会议助理 1: 大家好，欢迎参加国金金属金属牛市每一天第 22 天，继续看多稀土、钨、锡价或迎拐点。 王钦扬 国金证券金属分析师: 各位领导好，我是国际金属分析师王清扬。现在由我来给大家汇报一下我们这个金属牛市 每一天，第 22 次电话会议。正如我们在更新，刚更新的这个双周报的内容。本次的这个 汇报的观点，就是继续看多稀土和钨板块。锡价或迎拐点。这里可以看出我们首推的几个 品种，稀土和钨，这是我们在重点推荐的。那么锡的话，我们觉得也一直是在推荐，但是 从今往后，我认为锡价也要进入一个新的周期，大家对锡的这个关注度可以，或者说价格 高点的也能进一步的高看一眼这是我们以上的这个，这次主要的一个汇报的观点。 那首先是这个，首先是这个稀土，稀土我们可以看到，在节前这个稀土走出了非常强的一 波这个商品的走势。那股票？其实如果刨掉那个最后一两个交易日的这个股价的波动，其 实稀土最后两天，其实近期的这个股价走势还是非常的强悍，非常的强悍。尤其这个相对 收益，我觉得也是其实也是非常不错的，也是非常不错。大概可能从这个 2 月上旬，比如 说龙头股北溪，也有一个，也大概会有一个这个百百分之接近 20%的这样的一个涨幅，我 觉得也 ...

2月25日，A股市场稀土永磁概念股集体走强，其中，三川智慧涨13%，包钢股份、北方稀土、中色股份10CM涨 停，中稀有色、厦门钨业涨超8%，金力永磁、中矿资源、争光股份、盛和资源、九菱科技涨超7%，中国稀土涨 超6%，正海磁材、中国铝业、华新环保、东方锆业、中科磁业涨超5%。 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：山上 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | 最新 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300066 | 三川智慧 | | 13.10 | 86.22 7 | 33.07 | 8.29 | | 600010 | 包钢股份 | 1 | 10.15 | 1327亿 | 23.11 | 2.93 | | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 1 | 9.99 | 2185亿 | 31.03 | 60.43 | | 000758 | 中色股份 | 1 | 9.97 | 169亿 | 27.86 | 8.49 | | 600259 | 中稀有色 | 4 | 8.72 | 318亿 | 68.25 | 9 ...

Market Strategy - The market is currently in a volatile yet upward trend, driven by position recovery, maintaining a cautious optimism for February. The index is expected to oscillate around the high and low points of January, with a focus on mid-cap blue chips for investment opportunities [2][6] - The strategy suggests actively adjusting portfolios towards mid-cap blue chips, particularly in the chemical and livestock sectors, which are seen as having strong cyclical performance post-holiday [2][6] Industry Strategy - The agricultural sector is encouraged to expand into international markets to overcome growth limitations faced by domestic agricultural enterprises. Successful international ventures typically involve product and technology exports, asset investments, and mergers or joint operations, emphasizing the importance of core product advantages and complete industry chain layouts [3][6] - Key investment targets in the agricultural sector include Muyuan Foods (002714, buy) and Haida Group (002311, buy), with relevant ETFs being Agricultural ETF (159825/159827) and Grain ETF (159698) [3][6] Thematic Strategy - The rare earth sector is poised for a dual boost in profitability and valuation, with expectations of rising rare earth prices in 2026 due to sustained demand and supply-side improvements. The geopolitical landscape enhances the strategic value of rare earths, making it a key area for investment [4][6] - Notable investment targets in the rare earth sector include China Northern Rare Earth Group (600111, buy) and China Rare Earth Group (600259, not rated), with relevant ETFs being Rare Earth ETF (159713/516150) [4][6]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth market shows mixed price trends for key products, with some experiencing slight declines while others see modest increases, indicating a cautious market environment as the Chinese New Year approaches [1] Price Trends - Praseodymium and neodymium oxide average price is 841,300 CNY/ton, down 1,200 CNY/ton - Praseodymium and neodymium metal average price is 1,005,700 CNY/ton, down 4,300 CNY/ton - Dysprosium oxide average price is 1,452,900 CNY/ton, up 6,800 CNY/ton - Terbium oxide average price is 6,320,000 CNY/ton, up 30,000 CNY/ton [1] Market Activity - Limited transaction information for products like neodymium oxide, praseodymium oxide, lanthanum cerium oxide, and europium oxide, suggesting low purchasing interest - Most companies are in holiday mode, with only a few trading firms remaining active, leading to a low overall procurement willingness [1] Stock Performance - A-share market performance for rare earth permanent magnet concept stocks shows: - Shenghe Resources (600392) latest price 30.91 CNY, up 7.36%, transaction volume 4.319 billion CNY - China Rare Earth (000831) latest price 58.36 CNY, up 3.11%, transaction volume 3.050 billion CNY - Other notable stocks include Zhongxi Rare Earth (600259), Jintian Co. (601609), and Huaxin Environmental (301265) with varying price increases and transaction volumes [1]

