Market Overview - The cement sector increased by 0.61% on November 26, with Hainan Ruize leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3864.18, down 0.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12907.83, up 1.02% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Hainan Ruize (002596) saw a significant rise of 10.04%, closing at 5.92 with a trading volume of 1.1212 million shares and a transaction value of 657.1 million [1] - Other notable gainers included Huaxin Cement (600801) with a 4.05% increase, closing at 23.10, and Qingsong Jianhua (600425) with a 1.82% increase, closing at 4.47 [1] - Conversely, Guotong Co. (002205) experienced a decline of 5.31%, closing at 16.04, while Fujian Cement (600802) fell by 4.06%, closing at 6.86 [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The cement sector saw a net inflow of 158 million in main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 64.3 million [2] - Hainan Ruize attracted a net inflow of 115 million from main funds, but had a net outflow of 76.1 million from speculative funds [3] - Other companies like Conch Cement (600585) and Huaxin Cement (600801) also showed mixed capital flows, with Conch Cement having a net inflow of 61.6 million from main funds [3]

Core Insights - Shanghai Conch Jianye New Materials Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 30 million yuan [1] - The company's business scope includes domestic trade agency, loading and unloading, and electric vehicle charging infrastructure operation [1] - Conch Cement (600585) holds indirect full ownership of the new company [1]

Group 1 - Shanghai Hailuo Jianye New Materials Co., Ltd. was recently established with a registered capital of 30 million RMB [1] - The legal representative of the company is Wang Jian, and it is co-owned by Conch Cement (600585) and its subsidiary, Shanghai Conch Cement Sales Co., Ltd. [1] - The company's business scope includes the sale of building materials, construction decoration materials, cement products, asbestos products, and lightweight building materials [1] Group 2 - The company is classified under the non-metallic mineral products industry [2] - The registration date of the company is November 25, 2025, and it is registered in Jiading District, Shanghai [2] - The company operates without a fixed business term, indicating a long-term operational strategy [2]

Core Insights - Shanghai Conch Jianye New Materials Co., Ltd. was established on November 25, with a registered capital of 30 million RMB [1] - The company is involved in the sales of various construction materials, including building materials, decorative materials, cement products, and lightweight building materials [1] - The shareholders of the new company include Conch Cement (600585) and its subsidiary Shanghai Conch Cement Sales Co., Ltd. [1]

