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沪农商行:24年年报暨25Q1财报点评:基数效应影响营收增速,分红比例继续抬升-20250427
Orient Securities· 2025-04-27 10:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The revenue growth rate is impacted by the base effect, while the dividend payout ratio continues to rise [2][9] - The company is expected to experience a slight increase in net profit for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with projected growth rates of 0.3%, 1.8%, and 1.6% respectively [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.65X for 2025, 0.62X for 2026, and 0.60X for 2027, indicating potential undervaluation [3] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company reported a revenue of 26,414 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 12,142 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.6% [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 was 1.26 yuan, with projected EPS of 0.72 yuan for 2024 [4] - The company’s total assets return rate is projected to remain stable at around 0.9% for 2024 and beyond [4] Profitability and Valuation - The report predicts a slight decline in net interest income, with a forecast of 19,675 million yuan for 2025 [11] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 6.86 in 2023 to 6.54 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in market valuation [11] - The book value per share (BVPS) is expected to rise from 11.66 yuan in 2023 to 14.47 yuan in 2027 [11] Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio is expected to remain stable at around 0.97% for 2024, with a slight improvement projected for subsequent years [11] - The core tier one capital adequacy ratio is forecasted to be 14.73% in 2024, indicating a strong capital position [11]
沪农商行(601825):24年年报暨25Q1财报点评:基数效应影响营收增速,分红比例继续抬升
Orient Securities· 2025-04-27 09:22
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The revenue growth rate is impacted by the base effect, while the dividend payout ratio continues to rise [2][9] - The company's net profit for 2025 is projected to grow by 0.3%, with a book value per share (BVPS) of 13.37 yuan [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.65X for 2025, with a target price of 9.18 yuan per share [3] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company reported an operating income of 26,414 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 12,142 million yuan, reflecting a 10.6% increase year-on-year [4] - The company’s total assets and loan amounts grew by 6.8% and 6.0% respectively as of Q1 2025 [9] - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable, with a coverage ratio of 405% [9][12] Profitability and Valuation Metrics - The report forecasts the company's net interest income to decrease to 19,675 million yuan in 2025, with a projected net interest margin of 1.31% [12] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decline from 6.86 in 2023 to 6.54 in 2027 [12] - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to decrease from 0.74 in 2023 to 0.60 in 2027 [12] Dividend Policy - The dividend payout ratio increased from 33.1% to 33.9% in 2024, supported by strong core capital adequacy [9]
拆解A股上市农商行去年业绩:多家银行投资收益同比翻倍!常熟银行聚焦“小本生意”,2.71%净息差领跑
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-04-27 06:58
Core Insights - The performance of A-share listed rural commercial banks in 2024 shows significant growth, with notable leaders being Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank, whose revenue and net profit gaps are narrowing [1][2] - Changshu Bank stands out with the highest net interest margin among all rural commercial banks and A-share listed banks, achieving a net interest margin of 2.71% [3][5] - Many rural commercial banks have seen substantial increases in investment income due to favorable market conditions, with some banks reporting over 100% growth in this area [9][12] Group 1: Performance Comparison - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank achieved approximately 28.3 billion in revenue, while Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank reached about 26.6 billion, with both banks significantly outperforming others [2] - The net profit for Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank was 12.6 billion and 11.8 billion respectively, indicating a close competition [2] - The revenue gap between the two banks is around 1.5 billion, and the net profit gap is less than 1 billion [2] Group 2: Changshu Bank's Leadership - Changshu Bank's net interest margin of 2.71% is significantly higher than the average of other rural commercial banks, which are generally below 2.0% [3][5] - The bank's loan structure, with 56% of total loans being personal loans, contributes to its leading position in net interest margin [5] - The average interest rate on personal loans for Changshu Bank reached 6.8%, the highest among A-share listed rural commercial banks [6] Group 3: Investment Income Growth - Several rural commercial banks, including Zhangjiagang Bank, Zijin Bank, and Ruifeng Bank, reported investment income growth rates exceeding 100% [9] - Zhangjiagang Bank attributed its investment income increase to a significant expansion in its bond trading account [12] - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank's investment income growth was driven by improved market analysis and diversified investment strategies [13]
【财经分析】业绩会直击|上海农商银行:2024年市值大增48.26% 将聚焦四个进阶
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-04-26 02:51
新华财经上海4月26日电 2024年,上海农商银行实现营业收入266.41亿元,同比增长0.86%;归母净利 润122.88亿元,同比增长1.20%,在利率下行周期中保持盈利韧性。经营效益稳中增效,2024年上海农 商银行A股股价年度涨幅达63%,总市值大幅增长 48.26%,居银行板块第二位。 在25日举办的上海农商银行业绩说明会上,上海农商银行董事长徐力表示,2024年经营整体体现为"六 个稳",业绩稳中增效,规模实力稳步扩大,品牌形象稳步提升,资产质量稳中提质,股东回报稳中有 增,战略策略稳扎稳打。未来将着力增强抵御经济波动、穿越经济周期的能力,提升经营的稳健性和可 持续性。 银行对实体经济的有效支持直接反映在信贷数据上。2024年,上海农商银行贷款与垫款总额7552.19亿 元,较上年末增长6.15%。上海农商银行副行长顾贤斌表示,在量价平衡的前提下,今年把加大信贷的 投放力度作为全行最重要的经营策略,在守住风险底线的基础上,将继续加大信贷投放力度,力争2025 年全年投放500亿元,增速维持在6%至7%之间。 五大优势穿越周期、抵抗不确定性 营业收入和归母净利润保持双增,总市值大幅增长48.26%。 ...