Group 1 - North Mining Technology (600980) is a state-owned enterprise under the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, focusing on mining equipment and magnetic materials, with a leading position in the global market for intelligent flotation machines and a 12% share in domestic sintered permanent magnetic ferrite production [1][25][26] - Greenme (002340) is a leader in the recycling of rare metals and new energy materials, with a dual business model of "urban mining + new energy materials," supplying major companies like CATL and BYD [1][27] - Xiamen Tungsten (600549) is a leader in tungsten, molybdenum, and rare earth permanent magnetic materials, with a complete industrial chain from mining to high-end magnetic material production [2][28] Group 2 - Jiyuan Wanfang (000612) is a significant player in aluminum smelting and rare earth permanent magnetic materials, leveraging local resources to form a dual business model of "aluminum + rare earth" [3][29] - Wanlong Magnetic Plastic (603150) is a leader in refrigerator door seals and magnetic materials, producing ferrite magnets for major appliance manufacturers [4][30] - Northern Rare Earth (600111) is the largest rare earth producer globally, controlling over 40% of the world's rare earth oxide production and holding significant pricing power [5][30] Group 3 - Chifeng Gold (600988) is involved in gold mining and rare earth resource development, with a strong position in the domestic rare earth market [6][31] - Zhongmin Resources (002738) is a leader in lithium mining and rare earth resources, with significant overseas rare earth mining rights [7][33] - Galaxy Magnet (300127) specializes in sintered and bonded neodymium-iron-boron magnets, serving major clients like BYD and CATL [8][34] Group 4 - Zhong Rare Metals (600259) focuses on rare earth mining and functional materials, with a strong position in the medium and heavy rare earth sectors [9][35] - Tianhe Magnetic Materials (603072) is a leader in high-end neodymium-iron-boron magnets, supplying major automotive and industrial clients [10][36] - Oriental Zirconium (002167) produces zirconium products and rare earth functional materials, with a focus on the electronics and new energy sectors [11][37] Group 5 - Jinli Permanent Magnet (300748) is a leading producer of rare earth permanent magnetic materials, with a strong presence in the automotive sector [12][38] - Huaxin Environmental (301265) focuses on environmental equipment and rare earth recycling, leveraging a dual business model [13][40] - China Rare Earth (000831) is a key player in rare earth mining and processing, with a focus on high-value applications in new energy and military sectors [14][49]

