东兴证券发布研报称，全球货币政策转向宽松，地缘政治与经济政策不确定性提升了贵金属避险溢价。 在黄金传统金融市场定价层面上，黄金的避险溢价、汇率平价、流动性溢价及通胀平价四大核心要素均 在发酵，趋势易涨难跌；白银因工业需求强劲而供需缺口持续放大；铂金亦维持结构性短缺。 黄金：黄金价格或呈现趋势性的易涨难跌 黄金传统的纯金融属性定价方式显现弱化，而商品供需属性的定价方式明显强化，黄金金融属性决定价 格弹性而供需属性决定价格韧性。黄金供需已进入商品定价层面上结构性偏紧状态，价格将呈现趋势性 的易涨难跌，即供需基本面将决定黄金定价的底部中枢。全球矿产金供应已进入低增长阶段，矿金产出 成本提升与供给增速承压相印证，而黄金需求则呈现强韧性（央行购金形成的需求支撑）及强弹性（黄 金ETF投资的净流入提升）。近三年全球黄金年均消费量均值已升至约4616吨，其中央行购金连续三年 升至1000吨之上，推动黄金需求曲线右移20%以上并带动黄金现货溢价攀升。至2025年11月，中国央行 已连续十三个月增持黄金，累计净增量达到41吨。另一方面，随着利率环境的常态化回归，全球黄金实 物持仓ETF的年增长量或有望恢复至2016-2020年 ...

黄金股全线走低，截至发稿，紫金黄金国际(02259)跌5.05%，报150.5港元；紫金矿业（601899） (02899)跌3.13%，报33.38港元；潼关黄金(00340)跌3.11%，报2.8港元；山东黄金（600547）(01787)跌 2.85%，报33.46港元。 消息面上，摩根大通最新研究报告显示，备受关注的彭博商品指数(BCOM)即将在2026年1月进行年度 权重再平衡。报告预计白银，将遭遇最沉重的抛售，卖盘规模约占其期货市场总未平仓合约的9%。报 告特别强调，今年白银的抛售压力"比去年更为突出"，值得投资者高度警惕。黄金抛售规模预计约占其 期货市场总未平仓合约的3%。尽管比例低于白银，但考虑到黄金庞大的市场体量，其绝对抛售金额依 然十分可观。 中邮证券发布研报称，白银波动率较高，且伦敦库存回升，短期的逼仓逻辑可能暂缓。长期来看，去美 元化的进程不会转向，叠加短期降息交易下ETF配置资金的流入，我们依然看好贵金属板块的表现。长 期来看，去美元化的进程不会转向，低位筹码建议无惧波动，坚定持有。 山东黄金 紫金矿业 山东黄金 紫金矿业 紫金黄金国际 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 35.11 - ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Global geopolitical conflicts drive up the risk - aversion sentiment, the People's Bank of China continuously buys gold, and the Fed is still in the interest - rate cut channel, so the gold price is supported. Suggestions are to focus on Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold [5]. - The raw material for copper is in short supply, and the copper price is more likely to rise than fall. Suggestions are to focus on Zijin Mining and Tongling Nonferrous Metals [5]. - For electrolytic aluminum, supply is restricted, new - energy demand contributes to the increase, and the situation of weak supply and strong demand continues. In terms of profit, the alumina production capacity will be gradually released in 2025, the alumina price will continue to decline, and the profit is expected to recover. Suggestions are to focus on Shenhuo Co., Ltd., Yunnan Aluminum Co., Ltd., and Tianshan Aluminum Co., Ltd. [5]. - For energy metals, there are frequent reports of production cuts from overseas supply - side, and signals of production cuts or shutdowns in the whole industry will continue to appear. The lithium price has bottomed out and rebounded as the in - depth integration of production capacity has begun. Suggestions are to focus on Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd., Tianqi Lithium Corporation, and Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd. [5]. - China tightens the tungsten supply, and the market continues to rise with reduced volume. Relevant companies are China Tungsten High - tech Co., Ltd. and Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Gold - **Price Trend**: Since 2024, the gold price has repeatedly hit new highs. In different quarters from 24Q3 to 25Q3, various factors such as Fed's interest - rate cuts, geopolitical conflicts, inflation, and tariff policies have affected the gold price. In the future, geopolitical, tariff policy changes, market risk preferences, and interest - rate cuts will still impact the gold price [8][13]. - **Supply and Demand**: Gold supply is stable, while global central banks are increasing their gold purchases. In 25Q3, central bank gold - buying demand was 219.85 tons, a 10.2% increase year - on - year. The People's Bank of China restarted the gold - buying channel in November 2024 and has