"这个领域已经证明，中国效率比美国要高。" 现在，潮水已经退去。目前，还在中国开展CDMO业务的跨国企业几乎只有德国的勃林格殷格翰了。 进退之间 2025年，昭衍生物向前一步。 2025年9月份，昭衍生物技术（广州）有限公司开业。它的制造基地位于广州知识城，聚焦于大分子药物的CDMO。这一基地拥有17000平方米的实验室及 生产车间，配备国际领先的模块化生产设施,建有多条200升、500升、2000升一次性原液生产线，及水针、冻干高端制剂线，并具备连续化生产工艺及数 字化控制系统。 "不光是在收缩，是在消失。"澳斯康创始人罗顺近期接受第一财经记者采访时，这样评价跨国CDMO在华业务。 CDMO是指合同研发和生产组织，它是制药产业链分工日益专业化的结果。2020年左右，一大批知名跨国企业如龙沙、赛默飞世尔、默克等都在中国投资 了CDMO业务，并对中国业务寄予厚望。 当时，广州昭衍生物总经理贺涛表示，这一制造基地的投运，标志着昭衍生物"南北协同、中外联动"战略迈出实质性一步。该基地提升昭衍生物在大湾区 的产能供给，更为集团打造辐射东南亚及其他海外地区的生物医药创新协同平台打下基础。 2025年，龙沙（Lonza） ...

Group 1 - The pharmaceutical sector experienced a pullback, with the pharmaceutical ETF (159929) declining by 1.53% and a trading volume exceeding 1.3 billion yuan, indicating a net inflow of over 45 million yuan during the day, marking 11 consecutive days of capital inflow totaling over 360 million yuan [1][3] - Major stocks within the pharmaceutical ETF saw most decline, including Meien Health and Pianzaihuang dropping over 3%, WuXi AppTec and Aier Eye Hospital falling over 2%, while Tigermed rose over 7% [3][4] - Tigermed is projected to see a net profit growth of 105% to 204% by 2025, indicating strong future performance [3] Group 2 - The JPM 2026 conference highlighted a shift in the global pharmaceutical industry's focus towards the effective allocation and long-term value realization of innovations amidst rising uncertainties [5] - Chinese innovation is gaining global recognition, with increased participation from Chinese companies at the JPM 2026, reflecting a growing acknowledgment from international capital and multinational pharmaceutical companies [5][6] - The evaluation logic of multinational pharmaceutical companies regarding Chinese innovative assets is evolving, focusing on their efficacy, differentiation, and competitive positioning for inclusion in global product portfolios [6][10] Group 3 - Multinational pharmaceutical companies are entering a critical patent cliff period, necessitating diversification in their pipelines to mitigate risks associated with single products and treatment areas [10][12] - The integration of AI into core strategies is becoming mainstream, with AI being utilized to enhance R&D efficiency and optimize operational systems, thus addressing challenges posed by the patent cliff [12][13] - The oncology sector remains a core area for pharmaceutical innovation, with a focus on antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) and cell therapies, indicating a robust pipeline and commercial potential [13][15]