Core Viewpoint - The articles highlight the strong performance and growth potential of various companies in the tungsten industry, driven by rising tungsten prices and increasing demand across multiple sectors such as aerospace, military, and renewable energy. Company Summaries - **China Tungsten High-Tech (000657)**: A leading player in the tungsten industry with a complete value chain from mining to manufacturing, benefiting from high self-sufficiency and significant profit elasticity due to rising tungsten prices. The company is positioned well in high-end manufacturing and military applications [1]. - **Xiamen Tungsten (600549)**: A comprehensive new materials leader with a strong presence in tungsten, rare earths, and lithium battery materials. The company is a major APT producer and benefits from dual market demand in tungsten and rare earths, with a clear long-term growth trajectory [2]. - **Zhangyuan Tungsten (002378)**: A private sector leader in the tungsten industry with a complete production system and high resource self-sufficiency. The company is well-positioned in high-end tungsten markets and is expected to see steady profit growth due to rising demand and supply constraints [3]. - **Xianglu Tungsten (002842)**: Focused on deep processing of tungsten, the company has a strong customer base and benefits from rising processing fees alongside tungsten prices. Future growth is expected through technological upgrades and high utilization rates [4]. - **Luoyang Molybdenum (603993)**: A global mining leader with significant tungsten operations, benefiting from high-quality overseas resources and a diversified metal portfolio. The company is expected to see profit growth as tungsten supply-demand dynamics improve [5]. - **Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals (600259)**: A state-owned enterprise with a focus on tungsten and rare earths, benefiting from dual price increases and strong resource integration capabilities. Future growth is anticipated through expanding resource reserves and high-end applications [6][7]. - **Hunan Gold (002155)**: A key mining platform in Hunan with a stable tungsten production and high resource self-sufficiency. The company benefits from rising prices across multiple metals, providing a unique advantage in the small metals sector [8]. - **Antai Technology (000969)**: A leader in high-end refractory metals, focusing on high-value tungsten products for semiconductor and aerospace applications. The company is expected to grow through increased domestic demand and technological advancements [9]. - **Jinmo Co., Ltd. (601958)**: A leading player in the molybdenum industry with significant tungsten operations, benefiting from low-cost resources and a complete production chain. The company is expected to see profit elasticity as tungsten prices rise [10]. - **Dongfang Tantalum (000962)**: A leader in rare metals with a strong tungsten processing capability, benefiting from stable demand in military and aerospace sectors. Future growth is expected from increasing domestic production of high-end tungsten products [11]. - **Xingye Mining (000426)**: A multi-metal mining company with significant tungsten resources, benefiting from price increases and a diversified portfolio that mitigates risks [12]. - **Zhuye Group (600961)**: A veteran in non-ferrous metal smelting with advantages in tungsten recycling and processing. The company is expected to see profit improvements through expanded processing capacity and technological upgrades [13]. - **Zhongkuang Resources (002738)**: A leader in lithium and rare metals with stable tungsten production, benefiting from price increases and a diversified business model [14]. - **Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240)**: A lithium leader with significant tungsten resources, providing stable profits and enhancing resilience against market fluctuations [15]. - **Huayou Cobalt (603799)**: A global leader in cobalt and lithium materials, with a strong tungsten business that supports overall profitability through market synergies [16]. - **Hanrui Cobalt (300618)**: Focused on cobalt and tungsten processing, benefiting from rising demand in high-end manufacturing and renewable energy sectors [17]. - **Xiamen Xinda (000701)**: Engaged in tungsten product trading and supply chain services, benefiting from price increases and a mature supply chain system [18]. - **Aluminum Corporation of China (601600)**: A leader in the non-ferrous sector with a focus on tungsten resource development, benefiting from market dynamics and resource value reassessment [19]. - **Tin Industry Co., Ltd. (000960)**: A global leader in tin with a strong tungsten portfolio, benefiting from price increases and a comprehensive multi-metal strategy [20]. - **Nanshan Aluminum (600219)**: A leading aluminum processor with a focus on tungsten-related materials, expected to grow through high-end manufacturing demand [21].

Group 1 - The A-share market's rare earth permanent magnet sector showed strong performance on February 9, with several stocks reaching their daily limit up [1] - Shenghe Resources experienced a limit-up increase of 10.01%, while China Rare Earth and Northern Rare Earth both rose over 6% [2] - Other notable gainers included San Chuan Wisdom, Zhong Rare Metal, and Huahong Technology, all of which saw increases exceeding 6% [1][2] Group 2 - The total market capitalization of Shenghe Resources is 47.6 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 26.06% [2] - China Rare Earth has a market cap of 58.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 18.88% [2] - Northern Rare Earth has a market cap of 193.3 billion and a year-to-date increase of 15.96% [2]

Group 1 - The rare earth permanent magnet sector in the A-share market has shown strong performance, with several companies experiencing significant stock price increases [1] - Shenghe Resources reached the daily limit increase, while China Rare Earth, Northern Rare Earth, San Chuan Wisdom, and others saw gains exceeding 6% [1] - The overall market sentiment in the rare earth sector appears positive, indicating potential growth opportunities for investors [1] Group 2 - Shenghe Resources (code: 600392) increased by 10.01%, with a total market capitalization of 47.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 26.06% [2] - China Rare Earth (code: 000831) rose by 6.79%, with a market cap of 58.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 18.88% [2] - Northern Rare Earth (code: 600111) saw a 6.73% increase, with a market capitalization of 193.3 billion and a year-to-date increase of 15.96% [2] - Other notable companies include San Chuan Wisdom (6.63% increase), China Rare Metals (6.13% increase), and Huahong Technology (6.02% increase), all showing strong year-to-date performance [2]

