Changshu Bank(601128)

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常熟银行2024年中报点评:业绩增速领跑,微贷短期承压但稳健可控
Guotai Junan Securities· 2024-08-21 13:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Changshu Bank with a target price of 8.09 CNY, unchanged from the previous rating [4][2]. Core Insights - Changshu Bank's revenue and profit growth lead the sector, with a robust asset quality indicator. The bank's strategy focuses on expanding its customer base and promoting its micro-loan model, which is now mature and replicable [2][5]. - The bank's net profit growth forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted to 19.6%, 17.0%, and 17.2%, respectively, with corresponding BVPS of 9.49, 10.71, and 12.19 CNY per share [5][6]. - The bank's revenue for Q2 2024 increased by 12.1% year-on-year, with net interest income rising by 6.6%, indicating strong performance [5][6]. - The bank's asset quality remains stable despite a slight increase in non-performing loan generation, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.22% for H1 2024 [5][7]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the bank's projected operating income is 11,068 million CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 12.1% [6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 3,924 million CNY in 2024, with a growth rate of 19.6% [6]. - The total assets of the bank are projected to be 374,646 million CNY by the end of 2024, with a core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio of 10.48% [7][6].
常熟银行:投资收益表现亮眼,负债成本边际改善
Guolian Securities· 2024-08-21 13:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in its investment income and a marginal improvement in liability costs [4] - For the first half of 2024, the company achieved operating income of 5.506 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.03%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.734 billion yuan, up 19.58% year-on-year [2][6] Financial Performance Summary - The company's net interest income for H1 2024 was 4.602 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.10% [6] - The growth rate of loans was 11.30% year-on-year, with a loan balance of 238.934 billion yuan as of the end of H1 2024 [6] - The net interest margin for H1 2024 was 2.79%, slightly down from the previous quarter [6] - The company’s average deposit interest rate was 2.22%, a decrease of 6 basis points compared to 2023 [6] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve operating revenues of 11 billion yuan, 11.9 billion yuan, and 13.3 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.36%, 8.45%, and 11.83% [6][7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 3.9 billion yuan, 4.4 billion yuan, and 5.1 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 17.83%, 14.01%, and 15.97% respectively [6][7]
常熟银行2024年半年度报告点评:业绩持续高增,资产质量优异
中国银河· 2024-08-21 09:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with projected BVPS of 9.10 CNY, 10.40 CNY, and 11.94 CNY for 2024-2026, corresponding to current PB ratios of 0.76X, 0.66X, and 0.58X respectively [1][4]. Core Insights - The company has shown continuous high growth in performance, with H1 2024 revenue reaching 5.506 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 12.03%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.734 billion CNY, up 19.58% year-on-year [2][5]. - The company's net interest income for H1 2024 was 4.602 billion CNY, reflecting a 6.1% increase year-on-year, supported by improved loan yield resilience and optimized deposit costs [2][6]. - The asset quality remains excellent, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76% as of June 2024, maintaining a low level compared to peers [2][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024E, the company is projected to achieve operating revenue of 11.242 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 13.90% [5][6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 3.893 billion CNY in 2024E, reflecting an 18.63% growth rate [5][6]. - The company’s EPS is forecasted to be 1.29 CNY for 2024E, with a P/E ratio of 5.34 based on the current stock price [5][6]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - The company has a robust risk coverage capability, with a provision coverage ratio of 538.81% as of June 2024, indicating strong risk management practices [2][6]. - The company focuses on small and micro financial services, maintaining a solid market position in this segment, which is expected to support credit demand and expansion [2][6].
常熟银行:2024年半年报点评:营收利润保持同业领先,资产质量夯实
Huachuang Securities· 2024-08-21 09:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Changshu Bank, with a target price of 7.82 CNY based on a projected price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.85X for 2024 [1][3]. Core Views - Changshu Bank's revenue and profit growth remain strong, with a 12.03% year-on-year increase in revenue to 5.506 billion CNY and a 19.58% increase in net profit to 1.734 billion CNY in the first half of 2024 [1][3]. - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remains stable at 0.76%, with a provision coverage ratio of 538.8%, indicating solid asset quality [1][3]. - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) decline has slowed, with a year-on-year decrease of 19 basis points to 2.67% in Q2 2024, primarily due to a reduction in funding costs [1][3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2024, Changshu Bank achieved total operating income of 5.506 billion CNY, a 12.03% increase year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.734 billion CNY, reflecting a 19.58% growth [1][3]. - The bank's non-interest income grew by 56.2% year-on-year, contributing positively to revenue growth [1]. - The bank's loan balance increased by 11.3% year-on-year, with total new loans of 18.727 billion CNY in the first half of 2024 [1][3]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - The NPL ratio remains at 0.76%, with a slight increase in the net generation rate of NPLs and attention rates in Q2 2024 [1][3]. - The bank has increased its provisioning efforts, with a year-on-year increase of 35.4% in provisions for Q2 2024 [1][3]. - The bank's risk compensation ability remains strong, with a high provision coverage ratio of 538.8% [1][3]. Future Outlook - The report forecasts revenue growth rates of 11.4%, 12.4%, and 13.7% for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, and net profit growth rates of 17.2%, 19.9%, and 19.4% for the same years [1][3][4]. - The bank's business model focuses on small and micro enterprises, which is expected to drive long-term growth [1][3].
