A股今日走势分化，沪指窄幅震荡，创业板指、科创50指数等强势拉升；港股午后走高，恒生科技指数涨逾1%。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% | 现价 | 涨跌 | 头价 | 总量 卖价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600015 华夏银行 | | R | -8.55 | 7.27 | -0.68 | 7.27 | 7.28 239.7万 | | 601169 北京银行 | | R | -4.15 | 6.00 | -0.26 | 6.00 | 6.01 206.77 | | 601825 沪农商行 | | R | -4.11 | 8.40 | -0.36 | 8.40 | 8.41 389301 | | 601398 工园银行 | | R | -3.58 | 7.01 | -0.26 | 7.00 | 7.01 645.0万 | | 601939 | 建设银行 | R | -3.21 | 9.06 | -0.30 | 9.06 | 9.07 224.4万 | | 601288 农业银行 | | R | -3.04 | 5.42 | ...

4月25日，沪农商行（601825）（601825）2024年度业绩说明会在全景网成功举行。本次业绩说明会 以"稳中求进 未来可期"为主题，公司管理层向股东和投资者展示了其稳健的经营成果和未来的发展战 略。 董事长徐力在会议中谈到，"稳健"一直是沪农商行的特色。自从1949年成立以来，公司目标就是打造百 年老店。上市以来，银行始终以稳健的形象示人。净利润连续实现正增长、不良率始终保持在1%以 下、拨备覆盖率和资本充足率处于比较高的水平、分红率维持在30%以上等。凭借在盈利水平、资产质 量及股东回报等多方面的卓越表现，沪农商行赢得了社会各界及资本市场的广泛认可，2024年银行股价 涨幅达到63%，在A股银行板块中排名第二位。 以"六个稳"彰显稳健发展态势 在此次业绩说明会上，徐力以"六个稳"系统回顾了沪农商行2024年的经营业绩。 在经营业绩方面，实现了"稳"中增效。2024年集团营业收入266.41亿元，同比增长0.86%；归属于母公 司股东的净利润为122.88亿元，同比增长1.20%，扣非归母净利润增速为2.75%。平均总资产回报率 （ROA）0.88%，加权平均净资产收益率10.35%，在上市银行中保持 ...

4月25日，沪农商行（601825）2024年度业绩说明会在全景网成功举行。沪农商行董事长徐力在活动中 谈到，2024年，集团资本充足率进一步提升，内生性资本留存足够支持集团高质量可持续增长，也是银 行长期回报股东的底气所在。2024年银行在行业内第一家落实实施中期分红，2024年度分红率为 33.91%，较2023年提升3.81个百分点，保持在上市银行中的前列。银行高度重视股东回报，2021年上市 以来，分红率始终保持在30%以上，累计派发普通股现金红利165亿元，为IPO募资金额的近2倍。 更多业绩说明会详情，请点击：https://rs.p5w.net/html/145836.shtml 徐力表示，近几年沪农商行在盈利、资产质量和股东回报方面的得到了社会各界和资本市场的认可， 2024年银行股价涨幅达到63%，在A股银行板块中排名第二位。 对于未来的分红规划，沪农商行董事会秘书兼首席财务官姚晓岗指出，公司的分红政策将在综合考虑自 身经营状况、业务发展需求及股东意愿等因素的基础上，保持持续性、稳定性和可预期性，同时确保留 足业务发展所需资本，实现股东短期投资收益与长期价值回报的合理平衡。他强调，公司不追求 ...

4月25日，沪农商行（601825）2024年度业绩说明会在全景网成功举行。首席风险官朱卫对银行资产质 量状况及未来展望进行了深入阐述，他将银行整体资产质量概括为"总体稳健""挑战加大""风险可控"。 2024年末，沪农商行不良贷款率维持在0.97%，与2023年末持平，除一季度有小幅波动外，全年保持稳 定；拨备覆盖率高达352%，处于行业较高水平。这一稳定局面得益于银行长期稳健经营策略， 然而，外部经济环境的复杂性也不容忽视。朱卫指出，当前国内外经济形势给银行资产质量带来一定挑 战。国外关税及国际贸易不利变化冲击外向型企业及国内产业链，国内需求不足导致部分企业经营困 难、群众就业增收压力增大，风险隐患增多。尽管如此，朱卫强调，银行资产质量风险仍在可控范围 内。 对于风险可控的信心来源，朱卫从多个方面进行了说明。一方面，基于对中国经济基本面的长期信心， 中国经济的广阔市场、强韧性和潜力为银行稳健发展提供了有力支撑。另一方面，银行自身的稳健展业 模式也发挥了关键作用。 具体来看，在审批架构上，作为本地法人银行，授信审批层级少、效率高，对重点产品设置专业集中审 批，确保风险偏好有效执行。投向政策方面，坚持服务实体 ...

