事件 4 月 7 日，公司发布 2025 年一季度业绩预增公告，公司预计 25Q1 实现归母净利润 28.22 亿元-32.26 亿元，与上年同期（法定披露 数据）相比增加 18.14 亿元-22.18 亿元，同比增长 180%-220%， 业绩高增。 经营分析 25Q1 产品交付量增加，一季度业绩高增。24 年 11 月 5 日国铁集 团新招标 80 组 350 公里"复兴号"动车组，全年共累计招标 245 组，远超 23 年全年（23 年招标 164 组）。受益于动车组招标量显 著提升，看好公司动车组业务收入提升。根据公司公告，受益产品 交付量增加，公司预计 25Q1 实现归母净利润 28.22 亿元-32.26 亿 元，同比+180%-220%，经营业绩高增。 动车组需求持续复苏，看好公司动车组收入增长。2025 年，国铁 集团工作会议提出目标：国家铁路客运量 42.8 亿人，同比+4.9%， 力争完成基建投资 5900 亿元，投产新线 2600 公里。2025 年国家 铁路投产新线目标值较 2024 年 1000 公里的目标值大幅提升，看 好 2025 年铁路装备需求持续复苏。根据国家铁路局，1-2M ...

首批科创板创新药ETF上报 首批2只科创板创新药ETF于今日报会，将进一步丰富科创板行业主题ETF产品链，便利投资者进行科 创板配置。此外，今日还有科创板新能源ETF、科创板100ETF等产品获批。科创板指数ETF产品加速扩 容。今年以来，已有31只科创板ETF上市，标的涵盖科创综指、科创200等宽基，以及科创人工智能、 科创芯片等行业主题，反映出市场对科创板投资价值的认可和坚定信心。（人民财讯） 今天上午，一张显示"微软停止中国区运营"的邮件截图在社交软件上流传，该邮件内容称：由于地缘政 治及国际业务环境的变化，微软将调整其全球战略布局，并将于2025年4月8日起正式停止在中国区的运 营。据了解，此邮件为上海微创公司信息。有微创内部员工向新浪科技透露称，"此次波及业务主要包 括office相关业务外包部门。"并提到，"3号通知的领导，4号就没有工作做了，今天领导就直接跟我们 说了。我们这边整个项目组都被端了，大概四五百人吧，正在排队等约谈，有n+1。"截至发稿，微软 官方暂无回应。对此，新浪科技拨通了微创软件官方电话，相关工作人员表示，"还没有得到消息，也 没有对外发布的权限，请以官方消息为准。"截至发稿， ...

| 证券代码：601766（A | 股） | 股票简称：中国中车（A | 股） | 编号：临 | 2025-020 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码： 1766（H | 股） | 股票简称：中国中车（H | 股） | | | 中国中车股份有限公司 2025 年第一季度业绩预增公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 中国中车股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）预计 2025 年第一季度实现归 属于上市公司股东的净利润 28.22 亿元－32.26 亿元，与上年同期（法定披露数 据）相比，预计增加 18.14 亿元－22.18 亿元，同比增长 180%-220%。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 （一）归属于上市公司股东的净利润：10.08 亿元。归属于上市公司股东的 扣除非经常性损益的净利润：6.68 亿元。 1 （二）每股收益：0.04 元。 三、本期业绩预增的主要原因 报告期内公司业绩的增长主要是报告期内产品销量较上年同期有所增长所 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for China CNR Corporation (601766) [2][8] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 246.46 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.39 billion yuan, up 5.77% year-on-year [2][4] - The rapid growth in the high-speed train business is a significant driver for the company's performance, with a notable increase in sales volume and contracts signed for maintenance services [2][8] Financial Performance Summary - **2024 Financial Results**: - Total revenue: 246,457 million yuan, up 5.21% year-on-year - Net profit attributable to shareholders: 12,388 million yuan, up 5.77% year-on-year - Non-recurring net profit: 10,143 million yuan, up 11.38% year-on-year - Q4 revenue: 93,874 million yuan, up 2.90% year-on-year; Q4 net profit: 5,143 million yuan, down 7.51% year-on-year [2][4] - **Future Financial Projections**: - Expected revenue for 2025: 258,996 million yuan; 2026: 274,339 million yuan; 2027: 291,829 million yuan - Expected net profit for 2025: 13,408 million yuan; 2026: 14,422 million yuan; 2027: 15,357 million yuan - Corresponding EPS for 2025: 0.47 yuan; 2026: 0.50 yuan; 2027: 0.54 yuan [4][9] Business Segment Performance - **Railway Equipment**: - Revenue in 2024: 1,104.61 billion yuan, up 12.51% year-on-year - High-speed train revenue: 624.32 billion yuan, up 49.26% year-on-year [2][8] - **Urban Rail and Infrastructure**: - Revenue in 2024: 454.40 billion yuan, down 9.72% year-on-year, primarily due to reduced urban rail project income [2][8] - **New Industries**: - Revenue in 2024: 863.75 billion yuan, up 7.13% year-on-year, driven by increased clean energy equipment sales [2][8] Market Outlook - The report highlights a positive outlook for the company, driven by increasing passenger traffic, maintenance cycles, and equipment upgrades, indicating a new growth cycle for China CNR Corporation [2][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2][7][12] Core Views - The report highlights that the railway equipment market remains robust, with the leading company in urban rail equipment poised for growth [2][7] - The company achieved a revenue of 246.46 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.21%, and a net profit of 12.39 billion yuan, up 5.77% year-on-year [7][8] - The company signed new orders worth approximately 322.2 billion yuan in 2024, with an international business component of about 47.2 billion yuan [7][8] Financial Data and Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 234.26 billion yuan - 2024: 246.46 billion yuan - 2025E: 269.51 billion yuan - 2026E: 288.82 billion yuan - 2027E: 303.33 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 5.1% for 2023, 5.2% for 2024, 9.4% for 2025, 7.2% for 2026, and 5.0% for 2027 [6][8] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 11.71 billion yuan - 2024: 12.39 billion yuan - 2025E: 13.46 billion yuan - 2026E: 14.65 billion yuan - 2027E: 15.70 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected at 0.5% for 2023, 5.8% for 2024, 8.6% for 2025, 8.8% for 2026, and 7.2% for 2027 [6][8] Business Structure and Performance - The company's core business segments and their performance in 2024 are as follows: - Railway: Revenue of 110.46 billion yuan, up 12.50% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 24.72% [7][8] - Urban Rail: Revenue of 45.44 billion yuan, down 9.72% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 19.95% [7][8] - New Industries: Revenue of 86.38 billion yuan, up 