Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that international oil prices experienced fluctuations due to geopolitical factors, particularly the ongoing situation in Ukraine. As of November 28, 2025, Brent and WTI oil prices were reported at $62.38 and $58.55 per barrel, respectively [2][9] - The report indicates an increase in U.S. crude oil and refined product inventories, which negatively impacted the market. However, a reduction in the number of active oil rigs in the U.S. and skepticism regarding the peace negotiations in Ukraine contributed to price volatility [2][9] - The report notes that the oil and petrochemical sector underperformed compared to the broader market, with a decline of 0.73% in the sector as of November 28, 2025 [10] Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - As of November 28, 2025, Brent crude futures settled at $62.38 per barrel, down $0.18 (-0.29%) from the previous week, while WTI crude futures increased by $0.49 (+0.84%) to $58.55 per barrel [24] - The report also mentions the Urals crude price remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while ESPO crude fell by $0.84 (-1.56%) to $53.16 per barrel [24] Offshore Drilling Services - The number of global offshore self-elevating drilling platforms was reported at 366, with a net increase of 1 platform. The floating drilling platform count rose to 129, with an increase of 2 platforms [27] U.S. Crude Oil Supply - U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.814 million barrels per day, a decrease of 20,000 barrels from the previous week. The number of active drilling rigs fell to 407, down by 12 rigs [38] U.S. Crude Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude processing averaged 16.443 million barrels per day, an increase of 211,000 barrels from the previous week, with a refinery utilization rate of 92.30%, up 2.3 percentage points [45] U.S. Crude Oil Inventory - Total U.S. crude oil inventories reached 838 million barrels, an increase of 3.272 million barrels (+0.39%) from the previous week. Strategic reserves were at 411 million barrels, up 498,000 barrels (+0.12%) [54] Refined Oil Products - In the North American market, average prices for diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel were reported at $99.57, $79.04, and $89.17 per barrel, respectively, with corresponding price differentials to crude oil [77]

Market Overview - The oil service engineering sector increased by 0.47% on November 28, with Beiken Energy leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3888.6, up 0.34%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12984.08, up 0.85% [1] Stock Performance - Beiken Energy (002828) closed at 12.21, up 5.35% with a trading volume of 395,000 shares and a turnover of 477 million yuan [1] - Huibo Yin (002554) closed at 3.66, up 5.17% with a trading volume of 454,800 shares and a turnover of 164 million yuan [1] - Zhun Oil Co. (002207) closed at 8.33, up 4.52% with a trading volume of 294,100 shares and a turnover of 242 million yuan [1] - Tongyuan Petroleum (300164) closed at 5.80, up 4.13% with a trading volume of 713,900 shares and a turnover of 410 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include Keli Co. (920088) and Qian Neng Heng Xin (300191), with increases of 2.20% and 1.86% respectively [1] Capital Flow - The oil service engineering sector saw a net inflow of 91.91 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 74.93 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors showing confidence while retail investors withdrew funds [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Tongyuan Petroleum (300164) had a net outflow of 32.24 million yuan from institutional investors, indicating a lack of confidence [3] - Zhun Oil Co. (002207) experienced a net inflow of 17.01 million yuan from institutional investors, suggesting positive sentiment [3] - Beiken Energy (002828) saw a net inflow of 12.63 million yuan from institutional investors, reflecting strong interest [3]

