Core Viewpoint - The oil ETF (561360) opened down by 1.17% at 1.185 yuan, reflecting a mixed performance among its major holdings [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The oil ETF (561360) has a performance benchmark of the CSI Oil and Gas Industry Index return rate [1] - Since its establishment on October 23, 2023, the fund has achieved a return of 19.63% [1] - The fund's return over the past month is reported at 7.61% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) opened down by 0.34% [1] - China Petroleum opened down by 0.10% [1] - China Petrochemical remained unchanged at 0.00% [1] - Jereh Group opened down by 1.55% [1] - China Merchants Energy opened up by 0.33% [1] - Guanghui Energy opened down by 0.39% [1] - COSCO Shipping Energy opened up by 0.79% [1] - Hengli Petrochemical opened down by 1.15% [1] - China Merchants South Oil opened down by 0.31% [1] - CNOOC Engineering opened down by 0.53% [1]

Group 1 - The company prioritizes the implementation of the spirit of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session as a key political task, focusing on enhancing new productive forces in deep-sea operations [1] - The company has initiated various actions to ensure the effective execution of the session's spirit, including training sessions and practical applications of new productive forces [1] - The integration of digital transformation and smart marine engineering into the company's operations is emphasized, aiming to convert learning outcomes into practical efficiency improvements [1] Group 2 - The company has developed a comprehensive simulation capability for offshore operations using 3D simulation and digital twin technology, significantly improving the success rate of offshore operations [1] - The digital twin health management system based on the "Hai Ji No. 1" deepwater jacket design has been applied in multiple projects, enabling complete lifecycle integrity management of oil fields [1] - The company has led the integration of innovation across the industry chain, establishing a technology and product map for floating facilities, achieving over 70% self-control rate in key technologies [2]

Group 1: Oil and Gas Exploration - The supply of oil is expected to slow down, maintaining Brent oil prices in a neutral range of $55-70 per barrel in 2026, with OPEC+ production pace easing and non-OPEC growth significantly declining [3][9] - Global GDP growth is projected at approximately 3.1% in 2026, leading to a slowdown in oil demand growth [3][9] - Geopolitical uncertainties are increasing, with ongoing sanctions on risk oil types, although some expectations are already priced into stock valuations [3][9] Group 2: Refining Industry - The refining sector is anticipated to see a recovery in profitability due to domestic "anti-involution" policies and the gradual exit of overseas refining capacity [4] - New refining capacity additions are nearing completion, but there will still be significant pressure on the supply side in the coming years [4] - The overall refining sector is expected to have reached a bottom in terms of profitability, with substantial potential for upward elasticity in the future [4] Group 3: Polyester Industry - The polyester industry is expected to experience limited new investment, with significant recovery potential in profitability due to the end of large capital expenditures in PTA and coordinated production cuts by leading companies [5] - The production capacity growth for polyester filament is projected to maintain a rate of 2-3%, with expectations for improved downstream demand [5] - The industry is nearing the end of new capacity releases for polyester bottle chips, leading to an ideal collaborative effect among companies and gradual recovery in profitability [5] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The downstream polyester sector is tightening in supply and demand, with improvement expectations, recommending high-quality companies in polyester filament and bottle chips [6] - With oil prices expected to decline, refining companies are anticipated to see cost improvements, suggesting attention to major refining companies [6] - The upstream exploration and development sector remains highly prosperous, with offshore capital expenditures expected to remain high, recommending offshore oil service companies [6]