核心要点： 贷款投放加快，对公与零售端均回暖 根据2024 年及2025Q1 财报，沪农商行贷款投放积极，2024 年及2025Q1总资产分别增长6.9%/6.8%，贷 款分别增长6.6%/6.2%，贷款投放持续加快，一季度公司贷款和个人贷款增长均较上年明显改善。存款 方面，2024 年沪农商行存款增长放缓，随着信贷投放加快，今年一季度存款增速小幅提升至5.9%。 2024 年，沪农商行公司贷款（不含贴现）增长5.6%，房地产、金融、批零、交运等行业贷款比重提 升，一季度公司贷款增速进一步提升至7.4%。零售业务呈现回暖态势，全年零售贷款增速为1.3%，经 营类和消费贷款比重提升，一季度零售贷款增速提升至3.3%。 受益于区域经济修复，沪农商行信贷投放加快，资产扩张稳健。随着存款成本管理加强，沪农商行负债 成本仍有充足节约空间。考虑公司经营稳健，拨备及资本水平充足，未来有望继续巩固稳定分红条件， 分红率有望维持高位，具备高股息股属性。 根据2024 年及2025Q1 财报， 调整2025~2026 年归母净利润增速至0.8%/1.3%（预测前值2.6%/4.2%）， 增加2027 年归母净利润增速预测值2.2 ...

信贷增速继续回升，净息差收窄压力有望缓解。截至25Q1，总资产、贷款总额同比增速为6.8%、 6.0%，环比-0.1pct/+0.4pct，贷款增速已连续三个继续持续回升，对公贷款对25Q1 信贷投放支撑力度进 一步增强。24 年净息差1.5%，较23 年收窄17BP，较24H1 收窄6BP，伴随存款久期结构改善以及重定 价，25 年计息负债成本率改善空间或更为可观（24 年下降14BP），缓解净息差收窄压力。 风险提示：经济复苏不及预期；信贷需求不及预期；资产质量恶化。 资产质量保持平稳，内生增长支撑分红比例继续提升。截至25Q1，不良率与年初持平，关注率环比 +21BP（24 年末较24Q3 -8BP），测算不良净生成率0.5%，较24Q1/24 年末下降46BP/23BP。截至24 年 末，对公贷款不良率较24H1 下降1BP，主要是加大房地产不良核销处置的结果，同时个贷不良率持平 于24H1。截至25Q1，拨备覆盖率、拨贷比分别较年初下降13.1pct 和11BP。24 年全年分红比例（归母 净利润口径）从中期分红的33.1%进一步抬升至33.9%，是核心一级资本充足率足够厚实以及内源资本 补充能力较 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the banking sector [4] Core Insights - The banking sector's revenue is supported by traditional interest margin business, with provisions bolstering performance [4] - Active funds slightly reduced their holdings in the banking sector, while northbound funds increased their positions [6] - The overall market trend shows a divergence where active funds are pulling back, but certain cyclical stocks like China Merchants Bank and Ningbo Bank are seeing increased investment [6] Summary by Sections Active Fund Holdings - In Q1 2025, active funds reduced their holdings in the banking sector to 4%, a decrease of 0.21 percentage points from the previous quarter [6][9] - The low allocation difference for active funds in the banking sector is 8.33%, which has widened by 14 basis points compared to Q4 2024 [12] Passive Fund Holdings - The performance of technology stocks has siphoned off investments from major indices, leading to a decrease in passive funds' holdings in banking stocks [6] - By the end of Q1 2025, passive funds held a total market value of 182.4 billion yuan in banking stocks, down 1.84% from the end of 2024 [6] Northbound Fund Holdings - Northbound funds increased their holdings in the banking sector, with a net inflow of 4.6% compared to the end of Q4 2024 [6] - The total market value held by northbound funds in banking stocks reached 227.57 billion yuan, representing 2.43% of the total circulating market value of listed banks [6] Investment Recommendations - The report highlights the dividend attributes of banking stocks, suggesting a focus on large banks and quality city commercial banks [6] - Two main investment lines are identified: high-dividend large banks (e.g., Agricultural Bank, Construction Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank) and city commercial banks with strong regional advantages [6]

