证券之星消息，8月5日农商行板块较上一交易日上涨1.53%，常熟银行领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3617.6，上涨0.96%。深证成指报收于11106.96，上涨0.59%。农商行板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601128 | 常熟银行 | 7.66 | 2.68% | 59.85万 | | 4.55 乙 | | 002807 | 江阴银行 | 4.80 | 2.56% | 38.42万 | | 1.83亿 | | 002839 | 张家港行 | 4.57 | 2.01% | 61.83万 | | 2.80亿 | | 002958 | 青农商行 | 3.57 | 2.00% | 56.40万 | | 2.00亿 | | 601528 | 瑞丰银行 | 5.75 | 1.77% | 16.11万 | | 9221.14万 | | 601860 | 紫金银行 | 3.03 | 1.68% | 75.96万 | | 2.29亿 | | 603323 ...

从资金流向上来看，当日农商行板块主力资金净流入9922.62万元，游资资金净流出6846.34万元，散户资 金净流出3076.28万元。农商行板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601077 論农商行 | | 8820.26万 | 16.26% | -7767.31万 | -14.32% | -1052.94万 | -1.94% | | 601860 | 紫金银行 | 1762.72万 | 9.60% | -945.55万 | -5.15% | -817.18万 | -4.45% | | 601128 常熟银行 | | 1351.48万 | 6.16% | 48.55万 | 4 0.22% | -1400.03万 | -6.38% | | 002839 张家港行 | | 468.53万 | 2.83% | 332.46万 | 2.01% | -800.99万 | -4.84% | ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a low open and high close, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.66% to 3583.31 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.46% to 11041.56 points, and the ChiNext Index increasing by 0.5% to 2334.32 points, while the STAR 50 Index rose by 1.22% to 1049.41 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was nearly 1.5 trillion, a decrease of 998 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 3800 stocks in the market saw gains, indicating a generally positive sentiment despite mixed sector performance [1] Sector Performance Military Industry - The military sector saw significant gains, with stocks like Changcheng Military Industry and Aerospace Electronics hitting the daily limit [3] - Catalysts for this surge included the fifth anniversary of the Beidou-3 global satellite navigation system and increased global military spending due to geopolitical tensions [3] Banking Sector - Bank stocks collectively strengthened, with Agricultural Bank of China reaching a historical high [2] - Five listed banks reported positive net profit growth for the first half of 2025, with four banks achieving double-digit increases [2] Semiconductor Industry - Semiconductor stocks showed a strong upward trend, with Huahong Semiconductor reaching a historical high [4] - The global silicon wafer shipment volume is projected to grow by 9.6% year-on-year in Q2 2025, indicating robust demand in the sector [4] Robotics Sector - The robotics and reducer sectors remained active, with companies like Zhongma Transmission and Dongjie Intelligent seeing significant gains [5] - The upcoming World Robot Conference is expected to showcase over 100 new intelligent robot products, indicating a growing market [5] Analyst Insights - CITIC Securities highlighted that market trends dictate the behavior of leading funds, which tend to favor high-consensus stocks rather than low-position stocks [6] - Shenwan Hongyuan noted that the market is returning to a volatile phase, with potential upward movements expected before the September 3 military parade [7] - Dongfang Securities suggested that while there is a high probability of weekly adjustments, the downside is limited, and sectors like AI, military, and pharmaceuticals still present significant investment opportunities [8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight (Maintain)" [2] Core Insights - The new bond value-added tax regulation is expected to have a static impact of approximately 0.4% on annual revenue and 0.95% on profit for listed banks [6][14] - The report emphasizes the importance of banks enhancing their trading capabilities in the medium to long term due to the new tax implications [6][11] - The investment recommendation focuses on the stability and sustainability of the banking sector, highlighting two main stock selection strategies: regional banks with strong certainty and large banks with high dividend yields [6][18] Summary by Sections Background - The report discusses the need to adjust fund allocation, optimize the bond market pricing mechanism, and deepen fiscal and tax system reforms [10][11] Impact on Bank Behavior - In the short term, banks can mitigate the impact of increased tax costs through the realization of floating profits in OCI accounts, while in the long term, there will be a greater emphasis on improving trading capabilities [11][12] Impact on Bank Performance - The static assessment indicates that the increase in tax costs will affect annual revenue by about 0.4%, with a projected increase in tax costs of approximately 232 billion yuan for the next year [14][15] - The cumulative tax cost increase over five years is estimated to be around 1,439 billion yuan, representing about 2.7% of the projected revenue for 2025 [14][15] Investment Recommendations - The report continues to recommend focusing on bank sector stocks, particularly emphasizing regional banks with strong advantages and large banks known for their high dividends [18][19]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the banking sector, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by over 5% in the next 3-6 months [24]. Core Insights - The introduction of new VAT regulations on bond interest income is expected to favor older bonds, as they remain exempt from VAT, thus enhancing their attractiveness and potentially driving up their prices [2][3]. - The banking sector's dividend yield is projected to be around 3.8% in 2025, significantly higher than the 10-year government bond yield of approximately 1.7%, highlighting the advantages of high-dividend assets in a declining interest rate environment [3][8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of strategic allocation within the banking sector, particularly focusing on state-owned banks and select regional banks with strong asset quality and dividend policies [8]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The report notes a decline in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.94% and the ChiNext Index down by 0.74% during the week of July 28 to August 3, 2025 [7]. - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market was 11,292.71 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 7.96% compared to the previous week [7]. Bond Market Impact - The new VAT regulations apply only to newly issued government bonds, local bonds, and financial bonds, while existing bonds continue to enjoy tax exemptions, making them more favorable for banks [2]. - The proportion of government and policy financial bonds held by major banks exceeds 70%, indicating a strong focus on these assets [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a diversified investment strategy focusing on high-dividend banks, particularly large state-owned banks and stable joint-stock banks like China Merchants Bank and CITIC Bank [8]. - It also highlights the potential for improved return on equity (ROE) in undervalued joint-stock banks, recommending attention to banks like Shanghai Pudong Development Bank [8]. Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key banks, with recommendations for several banks based on their projected performance [9]. - For instance, China Merchants Bank is expected to have an EPS of 5.86 yuan in 2025 with a PE ratio of 7.58, indicating a strong investment case [9].

