# 春节期间美军加大集结。 【ZX航空航天】美伊冲突几成定局，关注# 航天南湖、# 国睿科技 20260223 —————— # 春节期间美军加大集结。 福特号航母战斗群已于2月20日通过直布罗陀海峡，正式进入地中海。 目前美军在伊朗附近集结了林肯号和福特号两个航母战斗群，接近20艘水面水下舰艇，可搭载约1000枚战斧导 弹；空中力量方面集结了250-300架F-15、F-16、F-22、F-35等先进战机，以及B- 【ZX航空航天】美伊冲突几成定局，关注# 航天南湖、# 国睿科技 20260223 # 美军打击迫在眉睫。 本次是美军在伊拉克战争后最大的军事力量集结，耗资巨大难以长期保持。 据央视网报道，美媒援引美国中央情报局前情报人员的话称，美国可能在2月23日或2月24日对伊朗发动军事打 击。 此外白宫确认美国总统特朗普计划于3月31日至4月2日对中国进行正式访问，有较强诉求在访华前结束冲突，美伊 冲突已经迫在眉睫。 —————— 福特号航母战斗群已于2月20日通过直布罗陀海峡，正式进入地中海。 目前美军在伊朗附近集结了林肯号和福特号两个航母战斗群，接近20艘水面水下舰艇，可搭载约1000枚战斧导 弹；空 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the defense and military industry [4] Core Insights - The focus is on increasing allocations in the large aircraft and military trade sectors, with expectations for growth in these areas due to geopolitical events and advancements in core technologies [8] - The large aircraft sector is expected to see accelerated development, particularly with the C919 aircraft, as key components are set to achieve certification and production targets [11][12] - Military trade is anticipated to benefit from heightened defense spending in the Middle East due to regional tensions, with expectations for increased market share for Chinese military exports [12] - The commercial aerospace sector is viewed positively for the first half of the year, despite recent adjustments and lower-than-expected launch activities [13] - Domestic demand in the military sector is expected to recover, with potential for exceeding current market pessimism as the "14th Five-Year Plan" progresses [14] Summary by Sections 1.1 Large Aircraft - The report highlights that the current market has low expectations for the large aircraft sector, particularly regarding the C919's delivery volumes. However, advancements in engine and onboard systems are expected to accelerate, potentially leading to a faster-than-expected development pace in the next two years [11][12] 1.2 Military Trade - The report notes that escalating tensions in the Middle East are likely to increase defense spending and military imports in the region. China's military trade share is expected to rise as countries diversify their defense procurement sources [12] 1.3 Commercial Aerospace - Despite recent adjustments in the commercial aerospace sector, the report maintains a positive outlook for investment opportunities in leading companies, particularly in satellite manufacturing and related technologies [13] 1.4 Domestic Military Demand - The report suggests that the market has been overly pessimistic regarding domestic demand recovery. It anticipates that as geopolitical uncertainties rise and the "14th Five-Year Plan" is implemented, demand in the military sector may recover faster than expected [14] 1.5 Investment Recommendations - The report recommends actively investing in core targets within the large aircraft and military trade sectors, while monitoring the commercial aerospace sector for potential catalysts. Specific companies are highlighted for investment consideration [16]

Summary of Guorui Technology Conference Call Company Overview - Guorui Technology's core business includes radar systems and subsystems, with revenue of 2.673 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 79% of total revenue, where military products contribute 75% and 82% of gross profit [2][6][7]. Financial Performance - Guorui Defense is the main profit source, with a net profit of 561 million yuan in 2024, representing 89% of total profits and an increase in net profit margin from 18.91% in 2020 to 28.12% in 2024, indicating significant improvement in profitability [2][6][9]. - Overall revenue for 2024 is projected at 3.4 billion yuan, a 36% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 630 million yuan, up 5.1% [6][20]. Business Segments - **Radar Systems and Subsystems**: Contributes 2.673 billion yuan in revenue, with military products accounting for 75% of this segment [2][7]. - **Industrial Software**: Managed by Guorui Xinwei, expected revenue of approximately 400 million yuan and net profit of 60 million yuan in 2024 [2][5]. - **Rail Transit**: Revenue projected at 800 million yuan with a net profit of 27 million yuan in 2024, but facing a contraction due to industry cycles [2][17]. Market Expansion and Orders - Expansion into Middle Eastern markets is expected to enhance product pricing and profitability due to improved customer structure [2][10]. - A significant military trade order with Electric Science International is anticipated to generate 3 