Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance on February 11, with the ChiNext Index falling over 1% and total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reaching 2 trillion yuan, a decrease of 123.7 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - Over 3,200 stocks in the market experienced declines, indicating a broad-based sell-off [1] Group 2: Chemical Industry Insights - UBS recently released a report raising expectations for the Chinese chemical industry, predicting a new upward cycle from 2026 to 2028 due to multiple positive factors, with expectations for profit recovery and valuation increases [1] - The chemical sector has shown resilience, with companies like Jihua Group and Taihe New Materials experiencing significant stock price increases [1] Group 3: Fiberglass Sector Performance - The fiberglass manufacturing sector saw a collective surge, with nearly all stocks hitting the daily limit, a rare occurrence in the market [1] - Notable stocks included International Composite Materials, which hit a 20% limit up shortly after market open, and others like Changhai Co., Honghe Technology, and China Jushi also saw significant gains [1][2] - The fiberglass sector's revaluation is linked to price increases and demand driven by AI, with major manufacturers indicating price hikes and low inventory levels [3] Group 4: Lithium Battery and Precious Metals - Lithium battery stocks were active, with Zhongcai Technology hitting the limit up and reaching a historical high [4] - The domestic commodity futures market saw most prices rise, with lithium carbonate increasing over 9% [4] - Precious metals also experienced volatility, with silver futures rising over 4% and gold prices recovering above $5,050 per ounce [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the gold industry stocks are experiencing a strong rebound, with significant increases in the stock prices of major companies in the sector, indicating a positive market sentiment towards gold investments [1][2]. - As of February 11, 2026, the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index (931238) rose by 2.97%, with key stocks such as Zijin Mining International and WanGuo Gold Group increasing by 8.48% and 8.45% respectively [1]. - The gold stocks ETF (159322) also saw a rise of 3.16%, closing at 2.09 yuan, reflecting the overall positive trend in the gold market [1]. Group 2 - The CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index comprises 50 large-cap companies involved in gold mining, refining, and sales, which collectively represent the performance of the gold industry in the mainland and Hong Kong markets [1]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 61.69% of the total index, indicating a concentration of investment in a few key players within the gold sector [2].

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is entering a "macro-driven + industry resonance" configuration window by 2026, supported by global central bank gold purchases and rising demand from Western ETFs [1] Group 1: Macro Factors - The Federal Reserve's established interest rate cut cycle and declining real interest rates are contributing to a supportive environment for gold prices [1] - Geopolitical uncertainties are becoming a norm, further enhancing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [1] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - According to the World Gold Council, high gold prices have somewhat suppressed gold jewelry consumption but have shifted demand towards investment [1] - The explosion of AI and high-end electronics industries is providing new rigid support for industrial gold demand [1] - Rising gold prices are leading to a revaluation of inventory book values for gold jewelry companies, with previous low-cost stockpiles expected to translate into greater earnings elasticity [1] Group 3: Investment Tools - The Southern CSI Hong Kong Gold Industry Stock Index A (021958.OF) reflects the overall performance of the gold industry chain, offering investors a tool for balanced investment options [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market saw a strong performance in gold-related stocks, with several companies experiencing significant price increases on February 11 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Baodi Mining reached the daily limit with a rise of 9.97%, bringing its total market value to 6.968 billion [2] - Guocheng Mining increased by 9.18%, with a total market capitalization of 36.8 billion [2] - Hangmin Co. and Baoding Technology both rose over 5%, with market values of 8.861 billion and 7.934 billion respectively [2] - Other notable performers included Zhongjin Metal, Shandong Gold, and Feinan Resources, all of which saw increases of over 4% [1][2] Group 2: Year-to-Date Performance - Baodi Mining has a year-to-date increase of 18.02% [2] - Guocheng Mining's year-to-date rise stands at 11.65% [2] - Hangmin Co. and Baoding Technology have year-to-date increases of 25.98% and 23.86% respectively [2] - Shandong Gold and Feinan Resources also reported strong year-to-date performances of 22.35% and 28.17% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has seen a strong performance in gold-related stocks, with several companies experiencing significant price increases, indicating a bullish trend in the sector [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Baodi Mining has reached the daily limit up with a gain of 9.97%, bringing its total market value to 6.968 billion [2]. - Guocheng Mining has increased by 9.18%, with a total market capitalization of 36.8 billion [2]. - Hangmin Co. and Baoding Technology have both risen over 5%, with gains of 5.47% and 5.09% respectively [2]. - Other notable performers include Zhongjin Metal, Shandong Gold, and Feinan Resources, all of which have seen increases of over 4% [1][2]. Group 2: Year-to-Date Performance - Baodi Mining has a year-to-date increase of 18.02% [2]. - Guocheng Mining has recorded an 11.65% rise since the beginning of the year [2]. - Hangmin Co. and Baoding Technology have year-to-date gains of 25.98% and 23.86% respectively [2]. - Shandong Gold has increased by 22.35% year-to-date, while Feinan Resources has seen a remarkable 28.17% increase [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of gold prices and related stocks, with COMEX gold futures trading around $5,080 and London gold at approximately $5,060 [1] - Gold-related ETFs have shown significant gains, with the 华夏 Gold ETF (518850) up 0.61%, the Non-ferrous Metals ETF (516650) up 3.16%, and the Gold Stocks ETF (159562) up 3.41%, indicating a positive market sentiment towards gold investments [1] - Six gold-listed companies, including Zijin Mining and Zhongjin Gold, have released earnings forecasts for 2025, with Zijin Mining expecting a net profit increase of 59%-62% year-on-year, and Zhongjin Gold projecting a Q4 net profit growth of 14%-75% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2 - The 华夏 Gold ETF (518850) and Gold Stocks ETF (159562) have a combined management and custody fee of 0.2%, which is among the lowest in their category, making it more cost-effective for investors to participate in the gold market [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the non-ferrous metals sector is experiencing short-term pressure due to pre-holiday sentiment, but there are structural opportunities in specific sub-sectors [2] - The global non-ferrous metals industry is expected to enter a "recovery cycle with supply constraints" from 2026 to 2027, with copper and aluminum prices shifting from supply constraints and loose liquidity in 2026 to demand recovery in 2027 [2] - The supply growth of electrolytic aluminum is projected to be only 1.7% in 2026, with a supply gap of over 800,000 tons; electrolytic copper supply growth is 2.4% while demand growth is 3.3%, indicating a shift from surplus to shortage [2] Group 2 - Tungsten is expected to see a continued supply-demand shortage due to China's mining control policies, leading to sustained price increases from 2026 to 2027 [3] - Rare earth permanent magnets are experiencing tightening supply-side integration, with improving demand expectations for exports, indicating a fundamental improvement [3] - Cobalt is projected to face a global shortage due to supply reduction policies in the Democratic Republic of Congo, with strong upward momentum in the short term [3] Group 3 - Lithium is benefiting from the rising demand for energy storage batteries and domestic supply disruptions, potentially at the bottom of its cycle [3] - Nickel is expected to clear supply issues from the second half of 2026 to 2027 due to Indonesia's quota policies, with prices likely to rise if economic recovery boosts stainless steel demand [3] - Magnesium is gaining traction in the lightweighting sector of new energy vehicles due to its higher cost-effectiveness compared to aluminum, indicating improved industry sentiment [3] Group 4 - The non-ferrous metals ETF (512400) closely tracks the CSI Shenyin Wanguo Non-Ferrous Metals Index, which selects 50 listed companies to reflect the overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, China Aluminum, and Huayou Cobalt, among others [3]

