闪德资讯，一个聚焦关注存储产业供应链和趋势变化的垂直媒体。 在库存方面，第三季存货降至约101亿元，较第二季的121亿元明显下滑，显示库存持续去化，有助后续毛利率修复。 机构指出，随着国际主要竞争对手逐步退出市场，以及车载与工业控制市场需求回暖，旺宏营运前景趋于乐观。 特别是NOR Flash价格在上半年有望延续上涨态势，使旺宏有机会在上半年实现扭亏为盈的目标。 制程方面，SLC NAND将由36纳米转进19纳米，有助降低单位成本。 同时，国际大厂陆续退出MLC NAND市场，也将提升旺宏在eMMC与相关应用的出货机会。 据闪德资讯获悉，旺宏电子内部公布了最新业绩。 2025年12月合并营收金额为26.32亿新台币，金额达26.32亿，较11月的24.44亿增长7.7%，较2024年同期大幅增长44.9%。 累计第四季度合并营收为77.33亿，较第三季度下滑超5%，与2024年同期相比略有下降。 2025年全年合并营收达288.8亿，同比增长11.6%。 ...

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2026-01-08 库存持续积压，多晶硅震荡下行 工业硅： 工业硅价格预计将维持区间震荡，供需双减的情况下叠加焦煤价格上涨与光伏产业链价格上涨传导效果，价格支 撑明显。上行高度取决于下游需求恢复和库存去化进度，下行空间则受成本支撑和减产预期限制。 单边：短期区间操作 跨期：无 跨品种：无 市场分析 2026-01-07，工业硅期货价格震荡上涨，主力合约2605开于9050元/吨，最后收于8980元/吨，较前一日结算变化（95） 元/吨，变化（1.07）%。截止收盘，2605主力合约持仓244734手，2026-01-06仓单总数为10799手，较前一日变化 112手。 供应端：工业硅现货价格基本持稳。据SMM数据，昨日华东通氧553#硅在9200-9300（0）元/吨；421#硅在9500-9800 （0）元/吨，新疆通氧553价格8600-8800（0）元/吨，99硅价格在8600-8800（0）元/吨。昆明、黄埔港、西北、天 津、新疆、四川、上海地区硅价持平，97硅价格持稳。 SMM统计12月31日工业硅主要地区社会库存共55.7万吨，较上周变化0.36%。 消费端：据SMM统 ...

增加临停装置以缓解供应压力，关注检修动态。农膜需求淡季，开工率维持下降趋势；包装膜需求跟进有 数据来源第三方，观点仅供参考。市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ 塑料产业日报 2026-01-07 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:聚乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6642 | 63 1月合约收盘价:聚乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6430 | 101 | | | 5月合约收盘价:聚乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6642 | 63 9月合约收盘价:聚乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6687 | 69 | | | 成交量(日,手) | 566498 | 108635 持仓量(日,手) | 505678 | -2207 | | | 1-5价差 | -212 | 38 期货前20名持仓:买单量:聚乙烯(日,手) | 430624 | -1454 | | | 期货前20名持仓:卖单量:聚乙烯(日,手) | 496022 | 6601 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:聚乙烯(日,手) | -65398 ...

能源化工日报 2026-01-07 橡胶 | | 原油 | | --- | --- | | | 2026/01/07 原油 | | 能源化工组 | 【行情资讯】 | | | INE 主力原油期货收涨 1.40 元/桶，涨幅 0.33%，报 428.20 元/桶；相关成品油主力期货高硫 | | 张正华 | 燃料油收涨 18.00 元/吨，涨幅 0.73%，报 2479.00 元/吨；低硫燃料油收涨 8.00 元/吨，涨幅 | | 橡胶分析师 | 0.27%，报 2925.00 元/吨。 | | 从业资格号：F270766 | 中国原油周度数据出炉，原油到港库存去库 2.10 百万桶至 205.11 百万桶，环比去库 1.02%； | | 交易咨询号：Z0003000 | 汽油商业库存累库 0.58 百万桶至 89.62 百万桶，环比累库 0.65%；柴油商业库存累库 0.42 百 | |  0755-233753333 | 万桶至 92.56 百万桶，环比累库 0.45%；总成品油商业库存累库 1.00 百万桶至 182.18 百万 | |  zhangzh@wkqh.cn | 桶，环比累库 0.55%。 ...

