供需边际改善预期较强，煤价企稳向好有望延续 煤炭 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2026 年 01 月 10 日 执业证书编号：S0740522040001 Email：duchong@zts.com.cn | 基本状况 | | | --- | --- | | 上市公司数 | 37 | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 19,759.72 | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 19,274.91 | 2026-01-04 2025-12-27 华千亿收购提升价值》2025-12-20 | 增持（维持） 评级： | | | 重点公司基本状况 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 简称 | 股价 | | | EPS | | | | | PE | | | 评级 | | 分析师：杜冲 | | | （元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2023A | 2024A | 2025 ...

2026年1月8日，wind发布2025年中国并购市场交易数据，随着全球并购市场回暖与国内经济高质量发展 的推动，中国并购市场呈现强劲增长态势，交易规模显著提升。2025年全年，中国并购市场共披露了 8151起并购事件，交易规模约25894亿元，同比上升约16.12%。分季度来看，2025年各个季度的并购交 易规模依次为4272亿元、4610亿元、7410亿元和9602亿元。 谈及并购市场回暖原因，南开大学金融发展研究院院长田利辉向《中国经营报》记者分析，中国并购市 场的复苏是政策、产业与资本共振的结果，是中国经济从"量增"转向"质升"的重要路径。同时，这也是 中国宏观经济与资本市场的"范式转换"在微观层面的集中体现。 田利辉进一步指出，一方面，从"并购六条"到注册制深化，监管范式正从"父爱式"管制转向"市场友好 型"服务，大幅降低了制度性交易成本，释放了市场活力。另一方面，在经济增长模式从要素驱动转向 创新驱动的关键阶段，并购作为最高效的资源配置工具，其价值被重新发现。这不仅是资本的流动，更 是经济肌体在主动进行"新陈代谢"与"结构重组"。 黑崎资本首席战略官陈兴文观察到房地产行业并购交易量的变化，他向记者 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600403 | 大有能源 | 8.10 | -3.23% | 106.57万 | 8.59亿 | | 000983 | 山西焦煤 | 6.99 | -2.37% | 81.39万 | 5.69 Z | | 669109 | 路安环能 | 13.07 | -1.21% | 39.92万 | 5.24亿 | | 600157 | 永泰能源 | 1.67 | -1.18% | 927.59万 | 15.61亿 | | 600121 | 郑州煤电 | 4.52 | -1.09% | 64.85万 | 2.92亿 | | 600546 | 山煤国际 | 10.61 | -0.47% | 24.10万 | 2.56亿 | | 600985 | 淮北矿业 | 11.53 | -0.43% | 24.23万 | 2.80亿 | | 601001 | 晋控煤业 | 14.50 | -0.07% | 20.36万 | 2.96亿 | | 600188 | 兖矿能源 ...

(Incorporated in the People's Republic of China as a joint stock limited liability company) （在中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） (Stock Code 股 份 代 碼: 01088) 9 January 2026 Dear Non-registered shareholder(s), 各位非登記股東： 以電子方式發布公司通訊安排的提示函 根據日期為 2024 年 1 月 12 日有關「以電子方式發佈公司通訊之安排」之通知信函所述，中國神華能源股份有限公司（「公司」）謹此提醒 閣下，公 司已採用以電子方式發布公司通訊（「公司通訊」）之安排，該公司通訊是指公司為向其任何證券持有人提供資訊或提醒其採取行動而發布或將要發布 的任何文件，包括但不限於(a) 董事報告、年度帳目以及審計報告副本以及（如適用）財務摘要報告；(b) 中期報告及（如適用）其中期報告摘要；(c) 會議通知；(d) 上市文件；(e) 通函和(f) 委任表格。 請注意，所有未來公司通訊的英文版和中文版將在公司網站 www.csec.com 或 www. ...

(Incorporated in the People's Republic of China as a joint stock limited liability company) （在中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） (Stock Code 股份代碼: 01088) 9 January 2026 Dear registered shareholder(s), Yours faithfully, By order of the Board China Shenhua Energy Company Limited Song Jinggang Chief Financial Officer and Secretary to the Board of Directors Note: Actionable Corporate Communication is any corporate communication that seeks instructions from issuer's securities holders on how they wish to exercise their rights ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600121 | 郑煤电 | 4.57 | -2.35% | 106.00万 | 4.85亿 | | 600997 | 开滦股份 | 5.97 | -1.65% | 21.33万 | 1.28亿 | | 000571 | 新大洲A | 5.99 | -1.48% | 28.59万 | 1.72亿 | | 600985 | 淮北矿业 | 11.58 | -1.19% | 1 37.22万 | 4.35 乙 | | 002128 | 电投能源 | 29.45 | -1.04% | 13.94万 | 4.14亿 | | 601918 | 新集能源 | 6.95 | -1.00% | 66.62万 | 4.69亿 | | 600123 | 兰化科创 | 6.13 | -0.97% | 23.93万 | 1.47亿 | | 600348 | रहीं से सिर्शन के बाद में से में | 8.42 | -0.82% | 70.05万 | ...