Core Insights - The oil service engineering sector experienced a decline of 1.87% on November 18, with PetroChina Oilfield Services leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3939.81, down 0.81%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13080.49, down 0.92% [1] Stock Performance - Zhongman Petroleum (603619) closed at 24.93, up 3.40% with a trading volume of 204,600 shares and a transaction value of 508 million yuan [1] - Potential Energy (300191) closed at 20.71, up 0.05% with a trading volume of 85,200 shares and a transaction value of 176 million yuan [1] - Other notable declines include PetroChina Oilfield Services (600871) down 4.26% and Tongyuan Petroleum (300164) down 3.73% [2] Capital Flow - The oil service engineering sector saw a net outflow of 136 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 184 million yuan [2] - Major stocks like Zhongman Petroleum and Renji Co. experienced mixed capital flows, with Zhongman Petroleum seeing a net inflow of 33.83 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of CNOOC Engineering has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.08% and a total market capitalization of 24.936 billion yuan, reflecting ongoing challenges in the oil and gas service sector [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, CNOOC Engineering reported a revenue of 17.661 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 13.54%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.605 billion yuan, down 8.01% compared to the previous year [2]. - CNOOC Engineering has distributed a total of 7.178 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.981 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for CNOOC Engineering was 78,900, a decrease of 15.77% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 18.72% to 56,047 shares [2]. - The second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 85.3675 million shares, which is a reduction of 30.1612 million shares from the previous period [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that China National Offshore Oil Engineering Co., Ltd. (CNOOC Engineering) has released a report regarding the mid-term inspection and repair of the marine oil platform 295 scheduled for 2025 [1] - CNOOC Engineering has made investments in 7 companies and participated in 28,202 bidding projects [1] - The company holds 70 trademark registrations, 3,144 patents, and 466 copyrights, along with 305 administrative licenses [1] Group 2 - The procurement party is CNOOC Engineering, and the supplier is Yantai Salvage Bureau [2] - The winning bid amount for the project is approximately 4,981,757.21 [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that international oil prices experienced slight fluctuations, with Brent crude oil prices increasing slightly while WTI prices decreased slightly as of November 14, 2025 [1][2] - In the first half of the week, China's crude oil imports increased, and the US dollar weakened, contributing to a rise in oil prices due to improved market risk appetite [1][2] - The latter part of the week saw a downward adjustment in OPEC's monthly report, indicating a supply surplus, which released bearish signals to the market [1][2] Group 2 - As of November 14, 2025, Brent crude oil futures settled at $64.39 per barrel, up $0.76 per barrel (+1.19%), while WTI crude oil futures settled at $59.39 per barrel, down $0.45 per barrel (-0.75%) [2] - The price of Russian Urals crude remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while Russian ESPO crude decreased by $1.43 per barrel (-2.51%) to $55.47 per barrel [2] Group 3 - As of November 10, 2025, the number of global offshore self-elevating drilling rigs was 370, an increase of 1 rig from the previous week, while the number of floating drilling rigs decreased by 2 to 128 [3] - As of November 7, 2025, US crude oil production was 13.862 million barrels per day, an increase of 211,000 barrels per day from the previous week [3] - The number of active drilling rigs in the US increased by 3 to 417 as of November 14, 2025 [3] Group 4 - As of November 7, 2025, US total crude oil inventories increased by 7.211 million barrels (+0.87%) to 838 million barrels [4] - The US gasoline inventory decreased by 0.946 million barrels (-0.46%), while diesel inventory decreased by 0.637 million barrels (-0.57%) [4] Group 5 - The report highlights relevant companies in the sector, including China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry [3] Core Views - Global oil inventories are expected to continue increasing until 2026, with the EIA forecasting a supply surplus of 1.84 million barrels per day for this year [5][11] - The EIA has raised its price forecasts for crude oil and natural gas for 2025 and 2026, expecting an average crude oil price of $69 per barrel in 2025 and $55 per barrel in 2026 [6][8] - Demand growth for global oil is projected at 790,000 barrels per day in 2025 and 770,000 barrels per day in 2026, with significant contributions from the US, China, and Nigeria [8][45] Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Analysis - The EIA and IEA have both adjusted their global oil supply forecasts upwards by 100,000 to 150,000 barrels per day due to OPEC's announced production increases [10][11] - The EIA expects global oil production to rise by 2.81 million barrels per day in 2025 and 1.39 million barrels per day in 2026 [10][11] - The IEA anticipates a demand increase of 310,000 barrels per day in 2025 and 250,000 barrels per day in 2026, with a total average supply reaching 108.7 million barrels per day [46][47] Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil futures closed at $64.39 per barrel, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.19%, while WTI futures rose to $60.09 per barrel, up 0.57% [20] - The number of active oil rigs in the US increased to 549, with a slight week-on-week rise [35] Refining Sector - The report indicates an improvement in refining profitability due to rising product price spreads, despite current levels being relatively low [5][13] - The Singapore refining margin increased to $24.26 per barrel, while the US gasoline-WTI spread decreased to $20.84 per barrel [5] Polyester Sector - The profitability of PTA and polyester filament yarn has improved, with PTA prices rising to 4,585.4 CNY per ton [5][13] - The report suggests a recovery in the polyester sector, with expectations for improved profitability as supply and demand dynamics shift [13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the polyester sector such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, as well as top refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Sinopec [5][13] - It also highlights the resilience of oil companies like PetroChina and CNOOC in the face of potential price declines, recommending those with high dividend yields [13]

Core Insights - The successful installation of the Weizhou 11-4 CEPD platform marks a record for the largest and heaviest offshore oil and gas platform in the Beibu Gulf region, with a height of 49.5 meters and a weight exceeding 14,000 tons [1][2] - The platform integrates drilling and oil and gas processing functions, featuring 134 key equipment sets and a 95% localization rate for core components, significantly reducing engineering investment and annual maintenance costs by over 30% [1][2] Group 1 - The Weizhou 11-4 CEPD platform is a multifunctional drilling and production platform, designed and constructed by China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), and utilizes floating installation technology due to its size exceeding domestic floating crane capabilities [1][2] - The project employs innovative design and construction techniques, including a slanted leg structure and transition section for the platform's foundation, enhancing load transfer and precise positioning during installation [2] - The platform will serve as a critical facility for the Weizhou 11-4 oil field, which is China's first independently developed oil field in the South China Sea according to international standards, contributing to the establishment of a third gathering center in the Weizhou oil field cluster [2]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of CNOOC Engineering has shown a positive trend with a 12.55% increase year-to-date and a recent rise of 5.70% over the last five trading days, indicating strong market interest and potential growth in the oil and gas engineering sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, CNOOC Engineering reported a revenue of 17.661 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 13.54%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.605 billion yuan, down 8.01% compared to the previous year [2]. - CNOOC Engineering has distributed a total of 7.178 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.981 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Shareholder and Market Activity - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for CNOOC Engineering was 78,900, a decrease of 15.77% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 18.72% to 56,047 shares [2]. - The stock's trading activity showed a net inflow of 11.4679 million yuan from main funds, with significant buying from large orders, indicating strong institutional interest [1]. Business Overview - CNOOC Engineering, established on April 20, 2000, and listed on February 5, 2002, specializes in providing engineering and technical services for the development of offshore oil and gas resources. Its revenue composition includes 75.39% from offshore engineering general contracting projects, 16.24% from non-general contracting projects, and 7.99% from non-offshore projects [1].