Market Performance - The aerospace equipment sector increased by 1.63% on September 29, with leading gains from LIGONG Navigation, which rose by 7.51% to a closing price of 49.95 [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3862.53, up 0.9%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13479.43, up 2.05% [1] Stock Performance - Key stocks in the aerospace equipment sector showed varied performance, with China Satellite up 3.47% and China Telecom up 1.70%, while Aerospace Electronics and New Meeting Guoke experienced slight declines of -0.27% and -0.29% respectively [1] - The trading volume and turnover for LIGONG Navigation reached 24,600 hands and 121 million yuan, respectively [1] Capital Flow - The aerospace equipment sector experienced a net outflow of 44.67 million yuan from institutional investors and 46.71 million yuan from retail investors, while individual investors saw a net inflow of 91.38 million yuan [1] - Detailed capital flow data indicates that China Satellite had a net inflow of 12.92 billion yuan from institutional investors, while LIGONG Navigation had a net inflow of 10.50 million yuan [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company for the first time, with a target price of 13.20 CNY based on a 55x adjusted average valuation for comparable companies in 2026 [3][5]. Core Insights - The small and medium-sized drone market has significant growth potential, driven by the demand for unmanned combat systems in the military trade market [8][17]. - The company is a leader in the military small and medium-sized drone sector, with strong electronic information capabilities, and is expected to benefit from both domestic and international demand [9][10]. - The company has developed the "Hongzhan" unmanned equipment management system, which is anticipated to lead new trends in unmanned combat [8][9]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to have earnings per share (EPS) of 0.17, 0.24, and 0.32 CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]. - Revenue forecasts for 2021-2023 are 18,727 million CNY, 14,280 million CNY, and 15,651 million CNY, with a growth rate of 7.2% in 2023 [4]. - The company’s net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 1,042 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 29.2% [4]. Market Trends and Opportunities - The demand for small and medium-sized drones is expected to expand significantly due to their low cost and high efficiency, particularly in modern warfare scenarios [19][21]. - The commercial space sector is in a rapid growth phase, with the company positioned to benefit from increased satellite launches and the development of low-orbit satellites [10][11]. - The traditional business segments are expected to recover as the defense market improves, with a focus on missile, satellite, and rocket components [8][11]. Competitive Advantages - The company has a comprehensive range of drone products, including the FH-901 loitering munition, which boasts superior performance and collaborative combat capabilities [27][32]. - The company’s drones are designed for various military applications, with a focus on electronic information integration and system capabilities [30][31]. - The FH-901 loitering munition is noted for its long endurance and high explosive power, making it competitive against international counterparts [32][33].

Core Insights - The aerospace equipment sector experienced a 1.05% increase on September 25, with Aerospace Electronics leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.3, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13445.9, up 0.67% [1] Sector Performance - Aerospace Electronics (600879) closed at 11.26, up 3.30% with a trading volume of 1,007,200 shares and a turnover of 1.123 billion yuan [1] - StarNet Yuda (002829) closed at 23.69, up 2.64% with a trading volume of 204,800 shares and a turnover of 484 million yuan [1] - China Satellite (601698) closed at 20.94, up 0.82% with a trading volume of 309,800 shares and a turnover of 648 million yuan [1] - China Inner Star (600118) closed at 34.96, up 0.63% with a trading volume of 129,760 shares and a turnover of 1.044 billion yuan [1] - Aerospace Huaiyu (688523) closed at 23.04, up 0.09% with a trading volume of 24,800 shares and a turnover of 57.3274 million yuan [1] - Zhongtian Rocket (003009) closed at 48.23, down 0.47% with a trading volume of 28,800 shares and a turnover of 140 million yuan [1] - Ligong Navigation (688282) closed at 43.70, down 1.47% with a trading volume of 4,523 shares and a turnover of 1.98109 million yuan [1] - Xinyu Guoke (300722) closed at 30.88, down 1.94% with a trading volume of 34,200 shares and a turnover of 107 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The aerospace equipment sector saw a net inflow of 171 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 193 million yuan [1] - The detailed capital flow for key stocks indicates varying levels of net inflow and outflow among institutional and retail investors [2]

