Core Conclusion - By 2026, China's commercial aerospace industry is expected to reach a turning point in cost reduction for launch capacity, driven by the concentrated deployment of low Earth orbit (LEO) constellations and the normalization of high-frequency launches, with reusable rockets nearing breakthroughs in reducing unit launch costs. The industry's business model will shift from state-driven tasks to market-driven profitability, with a valuation logic transitioning towards "space infrastructure" as application scenarios and business models are restructured [3]. Market Outlook - 2026 is anticipated to be a prosperous year for China's commercial aerospace sector, with an accelerated pace of multi-constellation launches transitioning to large-scale deployment, leading to a rapid increase in rocket launch frequency. The commercial rocket launch service market in China is projected to grow from 10.26 billion yuan in 2025 to 47.39 billion yuan by 2030, corresponding to a CAGR of approximately 35.8%, primarily driven by high-frequency launch demand from dense deployment of LEO constellations [4][11]. - The industry is expected to maintain medium to long-term growth, with over 237,000 satellites needing to be deployed in accordance with ITU regulations by 2039. Starlink currently has over 9,000 satellites in orbit, and the demand for subsequent launches remains robust due to tightening frequency resources [4][11]. Cost Reduction Pathways - The essence of commercial rockets is a "space logistics" business, where core variables include efficiency improvements and cost reductions in launch capacity. Key pathways for cost reduction include breakthroughs in full-flow engine technology, high-frequency reuse capabilities, and industrialization in manufacturing [5]. - The unit cost of launching rockets is expected to decrease significantly through various stages: 1. Initial launch cost is approximately 55,000 yuan/kg 2. By around 2026, after achieving first-stage reuse, costs may drop to about 25,000 yuan/kg 3. Upgrading from aluminum to stainless steel structures could further reduce costs to approximately 19,000 yuan/kg 4. With the maturation of recovery methods, costs may decline to around 13,000 yuan/kg 5. Long-term, achieving second-stage reuse could bring costs close to 5,000 yuan/kg [5]. Industry Structure and Investment Opportunities - The commercial rocket industry is still in its early growth and valuation evolution phase. Key catalysts for valuation uplift in China's commercial aerospace sector include the realization of reusable rockets for large-scale LEO satellite networking and the transition from customized to standardized launches through long-term batch tasks [7][8]. - The valuation logic for commercial aerospace companies is shifting from manufacturing-oriented to platform and infrastructure-oriented technology enterprises, covering diverse long-term space mission needs such as manned flights and deep space exploration [8]. Key Players and Market Segments - The core technical barriers in rocket engines are concentrated in critical components such as thrust chambers and turbine pumps. The value in satellite manufacturing is primarily found in communication payloads [9]. - Key companies involved in the aerospace supply chain include: - Power Systems: Yingliu Co., Srey New Materials, Guoji Precision Engineering - Satellite Communication Systems: Shanghai Hantong, Aerospace Electronics, Guobo Electronics - Materials and Structural Components: Western Materials, Parker New Materials, Guoji Heavy Industry, Huazhuo High-Tech - Testing and Verification: Xicai Testing, Su Testing [9][10].