7.13% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 17.52% [7][8] - Modern Services: Revenue of 4.18 billion yuan, down 18.22% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 28.42% [7][8] Profitability and Cash Flow - The company's gross margin for 2024 is 21.38%, with a net profit margin of 6.36% [7][8] - The operating cash flow for 2024 is reported at 27.13 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 84.27% year-on-year [7][8] Valuation and Market Position - The report estimates a reasonable market value range for the company between 215.3 billion yuan and 255.7 billion yuan, with a target price of 7.50 to 8.91 yuan per share based on a projected EPS of 0.47 yuan for 2025 [12][8] - The company is positioned as a leading manufacturer of urban rail equipment and is expected to benefit from growth in the wind power and other emerging industries [12][8]

致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年3月31日 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 中國中車股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年4月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01766 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 4,371,066,040 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 4,371,066,040 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 4,371,066,040 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 4,371,066,040 | | 2. 股份分 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China CRRC Corporation Limited (601766.SH) [9][12]. Core Views - The railway equipment sector is experiencing an upward trend, with revenue from high-speed trains and railway maintenance services increasing. The new strategic industries are expanding rapidly. Looking ahead to 2025, the first tender for high-speed train major repairs has been launched, indicating continued growth in the high-speed train business and potential improvements in locomotive operations, alongside the development of new strategic industries, suggesting stable operational growth for the company [2][12]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 246.46 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.39 billion yuan, up 5.77% year-on-year. In Q4 2024, revenue reached 93.87 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50.09%. The net profit for Q4 was 5.14 billion yuan, down 7.51% year-on-year but up 68.93% quarter-on-quarter [6][12]. Business Segment Analysis - The railway equipment business generated revenue of 110.46 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.50%, primarily driven by a nearly 50% increase in high-speed train revenue, which amounted to 62.43 billion yuan. The gross margin for this segment was 24.72%, up 1.00 percentage point year-on-year. The urban rail and infrastructure segment saw revenue decline by 9.72% to 45.44 billion yuan, while the new strategic industries generated 86.38 billion yuan, up 7.13% year-on-year, mainly due to increased revenue from clean energy equipment [12][12]. Market and Order Status - The domestic market revenue for 2024 was 218.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.61%, accounting for 88.5% of total revenue. The company secured new orders worth 322.2 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 8% year-on-year, with overseas orders amounting to 47.2 billion yuan. As of the end of 2024, the company had a backlog of orders totaling 318.1 billion yuan, up 18% year-on-year, indicating a historically high order level and expected stable growth in operations for 2025 [12][12]. Research and Development - The company maintained high R&D investment, totaling 16.69 billion yuan in 2024, which accounted for 6.77% of revenue. This commitment to R&D is expected to support the company's growth and innovation in the railway equipment and new strategic industries [12][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 246.46 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.39 billion yuan, up 5.77% year-on-year, slightly below market expectations [5][8] - The railway equipment segment showed robust growth, with total revenue of 110.46 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.50%, driven by a significant 49.26% increase in the high-speed train segment [8] - The company has a strong order backlog, with new orders signed in 2024 amounting to approximately 322.2 billion yuan, a 7.90% increase year-on-year, and an ending backlog of about 318.1 billion yuan, up 17.68% year-on-year [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 234.26 billion yuan in 2023 to 283.67 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.3% [7][10] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 11.71 billion yuan in 2023 to 15.25 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 7.9% [7][10] - The company’s gross margin improved to 21.38% in 2024, an increase of 0.84 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin rose to 6.36%, up 0.14 percentage points year-on-year [8] Segment Performance - Revenue from the railway equipment maintenance segment reached 41.