Core Viewpoint - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, have seen further declines in prices, but the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cuts this year are expected to support precious metal prices moving forward [2][3]. Precious Metals - Gold price this week was $4,948.00 per ounce, down $33.85 from January 30, a decrease of -0.68% [2]. - Silver price this week was $74.94 per ounce, down $28.25 from January 30, a decrease of -27.38% [2]. - The Federal Reserve officials have expressed views on the need for interest rate cuts this year, with expectations of multiple cuts [2]. Copper and Aluminum - Demand weakened as the Chinese New Year approaches, leading to stable prices for copper and aluminum [4][6]. - LME copper closed at $12,900 per ton, down $540 from January 30, a decrease of -4.02% [4]. - SHFE copper closed at ¥99,810 per ton, down ¥3,360 from January 30, a decrease of -3.26% [4]. - Domestic aluminum price was ¥23,110 per ton, down ¥1,530 from January 30 [5]. Tin - Domestic refined tin price was ¥356,660 per ton, down ¥66,970 from January 30, a decrease of -15.81% [7]. - Inventory levels indicate a tightening supply situation, but short-term demand remains weak [7]. Antimony - Domestic antimony ingot price was ¥160,000 per ton, unchanged from January 30 [8]. - Demand feedback is average, and prices are expected to remain stable [8]. Industry Ratings and Investment Strategy - Gold industry maintains a "recommended" investment rating due to the Fed's rate cut cycle [9]. - Copper industry also maintains a "recommended" investment rating due to ongoing tight supply [10]. - Aluminum, tin, and antimony industries maintain "recommended" investment ratings based on supply dynamics [11]. Recommended Stocks - Gold industry recommendations include Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, and China National Gold [12]. - Copper industry recommendations include Zijin Mining and Western Mining [12]. - Aluminum industry recommendations include Shenhuo Co. and Yunnan Aluminum [12]. - Tin industry recommendations include Tin Industry Co. and Huaxi Nonferrous [12].

【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不 对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担 全部责任。邮箱：news_center@staff.hexun.com 国投证券研报指出，山东黄金预计实现归母净利润46~49亿元，同比+56%~66%。2025年公司确定的生 产经营计划是黄金产量不低于50吨（包含山金国际目标8吨），前三季度完成75.6%。公司加大井巷开 拓工程等生产性投入，持续强化矿山深部及周边探矿，科学提升在建矿山建设进度。央行和etf资金积 极增持黄金，美元信用担忧仍存，持续看好金价中长期上涨趋势。公司矿产金生产稳步推进，看好金价 上涨提振公司业绩表现。目前股价对应PE 44.6、23.1、19.7倍，维持"买入-A"评级，6个月目标价59.1 元/股，对应26年PE约30倍。 ...

行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 郭中伟 A0230524120004 guozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 研究支持 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 联系人 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 2026 年 02 月 10 日 金属价格强势突破，有色板块景气 持续 看好 ——有色金属行业 2025Q4 业绩前瞻 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 有色金属 - ⚫ 贵金属： 1 月美联储议息会议维持联邦基金利率目标区间在 3.50%-3.75%，鲍威尔表示通胀的上行风险 和就业的下行风险都已减弱；没有太多数据表明外国投资者正在对其美元资产进行大规模对冲。特朗普 30 日提名美联储前理事凯文·沃什为下任美联储主席，这一提名还需 ...