Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Views - The new housing market is showing signs of recovery, with a notable increase in new home transactions in major cities, indicating a potential boost in demand for construction materials [2][20] - The cement market is experiencing a slight price decline, but demand is expected to improve as weather conditions stabilize and construction activities pick up [3][23] - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic consumption and infrastructure investment, particularly in light of the "equal tariff" environment, which is expected to strengthen domestic demand [7][9] Summary by Sections Housing Market - In the 18th week of the year, new home transaction area in 30 major cities reached 165.19 million square meters, up 21% year-on-year and 6.19% month-on-month [2][20] - The total transaction area for new homes in these cities is 29.32 million square meters, showing no year-on-year change [2][20] - Second-hand home transactions in 15 monitored cities increased by 56% year-on-year but saw a significant month-on-month decline [21] Cement Market - The national average cement price is 390.83 yuan per ton, down 0.8% from the previous week, with price increases mainly in Liaoning and Jilin [3][23] - The cement market is expected to stabilize as demand improves and companies engage in peak-shifting production practices [23] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - **Oriental Yuhong**, **Weixing New Materials**, and **Tubaobao** for their strong operational resilience and high dividends [7] - **China Construction** and **China Communications Construction** as beneficiaries of increased infrastructure investment [7] - **Jinchengxin** for its strong performance in copper resource development [7] - **Heilongjiang Hongda** and **Xuefeng Technology** in the civil explosives sector due to high demand [7] Industry Trends - The report highlights the ongoing trend of domestic substitution in various sectors, particularly in ship coatings and industrial coatings, with companies like **Maijia Xincai** and **Songjing Coatings** positioned to benefit [7] - The "Belt and Road" initiative is expected to gain momentum, benefiting international engineering companies such as **China Construction** and **China Metallurgical** [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Conch Cement [2][11]. Core Views - The cement industry is experiencing continued weakness, but Conch Cement is leveraging both organic growth and overseas expansion to create new opportunities [5][11]. - In 2024, Conch Cement's revenue is projected to be CNY 91.03 billion, a year-on-year decline of 35.44%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 7.70 billion, down 26.21% [3][12]. - The company has seen a recovery in profit margins due to price increases since the third quarter of 2024, despite a decline in sales volume [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Conch Cement's self-produced cement sales volume was 268 million tons, a decrease of 5.96% year-on-year [3]. - The average selling price of cement in 2024 was CNY 214.17 per ton, down 21.68% year-on-year [3]. - The company's comprehensive gross margin for Q1 2025 was 22.88%, an increase of 5.13 percentage points year-on-year, which helped offset the impact of declining sales volume [4]. Market Position - Conch Cement has maintained a market share increase despite a 9.50% decline in national cement production in 2024, showcasing its scale cost advantages [4]. - The company is actively pursuing regional capacity consolidation and overseas expansion, with new production lines in Uzbekistan and Cambodia [5]. Profit Forecast - The forecasted net profits for Conch Cement from 2025 to 2027 are CNY 9.36 billion, CNY 10.40 billion, and CNY 11.64 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of CNY 1.77, CNY 1.96, and CNY 2.20 [5][12].

公 司 研 究 海螺水泥（600585.SH）：行业持续 低迷，内生外延和海外拓展新空间 2025 年 5 月 3 日 强烈推荐/维持 海螺水泥 公司报告 海螺水泥 2024 年实现营业收入 910.30 亿元，同比下降 35.44%；归属于母公 司所有者的净利润为 76.96 亿元，同比下降 26.21%，扣非后归母净利润为 73.65 亿元，同比下降 26.10%，实现 EPS 为 1.46 元。2025 年一季度营业收 入和归母净利润分别为 190.51 亿元和 18.10 亿元，分别同比下降 10.67%和增 长 20.51%。 点评： 行业需求低迷下销量下降影响营业收入，价格三季度以来回升带动利润增长转 正。公司 2024 年和 2025 年一季度营业收入均同比下降，共同原因主要是行 业需求低迷，导致销量出现同比下降。2024 年公司自产水泥销量为 2.68 亿吨， 同比下降 5.96%；2025 年一季度在企业错峰生产的影响下公司销量同比下降。 而 2024 年营业收入的大幅下降主要是价格大幅下降所致，2024 年海螺水泥销 售价格为 214.17 元/吨，同比下降 21.68%。2025 年一季 ...