Core Viewpoint - The aerospace and defense sector in the A-share market shows strong performance, particularly in the aerospace ETF, which is the largest in the market and has seen significant trading volume and positive stock performance [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 25, the three major A-share indices showed mixed results, with the technology sector continuing to rise strongly and the military industry experiencing slight upward fluctuations [1]. - The aerospace ETF (159227) turned positive with a trading volume of 90.37 million yuan, leading its category [1]. Group 2: Industry Financials - In Q2 2025, the military industry reported revenues of 164.48 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.18%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.93 billion yuan, up 5.21%, marking the first positive growth in seven quarters [1]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Short-term expectations indicate that the military sector is likely to stabilize as the post-"September 3" fund adjustments near completion, and upcoming equipment procurement orders are anticipated to increase [1]. - Mid-term projections suggest a positive outlook for the "14th Five-Year Plan" equipment procurement, with potential order growth expected in Q4, alongside increased military spending from NATO countries [1]. - Long-term perspectives highlight the potential for military trade growth due to regional conflicts and the upcoming centennial of the military establishment in 2027, which may sustain high demand for military equipment [1]. Group 4: ETF Characteristics - The aerospace ETF (159227) tracks the National Aerospace Index and has a high military industry representation of 97.96%, focusing on the aerospace sector and covering a wide range of key components in the military supply chain [2].

Core Viewpoint - Aerospace Electronic's stock has shown a positive trend with a 24.80% increase year-to-date, despite a recent decline over the past 20 days [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On September 25, Aerospace Electronic's stock rose by 2.02%, reaching 11.12 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 339 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.94% [1]. - The stock's market capitalization stands at 36.688 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock has increased by 24.80%, with a 7.75% rise over the last five trading days, a 4.79% decline over the last 20 days, and a 10.10% increase over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Aerospace Electronic reported a revenue of 5.822 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 24.51%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 174 million CNY, down 30.37% year-on-year [2]. - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 1.124 billion CNY, with 514 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Aerospace Electronic reached 154,400, an increase of 13.22% from the previous period [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include new entrants such as the Fortune CSI Military Industry Leader ETF and E Fund Defense Industry Mixed A, holding 50.656 million shares and 48.223 million shares, respectively [3].

Group 1 - Aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) closed at a gain of 0.35% as of September 22, 2025, marking two consecutive days of increase with a turnover rate of 27.34% and a transaction volume of 120 million yuan, indicating active market trading [2] - The latest scale of Aerospace ETF Tianhong reached 491 million yuan with a total of 429 million shares, achieving a new high in nearly one month [2] - The net inflow of funds into Aerospace ETF Tianhong was 47.7466 million yuan, with a total of 51.0593 million yuan accumulated over the last five trading days [2] Group 2 - Aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) serves as an efficient tool to capture core military aerospace opportunities, tracking the National Securities Aerospace Index, with a military attribute of 97.86%, making it the highest military content index in the market [3] - The weight of aerospace equipment in the ETF is as high as 66.8%, significantly exceeding that of the CSI Military and CSI National Defense indices [3] Group 3 - The recent successful launch and recovery training of the Navy's third type of carrier-based aircraft on the Fujian ship marks a significant breakthrough in China's aircraft carrier development, contributing to the transformation of the Navy [4] - The Navy's carrier-based aviation has accelerated its development, achieving a significant leap from single aircraft to a system, from land-based to carrier-based operations, and from conventional takeoff to electromagnetic catapult [4] Group 4 - Zhonghang Securities assesses that the military industry sector is currently in a state with ample upward potential and a solid bottom, with short-term volatility risks in rapidly rising sub-sectors and individual stocks, but a relatively low likelihood of structural deep adjustments [5] - The military industry is expected to perform better in the second half of the year compared to the first half, with emerging themes such as low-altitude economy, commercial aerospace, deep-sea technology, large aircraft, and military intelligence likely to remain active [5]