continuously increased its gold holdings [14][21]. - **Stock Recommendations**: Suggestions are to focus on Chifeng Gold, Shandong Gold, Shanjin International, and Zijin Mining. These companies have certain scales and performance flexibility. For example, in the first half of 2025, Shandong Gold's net profit attributable to shareholders was 28.08 billion yuan, a 102.98% year - on - year increase; Chifeng Gold planned to produce 16.0 tons of gold in 2025; Shanjin International's revenue and profit increased significantly; Zijin Mining's net profit attributable to shareholders was 233 billion yuan, a 54% year - on - year increase [22][23]. Copper - **Supply - Demand Situation**: The supply of copper ore is tight, which leads to the increase of copper price and compresses the profit of the smelting end. The copper concentrate treatment and refining charges (TC) have been declining since 2024, reaching - 43.08 US dollars/ton as of December 12, 2025. The difference between LME and COMEX copper inventories has widened, resulting in a short - term regional mismatch in copper supply [26][30]. Electrolytic Aluminum - **Supply**: The domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity is approaching the ceiling, and the output growth is restricted by power - rationing policies. Overseas, power supply is tight, and there are frequent shutdown events, leading to supply shortages [41]. - **Demand**: From January to October 2025, the domestic electrolytic aluminum demand was 38.7697 million tons, a 5.72% year - on - year increase. The demand for aluminum in the automotive and photovoltaic industries is increasing. Aluminum - bodied new - energy vehicles can increase cruising range and reduce battery costs, and the photovoltaic industry is booming under policy support [42][48]. - **Cost and Profit**: The domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity restricts the demand for alumina, and with the release of new production capacity, alumina is in oversupply. The decline in alumina price is beneficial to the profit of the electrolytic aluminum sector. Suggestions are to focus on Shenhuo Co., Ltd., Yunnan Aluminum Co., Ltd., and Tianshan Aluminum Co., Ltd. [51][52]. Lithium - **Price and Market**: The price of lithium carbonate has bottomed out and rebounded. The market is generally optimistic about the demand for lithium carbonate next year. With the gradual increase in supply, both supply and demand are booming, and the industry profit is gradually improving [56]. - **Stock Recommendations**: Suggestions are to focus on Tianqi Lithium Corporation, Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd., Zhongkuang Resources Co., Ltd., Yongxing Special Materials Co., Ltd., and other companies. The performance and profit expectations of these companies vary [60]. Tungsten - **Supply**: China tightens the tungsten supply, and the global supply is restricted. Regulatory strengthening and declining ore grades affect production capacity release, and supply is generally tight. In April 2025, the Ministry of Natural Resources of China issued the first - batch tungsten ore mining total - volume indicator of 58,000 tons [62][66]. - **Stock Recommendations**: Suggestions are to focus on Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd., Zhangyuan Tungsten Co., Ltd., China Tungsten High - tech Co., Ltd., Xianglu Tungsten Co., Ltd., and Jiangxi Tungsten Equipment Co., Ltd. [67].

