Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the banking sector, highlighting it as a low-volatility dividend play in a counter-cyclical environment and a strong performer in absolute returns during a pro-cyclical phase [6]. Core Insights - The first quarter of 2025 saw a decline in both revenue and net profit for listed banks, with revenue and net profit down 1.7% and 1.2% year-on-year, respectively. The main reasons for this decline were the expected decrease in interest margins and pressure from non-interest income [3][12]. - Loan growth has remained stable, with a year-on-year increase of 7.9% in the first quarter. Notably, banks in Jiangsu and Zhejiang, as well as Chengdu, continue to show strong economic performance, while Chongqing has emerged as a new growth area with loan growth exceeding 16% [3][4]. - The average net interest margin for listed banks was 1.54% in the first quarter, reflecting a slight quarter-on-quarter increase of 2 basis points, supported by a decrease in the cost of interest-bearing liabilities [4][12]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for listed banks decreased to 1.23%, with an estimated annualized NPL generation rate of approximately 0.63% [5][19]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-dividend yield banks, particularly those with solid provisions and growth opportunities in favorable policy environments [6][19]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant impact from the decline in interest margins and non-interest income, leading to a negative growth in both revenue and profit for listed banks [10][12]. - The report indicates that the performance of state-owned banks was below expectations, while city and rural commercial banks generally met expectations [3][19]. Loan and Credit Analysis - Loan growth has been stable, with a year-on-year increase of 7.9% in the first quarter. The report highlights that the demand for loans from small and medium-sized enterprises has weakened, affecting the growth rates of rural commercial banks [3][4]. Interest Margin and Cost Analysis - The report notes that the average net interest margin for listed banks improved slightly, with a quarter-on-quarter increase attributed to a reduction in the cost of interest-bearing liabilities [4][12]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - The NPL ratio for listed banks decreased to 1.23%, with proactive measures taken to manage and dispose of non-performing assets [5][19]. - The report indicates that the retail sector is experiencing some risk exposure, but overall asset quality remains stable [5][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on banks with high dividend yields and solid fundamentals, particularly those that are well-positioned to benefit from favorable policy changes [6][19].

Core Insights - Changshu Bank reported a solid performance in Q1 2025, with total assets reaching 389 billion yuan, total deposits exceeding 300 billion yuan at 309 billion yuan, and total loans at 249.6 billion yuan [1] - The bank achieved an operating income of 2.971 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.04%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.084 billion yuan, up 13.81% [1] - The bank maintained a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76% and a provision coverage ratio of 489.56%, indicating strong asset quality [1] Business Strategy - To address the pressure from narrowing interest margins, Changshu Bank focused on deepening traditional and supportive businesses, emphasizing service to small and micro enterprises [2] - The bank's personal loans accounted for 54.18% of total loans, with personal operating loans making up 69.30% of personal loans [2] - The bank increased its lending to the real economy and small enterprises, with a growth of 4.5 billion yuan in real economy loans and 2.9 billion yuan in small enterprise loans during the quarter [2] Diversification and Innovation - Changshu Bank is actively building a diversified growth system, focusing on key customer groups and businesses, and has established 24 growth centers targeting emerging fields such as technology finance, wealth management, and online operations [3] - In technology finance, the bank supported over 2,000 technology enterprises with a loan balance exceeding 12 billion yuan [3] - The bank is enhancing its middle business income through wealth management and has developed an online operation system that connects with 3.6 million social accounts [3] Growth Outlook - By transitioning from traditional business foundations to innovative business breakthroughs, Changshu Bank is opening new growth spaces while maintaining its traditional business advantages [4] - The bank is positioning itself to create real value through innovation as traditional interest margin benefits diminish [4]