在小业主主动降价卖房之下，2025年广州二手房成交量基本稳住。据广州中原研究发展部数据，2025年(统计周期：2024年12月26日至2025年12月25日， 下同)广州二手住宅网签(自助网签+中介网签)108812套，一手住宅网网签63755套，全年大约网签172567套房。 坐标广州越秀区，一家拥有四家门店的中介公司在2025年流失了约10%的经纪人，另有6人转兼职岗。该中介公司负责人表示，其司在2025年促成房地产 交易的营业绩同比降了20%，促成成交的房源房价也同比降了约20%至30%。 二手房全年卖了超10万套，房价为近五年低位 据广州房地产中介协会数据，2025年12月(统计周期:11月26日至12月25日)，广州市二手住宅网签套数和面积分别为8787套、87.60万平方米，环比分别小 幅下降4.40%和4.23%。当中南沙区、天河区和荔湾区的成交有所增长，其余区域均有所下降。 在2025年全年，广州二手住宅共成交108812套，同比微跌1.8%，但比2022年高出32%；成交均价为26420元/㎡，同比降了6.7%，为2021年以来的最低位。 广州中原研究发展部数据指出，目前二手楼市成交表现平稳 ...

新能源及有色金属月报 | 2026-01-04 产需不匹配格局仍存，多晶硅偏强宽幅震荡 工业硅：供需双弱下，价格区间震荡，成本维持支撑 现货市场 供应：据百川盈孚统计，截止12月底，国内工业硅总炉数796台，12月开炉数量与11月相比增加 23 台，截至 12 月 25日，中国金属硅开工炉数 243 台，整体开炉率 30.53%。 12月西北开炉增加明显，西北地区金属硅开工增加， 其中新疆地区开炉数 152 台，陕西开炉数 1台，青海开炉数 3台，宁夏开炉 18 台，甘肃开炉 18台。月度产量环 比增加较多，2025年11月份工业硅预计产量在40.17万吨，环比减少11.2%，同比减少0.7%。2025年1-11月工业硅累 计产量387.16万吨，同比减少15.2%。近期硅企开工有增有减，以减为主，预计工业硅供应量预期减弱。 消费：12月下游需求延续收紧趋势。多晶硅方面，持续收紧但整体下降幅度不大。虽然西南地区受枯水期影响， 部分企业大幅减产甚至停产，但西北地区存在增量情况，对金属硅需求减少。12月产量多晶硅产量约11.45万吨， 较上月小幅降低。有机硅12月底开工率在 68.33%，华东，华北多家单体厂降负 ...