Market Overview - The market has shifted back to high dividend and low valuation stocks, with a notable rebound in the "drinking and medicine" sector, particularly in pharmaceuticals and healthcare [1][12] - Major healthcare stocks such as United Imaging, WuXi AppTec, and Mindray Medical have all risen over 2%, while the largest healthcare ETF (512170) ended a three-day decline with a 1.4% increase, trading at 9.65 billion yuan [1][12] Fund Inflows - The healthcare sector has attracted significant "bottom-fishing" capital, with the healthcare ETF (512170) seeing a single-day inflow of 4.99 billion yuan, marking a total of 18 billion yuan in net inflows over nine consecutive trading days [1][14] - The ETF's current PE valuation is still below 60% of the historical range over the past decade, indicating a favorable cost-performance ratio for investors [3][14] Earnings Forecasts - Among the 14 disclosed stocks for 2025 earnings forecasts, 10 are expected to achieve double-digit growth, with Lepu Medical projecting a net profit increase of 386% [3][14] - Key players in the CXO sector, including Zhaoyan New Drug and Boteng Co., are also expected to see their profits double [3][14] AI and Healthcare - The AI healthcare sector is gaining attention, with Huawei Cloud set to launch a smart healthcare platform on February 1, which will integrate top medical resources and cutting-edge technology [3][14] Pharmaceutical Sector Performance - The pharmaceutical sector is showing significant value, with the newly released "Drug Administration Law Implementation Rules" promoting drug research and development, including fast-track approval processes for new drugs [7][18] - The pharmaceutical ETF (562050) has seen a net inflow of over 12 million yuan in the past five days, ending an 11-day decline with a slight increase of 0.59% [5][16] Company-Specific Earnings - The pharmaceutical ETF has disclosed earnings forecasts for 9 stocks, with 8 expected to see profit increases, including Tonghua Dongbao, which anticipates a 30-fold increase in net profit [7][18] - Other companies like Sanofi and Yiling Pharmaceutical are also projected to achieve significant profit growth [7][18] Investment Tools - Investors are encouraged to focus on the pharmaceutical ETF (562050) and its associated funds, which track the top 50 pharmaceutical companies in A-shares, balancing innovation and traditional medicine [7][18]

Core Insights - The medical services sector experienced a rise of 1.61% on January 29, with Tongce Medical leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] Medical Services Sector Performance - Tongce Medical (600763) closed at 47.49, with a gain of 5.14%, and a trading volume of 206,500 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 9.65 billion [1] - Other notable performers included: - Digital Human (920670) at 20.26, up 3.90%, with a transaction value of 2.08 billion [1] - Meinian Health (002044) at 7.28, up 3.70%, with a transaction value of 24.68 billion [1] - Tiger Medical (300347) at 58.91, up 3.51%, with a transaction value of 7.82 billion [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The medical services sector saw a net inflow of 1.146 billion from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.043 billion [2][3] - Key stocks with significant capital flow included: - WuXi AppTec (603259) with a net inflow of 306 million, representing 5.87% of total capital [3] - Aier Eye Hospital (300015) with a net inflow of 228 million, representing 15.83% of total capital [3] - Meinian Health (002044) with a net inflow of 163 million, representing 6.60% of total capital [3]

Core Viewpoint - China Galaxy Securities is optimistic about the pharmaceutical industry's investment opportunities in 2026, focusing on hard technology in medicine, innovation, and overseas expansion, while seeking alpha in niche segments [1] Group 1: Investment Trends - In Q4 2025, public fund holdings in pharmaceuticals decreased, indicating an overall low allocation level [1] - The market value of pharmaceutical theme funds decreased by 9.73% to 205.9 billion yuan, which is 66.54% higher than the average since 2019 [1] - The market value of the pharmaceutical biotechnology sector fell by 18.81% to 312.5 billion yuan, with a holding ratio of 8.12%, below the historical average by 3.89 percentage points [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - The top five pharmaceutical stocks held by public funds in Q4 2025 saw significant reductions in both the number of funds and total market value, with notable declines in stocks like Heng Rui Medicine and WuXi AppTec [2] - The concentration of holdings has shifted from innovative drugs to medical devices and services, indicating a change in market investment focus [2] Group 3: Industry Data Overview - The pharmaceutical manufacturing industry's revenue has shown a slight decline, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.2% in Q4 2025 [3] - Medical service volumes remained stable, with a total of 1.86 billion outpatient visits in early 2025, reflecting a 0.1% year-on-year decrease [3] - The overall operation of the medical insurance fund has been stable, with total income of 2.632 trillion yuan and total expenditure of 2.110 trillion yuan from January to November 2025 [3] Group 4: Market Comparison - The pharmaceutical industry has underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with a rolling P/E ratio of 38.19 compared to 14.14 for the CSI 300, indicating a premium of 170.14% over the index [3] - The SW pharmaceutical biotechnology index increased by 1.44% from early 2024 to January 28, 2026, while the CSI 300 rose by 37.15%, showing a relative underperformance of 35.71% for the pharmaceutical sector [3]