Group 1 - The cement sector experienced a 0.52% increase on November 25, with Hainan Ruize leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3870.02, up 0.87%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12777.31, up 1.53% [1] - Notable performers in the cement sector included Hainan Ruize, which rose by 10.02% to a closing price of 5.38, and Fujian Cement, which increased by 10.00% to 7.15 [1] Group 2 - The cement sector saw a net inflow of 173 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 125 million yuan [2] - The top net inflows from institutional investors were led by Hainan Ruize with 73.43 million yuan, followed by Fujian Cement with 47.87 million yuan [3] - Conversely, retail investors showed significant outflows, particularly in Hainan Ruize and Fujian Cement, with outflows of 20.46 million yuan and 19.31 million yuan, respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3][4] Core Viewpoints - The upcoming Central Economic Work Conference is expected to strengthen real estate policy expectations, enhancing the cost-performance ratio of the industrial chain. The recent pullback in the technology sector coincides with increased expectations for real estate policies, leading to a rise in the cost-performance ratio of the industrial chain. The cement sector is anticipated to benefit not only from demand-side logic but also from a reduction in overcapacity, with clinker capacity potentially decreasing to 1.6 billion tons, resulting in a capacity utilization rate of approximately 75% [4][5] - The report emphasizes the importance of low-valuation stocks and the advantages of chip structure, recommending Global New Materials International (H-share) as a key investment opportunity. The pearlescent pigment industry is highlighted for its high growth potential and low price sensitivity, making it a rare "strong consumer attribute" sector [4][5] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Tracking - The construction materials index (Shenwan) decreased by 5.7%, with sub-sectors such as cement, glass fiber, and renovation materials indices falling by 5.6%, 8.6%, and 4.1% respectively. Notable stock performances include Jin Yuan Co. (+13.5%) and Fujian Cement (-21.5%) [8] 2. Data Tracking 2.1 Cement - The average price of 42.5 cement nationwide is 350.8 RMB/ton, down 1.5 RMB/ton month-on-month and down 77.7 RMB/ton year-on-year. The national cement inventory ratio is 69.2%, with a shipment rate of 46.1% [15][15][15] 2.2 Float Glass - The average price of 5mm float glass is 1195.4 RMB/ton, down 42.1 RMB/ton month-on-month and down 387.2 RMB/ton year-on-year. The total inventory of key production enterprises in 13 provinces is 5,962 million heavy boxes, down 0.9% month-on-month and up 44.0% year-on-year [33][33] 2.3 Photovoltaic Glass - The average price for 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass is 13.0 RMB/sqm, unchanged month-on-month and up 1.4 RMB/sqm year-on-year. The total number of production lines for photovoltaic glass is 406, with a daily melting capacity of 88,590 tons [38][39] 2.4 Glass Fiber - The average price of alkali-free glass fiber yarn is 4565.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month and down 20.0 RMB/ton year-on-year. The average price of electronic yarn is 9250.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month and up 250.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [44][44] 2.5 Carbon Fiber - The average price of large tow carbon fiber is 72.5 RMB/kg, unchanged month-on-month, while small tow carbon fiber is priced at 95.0 RMB/kg, unchanged month-on-month and down 2.5 RMB/kg year-on-year. The average operating rate of carbon fiber enterprises is 63.02%, unchanged month-on-month and up 11.42 percentage points year-on-year [48][48]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview: Real Estate Market - The real estate market continues to face pressure, with cumulative sales and amounts from January to October down 7% and 10% year-on-year respectively [1][2] - New construction and land acquisition areas have dropped approximately 70% from peak levels, with housing prices down over 35% [1][2] - The market is in a rapid bottom-seeking phase, particularly in core cities where price adjustments have significant impacts on residents' asset values [1][3] Core Insights and Arguments - Core city housing prices are unlikely to continue their rapid decline; the current situation is seen as an emotional clearance phase [3] - Policy measures are expected to increase in response to weakening housing prices, including potential new personal housing loan interest subsidies and adjustments to transaction taxes [1][3] - The building materials industry should focus on supportive policies, with leading companies likely to recover before the industry as a whole [1][5] Company-Specific Insights Sanhe Tree (三棵树) - Achieved relatively good performance in 2025, but its growth structure has not reached optimal status, relying on two beta strategies and one alpha strategy [6] - The "immediate residence" business and the art paint market are key growth drivers, but the rural revitalization project has not fully realized its potential [6] Rabbit Baby (兔宝宝) - Performed well in 2025, driven by strategic changes and industry trends, particularly through particle board business expansion [7] - Future performance may depend on the stability of the real estate market [7] Challenges in the Building Materials Sector - The consumer building materials industry faces challenges from fluctuations in the real estate market, which is a significant demand driver [8] - A potential second downturn in the real estate market could have a disruptive impact on company performance [8] Investment Recommendations - Focus on leading companies in the consumer building materials sector, such as Sanhe Tree, Rabbit Baby, and others, which have advantages in market concentration [10] - In the construction industry, state-owned enterprises and companies related to the real estate chain, such as China State Construction, are expected to benefit from real estate stimulus policies [11] Future Outlook - The building materials sector is anticipated to see a positive shift as supportive policies are implemented, potentially leading to a market recovery [5] - The overall market environment remains challenging, but leading companies are expected to outperform the industry average [1][4] Additional Considerations - The investment strategy for the home appliance industry should adjust to include companies related to the real estate chain, as demand for kitchen appliances is significantly driven by new housing completions [15][16] - Opportunities exist in sectors like smart projectors and robotic vacuums, where market consolidation may benefit leading companies [17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on overseas growth and technology sectors, emphasizing the importance of identifying companies capable of navigating overseas cycles and accelerating domestic technology development [2][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights the impact of changes in the US interest rate stance on market sentiment, particularly affecting high-valuation sectors linked to overseas economies. It underscores the significance of finding resilient companies in overseas markets and the opportunity for domestic technology supply chain development [2][12]. - The report expresses optimism for the overseas and AI new materials sectors, citing the recent listing of "Le Shushi," a leading fast-moving consumer goods company in East and West Africa, as a notable addition to the overseas sector [2][12]. - In the traditional building materials and construction sectors, the focus has shifted to low-valuation or less-followed segments, with dividend policies becoming a key consideration. Companies are adapting to industry challenges by reducing capital expenditures and increasing dividends [3][13]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Performance - The building materials index decreased by 6.46% during the week, with specific declines in glass manufacturing (-9.93%), fiberglass (-11.18%), and cement manufacturing (-6.06%) [17]. Price Changes in Building Materials - National cement prices slightly decreased by 0.4% week-on-week, with regional variations in price movements. Southern regions showed a slight increase in demand, while northern regions faced a decline due to weather conditions [26]. - The average price of float glass was reported at 1168.37 RMB/ton, reflecting a decrease of 2.26% week-on-week, with inventory levels increasing [38][52]. Sector Analysis - In the cement sector, the average price was 351 RMB/ton, down 78 RMB/ton year-on-year, with an average shipment rate of 45.7% [14]. - The fiberglass market showed stability in pricing, with the average price for 2400tex direct yarn at 3531.75 RMB/ton, a slight increase of 0.2% week-on-week [57]. - The report notes that the demand for construction materials remains weak, particularly in the completion phase, while retail segments show stable growth [16].

Market Overview - The cement sector experienced a decline of 2.3% on November 21, with Sichuan Jinding leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3834.89, down 2.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12538.07, down 3.41% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Notable stock performances include: - Hainan Ruize (002596) increased by 5.92% to a closing price of 5.19 [1] - Sichuan Jinding (600678) decreased by 6.90% to a closing price of 9.58, with a trading volume of 427,700 shares and a turnover of 420 million yuan [2] - Fujian Cement (600802) fell by 6.80% to 6.44, with a trading volume of 400,400 shares and a turnover of 268 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The cement sector saw a net outflow of 312 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 319 million yuan [2] - Specific stock capital flows indicate: - Western Construction (002302) had a net inflow of 24.90 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed 8.14 million yuan [3] - Sichuan Jinding (600678) experienced a significant net outflow of 54.21 million yuan from main funds [3]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley anticipates that Conch Cement's stock price will experience an absolute increase within the next 15 trading days, with a probability of occurrence estimated at 70% to 80%, indicating a high likelihood [1] - The company has been given an "Overweight" rating, with a target price for A-shares set at 29.5 yuan [1]