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 来源：华泰期货 作者： 师橙 市场分析 2025-12-30，碳酸锂主力合约2605开于117000元/吨，收于121580元/吨，当日收盘价较昨日结算价变 化-3.77%。当日成交量为459530手，持仓量为511309手，前一交易日持仓量512345手，根据SMM现货 报价，目前基差为-1960元/吨（电碳均价-期货）。当日碳酸锂仓单19491手，较上个交易日变化1300 手。 碳酸锂现货：根据SMM数据，电池级碳酸锂报价114000-122000元/吨，较前一交易日变化0元/吨，工业 级碳酸锂报价112000-118000元/吨，较前一交易日变化0元/吨。6%锂精矿价格1550美元/吨，较前一日变 化-15美元/吨。广期所公告，自2025年12月30日（星期二）结算时起，碳酸锂期货合约涨跌停板幅度调 整为10%，投机交易保证金标准调整为12%，套期保值交易保证金标准调整为11%，2026年1月5日（星 期一）恢复交易后，在各品种期货持仓量最大的合约未出现涨跌停板单边无连续报价的第一个交易日结 算时起，碳酸锂期货合约涨跌停板幅度、投机交易保 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - In the stock index strategy, some institutions have pre - started the Spring Market. With the growth of aerospace, satellite, robot, and battery sectors, the growth - style CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices have strengthened. After the New Year, funds are expected to enter the market, and it is advisable to establish long positions in stock index futures and buy out - of - the - money long - term call options on the CSI 1000 index before the New Year's Day. For the treasury bond strategy, it is recommended to conduct band operations in the volatile pattern. In the precious metals market, due to increased short - term fluctuations, it is necessary to adjust positions and control risks. For various agricultural, livestock, energy - chemical, black - building materials, and non - ferrous metal products, corresponding trading strategies and risk - avoidance measures are provided according to their respective market conditions [4][5][6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index - Some institutions have pre - started the Spring Market. The CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices in the growth style have strengthened. After the New Year, funds are expected to enter the market from corporate to household and then to securities accounts. It is advisable to establish long positions in stock index futures with growth - related indices as the main targets before New Year's Day and buy out - of - the - money long - term call options on the CSI 1000 index [4] Treasury Bond - The fourth - quarter macroeconomic data shows that stabilizing growth remains the policy focus. The central bank will adjust the intensity, rhythm, and timing of monetary policy. Treasury bond futures maintained a volatile pattern in December and are expected to continue after the New Year [9] Precious Metals - The market's expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut in January next year is below 20%. The CME Group raised the performance margin for gold, silver, and other metal futures, triggering a short - term sharp correction in precious metals. It is necessary to adjust positions and control risks [13] Agricultural and Livestock Products Three Oils and Two Meals - Hold existing long positions in the 2605 contracts of soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil, but do not chase the high. Be wary of the potential negative impact of the increase in Malaysian palm oil inventory after the festival. Hold long positions in the two meals at low levels. Provide support and resistance levels for each contract [16][21] Sugar and Jujube - For sugar, the domestic sugar market is currently dull. During the festival, focus on the trend of ICE raw sugar. It is advisable to wait and see, and reduce long positions or buy out - of - the - money put options. For jujube, there are still insufficient positive factors in the medium - to - long - term, and it is recommended to reduce long positions or use options for hedging [24] Cotton, Apple, and Log - Cotton may adjust in the short term, but the bottom support is strong. Apple's futures price is likely to remain in a high - level range - bound due to the structural contradiction of low inventory and low high - quality fruit rate. Logs are expected to maintain a low - level range - bound, and it is recommended to conduct range operations and pay attention to capital trends [17][26][27] Corn, Pig, and Egg - For corn, it is recommended to take profits on previous long positions and hold a light or empty position during the festival. Pig prices are seasonally strong in the short term, and it is necessary to manage positions during the festival. Egg prices are oscillating strongly in the short term, and it is necessary to pay attention to the scale of chicken culling in January and manage positions during the festival [18][29][30][32] Energy and Chemical Products Crude Oil - The EIA inventory increased. Geopolitical tensions between the US and Venezuela are rising. The market believes that there is a chance for the Russia - Ukraine situation to ease, and there are concerns about long - term oversupply. It is recommended to hold a light position and be wary of the escalation of geopolitical risks [38] Lithium Carbonate - Some positive material factories are jointly overhauling, but the production of some links is decreasing. The non - ferrous and precious metals sector has corrected before the festival, and the exchange has introduced restrictive measures. It is necessary to pay attention to position management and the support level of 115,000 yuan/ton [40] Methanol - The port inventory is high, but the port market is stronger than the inland market. Iranian methanol production has decreased, and the import volume is expected to decline significantly in mid - to - late January. The main contract has strong support below and is limited by polyolefin prices above. It is recommended to continue holding long positions and pay attention to port inventory reduction and Iranian plant operations [43] Urea - The inventory pressure of upstream factories has been relieved. Some urea plants are reducing production due to environmental protection. The spring plowing season is coming. The short - term price is slightly strong, and it is recommended to hold long positions cautiously [46] Bottle Chips - The production and supply of bottle chips have changed little, and downstream demand is gradually improving. The short - term price fluctuates with raw materials, and it is advisable to take a bullish view. Be wary of significant fluctuations in crude oil during the festival [48] Pure Benzene - The arbitrage window between Asia and America has opened, and the port is slightly accumulating inventory, but the speed has slowed down. The downstream demand has declined, and the short - term price is in a wide - range oscillation. It is recommended to take a bullish view on dips and pay attention to port arrivals and the transaction price in the US dollar pure - benzene market. Be wary of significant fluctuations in crude oil during the festival [51] Rubber System - For natural rubber, the upward momentum has weakened, the port inventory is accumulating, and some downstream tire enterprises have maintenance plans. It is recommended to reduce long positions or use options for hedging. For synthetic rubber, the price of upstream raw materials has risen, and the cost is supportive. It is recommended to take partial profits on long positions or use options for hedging [54] Black and Building Materials Steel - The supply and demand of the five major steel products have decreased, the inventory is being depleted, and the winter storage market has not started yet. The inventory may accumulate later. The market is expected to be volatile during the festival. It is recommended to hold a light or empty position [61] Iron Ore - The fundamentals are expected to change little during the festival. The daily average pig iron production has increased slightly, the arrival volume has decreased, and the shipping volume has increased seasonally. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile. Pay attention to the shipping situation of foreign mines. It is recommended to hold a light or empty position [64] Coking Coal and Coke - The coal mine production is stable, and the import volume is high. The downstream steel mill profitability has stopped falling, and the pig iron production has stabilized. The traditional winter storage demand is not obvious, but the rigid demand before the Spring Festival may support the price. The fourth round of coke price cuts may be implemented on January 1. The double - coke market is expected to be range - bound before and after the festival, and it is not recommended to chase short positions [67] Ferroalloys - The supply of manganese silicon is relatively loose, and the supply of silicon iron is in a tight - balance state. Due to the winter storage expectation, the double - silicon may have a concentrated replenishment after the festival. The market sentiment is positive, and the market performance is strong. It is recommended to hold a light position and not hold short positions during the festival [72] Non - Ferrous Metals Copper - The Shanghai copper main contract is near the technical resistance level and close to the overbought state. Combined with year - end capital repatriation and profit - taking, short - term fluctuations will intensify [74][79] Aluminum - Shanghai aluminum is in a game between cost support and inventory pressure. It has no basis for a deep decline but lacks demand - driven upward momentum. It is not advisable to chase short positions or hold heavy long positions before the festival [75][81] Alumina - The alumina price is in a historical low range, but lacks clear demand - driven rebound momentum. It is not advisable to chase short positions or hold heavy long positions before the festival. After the festival, pay attention to the downstream resumption rhythm and inventory depletion speed [76][85] Caustic Soda - The current price is at a historical low. It is not recommended to chase short positions unilaterally. Pay attention to the maintenance announcements of chlor - alkali enterprises in Shandong and Jiangsu and the procurement dynamics of alumina factories before the festival [76][89]