Group 1: Profit Forecasts - Limin Co. expects a net profit of 465 million to 500 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 471.55% to 514.57% [1] - Guohui Energy anticipates a net profit of 1.32 billion to 1.47 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a decline of 50.03% to 55.13% year-on-year [2] - Jiajia Yue forecasts a net profit of 198 million to 228 million yuan for 2025, indicating a growth of 50.06% to 72.79% year-on-year [3] - Xianghe Industry projects a net profit of 120 million to 148 million yuan for 2025, with an expected increase of 59.17% to 96.31% year-on-year [4] - Aojie Technology predicts a net profit of 90 million to 120 million yuan for 2025, showing a growth of 228.34% to 337.79% year-on-year [14] - Shanghai Electric expects a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.32 billion yuan for 2025, representing an increase of approximately 47% to 76% year-on-year [15] - Tianfu Communication anticipates a net profit of 1.881 billion to 2.15 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a growth of 40% to 60% year-on-year [16] - Yichang Technology forecasts a net profit of 150 million to 225 million yuan for 2025, indicating a year-on-year increase of 58% to 138% [29] - Shanghai Yizhong expects a net profit of 60 million to 70 million yuan for 2025, representing a significant increase of 760.18% to 903.54% year-on-year [41] Group 2: Loss Forecasts - Kexin Electromechanical anticipates a net profit of 55 million to 70 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a decline of 58.65% to 67.51% year-on-year [11][12] - Kexin Technology expects a net loss of 900 million to 1.2 billion yuan for 2025, which is an increase in loss of 78.67% to 84% year-on-year [10] - Tianyang New Materials forecasts a net loss of 250 million to 180 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 213 million yuan in the previous year [20] - Bo Rui Data anticipates a net loss of 90 million to 100 million yuan for 2025, which is an increase in loss of 15.17 million to 25.17 million yuan year-on-year [19] - Xinlian Integrated expects a net loss of 577 million yuan for 2025, which is a reduction in loss of approximately 40.02% compared to the previous year [40] - Fangshilong forecasts a net loss of 4 million to 6 million yuan for 2025 [30] Group 3: Strategic Developments - Lianlong signed a strategic framework agreement with Runyinglian to enhance the reliability and efficiency of the lubricant additive supply chain in China and the Asia-Pacific region [7] - Han Jian Heshan is planning to acquire a 52.51% stake in Liaoning Xingfu New Materials Co., Ltd., with stock suspension expected for up to 9 trading days [13] - Kai Zhong Precision plans to invest 116 million yuan in a technical transformation and expansion project to meet future capacity demands [34] - Tianfu Communication is expected to engage in clinical trials for its ABA001 injection, which has received approval from the National Medical Products Administration [17]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "stronger than the market" [1] Core Insights - The report concludes that 2026 will mark a turning point for China's commercial aerospace industry, with a shift from state-driven missions to market-driven profitability, driven by the deployment of low-orbit satellite constellations and advancements in reusable rocket technology [1][6] - The commercial rocket launch service market in China is projected to grow from 10.26 billion yuan in 2025 to 47.39 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of approximately 35.8% [1][12] - The report emphasizes that the core components of rocket launch services are engines (54%) and structural components (24%), which together account for 78% of the value in the launch service segment [1][12] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The commercial aerospace industry is defined as activities that provide aerospace products and services through social capital investment under national policy guidance, including the R&D, manufacturing, launch, and operation of spacecraft and rockets [6][7] - The global aerospace economy is expected to reach $612 billion by 2024, with commercial aerospace revenues accounting for approximately $480 billion, representing about 78% of the total [6][7] Market Dynamics - The demand for satellite launches is expected to surge as China enters a concentrated deployment phase for low-orbit satellite constellations, with over 200,000 satellites planned for deployment [18][19] - The report highlights that the competition for low-orbit frequency resources is intensifying, necessitating faster deployment of satellite constellations [19][21] Cost Structure and Efficiency - The report breaks down the cost structure of rockets, indicating that engines and structural components dominate the value chain [1][12] - It outlines a pathway for reducing launch costs, projecting that the unit cost of launching payloads could decrease significantly as technology advances [1][12] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in key segments such as propulsion systems, satellite communication systems, materials and structural components, and testing and validation services [2][4] - Specific companies to watch include 应流股份 (603308), 斯瑞新材 (688102), and 上海瀚讯 (300762), among others [2][4]

开源证券认为，2026年，国内商业航天有望迎来"政策+技术+资本"三重共振，值得高度期待。火箭产 业链：受益标的航天动力、西部材料（002149）、航天工程（603698）、飞沃科技（301232）、天力复 合、航天机电（600151）、超捷股份、斯瑞新材、高华科技、银邦股份（300337）、航天发展 （000547）等。卫星产业链及太空算力：推荐中科星图、航天宏图、普天科技（002544）、亚信安全、 永信至诚等，受益标的星图测控、顺灏股份（002565）、旭升集团（603305）、佳缘科技（301117）、 中国卫星、上海港湾（605598）、臻镭科技、盛邦安全、霍莱沃、航天环宇、天银机电（300342）、上 海瀚讯、乾照光电（300102）。 央视新闻消息，2025年，我国商业航天保持快速发展。全年完成发射50次，占比我国全年宇航发射总数 54%。其中，商业运载火箭发射25次；海南商业航天发射场投入使用并实施9次发射，建成以来累计完 成10次发射；其他商业卫星发射16次。全年入轨商业卫星311颗，占比我国全年入轨卫星总数84%。可 重复使用运载火箭技术加速突破，朱雀三号重复使用运载火箭完成首飞，实现二子 ...