billion yuan in sales in 2025, a 33% increase year-on-year [2][19]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of around 1 billion yuan by 2027, with a mid-term market value target of 50 billion yuan, indicating a potential upside of approximately 30% [3][20]. - The improvement in customer structure and global military demand is expected to drive further growth in revenue and profitability [10]. Industry Context - The radar industry in China has reached the fourth generation, with Guorui Technology benefiting from strong technical capabilities and a diverse product range, including military and civilian applications [11]. - Radar products are crucial for air defense systems, with various types of radar contributing to a multi-layered defense structure [12]. Competitive Landscape - Guorui Technology differentiates itself from competitors like Sichuan Aerospace and Four Creation Electronics by covering a broader range of military and civilian applications without direct competition [15][16]. Additional Insights - The industrial software segment is being actively developed, with partnerships with leading companies in the industry to drive growth [18]. - The rail transit business, while stable, lacks future growth potential due to the end of the capital expenditure phase in the industry [17].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The military trade market is experiencing long-term demand growth due to increased regional conflicts and geopolitical tensions, which are expected to persist over the next 5-10 years [1][4] - Current geopolitical conflicts include the India-Pakistan, Israel-Palestine, Iran, and Russia-Ukraine situations, as well as recent events in Venezuela, indicating unresolved core issues and ongoing tensions [5] Core Insights and Arguments - The absence of a "world police" due to the U.S. focusing on domestic issues under the Trump 2.0 era is leading to heightened insecurity and more regional conflicts, thus driving military trade demand [3][11] - Europe faces ongoing threats from Russia, necessitating increased military spending and autonomy [5] - In the Middle East, the failure of U.S.-Iran negotiations keeps tensions high, while countries like Japan are significantly increasing military budgets [5] - The U.S. is shifting its strategic focus towards South America, making it a new focal point for military trade [5] China's Military Trade Developments - China has made progress in international military trade orders, with potential agreements emerging from events like the Saudi Housing Exhibition [6] - Reports indicate that China has signed procurement agreements with at least six countries, including Pakistan's expected purchase of the HD-1 hypersonic missile and air defense systems [7] - Companies such as Guorui Technology and Gaode Infrared have reported significant increases in related transactions, reflecting a rise in new orders [7] Investment Opportunities - Investors are encouraged to focus on companies with clear military trade order expectations, such as Guangdong Hongda, Hongdu Aviation, Gaode Infrared, Inner Mongolia First Machinery, and AVIC Chengfei [9] - Companies involved in dual-use technologies, like Ruichuang Weina, Beihua Co., Optoelectronics Co., and Zhongrun Optics, are also highlighted for their strong performance [9] - Strategic recommendations include companies like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, Guorui Technology, Aerospace Nanhua, and AVIC Xifei, which have long-term growth potential [9] Strategic Military Trade Orders - The cycle for strategic military trade orders is lengthy, with significant performance improvements in listed companies expected over time [10] - Long-term investment strategies should consider the gradual replacement of Russian military trade by Chinese products, particularly high-end aircraft and air defense missiles [10] U.S. Military Strategy Characteristics - The Trump 2.0 era is characterized by increased military spending, reaching historical highs, and a focus on asymmetric warfare, including the establishment of a Space Force [12] - The U.S. is exhibiting a trend of strategic withdrawal, with a reduction in large-scale wars but an increase in regional conflicts [12] Middle East Dynamics - The Middle East is characterized by four power centers: Israel, Iran, Turkey, and Arab states, forming three main camps: anti-U.S., pro-U.S., and reformist [13] - Wealthy Middle Eastern countries like Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, and