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百隆东方(601339):越南盈利改善 高股息具备吸引力
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-17 08:29
Event Overview - In 2024, the company's revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, net profit excluding non-recurring items, and net operating cash flow are projected to be 7.941 billion, 410 million, 220 million, and 1.383 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth of 14.86%, -18.62%, 1128.03%, and 70.98% [1] - The higher operating cash flow compared to net profit is mainly due to high depreciation and an increase in operating payables, with non-recurring gains from the disposal of non-current assets amounting to 124 million yuan [1] - Revenue exceeded expectations due to a rapid recovery in colored yarn, while net profit fell short of market expectations primarily due to losses in Q4 [1] Dividend and Financial Management - A cash dividend of 2.6 yuan per 10 shares is proposed for 2024, corresponding to a dividend payout ratio of 95% (up from 89% in 2023) and a dividend yield of 5% [2] - The company plans to limit the maximum margin for cotton futures trading to 990 million yuan for the next 12 months [2] Regional Performance - Revenue from Vietnam and domestic markets for 2024 is expected to be 5.997 billion and 1.902 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 13.03% and 5.6% respectively [3] - Vietnam's net profit is projected to be 504 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 299.91%, with a net profit margin of 8.4% [3] - The company continues to invest in expanding production capacity in Vietnam, with a total capacity of 1.26 million spindles [3] Production and Sales Metrics - Total yarn production and sales are expected to be 254,200 and 242,300 tons, with year-on-year growth of 19.23% and 11.84% respectively [3] - The estimated capacity utilization rate is 104.6%, an increase of 16.9 percentage points year-on-year, with an average selling price of 32,400 yuan per ton [3] Profitability Analysis - The company's gross margin for 2024 is projected to be 10.2%, an increase of 1.55 percentage points year-on-year, driven by improved capacity utilization [4] - The net profit margin is expected to be 5.17%, a decrease of 2.12 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company has seen a decrease in various expense ratios, with management expenses declining due to reduced employee compensation [4] Inventory and Receivables - As of the end of 2024, inventory is expected to be 4.243 billion yuan, a decrease of 10% year-on-year, with raw materials and in-transit goods accounting for 62% [6] - Accounts receivable are projected to be 690 million yuan, an increase of 12% year-on-year, while accounts payable are expected to rise by 75% to 387 million yuan [6] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to see improved profitability due to the increasing share of colored yarn and recovery in Vietnam's profitability [7] - Long-term growth prospects remain strong, with ongoing expansion in Vietnam and an attractive dividend yield of 5% [7] - Revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 have been adjusted downward, with new projections for 2027 introduced [7]
百隆东方:2024年收入增长15%,扣非净利润同比转盈-20250417
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-17 03:35
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][35] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 15% in 2024, with a non-GAAP net profit turning positive [1] - The increase in the proportion of colored yarn and improved capacity utilization in Vietnam are key drivers for profit recovery [4][35] - Despite potential pressures from raw material price declines, the company anticipates that the increased share of colored yarn will help mitigate some negative impacts [4][35] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company is projected to generate operating revenue of 79.41 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.9%, with yarn sales reaching 242,300 tons, up 11.8% [1] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve by 1.55 percentage points to 10.20% due to order recovery and increased colored yarn sales [1] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 2.6 yuan per 10 shares, resulting in a payout ratio of 95.05% [1] Quarterly Performance - In Q4, the company reported revenue of 1.867 billion yuan, a 2.5% increase year-on-year, but faced a gross margin decline due to increased wage provisions [2] - The net profit for Q4 was a loss of 2.49 million yuan, although the loss was narrower compared to the previous year [2] Segment Analysis - Revenue from colored yarn increased by 29.1% to 4.056 billion yuan, accounting for 55% of total revenue, while gross margin for this segment was 11.22% [3] - The Vietnam base contributed 5.997 billion yuan in revenue, with a net profit of 504 million yuan, marking a significant improvement [3] Profit Forecast - The company has revised its profit forecasts downward due to uncertainties in tariff policies and declining cotton prices, projecting net profits of 460 million yuan, 540 million yuan, and 640 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][35] - The expected growth rates for net profit are 12.8%, 16.7%, and 19.1% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [4][35] Valuation Metrics - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 0.27 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.4 [5][36] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 4.3% in 2024, with a gradual increase in subsequent years [5][37]
