Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the positive performance of the medical innovation sector, with the CSI Medical and Medical Device Innovation Index showing mixed results among its constituent stocks, led by Aimeike with a 2.18% increase [1] - The Medical Innovation ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past 12 days, with a peak single-day net inflow of 41.83 million yuan, totaling 234 million yuan, averaging 19.54 million yuan per day [1] - Policy support for the pharmaceutical industry is ongoing, with Shanghai accelerating the implementation of major industrial projects in fields such as integrated circuits, biomedicine, and artificial intelligence [1] Group 2 - The CSI Medical and Medical Device Innovation Index consists of 30 listed companies with good profitability, growth potential, and research innovation capabilities, reflecting the overall performance of profitable and growth-oriented pharmaceutical and medical device companies [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the index include WuXi AppTec, Mindray Medical, and Heng Rui Medicine, accounting for 63.9% of the total index weight [2] - The success rate of Phase I clinical trials for dozens of AI-derived pipelines entering trials in 2025 is projected to be as high as 80%-90%, significantly exceeding traditional levels of 40%-65% [1]

2月2日，药明康德跌2.10%，成交额34.25亿元。两融数据显示，当日药明康德获融资买入额2.07亿元， 融资偿还3.14亿元，融资净买入-1.07亿元。截至2月2日，药明康德融资融券余额合计63.64亿元。 分红方面，药明康德A股上市后累计派现140.60亿元。近三年，累计派现104.06亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，药明康德十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第二大流 通股东，持股2.49亿股，相比上期减少5260.71万股。华夏上证50ETF（510050）位居第七大流通股东， 持股4778.07万股，相比上期减少121.71万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第八大流通股东， 持股4268.15万股，相比上期减少188.65万股。中欧医疗健康混合A（003095）、易方达沪深300医药ETF （512010）退出十大流通股东之列。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 责任编辑： ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the healthcare industry is "Positive" and maintained [14] Core Insights - The funding levels for Chinese innovative pharmaceutical companies are increasing, leading to a gradual improvement in the research and development (R&D) investment sentiment within the industry. This is expected to usher in a new cycle of prosperity for the innovative drug industry chain [5][12] - The trend of external business development (BD) is likely to benefit the domestic early-stage research industry significantly, as new business models allow early-stage projects to become tradable and monetizable assets, enhancing R&D investment returns [13] Summary by Sections Innovative Chain Development Review - Before 2020, multiple factors converged to initiate a significant rise in China's innovative drug sector, leading to the rapid development of the innovative chain, including CXO and life sciences services [10][30] - From 2020 to the first half of 2022, the global public health crisis accelerated capital inflow into the biopharmaceutical sector, resulting in high demand and a leap in the innovative chain segment, which also triggered a wave of IPOs and substantial supply-side expansion [10][39] - The second half of 2022 to 2024 saw a transition from a heated to a cooling phase, with a significant shift in supply-demand dynamics leading to industry internal competition and pressure on revenues and profit margins [10][54][57] Improvement in R&D Investment Sentiment - Starting from 2025, the R&D investment sentiment in China's innovative drug sector is expected to improve, with companies experiencing increased funding levels. The total amount raised through IPOs and additional offerings in 2025 is projected to reach 201.5 billion yuan, a 145% year-on-year increase [11][62] - The potential