4月23日，中国人民银行在新闻发布会上介绍了《上海国际金融中心进一步提升跨境金融服务便利化行 动方案》的相关情况。副行长陆磊指出，借由《行动方案》的发布，央行将不断充实和完善跨境金融服 务政策工具箱，以构建一个更加贴合外向型经济需求的金融体系。此举旨在进一步增强上海国际金融中 心的竞争力与影响力。 【金融监管总局完善银行业高管任职资格管理】 金融监管总局发布《银行业金融机构董事（理事）和高级管理人员任职资格管理办法》，将于2025年6 月1日实施。该办法详细规定了任职资格条件、核准程序、金融机构的责任、监管机构的监管职责及法 律责任等内容，并明确了取消相关责任人任职资格的具体情形。 【澳门推出《2025年中小企业银行贷款利息补贴计划》】 澳门特区政府推出了《2025年中小企业银行贷款利息补贴计划》，旨在提高中小企业的资金流动性并减 轻其资金压力。符合条件的企业可在指定期间内向澳门持牌银行申请用于企业运营的资金贷款，并享受 贷款利息补贴。该计划规定了贷款金额上限、补贴期限及年补贴率上限等具体条款。 【央行等部门：支持在沪银行通过供应链金融更好服务长三角等地区"走出去"企业】 【央行宣布将持续优化跨境金融服务政策 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The revenue growth rate is impacted by the base effect, while the dividend payout ratio continues to rise [2][9] - The company is expected to experience a slight increase in net profit for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with projected growth rates of 0.3%, 1.8%, and 1.6% respectively [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.65X for 2025, 0.62X for 2026, and 0.60X for 2027, indicating potential undervaluation [3] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company reported a revenue of 26,414 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 12,142 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.6% [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 was 1.26 yuan, with projected EPS of 0.72 yuan for 2024 [4] - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from 1,392,214 million yuan in 2023 to 1,653,004 million yuan by 2027 [12] Profitability and Valuation Metrics - The report forecasts a decline in net interest income from 20,700 million yuan in 2023 to 19,675 million yuan in 2025 [12] - The average return on equity (ROE) is expected to decrease from 11.34% in 2023 to 9.31% by 2027 [12] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 6.86 in 2023 to 6.54 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation attractiveness [12] Dividend Policy - The dividend payout ratio is expected to increase from 33.1% to 33.9% in 2024, supported by strong core capital adequacy [9]

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank aims to establish itself as a "century-old store" with a focus on stability in its operations [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the bank achieved operating income of 26.641 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.86%, with non-interest income accounting for 24.53% of total revenue, up by 2.90 percentage points from the previous year [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 12.288 billion yuan, growing by 1.20%, with a weighted average return on equity of 10.35% [4] - Total assets amounted to 1.4878 trillion yuan, a 6.87% increase year-on-year, while total loans and advances reached 755.219 billion yuan, up by 6.15% [4] - The bank maintained a non-performing loan ratio of 0.97% and a provision coverage ratio of 352.35% as of the end of 2024 [4] Group 2: Asset Quality and Market Position - The bank's asset quality is supported by a solid customer base, advantageous location, cultural heritage, strong shareholder backing, and strategic consistency [5] - 95.1% of the bank's loans were issued within Shanghai, benefiting from the city's robust economic foundation and market vitality [5] Group 3: Dividend Policy - The bank announced a cash dividend payout ratio of 33.91% for 2024, an increase of 3.81 percentage points from 2023, with a dividend yield exceeding 5% [6] - Since its IPO, the bank has consistently maintained a cash dividend ratio above 30% of net profit, with total cash dividends distributed amounting to 16.52 billion yuan [6] Group 4: Cost Management and Risk Control - The bank has effectively managed its funding costs, with a cumulative reduction of 28 basis points in deposit interest rates over the past three years [7] - Despite challenges in the external operating environment, the bank's long-standing risk preference and local customer management capabilities have helped maintain asset quality [7] Group 5: Future Development Strategy - The bank plans to achieve sustainable development through four advancements: transitioning from scale growth to value creation, deepening customer management, enhancing service capabilities, and leading with technology [8]