百隆东方(601339):024年收入增长15%,扣非净利润同比转盈
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-17 02:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][35] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 15% in 2024, with a non-recurring net profit turning positive, reaching 2.20 billion yuan compared to a loss of 0.21 billion yuan in 2023 [1][4] - The company is the second-largest color-spun yarn manufacturer globally, benefiting from an increase in color-spun yarn sales and improved capacity utilization in Vietnam [1][4] - The gross margin is projected to improve by 1.55 percentage points to 10.20% in 2024, driven by order recovery and a higher proportion of color-spun yarn [1][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company is expected to generate operating revenue of 79.41 billion yuan, an increase of 14.9%, with yarn sales reaching 242,300 tons, up 11.8% [1][4] - The gross profit margin is anticipated to rise to 10.20%, with a significant reduction in expense ratio by 2.01 percentage points to 7.05% [1][4] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 2.6 yuan per 10 shares, with a payout ratio of 95.05% [1] Quarterly Performance - In Q4, the revenue was 1.867 billion yuan, a 2.5% increase year-on-year, but the gross margin decreased due to additional wage provisions for the Vietnam factory [2] - The net profit for Q4 was a loss of 2.49 million yuan, although the loss was narrower compared to previous periods [2] Business Segments - Color-spun yarn revenue increased by 29.1% to 40.56 billion yuan, accounting for 55% of total revenue, while gross margin for this segment was 11.22% [3] - The Vietnam base contributed significantly, with revenue of 59.97 billion yuan and a net profit of 5.04 billion yuan, reflecting a 299.9% increase [3] Future Outlook - The company expects continued improvement in profitability due to higher color-spun yarn sales and operational efficiency in Vietnam, despite potential short-term disruptions from tariff uncertainties [4][35] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 4.6 billion, 5.4 billion, and 6.4 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a growth of 12.8%, 16.7%, and 19.1% [4][35]
百隆东方20250416
2025-04-16 15:46
Summary of Baolong Oriental Conference Call Company Overview - Baolong Oriental achieved a record yarn sales volume of 242,000 tons in 2024, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 18.62% to 410 million yuan, primarily due to the impact of subsidiary equity transfer gains, leading to pressure on core business profits [2][3][4] - The company reported a revenue of 7.941 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.86% [3] Financial Performance - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 220 million yuan, indicating a turnaround from losses, with the Vietnamese factory showing significant recovery in profitability [2][3] - The domestic sales gross margin was only 2.29%, while the overseas sales gross margin reached 11.6% [3] - The gross margin for colored yarn was 16.67%, and for grey fabric, it was 6.6% [3] Impact of Tariffs - The U.S. tariffs imposed in April significantly affected Baolong Oriental's order intake, with a cautious approach from downstream garment factories, limiting orders to essential needs [5][6] - 77% of the company's production capacity is located in Vietnam's bonded zone, minimizing direct tariff impacts, but U.S. market exports remain affected [5][6] - Downstream garment factories are seeking orders from Europe and Japan to compensate for potential losses in the U.S. market, leading to increased competition in these regions [6][7][8] Market Conditions - The textile and apparel industry in Vietnam is experiencing weak order feedback for Q2, with heavy customer hesitation [9] - If a trade agreement is reached between Vietnam and the U.S., average tariffs may stabilize around 10%, potentially releasing blocked orders [9] - The company anticipates that cost pressures will normalize based on commercial negotiations, with pricing power dependent on order saturation [12] Future Outlook - The company holds a bearish outlook on cotton prices, expecting a decline due to reduced imports of U.S. cotton in China [22] - The company plans to maintain a high cash dividend payout ratio of 95% and has announced additional interim dividends [22] - The company is also focused on optimizing domestic production capacity due to the uncertain tariff environment, potentially leading to further adjustments in domestic operations [15][16] Production and Capacity - The Vietnamese factory's production capacity is expected to remain at 1.26 million spindles by the end of 2024, with potential increases if orders normalize in 2025 [23][24] - The domestic colored yarn business is underperforming, with gross margins between 2% and 3%, while the Vietnamese subsidiary reported profits of 500 million yuan [4][14] Recommendations for Industry Development - The management suggests that improving domestic demand and consumption capacity is crucial for enhancing the overall industry landscape, especially in light of the significant impact of U.S. tariffs on global markets [26]