milestone payments from external BD are expected to reach 880.5 billion yuan in 2025, marking a 185.9% year-on-year increase, indicating a robust funding environment for innovative drug companies [11] Benefits to Early-stage Research Industry - The new external BD business model enhances the R&D investment return rates for Chinese innovative drug companies, thereby increasing their willingness to invest in R&D [11][13] - The early-stage research industry, including drug discovery CROs and clinical trial services, is expected to benefit significantly from the external BD trend, with leading companies in these segments poised for rapid growth [13]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the continuous growth potential in the innovative pharmaceutical sector, particularly focusing on CXO, innovative drugs, and high-value consumables as key investment areas for 2025 [5][10][11] Performance Forecast - As of February 1, 2025, 261 pharmaceutical companies listed on A-shares have released performance forecasts, with 129 companies expected to be profitable. Among these, 85 companies anticipate profit growth, while 44 expect declines, and 25 are projected to turn losses into profits [6][7] - The report predicts the following profit growth rates for 28 pharmaceutical companies in 2025: - 2 companies with growth rates of 40% or more: SaiFen Technology and JiuZhou Pharmaceutical - 8 companies with growth rates between 20% and 40%: ZuoLi Pharmaceutical, AoRuiTe, HaoYuan Pharmaceutical, BiDe Pharmaceutical, DaSanLin, WoWu Biological, TeBao Biological, and HengRui Pharmaceutical - 10 companies with growth rates between 10% and 20%: BaiYunShan, LingRui Pharmaceutical, KaiLaiYing, PuRuiSi, YaoKang Biological, XiangSheng Medical, KeFu Medical, YiFeng Pharmacy, XinLiTai, and LanXiao Technology - 7 companies with growth rates between 0% and 10%: YunNan BaiYao, WeiEr Pharmaceutical, TongCe Medical, DongFuLong, JingXin Pharmaceutical, EnHua Pharmaceutical, and HuaDong Pharmaceutical - 1 company expected to turn losses into profits: BeiJi ShenZhou-U [7][8] Sector Analysis - The report highlights significant growth in the CXO, innovative drug, and high-value consumables sectors for 2025, driven by favorable conditions in the global innovative drug industry, increased order signing, and rising investment sentiment in both domestic and international pharmaceutical markets [10][11] - The high-value consumables sector benefits from the recovery of domestic surgical demand and improved profit margins following stabilized procurement prices. Some traditional Chinese medicine companies have also exceeded market expectations [10][11] - In contrast, sectors such as IVD, raw materials, vaccines, and blood products are facing performance pressures [10][11] Investment Recommendations - The report continues to recommend focusing on the innovative drug and CXO sectors, with specific companies highlighted for attention: - CXO sector: WuXi AppTec, Kanglong Chemical, KaiLaiYing, HaoYuan Pharmaceutical, BaiAoSaiTu, Tigermed, NuoSiGe, ZhaoYan Pharmaceutical, YiNuoSi, and PuRuiSi - Innovative drug sector: HengRui Pharmaceutical, BeiJi ShenZhou-U, NuoCheng JianHua, AiDi Pharmaceutical, and WeiXing Biological [5][10]

转自：前瞻产业研究院 以下数据及分析来自于前瞻产业研究院医药研发外包(CRO)研究小组发布的《中国医药研发外包 （CRO）行业市场前瞻与投资战略规划分析报告》。 行业主要上市公司：目前国内CRO行业主要的上市公司有药明康德(603259.SH)、康龙化成 (300759.SZ)、泰格医药(300347.SZ)、凯莱英(002821.SZ)、昭衍新药(603127.SH)、九洲药业 (603456.SH)、皓元医药(688131.SH)、博腾股份(300363.SZ)、成都先导(688222.SH)、药石科技 (300725.SZ)等。 本文核心数据： 企业主营业务收入 1、药明康德在中国CRO市场份额占比约四分之一 根据2024年中国CRO行业的企业营收份额占比情况可见，药明康德以将近四分之一的市场份额、290亿 元营收，在中国CRO市场中稳居绝对龙头地位，其市场占比不仅远超康龙化成、泰格医药等头部同 行，营收规模更是大幅领先，凭借显著的规模优势与竞争壁垒，成为引领行业发展的核心主导力量。 2、药明康德发展历程概览 3、药明康德营收爆发式增长，持续保持高位 根据企业公布的近五年营收数据，2020至2022年， ...