晨报 碳酸锂 原材料： 冯艳成 从业资格号：F3059529 投资咨询号：Z0018932 电话：010-62688516 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 成文时间： 逻辑：云贵区域短流程建筑钢材生产企业春节期间停产检修时间大多 在 1 月中下旬，复产时间预计在正月初十一至正月十六左右，停产期间预 计影响建筑钢材总产量 74.1 万吨。安徽省 6 家短流程钢厂，1 家钢厂已 于 1 月 5 日开始停产；其余大部分钢厂均表示将于 1 月中旬左右停产放假， 个别钢厂预计 1 月 20 日后停产放假，停产期间日度影响产量 1.62 万吨左 右。2024 年 12 月 30 日-2025 年 1 月 5 日，10 个重点城市新建商品房成 交（签约）面积总计 223.4 万平方米，环比下降 40.3%，同比增长 43.2%。 证监许可【2011】1452 号 成 材：武秋婷 逻辑:昨日碳酸锂期货走势剧烈波动，日内振幅超 13%。主力合约高开 高走，随后盘面快速回落，触及跌停板 11.74 万元/吨，日内跌幅超过 8%， 收至 118820 元/吨。成交活跃度 ...

有色金属日报 2025-12-30 五矿期货早报 | 有色金属 有色金属小组 吴坤金 从业资格号：F3036210 交易咨询号：Z0015924 0755-23375135 wukj1@wkqh.cn 曾宇轲 从业资格号：F03121027 交易咨询号：Z0023147 0755-23375139 zengyuke@wkqh.cn 张世骄 从业资格号：F03120988 交易咨询号：Z0023261 0755-23375122 zhangsj3@wkqh.cn 王梓铧 从业资格号：F03130785 0755-23375132 wangzh7@wkqh.cn 刘显杰 从业资格号：F03130746 0755-23375125 liuxianjie@wkqh.cn 陈逸 从业资格号：F03137504 0755-23375125 cheny40@wkqh.cn 陈仪方 从业资格号：F03152004 0755-23375125 chenyf3@wkqh.cn 贵金属大幅调整，铜价冲高后大幅回落，昨日伦铜较假期前收涨 0.45%至 12187 元/吨，沪铜主力合 约收至 96060 元/吨。LME 铜库存减少 2 ...