百隆东方(601339):国内外产能盈利表现大幅分化,主动降减负债率
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been adjusted from "Buy" to "Outperform" [2][7][22] Core Insights - The company's 2024 revenue reached 7.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 410 million yuan, a decline of 18.6% year-on-year [7][8] - The company has seen a significant divergence in profitability between domestic and overseas operations, with overseas capacity accounting for 77% of total capacity by the end of 2024 [7] - The company is actively reducing its debt ratio and maintaining a high dividend payout, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.26 yuan per share, resulting in a cash dividend ratio of 95% [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 7.67 billion yuan, with a projected net profit of 500 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22% [6][17] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 10.2%, with a significant difference between domestic (2.3%) and overseas (11.6%) operations [7][10] - The company’s operating cash flow for 2024 was 1.38 billion yuan, a 71% increase year-on-year, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [7] Market Comparison - The company's current market capitalization is approximately 7.8 billion yuan, with a target market value of 8.7 billion yuan, indicating an upside potential of 11% [7][13] - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 16, 14, and 12 respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15% expected over the next three years [7][13]
机构风向标 | 百隆东方(601339)2024年四季度已披露前十大机构持股比例合计下跌2.96个百分点
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-16 01:10
Group 1 - Bailong Oriental (601339.SH) released its 2024 annual report on April 16, 2025, indicating that as of April 15, 2025, 71 institutional investors disclosed holding shares, totaling 777 million shares, which accounts for 51.83% of the total share capital [1] - The top ten institutional investors collectively hold 51.66% of the shares, with a decrease of 2.96 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1] Group 2 - In the public fund sector, one fund, Huatai-PB SSE Dividend ETF, increased its holdings by 0.85% compared to the previous period [2] - Three public funds reduced their holdings, including Xingquan Business Model Mixed (LOF) A, Xingquan New Vision Regular Open Mixed, and Pengyang Jingze One-Year Holding Mixed A, with a total reduction of 2.20% [2] - A total of 63 new public funds were disclosed this period, including Huabai S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity ETF and Guotai Junan Blue Chip Value Mixed [2]
百隆东方2024年度拟派3.9亿元红包
4月15日百隆东方发布2024年度分配预案,拟10派2.6元(含税),预计派现金额合计为3.90亿元。派现 额占净利润比例为95.05%,以该股2024年度成交均价计算,股息率为4.80%。这是公司上市以来,累计 第14次派现。 公司上市以来历次分配方案一览 | 日期 | 分配方案 | 派现金额合计(亿元) | 股息率(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2024.12.31 | 10派2.6元(含税) | 3.90 | 4.80 | | 2023.12.31 | 10派3元(含税) | 4.47 | 4.97 | | 2022.12.31 | 10派5元(含税) | 7.41 | 8.39 | | 2021.12.31 | 10派5元(含税) | 7.37 | 9.08 | | 2020.12.31 | 10派2元(含税) | 2.95 | 4.81 | | 2019.12.31 | 10派0.6元(含税) | 0.90 | 1.29 | | 2018.12.31 | 10派0.88元(含税) | 1.32 | 1.64 | | 2017.12.31 | 10派1元(含税) | ...
百隆东方(601339) - 百隆东方2024年度审计报告
2025-04-15 09:34
目 录 | 一、审计报告……………………………………………………… | 第 | 1—6 | | 页 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 二、财务报表……………………………………………………… | 第 | 7—14 | | 页 | | (一)合并资产负债表…………………………………………… | | 第 | 7 | 页 | | (二)母公司资产负债表………………………………………… | | 第 | 8 | 页 | | (三)合并利润表………………………………………………… | | 第 | 9 | 页 | | (四)母公司利润表………………………………………………第 | | 10 | | 页 | | (五)合并现金流量表……………………………………………第 | | 11 | | 页 | | (六)母公司现金流量表…………………………………………第 | | 12 | | 页 | | (七)合并所有者权益变动表……………………………………第 | | 13 | | 页 | | (八)母公司所有者权益变动表…………………………………第 | | 14 | | 页 | | 三、财务报表附注… ...
百隆东方(601339) - 百隆东方2024年度内控审计报告
2025-04-15 09:34
| | | | | | | 二、附件……………………………………………………………… 第 | 3—7 | 页 | | --- | --- | --- | | (一)本所营业执照复印件……………………………………… | 第 | 3 页 | | (二)本所会计师事务所执业证书复印件……………………… | 第 | 4 页 | | (三)本所从事证券服务业务备案完备证明材料……………… | 第 | 5 页 | | (四)本所注册会计师证书复印件……………………………第 | 6—7 | 页 | 内部控制审计报告 天健审〔2025〕4906 号 百隆东方股份有限公司全体股东: 按照《企业内部控制审计指引》及中国注册会计师执业准则的相关要求,我 们审计了百隆东方股份有限公司(以下简称百隆东方公司)2024 年 12 月 31 日 的财务报告内部控制的有效性。 一、企业对内部控制的责任 按照《企业内部控制基本规范》《企业内部控制应用指引》以及《企业内部 控制评价指引》的规定,建立健全和有效实施内部控制,并评价其有效性是百隆 东方公司董事会的责任。 二、注册会计师的责任 我们的责任是在实施审计工作的基础上,对财务报告内部控制的 ...
百隆东方(601339) - 百隆东方股东会议事规则
2025-04-15 09:33
百隆东方股份有限公司 股东会议事规则 二零二五年四月 1 | 第一章 | 总 则 | | 3 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 第二章 | 股东会的召集 | | 4 | | 第三章 | 股东会的提案与通知 | | 5 | | 第四章 | 股东会的召开 | | 6 | | 第五章 | 附 则 | | 12 | 百隆东方股份有限公司 股东会议事规则 (2025 年 4 月修订) 第一章 总 则 第一条 为规范公司行为,保证公司股东会依法行使职权,根据《中华人民 共和国公司法》(以下简称《公司法》)、《中华人民共和国证券法》(以下简称《证 券法》),参照《上市公司股东会规则》(以下简称《股东会规则》)等相关规定, 制定本规则。 第二条 公司严格按照法律、行政法规、《股东会规则》及《百隆东方股份 有限公司章程》(以下简称《公司章程》)的相关规定召开股东会,保证股东能够 依法行使权利。 公司董事会应当切实履行职责,认真、按时组织股东会。公司全体董事应当 勤勉尽责,确保股东会正常召开和依法行使职权。 第三条 股东会在《公司法》和《公司章程》规定的范围内行使职权。 第四条 股东会分为年度股东会和临 ...