Core Insights - The underwater pipeline steel industry is crucial for deep-sea oil and gas resource development, with increasing demand driven by the expansion of offshore oil fields into deeper waters [1][10] - The demand for underwater pipeline steel in China is projected to reach 700,000 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.69%, and is expected to grow to 750,000 tons in 2025, with a 7.14% increase [1][10] - The market size of the underwater pipeline steel industry in China is anticipated to reach 5.5 billion yuan in 2024, up 10% year-on-year, and 6 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 9.09% increase [8] Industry Overview - Underwater pipeline steel is a high-performance steel material used for manufacturing underwater oil and gas transportation pipelines, characterized by high strength, toughness, corrosion resistance, and fatigue resistance [3][4] - The industry has evolved through four stages: reliance on imports, breakthrough in domestic production, full industry chain autonomy, and high-end development [4] Industry Chain - The upstream of the underwater pipeline steel industry includes core raw materials like iron ore, coal, and coke, which directly affect cost control [6] - The midstream is responsible for processing raw materials into various pipeline steel products that meet stringent environmental requirements [6] - The downstream application is primarily focused on major marine engineering projects, mainly in oil and gas development [6] Market Dynamics - The underwater pipeline steel market is dominated by large enterprises such as Baosteel, Hebei Steel, and Ansteel, which possess significant resources and technological advantages [10][11] - Smaller enterprises often focus on niche markets or customized services due to limitations in research and development capabilities [10] Development Trends - The underwater pipeline steel market is expected to continue growing due to increasing global energy demand and marine resource development [13] - Technological innovation will be a key driver, with a focus on new materials and processes to enhance product performance and quality [13] - Environmental sustainability will become increasingly important, with a shift towards eco-friendly production methods and materials [13]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯海油工程11月25日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，前三季度公司高质量发展态势进一 步稳定，收入规模逐年提升，盈利情况良好。2025年前三季度海外订单实现历史性突破，在手订单达 595亿元，为战略目标奠定基础；因敏感区域项目证照办理影响，前三季度收入略有推迟，三季度起工 作量进入追赶状态，坚定年初目标不动摇。四季度因项目进入交付周期，工作量及收入预计较前三季度 单季度平均水平有较大增长。中长期围绕2035年实现600亿元收入的战略目标，需完成300亿元到600亿 元的跨越，年均复合增长率约7%；2023年已提前实现300亿元收入目标（向上波动），2025年盈利质量 较好，但收入目标较年初计划需小幅向下修正，整体发展态势稳健。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - International oil prices have declined due to geopolitical factors, with Brent and WTI prices at $62.56 and $58.06 per barrel respectively as of November 21, 2025 [9][22] - The oil and petrochemical sector has seen a decrease of 2.99% in the past week, while the broader market (CSI 300) fell by 3.77% [10][12] - The report highlights a potential restart of peace talks between the US and Russia regarding the Ukraine conflict, which may impact oil prices [9] Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - Brent crude futures settled at $62.56 per barrel, down $1.83 (-2.84%) from the previous week, while WTI crude futures fell to $58.06, down $2.03 (-3.38%) [22] - The report notes that geopolitical tensions, including US sanctions on Russian oil, have influenced market dynamics [9] Offshore Drilling Services - As of November 17, 2025, the number of global offshore self-elevating drilling rigs was 365, a decrease of 5 from the previous week [25] Oil Supply - US crude oil production was reported at 13.834 million barrels per day as of November 14, 2025, a decrease of 28,000 barrels from the previous week [36] - The number of active drilling rigs in the US increased by 2 to 419 as of November 21, 2025 [36] Oil Demand - US refinery crude processing increased to 16.232 million barrels per day as of November 14, 2025, up by 259,000 barrels from the previous week [46] Oil Inventory - As of November 14, 2025, total US crude oil inventory was 835 million barrels, a decrease of 2.893 million barrels (-0.35%) [56] - Strategic oil inventory increased by 533,000 barrels (+0.13%) to 411 million barrels [56] Refined Oil Prices - In North America, average prices for diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel were $107.63, $81.99, and $98.74 per barrel respectively as of November 21, 2025 [78]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for the petrochemical sector, highlighting specific companies for investment opportunities [10]. Core Insights - The IEA projects that under the Current Policies Scenario (CPS), global oil demand will steadily increase, reaching 105 million barrels per day by 2035 and 113 million barrels per day by 2050, with an average annual growth of approximately 500,000 barrels per day [3][4]. - In the Established Policies Scenario (STEPS), oil demand is expected to peak around 2030, with a decline anticipated thereafter, primarily driven by the rapid growth of electric vehicles in China [6][10]. - Emerging markets, particularly India, Southeast Asia, and Africa, are expected to account for nearly all oil demand growth, while developed economies will see a decline in consumption [4][6]. Summary by Sections Oil Demand Projections - Under CPS, oil demand is projected to rise to 105 million barrels per day by 2035, with significant contributions from petrochemical, aviation, and industrial sectors [3][4]. - In STEPS, oil demand is expected to peak around 2030, with a subsequent decline influenced by the rise of electric vehicles, particularly in China [6]. Regional Demand Insights - India is projected to lead global oil demand growth, increasing from 5.5 million barrels per day in 2024 to 8 million barrels per day by 2035 [4]. - Africa's oil demand is expected to grow by one-third to approximately 6 million barrels per day by 2035, driven by road transport needs [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in high-quality companies in the polyester sector, such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, due to tightening supply and improving market conditions [10]. - It also suggests focusing on major refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical, which are expected to benefit from improved cost structures and competitive advantages [10]. Price Trends and Market Conditions - As of November 21, Brent crude oil prices were reported at $62.56 per barrel, reflecting a decrease of 2.84% from the previous week [15]. - The report notes that the overall oil price is expected to maintain a neutral level through 2026, with limited downside potential [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the oil and petrochemical industry, indicating a favorable investment environment [2][3]. Core Insights - The IEA projects that under the Current Policies Scenario (CPS), oil demand will steadily increase, reaching 105 million barrels per day by 2035 and 113 million barrels per day by 2050, with an average annual growth of approximately 500,000 barrels per day [2][3]. - In the Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS), oil demand is expected to peak around 2030, with a forecasted decline to 100 million barrels per day by 2035, averaging a decrease of about 200,000 barrels per day from 2035 to 2050 [2][7]. - The report highlights that the growth in oil demand will primarily occur in emerging markets and developing economies, with India leading the demand increase, projected to rise from 5.5 million barrels per day in 2024 to 8 million barrels per day by 2035 [4][7]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - As of November 21, Brent crude oil futures closed at $62.56 per barrel, a decrease of 2.84% from the previous week, while WTI futures fell by 3.38% to $58.06 per barrel [16]. - The report notes a trend of widening supply-demand dynamics in crude oil, with expectations of downward pressure on prices, although OPEC production cuts and shale oil cost support are likely to maintain prices at moderate to high levels [2][16]. Refining Sector - The report indicates that the Singapore refining margin for major products increased to $26.66 per barrel, up by $2.44 from the previous week [53]. - The domestic refining product price differentials have improved, suggesting a potential for enhanced profitability as economic recovery progresses [50][53]. Polyester Sector - The report observes a tightening supply-demand balance in the downstream polyester sector, with expectations for improved market conditions, particularly for high-quality companies in the polyester filament sector [11]. - The PTA price has shown an upward trend, with the average price in East China reaching 4626.8 yuan per ton, reflecting a 0.90% increase [11]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality companies in the polyester filament sector, such as Tongkun Co., and bottle-grade companies like Wankai New Materials [11]. - It also suggests monitoring large refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical due to expected improvements in cost structures and competitive advantages [11]. - For upstream exploration and development, companies like CNOOC and Haiyou Engineering are highlighted as having strong growth prospects [11].