2025年四季度，市场波动有所加大，A股和港股在震荡中收官，结构性行情演绎至极致。Wind数据显示，去年四季度上证指数上涨2.22%，沪 深300指数下跌0.23%，创业板指下跌1.08%。此外，恒生指数下跌4.56%，恒生中国企业指数下跌6.72%。 主要指数表现平淡，但内部行业却冰火两重天。以AI算力、半导体为代表的科技成长板块高歌猛进，石油石化、国防军工、有色金属等行业 表现较好，而房地产、医药、计算机等行业表现相对承压。 随着公募基金2025年四季报披露完毕，傅鹏博、朱少醒、张坤、葛兰、谢治宇、李晓星、刘彦春等明星基金经理的持仓动向与后市展望浮出水 面。这种极致的市场风格，也映射出这些公募明星基金经理们截然不同的投资路径，这些分化直接体现在他们的净值曲线上。 Wind数据显示，锚定科技主线的基金在2025年四季度及2025年全年斩获显著超额收益。傅鹏博的睿远成长价值和李晓星的银华中小盘精选， 2025年全年上涨均超60%，大幅跑赢业绩比较基准。两者的共同特点是重仓AI算力、半导体等全年市场主线。 均衡配置型基金的表现也较为稳健。朱少醒的富国天惠精选成长A全年涨幅超20%，其分散在金融、消费、制造等多个 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the CXO industry, highlighting strong recovery and growth potential through 2026 [7][41]. Core Insights - The global CXO industry is experiencing a robust recovery, with significant performance from leading companies, and is expected to maintain high levels of activity into 2026 [1]. - Biotech financing reached a historical high in Q4 2025, indicating a rebound in demand from multinational pharmaceutical companies [7]. - The Chinese market is showing vitality in innovative drug development, with a 19% year-on-year increase in IND applications [7]. Summary by Sections 1. Global CXO Industry Recovery - The CXO industry is set for a strong recovery, with leading companies like WuXi AppTec showing impressive growth, projecting a revenue of 45.5 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.8% [10]. - WuXi AppTec's TIDES business is expected to grow over 90% in revenue, with a significant increase in production capacity [10]. - The number of IND applications in China reached 2,703 in 2025, a 19% increase from the previous year, indicating a growing clinical pipeline [26]. 2. Company-Specific Insights - **WuXi Biologics**: The company signed 209 new projects in 2025, with a total of 945 projects, reflecting a 16% year-on-year increase. The demand for new technology platforms is driving growth [15]. - **WuXi AppTec**: The company is expected to see a revenue growth of over 45% in 2025, with a focus on ADC and XDC projects, and a global market share increase to over 24% [18]. - **Tigermed**: The company is benefiting from a recovery in the CRO market, with a projected market size of 52.5 billion yuan in 2025 and a stable client structure [25]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For CRO, the report recommends focusing on leading platforms like Tigermed and specialized companies such as Huanbo and Zhaoyan [41]. - In the CDMO sector, it suggests investing in companies with strong positions in peptide supply chains and ADC trends, including WuXi AppTec and Huyuan Biotech [41].

Core Insights - The pharmaceutical industry is increasingly adopting AI technologies, with over 60% of pharmaceutical companies and more than half of public hospitals using DingTalk as an AI operating system to enhance productivity [1][2] - AI is transforming the pharmaceutical sector by enabling companies to shift from repetitive tasks to more strategic roles, thereby enhancing operational efficiency [1][2] - DingTalk's AI application white paper indicates that AI is moving from exploration to large-scale application across the pharmaceutical value chain, impacting drug discovery, production, quality control, and patient services [1][2] Industry Developments - The pharmaceutical industry is characterized by high specialization, strong regulation, and long supply chains, making AI implementation a systemic transformation rather than just a technological upgrade [2] - DingTalk's AI solutions have been successfully implemented in various pharmaceutical companies, including WuXi AppTec and Innovent Biologics, and the company plans to launch a "Digital Pioneer Competition" to cultivate AI-savvy individuals within 100 pharmaceutical firms [2][3] - The establishment of the "Pharmaceutical Industry AI Innovation Alliance" aims to address common challenges such as data governance and ethical standards, promoting best practices for AI development in the sector [2][3] Company Case Studies - WuXi AppTec and DingTalk have developed a digital foundation called "BaiYaoDing," integrating AI into various processes, including traditional Chinese medicine traceability and smart factory production [2][3] - Innovent Biologics focuses on fine management in production through AI, achieving digitalization and transparency in anomaly handling, which has led to significant labor savings and improved quality [3] - Lepu Medical's AI initiatives provide 24/7 professional knowledge support to sales teams, resulting in a 200% return on AI investment by 2025, demonstrating AI's direct value in driving business growth [3] - Xianle Health has utilized AI tools to create an intelligent inspection application, enhancing management efficiency and fostering a culture of innovation within the organization [3][4] Future Outlook - AI is becoming a core driver of quality improvement, efficiency, and innovation in the pharmaceutical industry, with ongoing advancements in technology and a thriving ecosystem [4]