常熟银行:业绩稳定高增,利润增速保持近20%
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2024-08-21 09:09
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][4]. Core Views - The company reported a stable high growth in performance, with operating income of 5.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.0%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.6% [2][4]. - The bank's asset quality remains robust, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76%, stable compared to the previous quarter [2][4]. - The bank's net interest margin for the first half of 2024 was 2.79%, showing a slight decline of 4 basis points from the previous quarter [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - Operating income for the first half of 2024 was 5.5 billion yuan, up 12.0% year-on-year [2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.6% [2]. - The bank's total assets reached 367.3 billion yuan, an increase of 9.8% from the beginning of the year [4]. - The loan balance was 238.9 billion yuan, up 7.4% year-on-year, with corporate loans increasing by 11.3 billion yuan and personal loans by 4.1 billion yuan [4]. Asset Quality Summary - The non-performing loan ratio was 0.76%, with a focus ratio of 1.36%, which increased by 12 basis points [3][4]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio was 539%, indicating sufficient provisions against potential loan losses [3][4]. - The non-performing loan generation rate was 0.98%, up 0.35 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Cost and Efficiency Summary - The cost-to-income ratio improved significantly, decreasing by 5.8 percentage points to 35.2% due to a 3.9% reduction in management expenses [2][4]. - The bank's deposit cost rate was 2.22%, down 6 basis points, benefiting from a decrease in the cost of personal time deposits [2][4].
常熟银行:点评报告:营收保持高增
Wanlian Securities· 2024-08-21 08:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [4][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a robust revenue growth of 12% year-on-year for the first half of 2024, with net profit increasing by 19.6% [2]. - Total assets grew by 15.6% year-on-year, with loans increasing by 11.3% and financial investments rising by 25.8% [2]. - The net interest margin decreased by 7 basis points to 2.79% compared to the beginning of the year [2]. - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76%, slightly up by 1 basis point [2]. - The forecast for net profit from 2024 to 2026 is set at 3.773 billion, 4.294 billion, and 4.748 billion respectively, maintaining the profit predictions unchanged [2]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Growth - Revenue for the first half of 2024 reached 9.87 billion, with a growth rate of 12.05% projected for the following years [3]. - Net profit for the same period was 3.282 billion, with a forecasted growth rate of 19.60% for 2024 [3]. Asset and Loan Growth - Total assets are projected to reach 334.456 billion in 2024, with a growth rate of 15.6% [8]. - The total loan amount is expected to grow to 222.439 billion by 2024 [8]. Profitability Metrics - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.20 in 2024, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 5.76 [3]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to be 0.75 in 2024 [3].
常熟银行:2024年半年报点评:业绩高增速稳定,个贷收益率提升
Minsheng Securities· 2024-08-21 04:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price corresponding to 0.7 times the 2024 PB based on the closing price on August 20, 2024 [1]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated stable revenue growth with a 12% year-over-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2024, and a 19.6% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders [1]. - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remains stable at 0.76%, with a provision coverage ratio of 539%, indicating strong risk management capabilities [1]. - The bank's net interest margin is resilient at 2.79%, with a slight decrease of 4 basis points from the previous quarter, reflecting effective cost management and competitive loan pricing [1]. Summary by Relevant Sections Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2024, the bank's revenue reached 5.5 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 12% [1]. - Net interest income grew by 6.1%, while non-interest income surged by 56.6%, primarily driven by investment income from trading financial assets [1]. - The bank's net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.7 billion, reflecting a 19.6% year-over-year increase [1]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio stood at 0.76%, unchanged from the previous quarter, with a provision coverage ratio of 539% [1]. - Forward-looking indicators such as the attention rate and overdue rate have shown slight increases compared to the end of 2023 [1]. Loan and Deposit Trends - Total assets, total loans, and total deposits increased by 15.6%, 11.3%, and 16.7% year-over-year, respectively [1]. - The bank's loan growth was driven by corporate loans, which increased by 14%, while personal loans grew by 6.9% [1]. - The proportion of time deposits rose to 72%, indicating a trend towards more stable funding sources [1]. Financial Projections - The bank's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.41, 1.65, and 1.91 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [2]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 6 in 2024 to 4 by 2026, indicating potential undervaluation [2].