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.21%, accounting for 37.83% of total railway equipment revenue [8] - Domestic market revenue was 218.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.61%, while international revenue was 28.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.18% [8] Market Outlook - The report expresses confidence in the demand for railway equipment in 2025, supported by a 5.1% year-on-year increase in fixed asset investment in railways during the first two months of 2025 [8] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from its strong market position and the overall growth in the railway sector [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China CRRC (601766) with a target price of 8.46 CNY over the next six months, compared to the current price of 7.06 CNY [1][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 246.46 billion CNY for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.2%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 12.39 billion CNY, up 5.8% year-on-year. The significant growth in the high-speed train business, with a revenue increase of 49.3%, was a key driver of this performance [7][12]. - The railway equipment segment led the growth, achieving a revenue of 110.46 billion CNY, a 12.5% increase year-on-year, with an improved gross margin of 24.7% [7][12]. - The company is expected to benefit from the replacement policy for equipment and the increased volume of high-speed train maintenance, which is projected to drive stable growth in performance [7][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2464.57 billion CNY, with a net profit of 123.88 billion CNY. The fourth quarter saw a revenue of 938.7 billion CNY, a 2.9% increase year-on-year, but a net profit decline of 7.5% [2][7]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 21.4%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 6.4%, up 0.1 percentage points [7][12]. Revenue Projections - Revenue is projected to grow to 2668.35 billion CNY in 2025, 2845.91 billion CNY in 2026, and 2976.35 billion CNY in 2027, with respective growth rates of 8.27%, 6.65%, and 4.58% [2][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 136.04 billion CNY in 2025, 146.20 billion CNY in 2026, and 156.60 billion CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 8% [2][12]. Business Segments - The railway equipment segment is expected to see a revenue increase of 15%, 10%, and 5% from 2025 to 2027, driven by stable bidding for vehicles and maintenance services [8][12]. - The urban rail segment is projected to experience a slight decline in revenue growth, while the new industries segment is expected to grow at a rate of 5% annually [8][12]. Valuation - The report suggests a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18 for 2025, indicating a target price of 8.46 CNY, reflecting the company's leading position in the rail transportation sector [12][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China CNR Corporation (601766) with a target price of 8.46 CNY over the next six months, compared to the current price of 7.06 CNY [1][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 246.46 billion CNY for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.2%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 12.39 billion CNY, up 5.8% year-on-year. The significant growth in the high-speed train business, with a revenue increase of 49.3%, was a key driver of this performance [7][12]. - The railway equipment segment led the growth, achieving a revenue of 110.46 billion CNY, a 12.5% increase year-on-year, with an improved gross margin of 24.7% [7][12]. - The company is expected to benefit from the replacement policy for equipment and the increased volume of high-speed train maintenance, which is projected to drive stable growth in performance [7][12]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: The company anticipates revenues of 266.83 billion CNY in 2025, 284.59 billion CNY in 2026, and 297.63 billion CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 8.27%, 6.65%, and 4.58% respectively [2][8]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 13.60 billion CNY, 14.62 billion CNY, and 15.66 billion CNY, with compound annual growth of 8% [2][12]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Projected EPS for the next three years is 0.47 CNY in 2025, 0.51 CNY in 2026, and 0.55 CNY in 2027 [2][12]. - **Valuation Metrics**: The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 15 in 2025 to 13 in 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [2][12]. Business Segment Analysis - **Railway Equipment**: This segment is projected to grow at rates of 15%, 10%, and 5% from 2025 to 2027, with a gross margin improvement expected due to the higher proportion of high-speed train maintenance [8][12]. - **Urban Rail and Infrastructure**: Expected to see slight declines in revenue growth, with projections of -1.0% in 2025, 0.3% in 2026, and 1.4% in 2027 [9][12]. - **New Industries**: This segment is anticipated to grow at a steady rate of 5% annually from 2025 to 2027, benefiting from the company's technological advantages [9][12].