证券代码：600879 证券简称：航天电子 公告编号：2026-007 航天时代电子技术股份有限公司 关于公司 2026 年度日常经营性关联交易的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本关联交易尚需提交公司股东会审议； 公司与关联方发生的日常经营性关联交易均为公司日常生产经营所需， 遵循公平、公正、自愿、诚信的原则，不存在损害交易各方利益的情况，不会损 害公司及中小股东的利益。 一、日常经营性关联交易基本情况 航天时代电子技术股份有限公司（下称"公司"）（含子公司）2026 年度日 常经营性关联交易主要为与中国航天科技集团有限公司（下称"集团公司"）所 属成员单位发生的销售商品、购买原材料及燃料动力、提供或接受服务、出租或 租赁房屋和机器设备等的日常经营性关联交易。 （一）日常经营性关联交易履行的审议程序 1、2026 年 1 月 20 日，公司召开董事会 2026 年第一次会议，审议通过了《公 司 2026 年度日常经营性关联交易的议案》，本议案同意 3 票，反对 0 票，弃权 0 票，回避 ...

证券代码：600879 证券简称：航天电子 公告编号：临 2026-006 航天时代电子技术股份有限公司 董事会 2026 年第一次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、董事会会议召开情况 1、本次董事会会议的召开符合《中华人民共和国公司法》和《公司章程》 的有关规定。 2、公司于 2026 年 1 月 16 日发出召开董事会会议的书面通知。 3、本次董事会会议于 2026 年 1 月 20 日（星期二）以通讯表决方式召开。 4、本次董事会会议应出席董事9人，实际出席董事9人。公司董事姜梁先生、 王海涛先生、阎俊武先生、戴利民先生、杨雨先生、陈建国先生，独立董事张松 岩先生、唐水源先生、胡文华女士全部亲自参加投票表决。 二、董事会会议审议情况 公司 2026 年度日常经营性关联交易的议案 本议案同意 3 票，反对 0 票，弃权 0 票，回避 6 票。 本次议案涉及关联交易，关联董事姜梁先生、王海涛先生、阎俊武先生、戴 利民先生、杨雨先生、陈建国先生回避了表决。 会议以投票表决方式通过《公司 2026 ...

航天电子公告，公司2026年度日常经营性关联交易总额预计不超过107.2亿元。2025年度实际发生金额 为92.92亿元。交易主要为中国航天科技集团有限公司所属成员单位发生的销售商品、购买原材料及燃 料动力、提供或接受服务、出租或租赁房屋和机器设备等。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the commercial aerospace industry [1] Core Insights - The aerospace sector is transitioning from being viewed as a "cost center" driven by national will to a "growth engine" driven by commercial demand, with significant investments and strategic planning from both the US and China [6][9] - The global aerospace economy is projected to reach $613 billion in 2024, with commercial aerospace contributing 78%, and is expected to exceed $1 trillion by 2032 [6][9] - The value chain of commercial aerospace is divided into five core levels: "space, ground, terminal, rocket, and application," each presenting unique market opportunities and technical challenges from 2026 to 2030 [10][29] Summary by Sections 1. Space: Satellite Manufacturing - The satellite manufacturing market in China is expected to grow from approximately 7.1 billion yuan in 2025 to about 39.4 billion yuan by 2030, reflecting a shift from sporadic research models to continuous, batch engineering deliveries [16][18] 2. Ground: Ground Systems - The ground systems market is projected to increase from around 1.2 billion yuan in 2025 to approximately 39.1 billion yuan by 2030, evolving from a supporting role to a core infrastructure essential for stable satellite constellation operations [21][22] 3. Terminal: Key Variable for Commercial Aerospace - The terminal market is anticipated to grow from 500 million yuan in 2025 to about 141.9 billion yuan by 2030, driven by multiple vertical industries and potential consumer scenarios [23][24] 4. Rocket: Core Constraint - The cost of rocket launches is a critical constraint, with reusable technology expected to reduce costs by 80%-90% compared to traditional expendable rockets. The market for rocket launch services is projected to grow from approximately 10.7 billion yuan in 2025 to about 34.3 billion yuan by 2030 [25][26] 5. Application: Final Value Realization - The application market is expected to expand from 200 million yuan in 2025 to 525 billion yuan by 2030, with the revenue share from applications projected to rise from single digits to over 67% by around 2030 [27][28] 6. Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities in commercial aerospace can be categorized into three main tracks: 1. Launch and manufacturing segments, which are expected to benefit directly from increased orders and visibility 2. Core components and systems, characterized by high technical barriers and critical for long-term competitiveness 3. Downstream applications and operational services, which, while currently limited in scale, hold the greatest long-term potential for value realization [29][30]