Core Viewpoint - The oil ETF (561360) opened down by 1.17% at 1.185 yuan, reflecting a mixed performance among its major holdings [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The oil ETF (561360) has a performance benchmark of the CSI Oil and Gas Industry Index return rate [1] - Since its establishment on October 23, 2023, the fund has achieved a return of 19.63% [1] - The fund's return over the past month is reported at 7.61% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) opened down by 0.34% [1] - China Petroleum opened down by 0.10% [1] - China Petrochemical remained unchanged at 0.00% [1] - Jereh Group opened down by 1.55% [1] - China Merchants Energy opened up by 0.33% [1] - Guanghui Energy opened down by 0.39% [1] - COSCO Shipping Energy opened up by 0.79% [1] - Hengli Petrochemical opened down by 1.15% [1] - China Merchants South Oil opened down by 0.31% [1] - CNOOC Engineering opened down by 0.53% [1]

Group 1 - The company prioritizes the implementation of the spirit of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session as a key political task, focusing on enhancing new productive forces in deep-sea operations [1] - The company has initiated various actions to ensure the effective execution of the session's spirit, including training sessions and practical applications of new productive forces [1] - The integration of digital transformation and smart marine engineering into the company's operations is emphasized, aiming to convert learning outcomes into practical efficiency improvements [1] Group 2 - The company has developed a comprehensive simulation capability for offshore operations using 3D simulation and digital twin technology, significantly improving the success rate of offshore operations [1] - The digital twin health management system based on the "Hai Ji No. 1" deepwater jacket design has been applied in multiple projects, enabling complete lifecycle integrity management of oil fields [1] - The company has led the integration of innovation across the industry chain, establishing a technology and product map for floating facilities, achieving over 70% self-control rate in key technologies [2]

Group 1: Oil and Gas Exploration - The supply of oil is expected to slow down, maintaining Brent oil prices in a neutral range of $55-70 per barrel in 2026, with OPEC+ production pace easing and non-OPEC growth significantly declining [3][9] - Global GDP growth is projected at approximately 3.1% in 2026, leading to a slowdown in oil demand growth [3][9] - Geopolitical uncertainties are increasing, with ongoing sanctions on risk oil types, although some expectations are already priced into stock valuations [3][9] Group 2: Refining Industry - The refining sector is anticipated to see a recovery in profitability due to domestic "anti-involution" policies and the gradual exit of overseas refining capacity [4] - New refining capacity additions are nearing completion, but there will still be significant pressure on the supply side in the coming years [4] - The overall refining sector is expected to have reached a bottom in terms of profitability, with substantial potential for upward elasticity in the future [4] Group 3: Polyester Industry - The polyester industry is expected to experience limited new investment, with significant recovery potential in profitability due to the end of large capital expenditures in PTA and coordinated production cuts by leading companies [5] - The production capacity growth for polyester filament is projected to maintain a rate of 2-3%, with expectations for improved downstream demand [5] - The industry is nearing the end of new capacity releases for polyester bottle chips, leading to an ideal collaborative effect among companies and gradual recovery in profitability [5] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The downstream polyester sector is tightening in supply and demand, with improvement expectations, recommending high-quality companies in polyester filament and bottle chips [6] - With oil prices expected to decline, refining companies are anticipated to see cost improvements, suggesting attention to major refining companies [6] - The upstream exploration and development sector remains highly prosperous, with offshore capital expenditures expected to remain high, recommending offshore oil service companies [6]