Core Insights - The Social Security Fund has disclosed its stock holdings as of the end of the fourth quarter, appearing in the top ten shareholders of 574 companies, with new investments in 164 companies and increased holdings in 156 companies [1][2] - The total number of shares held by the Social Security Fund is 10.876 billion, with a total market value of 173.808 billion yuan [1] - The fund's major holdings include Changshu Bank, Sun Paper, and Hisense Visual, with shareholdings of 268.4005 million, 159.4633 million, and 75.2357 million respectively [1][2] Stock Performance - Among the stocks held by the Social Security Fund, 313 companies reported a year-on-year increase in net profit, with Guangxi Energy showing the highest growth at 3704.04% [2] - The average increase in the fund's heavy stocks this year is 0.79%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2] - The best-performing stock is Shuanglin Shares, with a cumulative increase of 185.96%, followed by Yipin Hong and Zhenyu Technology with increases of 133.47% and 121.81% respectively [2] Sector Distribution - The Social Security Fund's holdings are primarily concentrated in the pharmaceutical, basic chemical, and machinery equipment sectors, with 64, 48, and 47 stocks respectively [2] - The fund holds 408 stocks in the main board, 92 in the ChiNext, and 74 in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [2] Major Shareholdings - The top holdings by the Social Security Fund include: - **Fenzhong Media**: 295.6604 million shares, 2.05% of circulating shares [3] - **Changshu Bank**: 268.4005 million shares, 8.90% of circulating shares [3] - **Guanghui Energy**: 236.2740 million shares, 3.60% of circulating shares [3] - **China Construction**: 205.1700 million shares, 0.50% of circulating shares [3] - **Sun Paper**: 159.4633 million shares, 5.77% of circulating shares [3]

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨常熟银行（601128.SH） [Table_Title] 营收增速领先，不良率环比回落 ——2025 年一季报点评 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 常熟银行 2025 年一季度营收增速 10.0%，归母净利润增速 13.8%，预计业绩增速继续保持行 业领先。一季度利息净收入增速 0.9%，利息收入增速放缓反映规模增速放缓和息差收窄。Q1 净息差 2.61%，较 2024 全年下降 10BP，息差绝对水平仍保持行业领先，预计未来存款成本继 续加速下行。一季度末不良率 0.76%，环比下降 1BP，拨备覆盖率 490%，环比下降 11pct， 拨备回落预计主要反映不良生成压力。预计随着前期部分风险客户的暴露逐步充分，同时持续 加大核销处置力度，结合扶持政策，今年不良生成率有望企稳回落。 分析师及联系人 research.95579.com [Table_Author] 马祥云 盛悦菲 SAC：S0490521120002 SAC：S0490524070002 SFC：BUT916 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% 1 常熟银行（601128.S ...

事件描述 息差：绝对水平领先行业，存款成本率加速下行。Q1 净息差2.61%，较2024 全年下降10BP，绝对值显 著高于银行同业。贷款收益率预计继续下行，测算Q1 生息资产收益率4.52%，较2024 全年下降25BP， 主要反映重定价及零售贷款占比下降影响，未来资产端收益率预计仍将继续下降。负债成本加速下行， 测算Q1 计息负债成本率2.06%，较2024 全年下降17BP，常熟银行零售定期存款占比较高，随着前期存 款到期重定价，以及存款结构将不断优化，预计今年负债成本将持续压降，将有效缓解息差下行的压 力。 资产质量：不良率环比回落，关注零售不良新生成率改善预期。Q1 末不良率环比下降1BP，拨备覆盖 率环比回落，主要反映零售不良生成压力，但预计继续保持上市农商行最高，风险抵补实力雄厚，各项 资产质量指标仍显著优于同业。2024 全年不良净生成率同比上升51BP 至1.43%，反映行业零售产品风 险波动的共性压力。预计随着前期部分风险客户的暴露逐步充分，同时公司内部通过成立风险专班、持 续加大核销处置力度，结合延期还本付息等小微领域扶持政策，今年预计不良生成率有望企稳回落。 投资建议：业绩增速领先，长 ...

Core Viewpoint - Changshu Bank reported a slight decline in performance growth for Q1 2025, with revenue growth at 10.04%, pre-provision profit growth at 12.58%, and net profit growth at 13.81, while still maintaining a high level of performance [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Changshu Bank's total assets increased by 6.67% year-on-year, with a total asset addition of 22.4 billion yuan, where financial investments contributed 11.7 billion yuan, accounting for 52.00% of the increase [2] - The bank's net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 2.61%, showing a year-on-year decline of 22 basis points but a quarter-on-quarter improvement of 2 basis points [4] - Non-interest income saw a significant increase of 62.01% year-on-year, driven by a 495.23% rise in net fee income and a 48.84% increase in other non-interest income [4] Group 2: Asset and Liability Management - Retail loan demand remains weak, with retail loan balance growing only 0.1% year-on-year, and a quarterly addition of 0.3 billion yuan, which is a decrease of 2.7 billion yuan year-on-year [2] - Corporate loans increased by 13.04% year-on-year, with a quarterly addition of 8.5 billion yuan, supporting overall loan growth [3] - The bank's deposit balance grew by 9.00% year-on-year, outpacing loan growth, with a notable increase in the proportion of demand deposits [3] Group 3: Risk Management - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improved to 0.76% at the end of Q1 2025, with a provision coverage ratio of 489.56%, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [5] - The bank is focusing on enhancing retail risk management, expecting to see a turning point in NPL generation rates as retail risks are gradually addressed [5] Group 4: Future Outlook - The bank is projected to achieve a revenue growth of 9.71% and a profit growth of 13.39% for 2025, with a target price of 9.63 yuan, equivalent to a 0.90X price-to-book ratio [6]