Algeria have significant military budgets and procurement needs, with Egypt also being a key military purchaser [14] Potential Military Trade Demand - Iran, as a central figure in the anti-U.S. camp, faces unresolved core issues with the U.S., while Turkey serves as a major hub for military equipment exports [15] - Potential new military trade demand in the Middle East is expected to focus on complete systems, while Europe will lean towards midstream needs like electronic components and materials [15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the aerospace and military industry, with specific recommendations for several companies [8][42]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the increasing uncertainty in international security, highlighting opportunities in military trade as countries ramp up defense spending. For instance, the U.S. has approved military sales worth $6.67 billion to Israel and $9 billion to Saudi Arabia, indicating a vibrant military trade market [11][12]. - The report suggests that China's military equipment demand is expected to grow, particularly in new domains and advanced weaponry, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" [13][17]. - The military trade market is anticipated to remain active, with China positioned as a key supplier capable of providing comprehensive solutions [11][12]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The aerospace and military industry is rated as "Buy" with a focus on specific companies such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, Guorui Technology, and others [8][42]. Key Companies - Recommended companies include: - AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation (600760 CH) - Guorui Technology (600562 CH) - Western Superconducting Technologies (688122 CH) - Guotai Group (603977 CH) - Ruichuang Micro-Nano (688002 CH) - Steel Research and Testing (300797 CH) - Northern Navigation (600435 CH) - Gaode Infrared (002414 CH) - Aerospace Rainbow (002389 CH) - Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing (300446 CH) [3][42]. Market Trends - The report notes a structural shift in military equipment demand, with a focus on new technologies such as unmanned systems and advanced weaponry. The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to drive significant growth in these areas [13][15][16]. - The military trade market is projected to grow, with China's market share expected to increase from 5.87% to a more competitive position as global military spending rises [17][18]. Performance Metrics - As of February 6, 2026, the Shenyuan Defense and Military Index has a PE (TTM) of 95.29, indicating a high valuation relative to historical levels [39][40].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the aerospace and defense sector [8] Core Insights - The aerospace and defense industry is expected to experience significant recovery and growth in 2025, with 30 out of 75 listed companies forecasting positive earnings growth compared to the previous year [11][12] - The report highlights structural opportunities in military equipment demand during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on new domains, unmanned systems, advanced weaponry, and low-cost equipment [14][16] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - As of January 31, 2025, 75 out of 120 listed companies in the defense sector have disclosed earnings forecasts, with 30 companies expecting positive growth, 7 expecting positive but declining growth, 17 expecting losses but reduced compared to the previous year, and 21 expecting increased losses [11][12] Key Companies to Watch - Recommended companies include: - AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation (600760 CH) - Guorui Technology (600562 CH) - Steel Research (300797 CH) - Guotai Group (603977 CH) - West Superconductor (688122 CH) - Ruichuang Micro-Nano (688002 CH) - Beifang Navigation (600435 CH) - Gaode Infrared (002414 CH) - Aerospace Intelligence (300446 CH) - Aerospace Rainbow (002389 CH) [3][8][9] Earnings Forecasts - Notable companies with significant earnings growth forecasts include: - Beimo High-Tech: 1169% growth due to product delivery and cost reduction [12] - Hailanxin: 509% growth from increased self-produced products [12] - *ST Chengchang: 452% growth driven by industry recovery [12] - Zhimin Da: 414% growth from increased demand in previously established product lines [12] - Aileda: 351% growth from increased military and civilian