| 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入(元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600908 | 无锡银行 | 1350.54万 | 16.10% | -1062.60万 | -12.67% | -287.94万 | -3.43% | | 601860 | 紫金银行 | 1115.48万 | 6.01% | 377.82万 | 2.04% | -1493.30万 | -8.04% | | 601128 | 常熟银行 | 789.98万 | 4.44% | -371.05万 | -2.08% | -418.92万 | -2.35% | | 002958 青农商行 | | 718.15万 | 4.32% | -87.24万 | -0.52% | -630.91万 | -3.80% | | 002807 | 江阴银行 | 472.97万 | 4.74% | -663.01万 | -6.64% | 190.03万 | 1.90% | | 601528 瑞丰银 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002958 | 青农商行 | 3.58 | 1.70% | 83.03万 | 2.97亿 | | 601077 | 渝农商行 | 6.83 | 1.04% | 74.77万 | 5.12亿 | | 002839 | 张家港行 | 4.56 | 0.66% | 41.21万 | 1.88 亿 | | 600908 | 无锡银行 | 6.12 | 0.49% | 15.38万 | 9420.77万 | | 002807 | 江阴银行 | 4.73 | 0.42% | 25.60万 | 1.21亿 | | 601128 | 常熟银行 | 7.48 | 0.40% | 36.59万 | 2.75亿 | | 603323 | 苏农银行 | 5.44 | 0.37% | 31.07万 | 1.70亿 | | 601528 | 瑞丰银行 | 5.73 | 0.35% | 13.63万 | 7823.52万 | | 601825 | 沪农商行 | 9.15 | ...

经济导报记者 刘勇 与此同时，多家银行已经披露2025年中期分红计划。 受访的业内人士认为，银行推出中期分红可以让投资者更早享受银行成长红利。"从已披露2025年半年度业绩快报看，部分银行上半年营业收入和归母净 利润均有所增长，因此中期分红的总额也会有一定程度的增长。"银行业分析师张鹏博表示。 7月22日，成都银行发布2024年年度权益分派实施公告。根据公告，本次利润分配以总股本42.38亿股为基数，每股派发现金红利0.891元（含税），合计派 发现金红利约37.76亿元。股权登记日为7月25日，除权（息）日及现金红利发放日均为7月28日。 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 2024年度分红总额(亿元) | 2024年度现金分红比例(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001.SZ | 平安银行 | 117.9880 | 26.5094 | | 001227.SZ | 兰州银行 | 5.7527 | 30.4727 | | 002142.SZ | 宁波银行 | 59.4323 | 21.9089 | | 002807.SZ | 江阴银行 | 4.9228 | 24.1691 ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Clearing House and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank jointly launched the first bond index focused on Shanghai state-owned enterprises, aiming to support the reform and upgrade of these enterprises and enhance the quality and efficiency of the real economy [1] - The Shanghai State-owned Enterprise Preferred Bond Index reflects the yield levels and credit characteristics of high-grade public bonds issued by local state-owned enterprises, serving as a benchmark for financing costs and investment targets [1] - This initiative marks a new phase in the refined and tool-oriented development of the bond market for Shanghai state-owned enterprises, facilitating a positive interaction between capital markets and state-owned enterprise development [1] Group 2 - Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank emphasizes its mission of inclusive finance to enhance the quality of life for citizens, focusing on three core strategies: customer-centricity, inclusive finance, and digital transformation [2] - The bank aims to create value for customers and build a comprehensive financial service group with excellent brand experience, while exploring the application scenarios of the new bond index to support the high-quality development of Shanghai state-owned enterprises [2] - The bank's efforts contribute to national strategies and the construction of Shanghai as an international financial center [2]

2025年7月29日，上海清算所和上海农商银行联合发布上海清算所上海国资国企优选债券指数，并围绕 债券指数化投资和应用展望开展交流讨论。上海清算所上海国资国企优选债券指数由上海清算所与上海 农商银行联合编制，全面覆盖上海实体经济各行各业，准确反映国资国企债券市场价格走势，可作为投 资标的与业绩比较基准。 ...