事件：常熟银行披露2025 年一季报，1Q25 实现营收30 亿元，同比增长10.0%，实现归母净利润11 亿 元，同比增长13.8%。1Q25 不良率季度环比下降1bp 至0.76%，拨备覆盖率季度环比下降11pct 至 490%。 集中兑现债市投资收益叠加利息净收入平稳正增支撑营收延续双位数增长，业绩增速略有放缓但预计仍 保持行业第一梯队。1Q25 营收同比增长10.0%（2024：10.5%），归母净利润同比增长 13.8%（2024:16.2%）。细拆驱动因子，① 一季度非息收入高增，一方面源自4Q24 滞后反映债市浮 盈，另一方面也体现1Q25 国债利率明显回升前及时兑现的精准择时。1Q25 非息收入同比增长62%，贡 献营收增速9.3pct，投资相关其他非息增长49%（4Q24 同比下降17%），贡献营收增速7.1pct。② 以量 补价下利息净收入延续正增长。 1Q25 利息净收入同比增长0.9%，规模扩张（正贡献7.4pct）对冲息差收窄扰动（拖累6.7pct）。③ 主动 处置、增提拨备夯实资产质量，拨备小幅拖累利润增速0.3pct。 一季报关注点：① 信贷投放主动降速，全年主线回归小微本源、优 ...

银行 2025 年 4 月 28 日 常熟银行(601128.SH) 非息支撑营收稳健，资产质量保持优异 强烈推荐（维持） 股价：7.26 元 主要数据 | 行业 | 银行 | | --- | --- | | 公司网址 | www.csrcbank.com | | 大股东/持股 | 交通银行股份有限公司/9.01% | | 实际控制人 | | | 总股本(百万股) | 3,015 | | 流通 A 股(百万股) | 3,015 | | 流通 B/H 股(百万股) | | | 总市值（亿元） | 219 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元) | 219 | | 每股净资产(元) | 9.57 | | 资产负债率(%) | 91.9 | 行情走势图 相关研究报告 【平安证券】常熟银行（601128.SH）*年报点评*息差 显韧性，资产质量保持优异*强烈推荐20250328 证券分析师 | 袁喆奇 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060520080003 | | | YUANZHEQI052@pingan.com.cn | | 许淼 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S10605250 ...

A股银行板块震荡走强，重庆银行涨近3%，常熟银行、沪农商行、上海银行、农业银行、建设银行跟 涨。 ...

Group 1: Key Insights on Gujinggong Liquor (古井贡酒) - The company reported 2024 revenue of 23.58 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.4%, and a net profit of 5.52 billion, up 20.2% year-on-year [12][16] - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 9.15 billion, growing 10.4% year-on-year, with net profit at 2.33 billion, a 12.8% increase [12][16] - The company maintains a buy rating with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 5.92 billion, 6.29 billion, and 6.63 billion respectively, reflecting growth rates of 7.3%, 6.3%, and 5.3% [16] Group 2: Key Insights on Chongqing Bank (重庆银行) - In Q1 2025, Chongqing Bank achieved revenue of 3.6 billion, a 5.3% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.6 billion, also up 5.3% [15][20] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.21%, with a provision coverage ratio rising to 248% [15][20] - The bank's loan growth accelerated, with a 16.4% year-on-year increase, driven by a more than 30% growth in corporate loans [20] Group 3: Industry Insights on Real Estate - The recent political bureau meeting emphasized the importance of stabilizing the real estate market, highlighting the need for high-quality housing supply [22][26] - The meeting also called for optimizing the policies for acquiring existing housing stock, indicating a proactive approach to address market challenges [26] - The real estate sector is viewed as crucial for economic stability, with ongoing support expected to enhance market conditions [22][26]