Industry Overview - Cement is a powdery hydraulic inorganic binder material that hardens in air or water when mixed with water, binding materials like sand and stone together [1] - The cement industry consists of three stages: upstream raw material supply, midstream cement production, and downstream application in construction and infrastructure [2][5] - The midstream is the core of cement manufacturing, involving the processing of raw materials into clinker and then into cement [3] Industry Development History - The cement industry in China has evolved through several stages closely linked to national economic development, policy adjustments, and market demand changes [7] - Key stages include: 1. Initial exploration (1978-1984) 2. Transition from planned to market economy (1985-1995) 3. Elimination and upgrading (1996-2000) 4. Rapid development (2001-2010) 5. Supply-demand balance adjustment (2011-2021) 6. Seeking industrial upgrade breakthroughs (2022-present) [9] Industry Policy Background - Recent policies aim to address overcapacity and promote orderly development through measures like banning new capacity, eliminating outdated capacity, and promoting peak production [10] Current Industry Status - The cement industry in China has seen fluctuating revenue, with a peak of 1.01 trillion yuan in 2019, followed by a decline to 888.51 billion yuan in 2022 due to the pandemic [11] - Cement production has also declined, dropping to 21.18 billion tons in 2022 and projected to fall to 18.25 billion tons in 2024 [12] - Apparent cement consumption has decreased for three consecutive years, with a forecast of 18.2 billion tons in 2024, the lowest in a decade [15] - The downstream application structure shows that infrastructure construction accounts for the largest share of cement demand at 63%, followed by real estate at 22% and civil use at 15% [17] Competitive Landscape - The cement industry is characterized by regional concentration, with significant numbers of enterprises in central provinces like Hebei, Henan, and Hubei [19] - The overall concentration in the cement sector is low, with China National Building Material (CNBM) leading in production capacity at 518 million tons, followed by Anhui Conch at 395 million tons [20] Future Development Outlook - The cement industry faces a shrinking market due to weakened downstream demand linked to the real estate market and slowing infrastructure investment [24] - Future trends include capacity replacement and the adoption of smart technologies, with a focus on green mining practices [26]

海螺水泥(600585.SH) 业绩如期改善，在手现金充足 公 司 报 告 建材 2025年04月30日 推荐 ( 维持) 股价:24.43元 主要数据 | 行业 | 建材 | | --- | --- | | 公司网址 | www.conch.cn | | 大股东/持股 | 安徽海螺集团有限责任公司/36.40% | | 实际控制人 | 安徽省国有资产监督管理委员会 | | 总股本(百万股) | 5,299 | | 流通A股(百万股) | 4,000 | | 流通B/H股(百万股) | 1,300 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,239 | | 流通A股市值(亿元) | 977 | | 每股净资产(元) | 35.89 | | 资产负债率(%) | 20.5 | 行情走势图 相关研究报告 【平安证券】海螺水泥（600585.SH）*事项点评*Q1 业绩延续改善，水泥防御价值凸显*推荐20250409 证券分析师 郑南宏 投资咨询资格编号 S1060521120001 ZHENGNANHONG873@pingan.com.cn 事项： 海螺水泥公布2025年一季报，期内实现营收190.5亿元，同比下滑10.7% ...

投资要点 公司公布2025 年一季度报。2025Q1，公司实现收入190.51 亿元，同比-10.67%，归母净利润18.10 亿 元，同比+20.51%。符合公司此前业绩预测。 2025Q1 水泥产量降幅收窄，供需矛盾有望缓解。2025 年1-3 月全国水泥产量共计3.31 亿吨，累计同 比-1.4%，2024Q3 以来水泥降幅逐渐收窄，体现基建实物量逐步释放，水泥供需矛盾有望缓解。 水泥涨价带动毛利率大幅提升。2025Q1 公司毛利率29.67%，同比+8.09pct 。公司销售/ 管理/ 研发/ 财务 费用率分别为3.95%/7.27%/0.92%/-0.92%，同比+0.58/+0.96/+0.05/+0.27pct，期间费用率提升1.86pct 至 11.22%。公司减值计提基本持平，最终录得2025Q1 公司净利率9.32%，同比+2.34pct。公司盈利能力大 幅提升，我们判断主要受益于水泥涨价，以及公司成本下降、销量上升。 经营性现金流净额高增，回款改善。2025Q1 公司收付比为110.79%，同比-6.77pct。公司经营性现金流 净额为5.03 亿元，同比多流入3.43亿元，yoy+21 ...

Core Viewpoint - In a challenging environment for the traditional building materials industry, Conch Cement (600585.SH) reported a "volume reduction and profit increase" for Q1 2025, achieving total revenue of 19.051 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.67%, while net profit reached 1.810 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.51% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, Conch Cement's total operating revenue was 19.051 billion yuan, down 10.67% year-on-year, but total profit reached 2.315 billion yuan, up 20.85% year-on-year [1] - In contrast, the 2024 annual report showed a total revenue of 91.030 billion yuan, a decrease of 35.51% year-on-year, and a net profit of 7.696 billion yuan, down 26.19% year-on-year [1] - The increase in net profit for Q1 2025 may be attributed to changes in the revenue structure of main and other businesses, although further confirmation with specific marketing data is needed [1] Group 2: Market Strategy and Operations - Conch Cement plans to enhance market analysis, reduce costs, and deepen industry chain operations, transitioning from single product sales to providing product solutions, thereby forming new competitive advantages [2] - The integrated sales model of "cement + aggregates + commercial concrete" has shown initial success, with revenue from aggregates and manufactured sand reaching 4.691 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.4%, and a gross margin of 46.91%, significantly surpassing traditional cement business [2] Group 3: Stock Market Performance - Conch Cement's stock price peaked at 51.53 yuan per share in 2020 but has since entered a downward trend due to changes in industry conditions, closing at 24.43 yuan per share on April 29, with a slight decline of 0.45% [2]

Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for Q1 2025 was CNY 19,051,478,805, a decrease of 10.67% compared to CNY 21,327,718,918 in the same period last year[4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 20.51% to CNY 1,810,438,616, up from CNY 1,502,318,719 year-on-year[4] - Basic and diluted earnings per share rose by 20.54% to CNY 0.34, compared to CNY 0.28 in the same period last year[4] - Operating profit for Q1 2025 increased to CNY 2,164,694,613, compared to CNY 1,708,154,090 in Q1 2024, reflecting a growth of 26.67%[18] - The total profit for the first quarter of 2025 was CNY 2,315,048,871, compared to CNY 1,915,691,973 in the same period of 2024, representing an increase of approximately 20.9%[19] - The company's net profit margin improved to 11.36% in Q1 2025 from 8.01% in Q1 2024[18] - The total comprehensive income for the first quarter was CNY 2,059,522,784, compared to CNY 1,385,793,521 in the same period last year, reflecting an increase of approximately 48.7%[19] Cash Flow and Investments - The net cash flow from operating activities surged by 214.92% to CNY 502,573,548, compared to CNY 159,585,210 in the previous year[4] - Cash inflow from investment activities totaled CNY 7,934,349,457, compared to CNY 5,713,568,285 in the previous year, marking an increase of approximately 38.9%[23] - The net cash flow from investment activities was negative at CNY -254,304,451, an improvement from CNY -847,235,460 in Q1 2024[24] - The company's operating cash inflow decreased to CNY 21,463,831,387 from CNY 25,451,623,532 year-over-year, a decline of about 15.5%[23] - The company reported a decrease in cash and cash equivalents by CNY 502,704,842, compared to a decrease of CNY 103,790,182 in the same quarter last year[24] - The company's cash and cash equivalents decreased to CNY 63,948,787,201 from CNY 70,229,347,994, a decline of 8.14%[14] - The company’s cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2025 stood at CNY 15,834,442,001, compared to CNY 11,468,225,840 at the end of Q1 2024[24] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were CNY 254,734,648,958, a slight increase of 0.04% from CNY 254,635,243,900 at the end of the previous year[5] - Total liabilities decreased to CNY 52,127,134,396 from CNY 54,257,807,200, a reduction of 4.00%[16] - Accounts receivable increased to CNY 3,269,011,095 from CNY 3,773,192,484, indicating a decrease of 13.36%[14] - Long-term equity investments rose to CNY 7,859,694,095 from CNY 7,775,668,868, an increase of 1.08%[15] Shareholder Information - The number of ordinary shareholders at the end of the reporting period was 209,238[9] - The largest shareholder, Anhui Conch Group Co., Ltd., holds 36.40% of the shares, totaling 1,928,870,014 shares[9] Research and Development - Research and development expenses for Q1 2025 were CNY 175,456,487, a slight decrease from CNY 185,757,727 in Q1 2024[18] Other Information - The company did not report any significant new product developments or market expansion strategies during this quarter[11] - The net profit from non-recurring items amounted to CNY 147,809,041, with significant contributions from government subsidies and asset disposals[6] - The weighted average return on equity increased by 0.15 percentage points to 0.96% from 0.81%[4]

海螺水泥（600585）公告，2025年第一季度营收为190.51亿元，同比下降10.67%；净利润为18.1亿元， 同比增长20.51%。 ...

Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited 关于附属公司 2025 年度第一期绿色中期票据发行结果 的公告 证券代码：600585 证券简称：海螺水泥 公告编号：临 2025-17 安徽海螺水泥股份有限公司 上述详情请见本公司分别于 2024 年 4 月 10 日、2024 年 5 月 17 日、2024 年 5 月 31 日及 2024 年 7 月 30 日在上海证券交易所网站披露的 2024 年第 16、19、21、 28 号临时公告。 于 2025 年 4 月 23 日，海螺环保集团发行了 2025 年度第一期绿色中期票据，现 将发行结果公告如下： | 名称 | 安徽海螺环保集团有限公司 2025 | 简称 | 25 | 海螺环保 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 年度第一期绿色中期票据 | | GN001 | | | | 代码 | 132580034 | 期限 | 年 3 | | | | 起息日 | 年 月 日 2025 4 25 | 兑付日 | 年 2028 4 | 月 | 日 25 | | 计划发行总额 | 亿元 ...