Core Viewpoint - The successful training of multiple advanced carrier-based aircraft on China's Fujian aircraft carrier marks a significant advancement in naval capabilities, enhancing operational range and combat effectiveness [1][2]. Group 1: Military Capabilities - The Fujian aircraft carrier's strike range can cover the second island chain, with the electromagnetic catapult system enabling carrier-based aircraft to take off with full fuel and armament, thus increasing operational radius and strike power [1]. - The electromagnetic catapult system has a fast response time, improving the sortie efficiency of carrier-based aircraft and allowing for a high-intensity combat mode known as "full deck launch" [2]. - The introduction of various aircraft types, such as the KJ-600 and J-35, highlights the systemic operational advantages of the Fujian carrier, significantly enhancing its comprehensive combat capabilities against air, sea, and land targets [2]. Group 2: Market Performance - The defense and military industry is steadily rising, with the CSI Defense Index experiencing a slight increase of 0.30%, although trading volume has significantly decreased to 24.3 billion [2]. - The market's reaction to the Bashar joint defense agreement has been relatively muted, with a focus on the lack of substantial orders, indicating that breakthroughs in advanced fighter aircraft military trade orders are crucial [2]. - The CSI Defense Index's PH value has recently risen from around 10% to approximately 33%, suggesting a positive trend, while monitoring single transaction volume or transaction volume ratio may provide more effective insights at market peaks [2]. Group 3: ETF and Index Tracking - The National Defense ETF closely tracks the CSI Defense Index, which includes listed companies under the ten major military industrial groups and those providing weaponry to the armed forces [3]. - Among the 13 ETFs tracking the defense and military sector, the National Defense ETF has the lowest management and custody fees at 0.40%, making it unique in its category [3]. - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Defense Index account for 43.88%, with companies like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760) and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft (000768) among the leaders [3].

Market Performance - The aerospace equipment sector increased by 1.36% on September 22, with Xingwang Yuda leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.58, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13157.97, up 0.67% [1] Stock Performance - Key stocks in the aerospace equipment sector showed varied performance, with Xingwang Yuda closing at 21.35, up 3.14%, and China Satellite at 35.47, up 1.37% [1] - The trading volume and turnover for Xingwang Yuda were 142,400 shares and 304 million yuan, respectively [1] Capital Flow - The aerospace equipment sector experienced a net outflow of 72.87 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 41.56 million yuan [1] - The detailed capital flow for key stocks indicates that Xingwang Yuda had a net inflow of 16.30 million yuan from institutional investors, while China Satellite had a net outflow of 10.47 million yuan [2]

Core Viewpoint - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) has shown significant growth in both scale and share, indicating strong investor interest in the aerospace and defense sector [3][5]. Product Highlights - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) tracks the Guozheng Aerospace Index, with a military attribute of 97.86%, making it the highest military content index in the market. The aerospace equipment weight is 66.8%, surpassing other military indices [3]. Hot Events - The 2025 Air Force Aviation Open Day commenced in Changchun, showcasing the modernization achievements of the Chinese Air Force through aerial performances and ground exercises [3]. - Concurrently, the 2025 Changchun Aviation Exhibition featured over a hundred types of equipment, focusing on emerging fields like drones and low-altitude economy, serving as a platform for technology display and industry collaboration [4]. Institutional Views - According to AVIC Securities, the military industry is expected to enter a relatively stable phase due to recent events and the completion of mid-year performance disclosures. The market shows low systemic risk, with structural rotation within the military sector [5]. - The military sector has demonstrated resilience and vitality, avoiding volatility risks associated with overheating in single areas. Improved performance in certain fields and the anticipation of new orders are expected to strengthen the market outlook [5].

Company Overview - Aerospace Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in the research, production, and sales of aerospace technology application products, including measurement and control communication, electromechanical components, integrated circuits, and inertial navigation systems [1] - The company was established on July 18, 1990, and was listed on November 15, 1995 [1] Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, Aerospace Electronic reported a revenue of 5.822 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 24.51%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 174 million yuan, down 30.37% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 1.124 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 514 million yuan distributed in the last three years [3] Stock Performance - As of September 22, the stock price of Aerospace Electronic increased by 2.01% to 10.65 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 35.138 billion yuan [1] - Year-to-date, the stock has risen by 19.53%, with a recent 5-day increase of 1.14%, a 20-day decline of 10.58%, and a 60-day increase of 1.72% [1] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 154,400, a rise of 13.22%, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 11.67% to 21,368 shares [2] - Notable new institutional shareholders include the Fortune China Securities Military Industry Leader ETF and E Fund Defense Industry Mixed A, holding 50.656 million shares and 48.223 million shares, respectively [3] Industry Classification - Aerospace Electronic is classified under the defense and military industry, specifically in the aerospace equipment sector [2] - The company is involved in various concept sectors, including general aviation, military-civilian integration, space station, Beidou navigation, and commercial aerospace [2]