Core Viewpoint - The performance of A-share pharmaceutical stocks in 2025 shows a mixed outlook, with 283 companies disclosing earnings forecasts, where 160 companies expect profit growth while over 120 companies anticipate profit declines, indicating a significant divergence in the industry [1][3]. Group 1: Profit Growth - Among the 283 pharmaceutical stocks, 160 companies are expected to see a year-on-year increase in net profit, with Sino Medical (688108) leading the pack with a projected increase of over 32 times [1][3]. - Sino Medical forecasts a net profit of 43 million to 50 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 2,767% to 3,233% [3]. - Other notable companies with significant profit growth include WuXi AppTec, Hanyu Pharmaceutical, and Kangxino, with 65 companies projecting a net profit increase of over 100% [3][4]. Group 2: Profit Decline - Over 120 companies are expected to report a decline in net profit for 2025, with 39 companies facing their first losses since listing, including well-known firms like Zhifei Biological and Zhenbao Island [1][5]. - Zhifei Biological anticipates a net loss of approximately 10.698 billion to 13.726 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year decline of 630% to 780% [6][7]. - The decline in the vaccine sector is attributed to decreased public willingness to vaccinate and increased vaccine hesitancy, leading to significant performance pressure across the industry [7][8]. Group 3: Innovative Drug Companies - Several innovative drug companies are reporting positive trends, with some achieving profitability or significantly reducing losses. For instance, Nocren Pharmaceutical is expected to turn a profit for the first time, projecting a net profit of around 633 million yuan [10]. - Rongchang Biopharmaceutical is also expected to turn a profit, with a projected net profit of approximately 716 million yuan, driven by strong sales of core products [10]. - Companies like Junshi Biosciences and Amgen have not yet achieved profitability but are showing a clear trend of reduced losses, indicating a gradual transition towards commercialization and revenue growth in the innovative drug sector [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The small nucleic acid drug market is experiencing robust growth, transitioning from technology validation to accelerated commercialization, with a global market size increasing from $2.7 billion in 2019 to $4.6 billion in 2023, and projected to reach $45.7 billion by 2033, reflecting a CAGR of 26.08% [2][39] - The small nucleic acid CXO sector is benefiting from technological breakthroughs and commercialization acceleration, establishing a comprehensive CRDMO service system [2] - Key players in the small nucleic acid field include CROs with core technologies and rich project experience, such as Chengdu XianDai and Kanglong Chemical, and CDMOs with leading production capabilities like WuXi AppTec and Kailai Ying [2] Summary by Sections 1. Small Nucleic Acid Drugs - Small nucleic acid drugs encompass various types, including ASO, siRNA, and aptamers, which target gene expression for disease treatment [11][12] - These drugs offer advantages such as shorter development cycles, broad therapeutic areas, sustained efficacy, and higher success rates compared to traditional drugs [15][16] 2. Market Expansion and BD Activity - The small nucleic acid market is expanding, with significant BD transactions occurring, including a $9 billion collaboration between Wobang Pharmaceutical and Novartis, and a $2 billion platform authorization between Rebio and Boehringer Ingelheim [48] - Domestic companies are actively developing drugs targeting hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and hepatitis B, with notable progress in clinical stages [45][47] 3. CXO Empowerment in Small Nucleic Acid R&D - The CXO industry is crucial for supporting the R&D and production of small nucleic acid drugs, with a focus on enhancing delivery technologies and chemical modifications to improve drug stability and efficacy [22][26]

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Neutral" rating, with specific company ratings of "Buy" for 恒瑞医药 (Hengrui Medicine) and "Increase" for 药明康德 (WuXi AppTec) [12][60]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant collaborations in the innovative drug sector, including 石药集团 (Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical) partnering with AstraZeneca for long-acting peptide drug development and receiving clinical trial approval for SYS6055 injection in China [8][37]. - The report emphasizes the robust R&D capabilities of Chinese pharmaceutical companies showcased at the 2026 JPM Healthcare Conference, suggesting investment opportunities in innovative drugs, CXO, and upstream life sciences [12][60]. - The report notes the recent release of the revised "Regulations on the Implementation of the Drug Administration Law of the People's Republic of China," which aims to enhance drug innovation and regulatory processes [19][20]. Industry Data - As of January 29, 2026, the SW Pharmaceutical and Biological Industry's price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) is 51.60 times, with a valuation premium of 259% relative to the CSI 300 index [10][52]. - The report provides current prices for vitamin raw materials, with Vitamin B1 at 237.5 RMB/kg and Vitamin D3 at 130 RMB/kg, remaining stable compared to January 28 [22]. - The Chinese herbal medicine market index shows a decline of 15% year-on-year, with specific herbs like 党参 (Codonopsis) and 当归 (Angelica) experiencing price drops of 41% and 29% respectively [26]. Company Announcements - 先声药业 (Xiansheng Pharmaceutical) signed an exclusive licensing agreement with Boehringer Ingelheim for the dual-specific antibody SIM0709, with potential milestone payments reaching up to 1.016 billion euros [36]. - 恒瑞医药 (Hengrui Medicine) received acceptance for a drug listing application and clinical trial approval for multiple products, including a breakthrough therapy designation for HRS-5346 [39][40]. - 诺诚健华 (Innovent Biologics) anticipates a revenue of approximately 2.365 billion RMB for 2025, marking a 134% year-on-year increase [41].