Core Insights - The coal industry has undergone a significant transformation from 2015 to 2024, moving from a historical low in profitability to a new phase characterized by elevated profit levels and improved development quality [2][29] - The industry's overall prosperity is giving way to pronounced differentiation among companies, driven by strategic choices in business models, cost control, and asset management [29] Industry Performance - The coal industry's total revenue reached a peak of 1,408.3 billion yuan in 2022, a 179% increase from 2015, with net profit soaring to 291.2 billion yuan, 34.5 times that of 2015 [2] - Despite a downturn in 2023-2024, key financial metrics remain significantly above the starting point of the cycle, indicating a fundamental reshaping of the industry's value center [2][4] Financial Characteristics - Revenue growth peaked, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.8% from 2015 to 2022, primarily driven by rising coal prices [3] - Profitability has shown significant elasticity, with net profit margins increasing from 2% in 2015 to a peak of 21% in 2022, demonstrating a qualitative change in profitability [3] - Operational efficiency has improved, with the overall expense ratio declining from 18% in 2015 to 7%-8% post-2021, indicating a shift from extensive to refined development models [3][4] Revenue Structure Analysis - In 2024, total revenue for sample companies is expected to remain above 1.2 trillion yuan, although growth momentum is slowing [6] - Major players like China Shenhua and China Coal Energy dominate the revenue rankings, benefiting from integrated business models that combine coal production with stable electricity and transportation operations [6][7] Profitability Insights - Profitability is highly concentrated among leading firms, with China Shenhua and Shaanxi Coal Industry together accounting for over 1 billion yuan in net profit, highlighting the significant head effect [9] - Integrated leaders demonstrate resilience during market downturns, with minor profit declines, showcasing the advantages of their business models [9][10] Cost and Efficiency Analysis - High gross margins are linked to resource endowments, with companies like Jinko Coal enjoying high margins due to the scarcity and high value of their products [15][16] - Cost control is critical, as evidenced by Shaanxi Coal's ability to maintain a gross margin of 32.7% despite being a standard coal producer [17] - Companies with high expense ratios, such as Anyuan Coal and Dayou Energy, face significant profitability challenges due to poor cost management [18][19] Strategic Choices and Future Outlook - The future of coal companies hinges on strategic decisions regarding business model evolution, cost control, and proactive asset management [29] - Companies must transition from reliance on price fluctuations to building robust operational defenses, leveraging digital and intelligent technologies for integrated operations [29]

股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：栎树 有分析称，2025年以来，煤炭股受累于煤价下降，108号文流向市场后，煤炭股悲观预期随即得到显著 缓释。反内卷趋势未变，4季度业绩仍有改善预期，若价格长期高位运行，26年业绩仍具备修复空间。 股价下跌强化红利价值，可逢低配置。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 06885 | 金马能源 | 1.100 | 7.84% | | 02798 | 久泰邦达能源 | 1.250 | 2.46% | | 01088 | 中国神华 | 40.600 | 1.75% | | 00975 | MONGOL MIN | 11.590 | 0.35% | | 01878 | 南戈壁 | 2.070 | 0.49% | | 03668 | 兖煤澳大利亚 | 26,880 | 0.37% | | 01171 | 兖矿能源 | 10.670 | 0.09% | 1月8日，港股煤炭股继续活跃，其中，金马能源涨近8%，中国神华涨超2%录得3连涨行情，南戈壁、 兖煤澳大利亚、兖矿能源跟涨。 消息上，昨日，焦 ...

有分析称，2025年以来，煤炭股受累于煤价下降，108号文流向市场后，煤炭股悲观预期随即得到显著 缓释。反内卷趋势未变，4季度业绩仍有改善预期，若价格长期高位运行，26年业绩仍具备修复空间。 股价下跌强化红利价值，可逢低配置。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 ▽ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 06885 | 金马能源 | 1.100 | 7.84% | | 02798 | 久泰邦达能源 | 1.250 | 2.46% | | 01088 | 中国神华 | 40.600 | 1.75% | | 00975 | MONGOL MIN | 11.590 | 0.35% | | 01878 | 南戈壁 | 2.070 | 0.49% | | 03668 | 兖煤澳大利亚 | 26.880 | 0.37% | | 01171 | 兖矿能源 | 10.670 | 0.09% | 港股煤炭股继续活跃，其中，金马能源涨近8%，中国神华涨超2%录得3连涨行情，南戈壁、兖煤澳大 利亚、兖矿能源跟涨。 消息上，昨日，焦煤、焦炭期货多个合约涨停。国内部分焦企日前召开市场分析会，主动与钢厂沟通 ...

2026年1月8日 1月7日标的指数成份股涨跌幅TOP20 标普中国 A 股红利机会指数(CSPSADRP) | 序号 | 代码 | 简称 | 更日涨幅 (%) | 年内涨幅 | 股息率(近12· | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | (%) | 月) (%) | | 1 | 600188.SH | 突矿能源 | 3.61 | 6.84 | 5.31 | | 2 | 600219.SH | 南山铝业 | 2.82 | 8.36 | 6.87 | | 3 | 603730.SH | 岱美股份 | 1.72 | 1.48 | 3.08 | | 4 | 002532.SZ | 天山铝业 | 1.70 | 14.52 | 2.18 | | 5 | 002533.SZ | 金杯电工 | 1.35 | 2.56 | 1.96 | | 6 | 605117.SH | 德业股份 | 1.30 | 2.37 | 3.39 | | 7 | 002014.SZ | 永新股份 | 1.19 | 0.17 | 7.63 | | 8 | 601088.SH | 中国神华 | ...