Core Insights - The main focus of the news is on the significant inflow of capital into specific stocks, indicating strong investor interest and potential growth in these companies. Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Inflow - Aerospace Electronic (航天电子) saw a capital inflow of 1.374 billion yuan with a price increase of 7.15% [1][2] - New Yisheng (新易盛) experienced a capital inflow of 1.359 billion yuan and a price rise of 3.86% [1][2] - China Great Wall (中国长城) had a capital inflow of 1.229 billion yuan, with a notable increase of 10% in its stock price [1][2] - Zhongke Shuguang (中科曙光) attracted 1.195 billion yuan in capital, reflecting a 5.16% increase [1][2] - SMIC (中芯国际) received 1.042 billion yuan with a stock price increase of 3.98% [1][2] - CATL (宁德时代) had a capital inflow of 930 million yuan, with a modest increase of 0.72% [1][2] - Haiguang Information (海光信息) saw a significant capital inflow of 904 million yuan and a price increase of 12.4% [1][3] - Huatian Technology (华天科技) attracted 856 million yuan with a stock price increase of 10.01% [1][3] - Tongfu Microelectronics (通富微电) had a capital inflow of 788 million yuan and a price increase of 10% [1][3] - Changdian Technology (长电科技) received 647 million yuan with a 5.19% increase in stock price [1][3] - Shengxin Lithium Energy (盛新锂能) saw a capital inflow of 608 million yuan and a price increase of 9.99% [1][3] Group 2: Additional Stocks and Their Performance - Unigroup Guowei (紫光国微) had a capital inflow of 563 million yuan with a price increase of 5.31% [3] - Hikvision (海康威视) attracted 495 million yuan with a stock price increase of 5.27% [3] - Loongson Technology (龙芯中科) saw a significant capital inflow of 462 million yuan and a remarkable price increase of 20% [3] - Intercontinental Oil and Gas (洲际油气) had a capital inflow of 441 million yuan with a price increase of 9.97% [3] - Lanke Technology (澜起科技) received 434 million yuan with a stock price increase of 7.71% [3] - Ganfeng Lithium (赣锋锂业) attracted 397 million yuan with a modest price increase of 2.59% [3] - Zhongtung High-tech (中钨高新) saw a capital inflow of 397 million yuan and a price increase of 9.45% [3] - Magpow (麦格米特) had a capital inflow of 379 million yuan with a price increase of 10% [3] - ZTE Corporation (中兴通讯) attracted 377 million yuan with a stock price increase of 2.15% [3]

沪深两市数据显示，1月20日，融资净买入前十的股票分别为： 浙文互联（2.65亿元）、 人民网（2.21 亿元）、 紫金矿业（2.14亿元）、 贵州茅台（1.95亿元）、 上海电力（1.63亿元）、 国电南瑞（1.52亿 元）、 航天电子（1.48亿元）、 中国电建（1.40亿元）、 长电科技（1.31亿元）、 包钢股份（1.28亿 元）。 ...