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced increased volatility in Q4 2025, with A-shares and Hong Kong stocks showing mixed performance, while sectors like AI computing and semiconductors thrived, contrasting with weaker performances in real estate and pharmaceuticals [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.22% in Q4 2025, while the Hang Seng Index fell by 4.56% [1] - The technology growth sector, particularly AI computing and semiconductors, showed significant gains, while industries such as real estate and pharmaceuticals faced challenges [1] Group 2: Fund Manager Performance - Star fund managers like Fu Pengbo and Li Xiaoxing achieved over 60% returns in 2025, focusing on AI computing and semiconductors [2] - Balanced allocation funds, such as Zhu Shaoxing's, demonstrated stability with a 20% annual return, benefiting from diversified investments across various sectors [3][14] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Fu Pengbo's fund increased its allocation to data center cooling and computing-related companies, with a top ten stock concentration of 70.38% [5] - Li Xiaoxing emphasized AI hardware innovation and semiconductor investments, with a focus on domestic advancements in the semiconductor industry [6] Group 4: Traditional Value Investments - Fund managers like Zhang Kun and Liu Yanhun maintained positions in traditional sectors like consumer goods and pharmaceuticals, despite facing net value pressures [8][12] - Liu Yanhun's fund experienced a 5.85% decline in Q4, reflecting the challenges faced by traditional value sectors [12] Group 5: Policy and Market Outlook - Fund managers noted the impact of "anti-involution" policies on corporate fundamentals, suggesting a shift towards supply-side optimization [17] - Despite market rebounds, equity assets are still viewed as attractive, with a focus on high-quality listed companies as scarce income-generating assets [18]

Core Viewpoint - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing fluctuations, with the medical ETF (159929) showing a decline of 1.16% amidst a net inflow of nearly 60 million yuan, indicating ongoing investment interest despite market corrections [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has seen a rise, while the pharmaceutical sector is undergoing a pullback, with the medical ETF (159929) recording a trading volume exceeding 120 million yuan [1]. - Major stocks within the medical ETF have mostly declined, with notable drops including over 3% for United Imaging Healthcare and over 2% for Mindray Medical [3]. Group 2: Company Performance and Projections - CITIC Securities expresses optimism for leading pharmaceutical e-commerce platforms, highlighting their resource advantages and AI capabilities, which are expected to enhance revenue through AI medical applications [5]. - According to Everbright Securities, WuXi AppTec's companies have reported strong earnings forecasts, with WuXi AppTec expected to achieve revenue of 45.456 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.84% [5]. - WuXi Biologics anticipates adding 209 comprehensive projects in 2025, with two-thirds being dual-targeted antibodies and ADC drugs, indicating robust growth potential [5]. Group 3: Investment Trends and Strategies - Everbright Securities suggests that future investments in the pharmaceutical sector should focus on clinical value, emphasizing the importance of addressing clinical needs amid evolving domestic and international policies [6]. - CITIC Jinshi identifies four main investment themes for 2026: innovation, international expansion, marginal changes, and consolidation within the pharmaceutical industry [7]. - The innovation theme is particularly highlighted, with expectations for improved global liquidity and supportive national policies for innovative assets, including advanced technologies in pharmaceuticals and medical devices [8].