Group 1: Development Goals and Framework - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) has set the annual development goals centered on "two guarantees and two strives" for 2026, marking a shift towards quality and efficiency in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) [4] - The total assets of central enterprises have surpassed 95 trillion yuan, with R&D investment exceeding 1 trillion yuan for four consecutive years, indicating a focus on quality-driven growth [8] - The framework aims to guide state capital towards strategic security, public welfare, and emerging industries, providing a clear action plan for reform and development [4] Group 2: Industry Integration and Collaboration - In 2025, the restructuring of central enterprises will follow a dual-track approach, focusing on strategic formation of new central enterprises and multi-field professional integration [13] - The establishment of new central enterprises, such as China Yajiang Group and China Chang'an Automobile Group, aims to serve national macro strategies and enhance industry collaboration [14] - A total of 17 units signed agreements in key areas like artificial intelligence and new materials, creating a multi-party collaborative model involving central enterprises, private enterprises, and local governments [16] Group 3: Capital Investment and Fund Management - The total scale of the China Chengtong fund system reached 710 billion yuan, with 97.99% allocated to strategic emerging industries, demonstrating a strong focus on high-tech sectors [18] - The National Investment Group manages 61 funds with a total scale of 345.1 billion yuan, having invested in 1,249 projects and facilitated 293 companies going public [20] - The investment strategy emphasizes long-term support for innovative enterprises, with over two-thirds of funds directed towards private enterprises [20] Group 4: Resource Integration and Security - Central enterprises are undergoing intensive integration in key mineral sectors, such as iron ore and rare earths, to enhance resource control and pricing power [24] - The integration aims to create a closed-loop industry chain, improving domestic supply security and reducing reliance on imports [25] - This strategic move is seen as a vital step in ensuring national resource security and enhancing the global influence of China's mineral resources [24]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The copper price on LME decreased by 1.65% to $12,855.0 per ton, while the Shanghai copper price fell by 3.45% to ¥100,100 per ton. The copper inventory in major regions increased by 4.03% week-on-week, and total inventory rose by 6,270 tons year-on-year [1][14] - The aluminum price on LME dropped by 3.49% to $3,026.00 per ton, and the Shanghai aluminum price decreased by 5.07% to ¥23,300 per ton. The aluminum processing industry showed a comprehensive operating rate of 57.9%, down by 1.5% week-on-week [2][15] - The gold price on COMEX increased by 6.57% to $4,988.6 per ounce, influenced by geopolitical risks and rising expectations of interest rate cuts [3][16] - The rare earth sector saw a price increase for praseodymium and neodymium oxide by 1.20%, with expectations of improved demand due to relaxed export policies [4][35] - Tungsten prices rose by 11.98% due to tight supply conditions, while tin prices fell by 15.81% amid inventory depletion [4][38] Summary by Sections Copper - LME copper price decreased by 1.65% to $12,855.0 per ton, and Shanghai copper price fell by 3.45% to ¥100,100 per ton. The processing fee index dropped to -$52.37 per ton. Copper inventory increased by 4.03% week-on-week [1][14] - The operating rate of copper cable enterprises was 60.15%, with an increase of 0.69% week-on-week. The industry maintained stable production due to new orders from State Grid [1][14] Aluminum - LME aluminum price decreased by 3.49% to $3,026.00 per ton, and Shanghai aluminum price fell by 5.07% to ¥23,300 per ton. The aluminum processing industry showed a comprehensive operating rate of 57.9%, down by 1.5% week-on-week [2][15] - The operating rate for primary aluminum alloy dropped to 57.9% due to holiday impacts and high aluminum prices [2][15] Precious Metals - COMEX gold price increased by 6.57% to $4,988.6 per ounce, driven by geopolitical risks and expectations of interest rate cuts [3][16] - SPDR gold holdings decreased by 10.87 tons to 1,076.23 tons [3][16] Rare Earths - Praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices increased by 1.20%. December exports of rare earth permanent magnets showed a year-on-year increase of 7% [4][35] - The sector is expected to benefit from relaxed export policies and increased demand [4][36] Tungsten and Tin - Tungsten prices rose by 11.98% due to tight supply conditions, while tin prices fell by 15.81% amid inventory depletion [4][38] - The supply of tin is expected to remain tight due to lower-than-expected production from Indonesia and Myanmar [4][38] Lithium and Cobalt - Lithium carbonate price decreased by 13.3% to ¥148,000 per ton, while lithium hydroxide price fell by 11.6% to ¥150,000 per ton. The total lithium production was 20,700 tons, down slightly [4][53] - Cobalt price decreased by 5.6% to ¥420,000 per ton, with stable prices for cobalt intermediates [5][54]