继周一下跌之后，港股市场今日（12月16日）再度大幅收低。 截至收盘，恒生指数报收于25235.41点，下跌393.47点，跌幅1.54%。 | 分时 5日 = 5分 15分 30分 60分 图K 周K 月K 年K = 日程225 均线 > | | | 11 = 11 = 11 = 日 = 11 = 日 = 41 = 111 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | +-52636.87 | 00000 | | 49383.29 **** | | + | | | | 52000 | | 行情报价 | | | | | | | | 成交盟 一 最高 | 50051.24 今月 | 50055.24 | | | | 51000 0 | | 成交顿 + ■6 | 49355.87 11-6 | 50168.11 | | | | | | 【世和歌 | | | | | | | | | 即 84 | 原材 | | | | 49000.0 | | 美元幅度 | 08.24 | -0.04% | | | | | | 重慶斯 | 48416.56 | -0.0 ...

截至2025年12月16日 14:45，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)成分股方面涨跌互现，中钨高新(000657)领 涨3.05%，雅化集团(002497)上涨2.25%，厦门钨业(600549)上涨0.59%；赤峰黄金(600988)领跌。有色 ETF基金(159880)最新报价1.74元，盘中净申购700万份。 有色ETF基金(159880)，场外联接(A：021296；C：021297；I：022886)。 以上内容与数据，与有连云立场无关，不构成投资建议。据此操作，风险自担。 市场整体回调，资金逆势布局有色板块。中国银河证券指出，2024年行业触底企稳后，2025年宏观预期 的修复，其他资源国矿产资源管制等政策下的供应链扰动、美联储降息周期中的流动性宽松，使有色金 属价格与行业业绩增速持续提升，确立了有色金属行业进入新一轮上行周期。2026年上述逻辑有望继续 推动有色金属商品价格上涨与提升有色金属企业的盈利能力，延续有色金属行业的景气上行行情。美联 储继续降息与可能开启扩表，流动性边际宽松将带动全球黄金ETF基金持续购金，推升金价。铜矿供给 叙事延续，长周期景气向上不改。看好刚果（金）政策调控下 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 517520 | 黄金股ETF | 1.931 | -0.087 | -4.31% | | 159322 | 黄金股票ETF基金 | 1.565 | -0.065 | -3.99% | | 517400 | 黄金股票ETF | 1.522 | -0.063 | -3.97% | | 159321 | 黄金股票ETF | 1.476 | -0.059 | -3.84% | | 159315 | 黄金股ETF基金 | 1.578 | -0.063 | -3.84% | | 159562 | 黄金股ETF | 2.110 | -0.080 | -3.65% | 黄金概念股震荡走低，中金黄金、赤峰黄金跌超5%，山东黄金、紫金矿业、湖南黄金跌超4%。 受盘面影响，黄金股相关ETF跌超3%。 有分析人士表示，短期看，美联储打开降息通道，驱动黄金的估值中枢上移；长期看，在地缘政治风 险、逆全球化趋势和美元信用体系弱化的背景下，强化了黄金的配置价值。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

格隆汇12月16日｜A股黄金股午后跌幅进一步扩大，其中，晓程科技、西部黄金跌超6%，招金黄金跌 超5%，中金黄金、赤峰黄金、恒邦股份、湖南黄金跌超4%，山东黄金、四川黄金、山金国际、紫金矿 业跌超3%。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↑ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300139 | 際程科技 | -澳 | -6.80 | 82.23亿 | 105.69 | | 601069 | 西部黄金 | 1 | -6.62 | 240亿 | 131.00 | | 000506 | 招金黄金 | | -5.26 | 120亿 | 226.45 | | 600489 | 中金黄金 | + | -4.97 | 1067亿 | 87.89 | | 600988 | 赤峰黄金 | + | -4.89 | 591亿 | 100.43 | | 002237 | 恒邦股份 | | -4.23 | 181亿 | 26.99 | | 002155 | 湖南黄金 | | -4.18 | 322亿 | 71.91 | | 600547 | 山东黄金 | ...

688750 金天钛业 1.01 4.82 558.24 沪指12月15日下跌0.55%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有13个，涨幅居前的行业为非银金融、商贸零 售，涨幅分别为1.59%、1.49%。跌幅居前的行业为电子、通信，跌幅分别为2.42%、1.89%。有色金属 行业今日下跌0.51%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出471.84亿元，今日有8个行业主力资金净流入，国防军工行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨0.83%，全天净流入资金22.87亿元，其次是食品饮料行业，日 涨幅为0.67%，净流入资金为11.24亿元。 主力资金净流出的行业有23个，电子行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金163.31亿元，其次 是电力设备行业，净流出资金为59.19亿元，净流出资金较多的还有有色金属、机械设备、通信等行 业。 有色金属行业今日下跌0.51%，全天主力资金净流出55.32亿元，该行业所属的个股共138只，今日上涨 的有53只；下跌的有83只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有35只，其中，净流入 资金超5000万元的有5只，净流入资金居首的是中国铀业，今日净流入资金3.30 ...

证券之星消息，12月15日贵金属板块较上一交易日上涨2.09%，赤峰黄金领涨。当日上证指数报收于3867.92，下跌0.55%。深证成指报收于 13112.09，下跌1.1%。贵金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6009888 | 赤峰黄金 | 32.69 | 4.78% | 63.06万 | | 20.29亿 | | 001337 | 四川黄金 | 29.21 | 3.66% | 21.94万 | | 6.32亿 | | 000506 | 招金黄金 | 13.68 | 3.17% | 45.71万 | | 6.28亿 | | 601069 | 西部黄金 | 28.25 | 2.80% | 27.34万 | | 7.70亿 | | 600489 | 中全黄金 | 23.16 | 2.48% | 76.99万 | | 17.70亿 | | 600547 | 山东黄金 | 36.67 | 1.86% | 34.24万 | | 12.48亿 | ...

每经AI快讯，12月15日，港股黄金股盘中震荡上涨，紫金黄金国际涨超6%，赤峰黄金涨近5%，山东黄 金、灵宝黄金等涨近2%。 ...