常熟银行:2024年半年报点评:微贷短期承压,深化做小做散战略
Guoxin Securities· 2024-08-21 03:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][7] Core Views - The company has shown continuous high growth, with revenue of 5.505 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.0%, and a net profit of 1.734 billion yuan, up 19.6% year-on-year [1] - The company is deepening its strategy of focusing on small and scattered loans, which has led to a slight narrowing of the net interest margin [1] - Retail loan growth has slowed, prompting the company to increase its allocation to corporate loans and non-credit assets [1] - The asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76% as of June, unchanged from March [1] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 are 10.949 billion yuan, 3.904 billion yuan, 12.389 billion yuan, 4.589 billion yuan, and 14.296 billion yuan, 5.602 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 10.9%, 19.0%, 13.2%, 17.5%, and 15.4% [2][5] - The annualized weighted average ROE for the first half of 2024 is 13.28% [1] - The total assets as of June 2024 are 367.3 billion yuan, an increase of 9.8% from the beginning of the year [1] Loan and Asset Quality - The total loan amount reached 238.9 billion yuan, growing 7.4% year-to-date, with corporate loans increasing by 14.6% and retail loans by 3.1% [1] - The company has a strict non-performing loan recognition policy, with a coverage ratio of 539% as of June [1][5]
常熟银行:2024年中报点评:业绩增长韧性高,风险抵补能力强
EBSCN· 2024-08-21 02:37
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Changshu Bank (601128.SH) [1] Core Views - Changshu Bank demonstrates strong resilience in revenue growth, with a 12% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 19.6% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders in the first half of 2024 [1][2] - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) is under pressure, narrowing to 2.79%, but effective cost control on deposits is being implemented [2] - Non-interest income has surged by 57%, contributing significantly to overall revenue [2] - The bank maintains a low non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.76% and a strong risk coverage capability [3] - Capital adequacy ratios remain robust, with a core Tier 1 capital ratio of 9.92% [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, Changshu Bank achieved revenue of 55 billion, a 12% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 17.3 billion, up 19.6% [1] - The bank's return on average equity (ROAE) improved to 13.3%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points year-on-year [1] Revenue Composition - The growth in revenue is driven by net interest income and non-interest income, which increased by 6.1% and 56.6% respectively [1] - Non-interest income accounted for 16.4% of total revenue, with significant contributions from investment income [2] Asset Quality - As of Q2 2024, the NPL ratio stood at 0.76%, with a slight increase in overdue loans [3] - The bank's credit impairment losses for Q2 were 8.4 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease [3] Capital Adequacy - The capital adequacy ratios as of Q2 2024 are as follows: core Tier 1 capital ratio at 9.92%, Tier 1 capital ratio at 9.97%, and total capital ratio at 13.22% [3][9] - The bank has a strong internal capital generation capacity, supported by a projected increase in net profit for 2024-2026 [4] Earnings Forecast - The report revises the net profit forecast for 2024-2026 to 38.9 billion, 45 billion, and 50.8 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS estimates of 1.29, 1.49, and 1.68 [4][5]
常熟银行:其他非息高增,成本收入比下降
GF SECURITIES· 2024-08-21 02:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 12.0%, PPOP growth of 22.8%, and net profit growth of 19.6% for the first half of 2024, with performance driven by scale growth, non-interest income, and a decrease in the cost-to-income ratio [2]. - The net interest margin for the first half of 2024 was 2.79%, a decrease of 4 basis points from the previous quarter, primarily due to a decline in the yield on interest-earning assets [2]. - Non-interest income saw a significant increase of 52.9%, largely driven by investment gains from trading clients, which rose by 95.96% year-on-year [2]. - The cost-to-income ratio improved to 35.18%, down 5.85 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to a reduction in employee expenses [2]. Performance Metrics - The company’s loan growth rate was 11.3% year-on-year, showing a decline compared to previous periods, with retail loan growth being particularly weak [2]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.76% as of the end of Q2 2024, while the overdue loan ratio increased to 1.54%, up 32 basis points from the previous year [2]. - The provision coverage ratio was 538.81%, slightly down from the previous quarter, indicating a solid overall asset quality and risk absorption capacity [2]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profit growth rates of 17.36% and 13.36% for 2024 and 2025, respectively, with EPS projected at 1.41 and 1.59 CNY per share [2]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 4.91X for 2024 and 4.33X for 2025, with a PB ratio of 0.68X for 2024 and 0.59X for 2025 [2]. - The report sets a reasonable value of 10.91 CNY per share for the company, suggesting a PB valuation of approximately 1.1X for 2024 [2].