署等部门发布多项公告，对稀土相关物项、技术、设备及原辅 料实施出口管制，管制范围从境内扩展至境外，新增稀土二次资源回收利用相关技术及生产线装配、调 试、维护等技术的出口管制，基本覆盖稀土全产业链，并首次涉及半导体及人工智能领域。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government has responded to reports of Pakistan exporting rare earths to the U.S., emphasizing the strong strategic partnership between China and Pakistan and denying any negative impact on their cooperation [1][2]. Group 1: China-Pakistan Relations - China and Pakistan are described as "all-weather strategic partners" with a long-standing friendship and high levels of strategic mutual trust [1]. - Pakistan has assured that its interactions with the U.S. will not harm China's interests or the cooperation between China and Pakistan [1]. Group 2: Rare Earths Export Control - The recent export control measures on rare earths by China are unrelated to Pakistan and are part of China's legal and regulatory framework to enhance its export control system [2]. - The measures aim to maintain world peace and regional stability while fulfilling international obligations [2]. Group 3: Market Reaction - On October 13, A-share rare earth and rare earth permanent magnet sectors experienced a surge, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit [2]. - Notable stocks included Galaxy Magnetic Materials, which rose by 20.01%, and Northern Rare Earth, which had a trading volume of 21.456 billion yuan, leading the A-share market [2][3]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The rare earth industry chain is undergoing an upgrade in control measures, which is expected to enhance the valuation of listed companies in the sector [4]. - A significant increase in rare earth prices is anticipated, with improved profits for rare earth and magnetic material companies expected in the third and fourth quarters of this year [4].