很多人至今还在问：坐拥几千亿，身边围着全世界最聪明的脑袋和最尖端的药，怎么就换不回一条命？ 这恰恰是赵宁留给世人最硬核的最后一课，在生物学的铁壁面前，钞票有时候真的只是一堆纸。 2023年温州女首富抗癌失败，即使名下有两家医药上市公司，市值高达3700亿元，最后还是拯救不了自 己。 站在2026年1月的凛冽寒风里，回望三年前的那个初夏，你会发现那是一个极其充满张力的时刻。 2023年5月，两块屏幕上的画面构成了最残酷的蒙太奇。一块屏幕上，药明康德与药明生物的市值红线 狂舞，那个数字最终定格在惊人的3700亿元。这庞大的商业帝国掌控着全球95%顶尖药企的研发命脉。 而在另一块心电监护仪的屏幕上，57岁的赵宁，这条红线被拉成了无限延长的直线。这位帝国的缔造者 之一、温州女首富，在与癌症死磕了整整20年后，还是没能跑赢死神。 这不仅仅是一则富豪讣告，这是一个关于"药神"救不了自己，却无意间救了时代的悲剧。 但这堆"纸"并非毫无意义，要读懂它的重量，我们得把时钟拨回到千禧年。 那时候的赵宁和李革，刚从哥伦比亚大学拿到博士学位，在美国的大药企里混得风生水起。2000年，两 口子受邀回北大演讲，这一趟回国，直接把他们的" ...

"这个领域已经证明，中国效率比美国要高。" 现在，潮水已经退去。目前，还在中国开展CDMO业务的跨国企业几乎只有德国的勃林格殷格翰了。 进退之间 2025年，昭衍生物向前一步。 2025年9月份，昭衍生物技术（广州）有限公司开业。它的制造基地位于广州知识城，聚焦于大分子药物的CDMO。这一基地拥有17000平方米的实验室及 生产车间，配备国际领先的模块化生产设施,建有多条200升、500升、2000升一次性原液生产线，及水针、冻干高端制剂线，并具备连续化生产工艺及数 字化控制系统。 "不光是在收缩，是在消失。"澳斯康创始人罗顺近期接受第一财经记者采访时，这样评价跨国CDMO在华业务。 CDMO是指合同研发和生产组织，它是制药产业链分工日益专业化的结果。2020年左右，一大批知名跨国企业如龙沙、赛默飞世尔、默克等都在中国投资 了CDMO业务，并对中国业务寄予厚望。 当时，广州昭衍生物总经理贺涛表示，这一制造基地的投运，标志着昭衍生物"南北协同、中外联动"战略迈出实质性一步。该基地提升昭衍生物在大湾区 的产能供给，更为集团打造辐射东南亚及其他海外地区的生物医药创新协同平台打下基础。 2025年，龙沙（Lonza） ...