险资现身227家上市公司前十大流通股股东名单
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-04-25 18:40
本报记者 冷翠华 见习记者 杨笑寒 具体来看,从持仓市值来看,险资持仓数量排名前五的上市公司中,有三家为银行,分别为平安银行、 沪农商行和南京银行,其中,平安银行的持仓市值与持股数均暂列险资重仓上市公司首位,持仓市值为 1266.20亿元,持仓数为112.45亿股。 中国保险行业协会数据显示,截至4月25日,年内险资共12次举牌上市公司,相较于去年同期增加了10 次,频次大幅增长。从险企举牌上市公司的行业来看,12次举牌中,有6次举牌的上市公司为银行。公 用事业和能源类公司紧随其后,成为险资重点布局的领域。 随着2025年上市公司一季报逐渐披露,保险公司的持仓情况也随之揭晓。Wind数据显示,截至4月25日 发稿时,保险公司已经出现在227家上市公司的前十大流通股股东中,总持仓数量为196.38亿股,总持 仓市值为2114.78亿元。 普华永道管理咨询(上海)有限公司中国金融行业管理咨询合伙人周瑾对《证券日报》记者表示,增持 和举牌高股息的潜力大盘股,一方面可以应对利率下行的冲击,另一方面可以减少股价波动带来的短期 财务报表波动。 展望未来,国金证券非银金融首席分析师舒思勤认为,保险资金配置的本质是寻找和负债 ...
卖房赚5亿,这家上市农商行的全年利润却只多了1.2亿
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-04-25 14:47
头部农商行上海农商银行(沪农商行)发布2024年报和2025年一季报。 年报显示,2024年,上海农商银行营收净利均保持微增。实现营收266.41亿元,同比增长0.86%;归母 净利润122.88亿元,同比增长1.20%。 资产规模方面,截至2024年末,上海农商银行资产总额14878.09亿元,较上年末增长6.87%,其中贷款 与垫款总额7552.19亿元,较上年末增长6.15%;负债总额为13598.28亿元,较上年末增长6.58%,其中 吸收存款10721.41亿元,较上年末增长5.48%。 一季报显示,上海农商行实现营收65.60亿元,较去年同期的70.85亿元下降7.41%。其中,利息净收入 47.66亿元,同比下降5.62%;非利息净收入17.94亿元,同比下降11.82%。非利息净收入下降主要受上 年房屋征收一次性影响。手续费及佣金净收入6.04亿元,同比下降6.26%。 "报告期末,累计服务上海市近半数"专精特新'小巨人'"企业和约三成"专精特新"中小企业, 其中,上海市242家"专精特新'小巨人'"企业和2,260家"专精特新"中小企业为本公司授信客 户,授信余额分别为104.52亿元、45 ...
分红“盛宴”!37家上市银行豪掷6200亿元,多家银行分红比例超30%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-04-25 14:09
每经记者 张寿林 每经编辑 张益铭 上市银行中分红额度最高者为工商银行,2024年度分红额度达1097.7亿元,历史对比看,工行近年来分红额度持续增加。 股份制银行中,招商银行以504亿元的分红规模居首位,分红总额近年来也持续增长。兴业银行分红总额达到220.2亿元,分 红比例首次突破30%。 整体来看,已披露分红数据的上市银行中,分红比例30%以上的有工商银行、建设银行、农业银行、中国银行、交通银行、 招商银行、江苏银行、南京银行、沪农商行、上海银行和渝农商行。 | | 年度累计分红总额(已宣 | 年度现金分红比例(%,已 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 告) | 宣告) | | 银行名称 | [年度]2024 | [年度]2024 | | | [单位]亿元 | | | 工商银行 | 1,097.7300 | 30.0039 | | 建设银行 | 1,007.5400 | 30.0241 | | 农业银行 | 846.6100 | 30.0128 | | 中国银行 | 713.5960 | 30.0031 | | 招商银行 | 504.4000 | 33.9913 | | 交通银行 | ...