product demand [12] Long-term Outlook - The report emphasizes the importance of new equipment construction cycles and suggests focusing on new products and markets during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [14][16] - The military trade market is expected to grow, with China aiming to increase its market share in global military trade [17] Market Trends - The report notes a decline in the defense sector index by 7.69% over the past week, underperforming the broader market [28] - The current PE (TTM) for the defense sector is 95.23, indicating a high valuation compared to historical levels [36] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests that companies involved in unmanned systems, low-cost munitions, and military AI are likely to see significant growth opportunities [16][18] - The commercial aerospace sector is also highlighted as a growing area, with advancements in satellite internet and low-altitude economy [18][25]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the growth potential in the commercial aerospace and large aircraft sectors, highlighting the importance of the defense and military industry in these areas [2][3] Group 1: Industry Overview - The Chinese aerospace sector is set to advance with initiatives like the "Tian Gong Kai Wu" plan, focusing on space tourism, smart infrastructure, and resource development [13] - The commercial aircraft and aerospace sectors are experiencing sustained high demand, with a focus on self-reliance in aviation engine development and the establishment of a strong aviation industry [14] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report identifies three key investment themes based on the "S-curve" evolution: 1. Supply chain reform and maintenance growth, recommending companies like AVIC Power and AVIC Control [15] 2. Expansion into overseas markets and civilian applications, recommending companies such as Guorui Technology and China Power [15] 3. New emerging industries like commercial aerospace and AI, recommending companies like Ruichuang Micro-Nano and Feilihua [15] Group 3: Company Analysis - AVIC Power is positioned as a core supplier in the aviation sector, benefiting from high-end aircraft production and potential market share growth in the civil aviation engine sector [21] - AVIC Heavy Machinery is expected to see revenue growth due to its comprehensive product offerings in aviation and engine sectors, with a focus on high-value components [23] - Guorui Technology is leveraging its radar business and low-altitude safety solutions, with projected revenue growth driven by defense modernization and low-altitude economic development [20] - Feilihua is a leading supplier of quartz materials for aerospace and semiconductor industries, benefiting from ongoing demand in both sectors [19] - Ziguang Guowei is focusing on the IC industry, with significant growth expected in the AI and communication sectors, emphasizing its competitive advantages in domestic and international markets [18]

证券代码：600562 证券简称：国睿科技 公告编号：2026-001 2.本次会议的通知及会议资料在会议召开前以电子邮件或专人送达方式发给全体董事。 国睿科技股份有限公司 第十届董事会第八次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、会议召开情况 1.本次董事会会议的召开符合有关法律、行政法规、部门规章、规范性文件和公司章程的规定。 3.本次会议由董事长郭际航女士召集，于2026年1月29日召开，会议采用通讯方式进行表决。 4.本次会议应出席董事9人，实际出席董事9人。 二、会议审议情况 1.审议通过了《董事会2026年度工作计划》。 《董事会2026年度工作计划》明确了董事会2026年度工作的总体要求、工作目标和会议安排。 议案表决结果为：同意9票，反对0票，弃权0票。 2.审议通过了《关于董事会授权董事长审批权限的议案》。 同意董事会对董事长审批权限进行授权，明确董事长在决定日常经营合同的签署、资金支付审批方面的 权限。 议案表决结果为：同意9票，反对0票，弃权0票。 3.审议通过了《关于董事会授权 ...

本次日常关联交易不需要提交股东会审议。 本次预计发生的关联交易不影响公司独立性,公司的主要业务不会因此 对关联人形成依赖。 一、日常关联交易的基本情况 证券代码：600562 证券简称：国睿科技 公告编号：2026-002 国睿科技股份有限公司 关于新增日常关联交易预计的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 公司的日常关联交易是公司与控股股东中国电子科技集团公司第十四研究 所（以下简称十四所）及其控股子公司、实际控制人中国电子科技集团有限公司 （以下简称中国电科）及其下属其他企业之间发生的关联交易，包括购买商品、 接受劳务、销售商品、提供劳务及存贷款业务。 （一）本次新增日常关联交易履行的审议程序 本次新增日常关联交易预计事项于 2026 年 1 月 29 日经公司第十届董事会第 八次会议审议通过，表决结果为：同意 3 票，反对 0 票，弃权 0 票，关联董事郭 际航、黄强、谢洁、孙红兵、刘加增、和辉回避表决。本次新增日常关联交易预 计事项于 2026 年 1 月 29 日经公司独立董事专门会议 ...

证券代码：600562 证券简称：国睿科技 公告编号：2026-001 4.本次会议应出席董事 9 人，实际出席董事 9 人。 二、会议审议情况 1.审议通过了《董事会 2026 年度工作计划》。 《董事会 2026 年度工作计划》明确了董事会 2026 年度工作的总体要求、工 作目标和会议安排。 国睿科技股份有限公司 第十届董事会第八次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、会议召开情况 1.本次董事会会议的召开符合有关法律、行政法规、部门规章、规范性文件 和公司章程的规定。 2.本次会议的通知及会议资料在会议召开前以电子邮件或专人送达方式发 给全体董事。 3.本次会议由董事长郭际航女士召集，于 2026 年 1 月 29 日召开，会议采用 通讯方式进行表决。 同意董事会对总经理审批权限进行授权，明确总经理在决定日常经营合同的 签署、资金支付审批方面的权限。 议案表决结果为：同意 9 票，反对 0 票，弃权 0 票。 4.审议通过了《关于新增日常关联交易预计的议案》。 议案表决结果为：同意 3 票， ...