沪农商行(601825):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:扣非业绩维持正增
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-25 12:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 10.75 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 24% from the current price [8]. Core Views - The company's non-recurring performance remains positive, with a forecast for profit growth in 2025, supported by stable asset quality and potential for provisioning release [3][8]. - The bank's dividend payout ratio has increased, reaching 33.91% for 2024, which translates to a dividend yield of 5.0% at the current price [7]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue decreased by 7.4% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 0.3% [2]. - The non-recurring revenue for Q1 2025 showed a slight increase of 0.05%, and non-recurring net profit increased by 12.58% [3]. - The bank's loan and deposit growth rates improved to 6.6% and 5.9% year-on-year, respectively [4]. - The net interest margin decreased by 6 basis points to 1.31% due to a larger decline in asset yield compared to liability costs [5]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.97%, with a provisioning coverage ratio of 339%, down 13 percentage points from the previous year [2][6]. Asset Quality and Dividends - The bank's asset quality indicators showed some fluctuations, with the NPL ratio stable and the attention rate rising to 1.49% [6]. - The dividend payout ratio has been consistently high, reflecting the bank's commitment to returning value to shareholders [7]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit growth from 2025 to 2027 is 1.51%, 1.88%, and 2.39%, respectively, with corresponding book values per share of 13.44, 14.32, and 15.22 CNY [8][15].
沪农商行:25Q1扣非归母净利润同比增长12.6%,2024年分红比例提升至34%-20250425
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-25 12:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate (Maintain)" [5] Core Views - The company reported a 12.6% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders after excluding non-recurring items for Q1 2025. The revenue for 2024 was 26.6 billion yuan, a 0.86% increase year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.3 billion yuan, up 1.20% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the revenue was 6.6 billion yuan, a 7.41% decrease year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.6 billion yuan, reflecting a 0.34% increase year-on-year. The company maintained a non-performing loan ratio of 0.97% and a provision coverage ratio of 339.27% as of the end of Q1 2025 [1][2][4][11]. Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company's net interest income decreased by 5.62% year-on-year, with a net interest margin of 1.50% for 2024, down 6 basis points from the second half of 2024. The interest-earning assets and loan yield for 2024 were 3.36% and 3.77%, respectively, both showing declines [2][3]. - The net commission and fee income fell by 6.26% year-on-year, while other non-interest income decreased by 14.40% year-on-year. However, debt market-related income grew by 35.33% year-on-year, indicating resilience in investment returns despite market volatility [3]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.97%, with a slight increase in the attention ratio to 1.49%. The provision coverage ratio decreased by 13 percentage points. The non-performing loan ratio for corporate loans improved to 1.02%, while the real estate non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.15% [4][10]. - The company reported a non-performing loan generation rate of 0.71% for 2024, with a write-off scale of 4.9 billion yuan [4]. Financial Overview - As of Q1 2025, total assets and loans amounted to 1.54 trillion yuan and 771.1 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 6.82% and 6.60%. The total deposits reached 1.08 trillion yuan, a 5.90% increase year-on-year [10]. - The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio to 34% for 2024, up from 30.1% in 2023, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [1][11].
沪农商行(601825):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:业绩稳健正增,分红率提升至34%
Huachuang Securities· 2025-04-25 11:58
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 9.72 CNY, compared to the current price of 8.44 CNY [1]. Core Views - The company's performance remains stable with a positive growth trajectory, and the dividend payout ratio has increased to 34% [1]. - The company reported operating revenues of 26.64 billion CNY for 2024 and 6.56 billion CNY for Q1 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.86% and -7.4% respectively [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 12.29 billion CNY and 3.56 billion CNY, reflecting year-on-year growth of 1.2% and 0.34% respectively [1]. - The non-performing loan ratio has remained stable at 0.97% for four consecutive quarters, while the provision coverage ratio has shown a downward trend, decreasing by 13.1 percentage points to 339% in Q1 2025 [1]. Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a total operating income of 26.64 billion CNY in 2024, with a projected decline of 3.1% in 2025, followed by growth rates of 4.9% and 5.8% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow at rates of 1.0%, 1.1%, and 4.0% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6]. - The company’s total assets are projected to increase from 1,487.81 billion CNY in 2024 to 1,888.13 billion CNY by 2027 [8]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - The non-performing loan ratio is expected to remain stable at 0.97% for 2025, with a slight decrease to 0.96% in 2026 and 0.95% in 2027 [10]. - The provision coverage ratio is projected to decline from 352.34% in 2024 to 298.51% by 2027, indicating a solid risk management framework despite the downward trend [10]. Dividend Policy - The company has increased its dividend payout ratio, with a mid-year dividend rate of 33.07% for 2024, up by 3 percentage points from 2023, and an expected full-year dividend rate of 33.91% [1]. - The dividend policy is becoming more quantifiable and stable, with a focus on maintaining a steady increase in dividend payouts [1].